PRA (PRAA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.04 | Market Cap: $670.1 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
PRA (PRAA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.04Market Cap: $670.1 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 594% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI for Debt Portfolio Optimization. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI for Debt Portfolio Optimization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 594% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRAA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for the stock movement of PRA (PRAA) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Mixed Financial Performance in Q2 2025. PRA Group's second-quarter 2025 results, announced on August 4, 2025, indicated strong estimated remaining collections (ERC) and double-digit cash collections growth. However, the company also reported a decreased full-year portfolio purchase target for 2025 compared to the previous year, presenting a balanced but not unequivocally positive outlook to investors.
2. Strategic Debt Offering. In September 2025, PRA Group conducted an offering of €300 million of 6.250% Senior Notes due 2032. This financing event can provide capital and support financial stability, but its immediate impact on stock price might have been neutral or led to modest, offsetting reactions as investors weighed the benefits of funding against the implications of new debt.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRAA Return | 9% | 27% | -33% | -22% | -20% | -21% | -54% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 28% | -28% | 47% | 38% | 35% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRAA Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 44% | 27% | 38% | 48% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRAA Max Drawdown | -45% | -17% | -40% | -64% | -28% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -2% | -32% | -3% | -11% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRAA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 309.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 591 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 228.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 415 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI
In The Past
PRA's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2022. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRAA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PRA
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 29.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 89.6 |
| Rev LTM | 3,322 |
| Op Inc LTM | 207 |
| FCF LTM | 6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -0 |
| CFO LTM | 6 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -0 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 38.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 89.6 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 2.5 |
| P/E | 35.1 |
| P/CFO | -2.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 144.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 74.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accounts Receivable Management (ARM) | 803 | 967 | |||
| Changes in expected recoveries | 198 | ||||
| Other revenue | 23 | ||||
| Portfolio income | 875 | ||||
| Accounts receivable management | 1,065 | 1,017 | |||
| Total | 803 | 967 | 1,096 | 1,065 | 1,017 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accounts Receivable Management (ARM) | 4,525 | ||||
| Total | 4,525 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |