Tearsheet

Alamo (ALG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $165.59 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Alamo (ALG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $165.59
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 6.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 6.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) stock moved approximately -21% from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Estimates. Alamo Group Inc. reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.34 for the third quarter of 2025, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates ranging from $2.61 to $2.66. This negative surprise, exceeding an 11% miss, prompted a negative market reaction with the stock declining by 4.12% on November 7, 2025.

2. Continued Weakness in the Vegetation Management Division. The company's Vegetation Management Division experienced a 9.0% decrease in net sales during Q3 2025, attributed to ongoing softness in its end markets. Management also highlighted operational challenges from facility consolidation and persistent market weakness that negatively impacted the division's margins and overall profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALG Return10%7%-3%49%-11%-10%37%
Peers Return18%16%7%37%29%24%222%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALG Win Rate58%58%33%67%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate63%55%45%53%62%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALG Max Drawdown-40%-1%-25%-1%-22%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-4%-23%-10%-4%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, FSS, GBX, CMI, PCAR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven234 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven261 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven632 days1480 days

Compare to CAT, FSS, GBX, CMI, PCAR


In The Past

Alamo's stock fell -33.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -33.4% loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alamo (ALG)

Better Bets than Alamo (ALG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ALG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020ALGAlamoDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
20.2%76.7%-12.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ALG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020ALGAlamoDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
20.2%76.7%-12.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alamo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALGCATFSSGBXCMIPCARMedian
NameAlamo Caterpil.Federal .Greenbri.Cummins PACCAR  
Mkt Price166.70599.15110.9246.52512.10108.38138.81
Mkt Cap2.0281.46.71.470.757.031.9
Rev LTM1,61563,1392,0553,24033,58129,53216,386
Op Inc LTM16411,5103273443,7543,3651,855
FCF LTM1507,740220-152,2783,1941,249
FCF 3Y Avg1288,349175-1251,5943,005884
CFO LTM18211,3732482663,5094,7171,887
CFO 3Y Avg16011,5172082222,7864,4501,504

Growth & Margins

ALGCATFSSGBXCMIPCARMedian
NameAlamo Caterpil.Federal .Greenbri.Cummins PACCAR  
Rev Chg LTM-2.7%-4.9%11.8%-8.6%-1.8%-15.2%-3.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.6%5.8%15.3%4.6%9.4%3.8%5.2%
Rev Chg Q4.7%-0.7%17.0%-27.9%-1.6%-19.0%-1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%-0.2%4.1%-8.3%-0.4%-5.0%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM10.1%18.2%15.9%10.6%11.2%11.4%11.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.8%18.8%14.5%8.2%10.4%14.4%12.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.9%0.3%-0.5%0.0%-1.0%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM11.2%18.0%12.1%8.2%10.4%16.0%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%17.8%11.1%6.4%8.3%13.7%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM9.3%12.3%10.7%-0.5%6.8%10.8%10.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.8%12.9%9.3%-3.3%4.8%9.2%8.5%

Valuation

ALGCATFSSGBXCMIPCARMedian
NameAlamo Caterpil.Federal .Greenbri.Cummins PACCAR  
Mkt Cap2.0281.46.71.470.757.031.9
P/S1.42.93.50.41.71.71.7
P/EBIT13.814.922.53.914.015.314.5
P/E19.719.330.67.021.919.219.5
P/CFO12.616.029.15.416.710.914.3
Total Yield5.7%6.7%3.7%17.1%6.3%9.6%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.6%1.5%0.5%2.8%1.8%4.4%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%5.4%3.1%-9.6%3.8%6.1%4.6%
D/E0.10.20.01.30.10.30.2
Net D/E-0.00.20.01.10.10.10.1

Returns

ALGCATFSSGBXCMIPCARMedian
NameAlamo Caterpil.Federal .Greenbri.Cummins PACCAR  
1M Rtn-4.6%9.4%-2.3%12.4%20.0%12.2%10.8%
3M Rtn-20.7%43.0%-11.1%-0.3%28.3%10.7%5.2%
6M Rtn-18.6%72.8%11.9%4.2%60.0%18.0%14.9%
12M Rtn-16.3%52.2%11.9%-30.0%38.1%-4.6%3.6%
3Y Rtn13.6%171.1%138.6%39.3%124.2%78.5%101.3%
1M Excs Rtn-5.9%8.2%-3.5%11.1%18.7%10.9%9.5%
3M Excs Rtn-26.0%36.2%-16.9%-6.4%22.8%4.0%-1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-34.0%57.4%-3.6%-11.2%44.5%2.6%-0.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.3%37.7%0.3%-43.6%25.0%-16.2%-7.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.1%94.9%64.9%-39.4%49.7%3.8%26.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Vegetation Management894867790  
Industrial Equipment516442416  
Agricultural   241290
Industrial   869923
Total1,4091,3091,2061,1091,213


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity447,725
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.8%
Average Daily Volume137,242
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.26
Basic Shares Quantity12,029,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021