PRA (PRAA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.835 | Market Cap: $657.9 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
PRA (PRAA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.835Market Cap: $657.9 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI for Debt Portfolio Optimization. | Key risksPRAA key risks include [1] the challenge of profitably acquiring and collecting on nonperforming loan portfolios, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI for Debt Portfolio Optimization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2% |
| Key risksPRAA key risks include [1] the challenge of profitably acquiring and collecting on nonperforming loan portfolios, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRAA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
PRA (PRAA) experienced a negative stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, due to several key factors:
**1. Significant Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment Charge:** The company reported a substantial non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $413 million in the third quarter of 2025, resulting in a net loss of $408 million for the quarter. This impairment was specifically "triggered by the sustained decline in our stock price," indicating underlying market concerns and a negative trend in the stock prior to the announcement.
**2. Decreased Portfolio Purchases and Lower Full-Year Targets:** PRA Group's total portfolio purchases in the second quarter of 2025 were down 8.7% year-over-year, and the company set a lower target for full-year 2025 portfolio purchases compared to the previous year. This trend continued in the third quarter of 2025 with a 27% decrease in portfolio purchases compared to Q3 2024, reflecting a more selective acquisition approach or a challenging market for acquiring nonperforming loans.
**3. Rising Operating and Interest Expenses:** In the second quarter of 2025, operating expenses increased by 3.9% due to investments in areas such as call center offshoring and U.S. legal collections. Additionally, net interest expense rose by 12.6% due to higher debt balances. These increased costs can put pressure on profit margins and negatively affect investor sentiment.
**4. Underperformance Relative to Industry and Market:** Over the past year leading up to December 2025, PRA Group's stock underperformed both the broader U.S. market and the U.S. Consumer Finance industry. This consistent underperformance signals a lack of investor confidence compared to peers and general market trends, contributing to sustained downward pressure on the stock.
**5. Impact of a Broader Stock Price Decline Leading to Impairment:** The aforementioned goodwill impairment charge was a direct consequence of a "sustained decline in our stock price." This indicates that the stock had been experiencing negative pressure over a period, and the impairment served to formally recognize the financial impact of this existing decline on the company's balance sheet within the requested timeframe.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRAA Return | 9% | 27% | -33% | -22% | -20% | -19% | -53% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 74% | -21% | 29% | 9% | 24% | 139% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRAA Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 72% | 45% | 57% | 42% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRAA Max Drawdown | -45% | -17% | -40% | -64% | -28% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -59% | -9% | -36% | -12% | -17% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ECPG, NAVI, CACC, OMF, ENVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRAA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 309.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 591 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 228.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 415 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GFCX, AXP, COF, SYF, SOFI
In The Past
PRA's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2022. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRAA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PRA
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,916 |
| Op Inc LTM | 409 |
| FCF LTM | 682 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 836 |
| CFO LTM | 683 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 837 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 43.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 54.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 43.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 54.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 7.5 |
| P/E | 3.9 |
| P/CFO | 3.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 31.4% |
| D/E | 3.3 |
| Net D/E | 3.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 14.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -63.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accounts Receivable Management (ARM) | 803 | ||||
| Changes in expected recoveries | 169 | ||||
| Other revenue | 25 | ||||
| Portfolio income | 772 | ||||
| Accounts receivable management | 1,096 | 1,065 | 1,017 | ||
| Total | 803 | 967 | 1,096 | 1,065 | 1,017 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accounts Receivable Management (ARM) | 4,525 | ||||
| Total | 4,525 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -11.0% | 4.1% | 17.6% |
| 8/4/2025 | -0.4% | -2.3% | 8.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | -29.3% | -22.6% | -25.1% |
| 2/19/2025 | -4.2% | -8.6% | -13.7% |
| 11/4/2024 | 15.9% | 16.9% | 1.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | -8.9% | -3.6% | -6.0% |
| 5/6/2024 | -1.1% | 5.7% | -17.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | 14.2% | 7.2% | -6.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 4.1% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -5.9% | -9.2% |
| Max Positive | 32.1% | 24.5% | 49.2% |
| Max Negative | -29.3% | -22.6% | -25.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |