Tearsheet

Miller Industries (MLR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.01 | Market Cap: $435.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Miller Industries (MLR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.01
Market Cap: $435.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Key risks
MLR key risks include [1] production disruptions stemming from its dependence on outside suppliers for critical chassis and components, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight. Themes include Freight Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight. Themes include Freight Technology.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43%
5 Key risks
MLR key risks include [1] production disruptions stemming from its dependence on outside suppliers for critical chassis and components, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MLR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Miller Industries (MLR) stock experienced a decline of -8.7% due to several key factors.

1. Significant Miss in Q3 2025 Earnings per Share: Miller Industries reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.27, significantly below the analyst consensus of $0.80, representing a 66.25% negative surprise. Net income for the quarter also saw a dramatic 80% decrease year-over-year.

2. Substantial Decline in Revenue and Profitability: The company's Q3 2025 revenue fell to $178.7 million, marking a 43.1% decrease year-over-year and a 16.5% sequential decline from Q2 2025. Gross profit also declined by 39.7% year-over-year and 26.8% sequentially.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MLR Return5%-11%-18%62%57%-40%17%
Peers Return2%16%-0%28%-10%12%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MLR Win Rate42%33%25%67%58%25% 
Peers Win Rate50%52%42%53%40%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MLR Max Drawdown-30%-15%-35%-1%-9%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-8%-30%-11%-20%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OSK, FSS, PLOW, ALG, WNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMLRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven524 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven287 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven151 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven426.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,978 days1,480 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Miller Industries's stock fell -54.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2021. A -54.9% loss requires a 121.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Miller Industries (MLR)

Better Bets than Miller Industries (MLR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MLR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Miller Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MLROSKFSSPLOWALGWNCMedian
NameMiller I.Oshkosh Federal .Douglas .Alamo Wabash N. 
Mkt Price38.03126.23109.5533.23173.619.4673.79
Mkt Cap0.48.16.60.82.10.01.4
Rev LTM84010,3322,0556151,6151,6381,627
Op Inc LTM4095732767164371245
FCF LTM2875522041150108129
FCF 3Y Avg1731617539128118123
CFO LTM3897424853182150166
CFO 3Y Avg3059920849160186173

Growth & Margins

MLROSKFSSPLOWALGWNCMedian
NameMiller I.Oshkosh Federal .Douglas .Alamo Wabash N. 
Rev Chg LTM-36.9%-2.5%11.8%10.0%-2.7%-22.9%-2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.8%9.9%15.3%0.5%3.6%-9.8%4.7%
Rev Chg Q-43.1%-1.9%17.0%25.3%4.7%-17.8%1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-13.9%-0.5%4.1%5.6%1.2%-4.8%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.7%9.3%15.9%10.9%10.1%22.6%10.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.0%9.2%14.5%9.2%10.8%6.8%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%-0.0%0.3%1.2%-0.3%29.6%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.5%9.4%12.1%8.6%11.2%9.2%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.9%6.0%11.1%8.3%9.7%8.7%8.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.4%7.3%10.7%6.7%9.3%6.6%7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.7%3.1%9.3%6.6%7.8%5.6%6.1%

Valuation

MLROSKFSSPLOWALGWNCMedian
NameMiller I.Oshkosh Federal .Douglas .Alamo Wabash N. 
Mkt Cap0.48.16.60.82.10.01.4
P/S0.60.83.51.21.40.01.0
P/EBIT11.68.522.510.713.80.011.1
P/E15.412.530.617.219.70.016.3
P/CFO12.18.529.113.512.60.012.4
Total Yield8.5%9.6%3.7%9.7%5.7%67,757.1%9.0%
Dividend Yield2.0%1.5%0.5%3.9%0.6%3,467.9%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%4.1%3.1%5.7%5.8%12,421.5%4.9%
D/E0.10.10.00.40.11,078.50.1
Net D/E0.00.10.00.4-0.0851.50.1

Returns

MLROSKFSSPLOWALGWNCMedian
NameMiller I.Oshkosh Federal .Douglas .Alamo Wabash N. 
1M Rtn6.9%3.9%2.3%11.8%7.4%25.5%7.1%
3M Rtn-3.1%-5.3%-12.3%4.0%-13.8%-13.2%-8.8%
6M Rtn-12.9%16.0%7.5%18.7%-19.0%-7.6%-0.0%
12M Rtn-44.3%31.5%15.1%37.9%-11.1%-46.8%2.0%
3Y Rtn47.2%56.0%153.5%9.2%28.1%-56.8%37.6%
1M Excs Rtn6.2%3.1%1.6%11.1%6.7%24.7%6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-8.0%-8.3%-15.4%-0.1%-16.1%-18.4%-11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-25.3%3.7%-4.9%6.3%-31.4%-19.9%-12.4%
12M Excs Rtn-56.8%17.4%3.1%26.2%-20.6%-58.8%-8.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-21.7%-16.1%70.6%-66.1%-48.6%-128.4%-35.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Towing and recovery equipment1,153848717651818
Total1,153848717651818


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity458,780
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.3%
Average Daily Volume98,685
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.65
Basic Shares Quantity11,446,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-4.4%-5.1%-7.2%
8/6/2025-4.3%4.7%0.6%
3/5/2025-15.3%-17.0%-26.0%
11/12/2024-10.4%-11.3%-6.2%
8/7/2024-2.6%-8.3%-6.3%
5/8/20244.9%9.8%3.9%
2/6/20245.5%4.1%23.7%
11/8/20234.9%5.6%8.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive61011
# Negative1398
Median Positive4.9%5.2%8.5%
Median Negative-3.2%-5.0%-9.4%
Max Positive7.4%11.4%23.7%
Max Negative-15.3%-17.0%-26.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021