Amylyx Pharmaceuticals (AMLX)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $13.21 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals (AMLX)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $13.21Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -0.7 Mil |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 137%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 218% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -0.7 Mil |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 137%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 218% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMLX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Amylyx Pharmaceuticals (AMLX) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 15, 2025. This period saw a voluntary withdrawal of a key drug, a substantial public offering, and updates on several clinical trials, which likely influenced investor sentiment and the stock's performance.
Here are five key points explaining the stock's movement:
1. Voluntary Withdrawal of RELYVRIO in August 2025: Amylyx Pharmaceuticals announced the voluntary withdrawal of its ALS drug, RELYVRIO (sodium phenylbutyrate and taurursodiol), from the market in August 2025. This decision followed the results of the Phase 3 PHOENIX trial, which did not meet its primary and secondary endpoints. The FDA formally withdrew approval of the drug on August 29, 2025. This withdrawal likely had a significant negative impact on the stock as RELYVRIO was a previously approved treatment for ALS.
2. $175 Million Underwritten Public Offering in September 2025: On September 10, 2025, Amylyx announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 17,500,000 shares of its common stock at $10.00 per share, aiming to raise $175.0 million in gross proceeds. The company intended to use the net proceeds for avexitide commercial readiness, research and development, and general corporate purposes. This substantial capital raise, while providing financial flexibility, often leads to stock dilution, which can put downward pressure on the share price in the short term.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMLX Return | � | � | � | -60% | -74% | 246% | � |
| Peers Return | 67% | -14% | -3% | 0% | -30% | 23% | 21% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMLX Win Rate | � | � | 55% | 25% | 67% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 47% | 48% | 45% | 37% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMLX Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -67% | -89% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -26% | -32% | -31% | -40% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BIIB, IONS, NBIX, DNLI, ALEC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMLX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 380.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 152 days | 464 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -79.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/28/2022. A -79.2% loss requires a 380.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amylyx Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 49.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.0 |
| Rev LTM | 518 |
| Op Inc LTM | -141 |
| FCF LTM | -176 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -152 |
| CFO LTM | -176 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -151 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -16.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -16.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -20.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.0 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | -2.5 |
| P/E | -4.0 |
| P/CFO | -4.0 |
| Total Yield | -7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -37.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -114.0% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -5.9% | -6.9% | 3.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -4.3% | 1.3% | 24.5% |
| 3/4/2025 | 0.3% | 16.3% | 11.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 5.1% | -8.7% | -17.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | -4.3% | 13.3% | 26.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | -2.1% | -5.7% | -8.3% |
| 2/22/2024 | 21.1% | 27.8% | -81.3% |
| 11/9/2023 | -31.9% | -27.3% | -22.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -5.7% | -17.4% |
| Max Positive | 21.1% | 27.8% | 26.1% |
| Max Negative | -31.9% | -27.3% | -81.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3042025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Klee Justin B. | Co-Chief Executive Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 14.37 | 29,775 | 427,950 | 47,796,761 | Form |
| 1 | Mazzariello Gina | Chief Legal Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 14.58 | 8,828 | 128,669 | 2,159,170 | Form |
| 2 | FRATES JAMES M | Chief Financial Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 14.65 | 10,558 | 154,650 | 4,107,655 | Form |
| 3 | Cohen Joshua B | Co-Chief Executive Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 14.34 | 29,733 | 426,469 | 47,699,318 | Form |
| 4 | Bedrosian Camille L | Chief Medical Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 14.58 | 12,039 | 175,518 | 2,658,295 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |