Tearsheet

Tyson Foods (TSN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $56.62 | Market Cap: $20.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Tyson Foods (TSN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $56.62
Market Cap: $20.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TSN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Tyson Foods (TSN) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report. Tyson Foods released its Q4 and fiscal year 2025 results on November 10, 2025, reporting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.15, which exceeded analysts' consensus estimates of $0.85. However, quarterly revenue of $13.86 billion, while up 2.2% year-over-year, fell slightly below the consensus estimate of $14.08 billion.

2. Strategic Beef Segment Restructuring. On November 21, 2025, Tyson Foods announced plans to close its Lexington, Nebraska beef processing plant and reduce operations at its Amarillo, Texas facility. This decision, aimed at addressing rising processing costs and persistent losses in the beef segment due to historically low cattle supplies, was seen by the market as a positive strategic move to "right size" the business, leading to a significant one-day gain for the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSN Return-27%38%-27%-10%10%3%-25%
Peers Return7%2%-14%-15%12%-24%-33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSN Win Rate33%67%42%58%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%52%43%53%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSN Max Drawdown-51%-2%-29%-26%-4%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-17%-27%-31%-17%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, HRL, PPC, CAG, BYND. See TSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven667 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven447.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1547 days1480 days

Compare to K, HRL, PPC, CAG, BYND


In The Past

Tyson Foods's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2022. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Tyson Foods (TSN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
TSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020TSNTyson FoodsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
3.2%31.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
TSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020TSNTyson FoodsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
3.2%31.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tyson Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
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Growth & Margins

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
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Valuation

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
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Returns

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,435,477
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.9%
Average Daily Volume3,736,284
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.53
Basic Shares Quantity355,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025804202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024203202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241112202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231113202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023508202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022808202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022509202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021207202210-Q 1/1/2022
93020211115202110-K 10/2/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data