Tearsheet

Medallion Financial (MFIN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.23 | Market Cap: $233.8 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance

Medallion Financial (MFIN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.23
Market Cap: $233.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Consumer Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 54%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 24.15
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Niche Financial Services. Themes include Specialty Small Business Lending, and Asset-Backed Consumer Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 54%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Niche Financial Services. Themes include Specialty Small Business Lending, and Asset-Backed Consumer Lending.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 24.15

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MFIN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Medallion Financial (MFIN) stock moved by -2% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Medallion Financial's Q3 2025 earnings included a non-recurring charge of $3.5 million. This charge was related to the redemption of Medallion Bank's series F preferred stock, which reduced the reported GAAP net income to $7.8 million, or $0.32 per share.

2. There was a notable decrease in home improvement loan originations. Home improvement loan originations declined to $59.7 million in the third quarter of 2025, down from $96.5 million in the same period a year prior, indicating a potential slowdown in this segment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MFIN Return-33%18%28%44%0%11%63%
Peers Return1%28%-29%33%27%24%92%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MFIN Win Rate42%50%50%58%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate57%50%28%40%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MFIN Max Drawdown-82%0%-2%-18%-29%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-34%-15%-15%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMFINS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven378 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven450.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven244.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1318 days1480 days

Compare to PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI


In The Past

Medallion Financial's stock fell -41.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/21/2022. A -41.7% loss requires a 71.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Medallion Financial (MFIN)

Better Bets than Medallion Financial (MFIN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MFIN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Medallion Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MFINPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameMedallio.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Price10.2317.092.02368.13227.2429.0723.08
Mkt Cap0.20.7-254.7145.234.034.0
Rev LTM2301,142470,42848,2313,3222,232
Op Inc LTM-207----207
FCF LTM124-62618,94420,845-3,17965
FCF 3Y Avg117-69-016,90421,063-4,67159
CFO LTM124-58621,13922,335-2,95165
CFO 3Y Avg117-65-018,80122,259-4,50659

Growth & Margins

MFINPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameMedallio.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM14.5%15.8%76.6%9.1%25.4%34.0%20.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.1%5.2%0.3%11.6%13.4%33.4%11.8%
Rev Chg Q11.0%1.4%250.4%10.8%54.4%38.6%24.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%0.4%49.0%2.6%12.7%8.8%5.7%
Op Mgn LTM-18.1%----18.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.4%----10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM53.8%-5.0%158.3%30.0%46.3%-88.8%38.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg57.9%-6.4%-15.0%29.2%55.1%-204.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM53.8%-5.4%158.3%26.9%43.2%-95.7%35.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg57.9%-6.9%-15.0%26.3%52.2%-211.1%9.7%

Valuation

MFINPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameMedallio.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.20.7-254.7145.234.034.0
P/S1.00.5-3.32.89.32.8
P/EBIT-2.5----2.5
P/E5.26.3-21.896.048.321.8
P/CFO1.9-10.1-10.96.1-10.51.9
Total Yield23.9%15.8%-4.6%2.0%2.1%4.6%
Dividend Yield4.6%0.0%-0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg62.8%-9.7%-10.7%36.3%-50.4%10.7%
D/E1.36.3-0.30.40.10.4
Net D/E1.05.9-0.0-0.1-0.10.0

Returns

MFINPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameMedallio.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
1M Rtn4.7%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%2.3%
3M Rtn-0.7%1.2%-67.1%14.0%3.1%18.7%2.2%
6M Rtn12.5%18.8%-25.0%18.6%116.0%18.8%
12M Rtn11.7%-16.6%-23.2%23.0%83.1%23.0%
3Y Rtn58.5%-50.5%-143.8%145.0%518.5%143.8%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%-4.6%-72.5%6.3%-4.6%9.2%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn-2.2%4.0%-10.3%3.9%101.3%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn0.5%-32.9%-8.6%6.3%63.6%6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.9%-121.8%-80.5%67.6%480.5%67.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Net Income by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Recreation4250523525
Taxi Medallion Lending170-1-58-24
Home Improvement7121264
Commercial Lending7-1512
Corporate and Other Investments-12-11-5-13-9
RPAC Racing, LLC  -432
Total615058-272


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Recreation1,2981,155896778707
Home Improvement745619372340253
Corporate and Other Investments422359459285248
Commercial Lending1111011048185
Taxi Medallion Lending122542125217
RPAC Racing, LLC   3432
Total2,5882,2601,8731,6421,542


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity900,530
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.0%
Average Daily Volume37,292
Days-to-Cover Short Interest24.15
Basic Shares Quantity22,854,836
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021