Sui (SUIG)
Market Price (2/16/2026): $1.22 | Market Cap: $74.6 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
Sui (SUIG)
Market Price (2/16/2026): $1.22Market Cap: $74.6 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 120% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, Decentralized Application Platforms, and Digital Asset Infrastructure. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 110% | |
| Key risksSUIG key risks include [1] intense competition from established networks that challenges widespread user and developer adoption and [2] concerns regarding validator centralization and token management transparency. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, Decentralized Application Platforms, and Digital Asset Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 120% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 110% |
| Key risksSUIG key risks include [1] intense competition from established networks that challenges widespread user and developer adoption and [2] concerns regarding validator centralization and token management transparency. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. SUI Group Holdings Limited (SUIG) reported a significant net loss in the third quarter of 2025, amounting to $44.3 million or $(0.72) per diluted share. This substantial loss, announced on November 12, 2025, included a non-cash unrealized loss of $60.7 million due to mark-to-market accounting adjustments on its SUI token holdings, which likely impacted investor confidence.
2. The stock experienced high volatility and negative sentiment tied to its cryptocurrency exposure and broader market weakness. SUI Group's value is closely linked to its SUI token holdings, which fluctuated significantly, for instance, decreasing from approximately $344 million in early November 2025 to about $196 million by January 7, 2026. This inherent volatility, coupled with general market pressures on small-cap and cryptocurrency-related stocks, contributed to the decline. Furthermore, $1.2 million in SUI investment outflows were reported in early February 2026, signaling weakened investor confidence in the crypto market.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -59.4% change in SUIG stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -90.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.98 | 1.21 | -59.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4 | 6 | 43.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.6 | 13.1 | 184.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 61 | -90.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -59.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SUIG | -59.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.0% | 31.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.4% | 23.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SUIG | ||
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.1% | 19.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SUIG | ||
| Market (SPY) | 14.3% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.4% | 19.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SUIG | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 47.7% | 19.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SUIG Return | - | - | - | - | -73% | -26% | -80% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -83% | 328% | 46% | -23% | -17% | -13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SUIG Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 20% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 30% | 62% | 43% | 50% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SUIG Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -73% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -84% | -19% | -46% | -43% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TWAV, MSTR, MARA, RIOT, CLSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
SUIG has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TWAV, MSTR, MARA, RIOT, CLSK
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Sui (SUIG)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sui is like the Microsoft for decentralized applications.
Sui is like Amazon Web Services (AWS) for Web3 developers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The symbol `SUIG` does not correspond to a recognized public company. However, if referring to the **Sui blockchain** developed by Mysten Labs, its major offerings can be described as:- Sui Blockchain Network: A high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed for speed, low cost, and developer-friendliness.
- Move Smart Contract Language: A secure, Rust-based programming language optimized for digital asset safety and concurrency on Sui.
- Object-Centric Model: An innovative architecture that allows parallel transaction execution for enhanced scalability and throughput.
- Decentralized Applications (dApps) Platform: Provides infrastructure for developers to build and deploy a wide range of decentralized applications and services.
- SUI Token: The native cryptocurrency used for transaction fees, staking, governance, and gas payments within the Sui ecosystem.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The symbol SUIG does not correspond to a public company named "Sui." "Sui" refers to a Layer 1 blockchain platform developed by Mysten Labs, which is a private company. Therefore, it is not a publicly traded entity with the symbol SUIG, and traditional customer identification based on public company financial reports is not applicable.
However, if we consider the primary users and participants within the Sui blockchain ecosystem, they can be categorized as follows:
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Developers and Decentralized Applications (dApps): This category includes companies, development teams, and individual builders who create and deploy decentralized applications, protocols, and services on the Sui blockchain. These entities utilize Sui's infrastructure, programming model (Move), and performance capabilities to build innovative Web3 products, such as games, DeFi platforms, NFT marketplaces, and social applications.
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Individual End-Users/Consumers: These are the individuals who interact directly with the decentralized applications and services built on the Sui network. They participate in Web3 games, utilize DeFi protocols, trade and collect NFTs, engage with social applications, and conduct transactions using the SUI token and other digital assets within the ecosystem.
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Validators and Infrastructure Providers: This category comprises entities, which can range from professional organizations and cloud providers to dedicated individuals, responsible for operating validator nodes. These validators secure the Sui network, process transactions, and maintain the integrity and decentralization of the blockchain, earning rewards for their contributions.
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Douglas M. Polinsky, Chief Executive Officer
Douglas M. Polinsky was appointed CEO of SUI Group Holdings Limited in January 2006, having co-founded the company, originally known as Mill City Ventures III, Ltd., on January 10, 2006. Under his leadership, the company initially focused on providing short-term specialty finance solutions. In August 2025, the company rebranded to SUI Group Holdings Limited (SUIG) and shifted its strategic focus to become a treasury vehicle directly tied to the Sui blockchain, trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market.
Joseph A. Geraci, II, Chief Financial Officer
Joseph A. Geraci, II serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer of SUI Group Holdings Limited. He co-founded the company, formerly Mill City Ventures III, Ltd., alongside Douglas M. Polinsky on January 10, 2006.
Marius Barnett, Chairman
Marius Barnett is the Chairman of SUI Group Holdings Limited. He has articulated a vision for establishing a "Sui Bank," with SUI Group expected to hold a significant ownership stake.
Stephen Mackintosh, Chief Investment Officer
Stephen Mackintosh is the Chief Investment Officer of SUI Group Holdings Limited. He described the company's rebranding as a pivotal moment, aligning its identity with the mission to be a leading, foundation-backed SUI treasury company. His strategy centers on the long-term accumulation and active use of SUI to advance the Sui network, including activities such as staking, lending, liquidity provision, and insurance services for SUI assets. Mackintosh was involved in leading the financing for SUIG's launch, with shares locked for 12 months to demonstrate a long-term commitment to the SUI ecosystem.
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The key risks to the public company Sui (symbol: SUIG) include:
- Intense Competition and User Adoption: Sui operates in a highly competitive blockchain landscape, vying for market share against established Layer 1 and Layer 2 networks such as Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche. These competitors often possess more extensive developer communities and greater liquidity, making it challenging for Sui to achieve widespread adoption and expand its ecosystem.
- Validator Centralization and Transparency Concerns: With a relatively small number of validators (113 as of November 2025), Sui's network exhibits a lower degree of decentralization compared to some rivals, which could elevate risks associated with potential collusion and diminish network resilience. Additionally, issues surrounding the transparency of unallocated SUI token management and insufficient disclosure of the circulating supply have raised questions regarding centralization within the network.
- SUI Token Price Volatility and Regulatory Uncertainty: As a public company whose value is linked to its underlying cryptocurrency, SUIG is significantly exposed to the inherent price volatility of the SUI token, which has experienced 30-day volatility ranging from 16-21%. Furthermore, the cryptocurrency sector as a whole is subject to an evolving and often unpredictable regulatory environment, which could adversely affect Sui's operations and market position.
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Sui Group Holdings (symbol: SUIG) operates within the addressable markets of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and Web3, primarily through its strategic management of SUI tokens, stablecoin issuance, and facilitating institutional adoption of decentralized financial products on the Sui blockchain.
For the **Decentralized Finance (DeFi) market** globally, the market size was estimated at USD 20.48 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 231.19 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.7% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate projects the global Decentralized Finance market size to reach USD 351.75 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 48.9% during the forecast period. North America held a significant share of the global DeFi market in 2024.
For the **Web3 market** globally, the market size is projected to cross USD 6.63 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 177.58 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 44.1% from 2024 to 2033. Other projections indicate the global Web3 blockchain market size was valued at USD 4.84 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 135.34 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 44.8% during the forecast period (2025-2033). North America dominated the Web3 market in 2024, holding a significant market share.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Sui Group Holdings (SUIG) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth of the SUI Treasury Strategy and Strategic Partnerships: Sui Group Holdings (SUIG) is actively building a foundation-backed digital asset treasury platform. This strategy involves leveraging its relationship with the Sui Foundation to generate revenue. A prime example is the strategic partnership with Bluefin, a decentralized exchange on the Sui blockchain, where SUIG lends 2 million SUI tokens and receives a 5.00% revenue share from Bluefin, payable in SUI. This arrangement is anticipated to create a durable earnings stream and deliver enhanced returns compared to traditional staking.
- Accelerated Institutional Adoption of the Sui Blockchain: SUIG plans to use its extensive network within traditional finance to encourage institutional market participants, such as hedge funds and asset managers, to adopt Bluefin's trading and lending products on the Sui blockchain. This focus on bridging traditional finance with blockchain is expected to drive the entry of new institutional capital into on-chain markets, leading to new partnerships and revenue-generating opportunities for SUIG. Increased institutional involvement is also projected to enhance liquidity and credibility within the Sui ecosystem, benefiting SUIG's treasury strategy.
