Mount Logan Capital (MLCI)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $8.415 | Market Cap: $68.8 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Mount Logan Capital (MLCI)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $8.415Market Cap: $68.8 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -88% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -69% | Key risksMLCI key risks include [1] challenges integrating its recent strategic business combination and realizing anticipated synergies, Show more. | |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.3%, FCF Yield is 35% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -88% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -69% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.3%, FCF Yield is 35% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| Key risksMLCI key risks include [1] challenges integrating its recent strategic business combination and realizing anticipated synergies, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Market Response to Q3 2025 Financial Results and Nasdaq Listing: On November 13, 2025, Mount Logan Capital announced its Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. These results followed the completion of its business combination with 180 Degree Capital Corp and the commencement of its common stock trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market in September 2025, which likely enhanced the company's visibility and attracted broader investor interest. The stock experienced a 1.7% rise following this earnings release, indicating a positive market response despite a reported net loss.
2. Strategic Self-Tender Offer to Repurchase Common Stock: On December 29, 2025, Mount Logan Capital initiated a self-tender offer to repurchase up to $15 million of its common stock. This action typically signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and can lead to an increase in share price by reducing the number of outstanding shares. The offer was authorized at a premium to the market price, specifically at $9.43 per share compared to an $8.25 closing price on December 31, 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.8% change in MLCI stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 71.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 10312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.53 | 8.42 | 11.81% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 251.93 | 247.27 | -1.85% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.86 | 0.28 | -67.51% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28.67 | 8.17 | 71.48% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -45.32% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLCI | 11.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | -3.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.0% | 18.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLCI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.3% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLCI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | 4.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.9% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLCI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | 4.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 55.7% | 25.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MLCI Return | - | - | - | - | 3% | 4% | 7% |
| Peers Return | � | -22% | 68% | 57% | -8% | 2% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MLCI Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 33% | 72% | 77% | 45% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MLCI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -10% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -33% | -3% | -5% | -31% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: APO, BX, KKR, ARES, BAM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MLCI has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to APO, BX, KKR, ARES, BAM
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are two analogies to describe Mount Logan Capital (MLCI):
- A publicly traded alternative asset manager focused purely on credit, like a specialized division of Apollo Global Management.
- A specialty finance company that invests in corporate loans and other debt, similar to a publicly traded, broadly focused Oaktree Capital Management.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Alternative Asset Management: Mount Logan Capital provides investment management services focused on public and private credit strategies and other alternative asset classes.
- Credit Investing & Lending: The company engages in direct investment in, and origination of, various corporate loans and other credit instruments, often in the middle market.
- Collateralized Loan Obligation (CLO) Management: Mount Logan Capital acts as an investment manager for CLOs, actively selecting and managing portfolios of leveraged loans for investors.
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Mount Logan Capital (MLCI) operates as a specialty finance company, primarily investing in credit opportunities and managing Collateralized Loan Obligation (CLO) vehicles. As such, it sells primarily to other companies and institutional entities rather than individuals.
Due to the proprietary and confidential nature of its diversified credit portfolio and investment management services, Mount Logan Capital does not publicly disclose a list of specific "major customer companies." Its business model involves numerous transactions and investments rather than reliance on a few large, identifiable customers.
However, the company's "customer" base, representing the entities it transacts with, can be understood through the following categories:
- Borrower Companies: These are primarily U.S. middle-market companies, often private, across various industries, to which Mount Logan Capital provides senior secured loans and other credit-oriented investments. These companies are the recipients of MLCI's capital. Specific names are not publicly listed by MLCI due to confidentiality and the diversified nature of its portfolio.
- Institutional Investors: These are entities such as pension funds, insurance companies, asset managers, and other institutional clients that invest in Mount Logan Capital's managed credit products, particularly tranches of its Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs). These institutional investors are also corporate entities. Specific names of these investors are not publicly listed by MLCI.
