Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 594%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI for Debt Portfolio Optimization.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI for Debt Portfolio Optimization.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 594%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PRAA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for the stock movement of PRA (PRAA) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Mixed Financial Performance in Q2 2025. PRA Group's second-quarter 2025 results, announced on August 4, 2025, indicated strong estimated remaining collections (ERC) and double-digit cash collections growth. However, the company also reported a decreased full-year portfolio purchase target for 2025 compared to the previous year, presenting a balanced but not unequivocally positive outlook to investors.

2. Strategic Debt Offering. In September 2025, PRA Group conducted an offering of €300 million of 6.250% Senior Notes due 2032. This financing event can provide capital and support financial stability, but its immediate impact on stock price might have been neutral or led to modest, offsetting reactions as investors weighed the benefits of funding against the implications of new debt.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PRAA Return9%27%-33%-22%-20%-21%-54%
Peers Return-1%28%-28%47%38%35%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PRAA Win Rate58%75%33%50%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate56%44%27%38%48%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PRAA Max Drawdown-45%-17%-40%-64%-28%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-2%-32%-3%-11%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPRAAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven309.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven591 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven228.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven415 days1480 days

Compare to GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI


In The Past

PRA's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2022. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PRA (PRAA)

Better Bets than PRA (PRAA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PRAA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PRA

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NamePRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Price17.09-2.02368.13227.2429.0729.07
Mkt Cap0.7--254.7145.234.089.6
Rev LTM1,142-470,42848,2313,3223,322
Op Inc LTM207-----207
FCF LTM-62-618,94420,845-3,1796
FCF 3Y Avg-69--016,90421,063-4,671-0
CFO LTM-58-621,13922,335-2,9516
CFO 3Y Avg-65--018,80122,259-4,506-0

Growth & Margins

PRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NamePRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM15.8%-76.6%9.1%25.4%34.0%25.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%-0.3%11.6%13.4%33.4%11.6%
Rev Chg Q1.4%-250.4%10.8%54.4%38.6%38.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%-49.0%2.6%12.7%8.8%8.8%
Op Mgn LTM18.1%-----18.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.4%-----10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%------0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-5.0%-158.3%30.0%46.3%-88.8%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.4%--15.0%29.2%55.1%-204.8%-6.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.4%-158.3%26.9%43.2%-95.7%26.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.9%--15.0%26.3%52.2%-211.1%-6.9%

Valuation

PRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NamePRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.7--254.7145.234.089.6
P/S0.5--3.32.89.33.0
P/EBIT2.5-----2.5
P/E6.3--21.896.048.335.1
P/CFO-10.1--10.96.1-10.5-2.0
Total Yield15.8%--4.6%2.0%2.1%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%--0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.7%--10.7%36.3%-50.4%0.5%
D/E6.3--0.30.40.10.3
Net D/E5.9--0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

Returns

PRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NamePRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
1M Rtn16.7%--29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%1.8%
3M Rtn1.2%--67.1%14.0%3.1%18.7%3.1%
6M Rtn18.8%--25.0%18.6%116.0%21.9%
12M Rtn-16.6%--23.2%23.0%83.1%23.1%
3Y Rtn-50.5%--143.8%145.0%518.5%144.4%
1M Excs Rtn16.7%--29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-4.6%--72.5%6.3%-4.6%9.2%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn4.0%--10.3%3.9%101.3%7.2%
12M Excs Rtn-32.9%--8.6%6.3%63.6%7.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.8%--80.5%67.6%480.5%74.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Accounts Receivable Management (ARM)803967   
Changes in expected recoveries  198  
Other revenue  23  
Portfolio income  875  
Accounts receivable management   1,0651,017
Total8039671,0961,0651,017


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Accounts Receivable Management (ARM)4,525    
Total4,525    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity921,466
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202523.2%
Average Daily Volume550,890
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.67
Basic Shares Quantity39,323,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021