- Expansion of the Sui Blockchain Ecosystem (User and Developer Growth): The overall growth of the Sui blockchain's user base and developer activity is a significant indirect driver for SUIG. Sui has experienced a substantial increase in user adoption, becoming one of the most active blockchains by daily users, with new wallet creations rapidly expanding and surpassing 50 million registered accounts. Concurrently, developer adoption is rising, fueled by initiatives like an AI-assisted Move coding assistant that led to a 40% increase in developer activity. This burgeoning ecosystem, characterized by more decentralized applications (dApps), increased transaction volumes, and a surging Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi (from $200 million to over $1.5 billion by May 2025), enhances the value of SUIG's SUI treasury and creates a fertile ground for new services and partnerships.
- Growth in Web3 Gaming and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Sectors on Sui: Sui is strategically positioning itself as a leading blockchain for Web3 gaming and has seen remarkable growth in the DeFi sector. The network is attracting numerous gaming studios, with over 65 building on Sui and 70 new games slated for release in 2025. Its handheld device, SuiPlay0X1, has already sold out preorders, and its flagship game shows strong user engagement. In DeFi, Sui has emerged as the fastest-growing major blockchain, with its TVL soaring by 9.17% to reach $1.58 billion. This dedicated focus on high-growth segments of the blockchain industry is expected to drive increased network activity and demand for the SUI token, which, in turn, will positively impact SUIG's digital asset treasury and open avenues for new revenue streams.
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Share Repurchases
- SUI Group Holdings Limited completed a $2 million stock repurchase program between September 10 and September 12, 2025, repurchasing approximately 318,743 shares at an average price of $4.30 per share.
- The company's Board of Directors authorized a new stock repurchase program to acquire up to an additional $50 million of common stock.
- Under this new $50 million program, approximately 276,296 shares were repurchased between September 15 and September 18, 2025, at an average price of $4.37 per share.
Share Issuance
- In 2025, the company, formerly known as Mill City Ventures III, Ltd., executed a $450 million private placement, selling 83,025,830 shares to institutional investors, including Karatage Opportunities, to initiate its SUI treasury strategy.
- Sui Group Holdings Ltd. amended its Articles of Incorporation in September 2025, increasing its authorized capital stock from 111,111,111 shares to 2,000,000,000 shares, a decision approved by shareholders on September 15, 2025.
Inbound Investments
- SUI Group Holdings Limited secured $450 million through a private placement from institutional investors in 2025, which primarily funded its strategic pivot to a SUI blockchain treasury strategy.
Outbound Investments
- SUI Group Holdings Limited initiated a strategic pivot to a SUI treasury strategy in late July 2025, focusing on the accumulation and management of SUI tokens.
- As of September 30, 2025, the company held 105,393,692.55 SUI tokens, acquired for an aggregate purchase price of approximately $381.5 million.
- Substantially all of the company's SUI tokens are actively staked, generating an approximate 2.2% annual yield, amounting to an estimated daily yield of $20,000 as of September 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- SUI Group Holdings Limited reported $0 in Capital Expenditures.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 556 |
| Op Inc LTM | -167 |
| FCF LTM | -1,184 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -798 |
| CFO LTM | -283 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -132 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 60.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 34.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 51.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -50.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -57.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -76.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -48.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -143.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -155.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 2.4 |
| P/E | 1.5 |
| P/CFO | -4.4 |
| Total Yield | -3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -33.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -28.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -33.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -56.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -56.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 74.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -42.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -62.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -68.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.9% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | -4.0% | -11.1% | -16.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -11.1% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | -4.0% | -11.1% | -16.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/17/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/22/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 04/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/18/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/14/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zipkin, Laurence S | Direct | Buy | 5212025 | 1.82 | 2,455 | 4,468 | 331,058 | Form | |
| 2 | Zipkin, Laurence S | Direct | Buy | 3142025 | 1.88 | 5,500 | 10,340 | 312,383 | Form | |
| 3 | Zipkin, Laurence S | Direct | Buy | 3142025 | 1.91 | 13,284 | 25,412 | 343,269 | Form | |
| 4 | Polinsky, Douglas Michael | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 3142025 | 1.92 | 10,000 | 19,200 | 598,746 | Form |
| 5 | Polinsky, Douglas Michael | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 3142025 | 1.95 | 5,400 | 10,512 | 617,574 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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