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Edward Goldthorpe, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board
Edward Goldthorpe is a Partner and Head of BC Partners Credit. He co-founded and leads BC Partners Credit, joining in 2017. Prior to this, he served as President of Apollo Investment Corporation and Chief Investment Officer of Apollo Investment Management, where he oversaw the U.S. Opportunistic Platform. Before joining Apollo, Mr. Goldthorpe spent 13 years at Goldman Sachs, managing the bank loan distressed investing desk and serving as a Managing Director in the Special Situations Group, where he ran both their Middle Market Private Equity business and the Canadian business (CSSG). He has a pattern of managing companies and strategies backed by private equity firms, evidenced by his leadership roles at BC Partners Credit and Apollo Investment Management, and his involvement in the Special Situations Group's private equity activities at Goldman Sachs. He also serves on several boards, including Crescent Point Energy, KITS Eyecare, and Portman Ridge Corporation.
Nikita Klassen, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary
Nikita Klassen assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary at Mount Logan Capital Inc. on April 1, 2024. Her experience in the financial services industry includes various roles at Silicon Valley Bank, Galaxy Digital (TSX: GLXY), and American Express (NYSE: AXP), where her expertise spanned corporate finance, accounting, and strategic advisory. Ms. Klassen is a Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA, CA).
Henry Wang, President
Henry Wang joined BC Partners Credit in New York in 2017 as part of the founding team. Before that, he was a Partner at Stonerise Capital Partners for over five years. Mr. Wang also spent more than seven years at Goldman Sachs, contributing to both the Special Situations Group and the Investment Banking Division. He has also gained experience at Vulcan Capital and Thomas Weisel Partners.
David Held, Chief Compliance Officer
David Held serves as the Chief Compliance Officer (CCO) of Mount Logan Capital Inc. and has held the position of Chief Compliance Officer, Credit for BC Partners since 2021. Previously, Mr. Held was the Chief Compliance Officer with Lyxor Asset Management. His career also includes senior compliance positions at American Securities, AXA Investment Managers, and Bank of America.
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The key risks to Mount Logan Capital's business include:
- Risks Associated with the Strategic Business Combination: Mount Logan Capital recently completed a strategic business combination. This carries risks such as potential delays in the commencement of trading of shares, challenges in successfully integrating the businesses, the possibility that anticipated synergies may not be fully realized or may take longer than expected, and the risk of adverse effects on the market price of MLCI's shares. There is also the potential for litigation related to the business combination.
- Credit and Market Risks: As an alternative asset management and insurance solutions company focused on public and private debt securities, Mount Logan Capital is inherently exposed to credit risk. This involves the risk of potential credit losses on its loan, debt securities, and other credit-oriented instruments. Furthermore, the company faces market risk, particularly interest rate risk, which can lead to adverse changes in the fair value or future cash flows of its financial instruments, including fixed and variable interest rate debt investments and obligations to policyholders.
- Goodwill Impairment Risk: Goodwill constitutes a significant portion of Mount Logan Capital's total assets and undergoes annual impairment testing. The valuation of goodwill is highly sensitive to changes in critical assumptions such as future cash flow projections, discount rates, and growth rates. Consequently, there is a risk that goodwill may be overstated if the assumptions used in the impairment testing are not reasonable.
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Mount Logan Capital (symbol: MLCI) operates primarily in two main addressable markets: alternative asset management, focusing on public and private debt securities, and insurance solutions, particularly the reinsurance of annuity products.
For its alternative asset management and credit investment services:
- The global asset management industry reached a record-breaking $128 trillion in assets under management (AuM) in 2024.
- The global bond market, a significant component of debt securities, was estimated to be $119 trillion worldwide in 2021. The U.S. bond market alone accounted for approximately $46 trillion in 2021. Credit markets, which encompass bonds and bank loans, are considerably larger than the global equity market.
For its insurance solutions, specifically the reinsurance of annuity products, a distinct global or U.S. market size for annuity reinsurance was not readily available in the provided search results. However, Mount Logan Capital's insurance segment manages approximately $1.1 billion in total investment assets as of June 30, 2025, and aimed to reinsure $150 million of fixed annuities within six to twelve months following a November 2021 announcement.
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Mount Logan Capital (symbol: MLCI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Scaling Asset Management and Insurance Solutions Businesses: The company has expressed excitement about scaling its U.S. domiciled asset management and insurance solutions businesses, anticipating meaningful growth in 2026 and 2027. This organic growth will focus on building scale and stability, particularly through permanent capital vehicles in asset management and prudently managing policyholder obligations and assets to achieve positive spread earnings within the insurance solutions vertical. Management specifically expects strong Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) and Spread-Related Earnings (SRE) growth in 2026.
- Strategic Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) and Capital Deployment: Mount Logan Capital possesses a robust pipeline of acquisition opportunities aimed at scaling existing capital vehicles and enhancing retail product distribution capabilities. The company plans to deploy available cash and cash equivalents to fuel growth in its Asset Management and Insurance Solutions segments. Recent strategic moves, such as the re-domiciliation to the U.S. and NASDAQ listing, along with the integration of 180 Degree Capital, are intended to set the stage for this growth. The merger of Portman Ridge and Logan Ridge, creating BCP Investment Corporation, is also expected to improve earnings capacity.
- Deployment of Capital into Higher-Yielding Assets: Within its insurance segment, Mount Logan Capital anticipates an increase in its net investment spread to an annualized range of 75 to 100 basis points. This will be achieved by deploying capital into higher-yielding assets compared to its legacy investment portfolio, optimizing returns and enhancing spread-related earnings.
- Increased Retail Product Distribution Capabilities: A focus on increasing retail product distribution is a key part of the company's growth strategy, allowing it to reach a broader customer base for its financial products and services. This initiative is linked to its pipeline of acquisition opportunities.
- Accretive Profit Sharing Interests and Monetization of Legacy Assets: The company expects profit sharing interests, such as those arising from the Logan Ridge and Portman Ridge merger, to continue to be accretive to Fee-Related Earnings (FRE). Additionally, Mount Logan is systematically monetizing legacy 180 Degree Capital portfolio assets, with the intention of deploying the proceeds to support further growth initiatives.
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Share Repurchases
- Mount Logan Capital Inc. announced a tender offer to repurchase up to $15 million of its common stock at $9.43 per share, with the launch expected in early January 2026.
- This $15 million repurchase is part of a larger authorized tender offer program totaling up to $25.0 million, with an additional $10.0 million expected to be executed periodically over 24 months following the Business Combination.
- The tender offer price of $9.43 per share represents a 22.5% premium to the closing price on December 10, 2025, and an 8% discount to the company's book equity value as of September 30, 2025.
Share Issuance
- Mount Logan Capital Inc. completed an all-stock strategic Business Combination with 180 Degree Capital Corp. on September 12, 2025.
- Following the merger, approximately 13 million shares of new common stock were outstanding, with former Mount Logan and 180 Degree Capital shareholders owning approximately 56.4% and 43.6% of the combined company, respectively.
- As part of the merger, 180 Degree Capital shareholders received 0.56666201 shares of Mount Logan Capital Inc. for each share held.
Inbound Investments
- The strategic business combination with 180 Degree Capital Corp. in September 2025 expanded Mount Logan's platform and strengthened its balance sheet.
- Mount Logan recognized a $4.5 million gain on the acquisition of 180 Degree Capital, as the shares issued were valued less than the fair market value of the net assets acquired.
- The company's total capital increased by $28.2 million to $222.8 million at September 30, 2025, compared to December 31, 2024.
Outbound Investments
- Mount Logan acquired Ability Insurance Company in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2021.
- The company's strategy includes increasing Fee-Related Earnings by growing Assets Under Management (AUM) organically and through mergers and acquisitions, investing capital, and leveraging the contribution of Ability Insurance Company.
- Mount Logan actively sources, evaluates, underwrites, manages, monitors, and primarily invests in loans, debt securities, and other credit-oriented instruments in North American public and private credit markets.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mount Logan Capital
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 137.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 85.0 |
| Rev LTM | 8,366 |
| Op Inc LTM | 435 |
| FCF LTM | 3,112 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,563 |
| CFO LTM | 3,165 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,667 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 44.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance Solutions | 65 | -30 | 2 | |
| Asset Management | 16 | 12 | 9 | |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | ||
| Intersegment Adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Single Segment | 3 | |||
| Total | 81 | -18 | 12 | 3 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intersegment Adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Asset Management | -0 | 4 | -5 | |
| Insurance Solutions | -5 | 50 | 33 | |
| Corporate | -11 | -6 | ||
| Total | -16 | 48 | 29 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance Solutions | 1,626 | 1,486 | 1,317 | |
| Asset Management | 120 | 108 | 107 | |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | ||
| Intersegment Adjustments | -57 | -49 | -31 | |
| Total | 1,689 | 1,544 | 1,393 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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