Tearsheet

Tyson Foods (TSN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $58.5 | Market Cap: $20.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Tyson Foods (TSN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $58.5
Market Cap: $20.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 41x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more.
  Key risks
TSN key risks include [1] significant legal exposure from ongoing class-action lawsuits and federal investigations related to alleged price-fixing, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 41x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
6 Key risks
TSN key risks include [1] significant legal exposure from ongoing class-action lawsuits and federal investigations related to alleged price-fixing, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TSN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Tyson Foods' (TSN) stock movement: 1. Better-than-Expected Third Quarter 2025 Earnings. Tyson Foods reported stronger-than-anticipated results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91 exceeding the consensus projection of $0.81, and revenue climbing 4% to $13.88 billion, surpassing the $13.54 billion forecast. This positive financial performance led to a notable increase in the stock price.

2. Strong Operational Performance and Profitability Improvement. The company demonstrated robust operational execution, achieving a 3% increase in adjusted operating income, which reached $505 million. This improvement was attributed to the strength of its diverse multi-protein portfolio and a focus on operational excellence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSN Return-27%38%-27%-10%10%5%-24%
Peers Return-14%20%-2%-10%9%7%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSN Win Rate33%67%42%58%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate46%52%56%46%52%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSN Max Drawdown-51%-2%-29%-26%-4%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-7%-14%-21%-13%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HRL, PPC, CAG, SEB. See TSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven667 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven447.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,547 days1,480 days

Compare to K, GIS, PPC, CAG, BYND


In The Past

Tyson Foods's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2022. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tyson Foods (TSN)

Better Bets than Tyson Foods (TSN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%
TSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020TSNTyson FoodsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
3.2%31.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%
TSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020TSNTyson FoodsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
3.2%31.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tyson Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TSNHRLPPCCAGSEBMedian
NameTyson Fo.Hormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Seaboard  
Mkt Price58.5023.9939.6117.924,332.7339.61
Mkt Cap19.313.69.48.64.29.4
Rev LTM54,44112,10618,35211,4509,81812,106
Op Inc LTM1,4418951,7491,3482881,348
FCF LTM1,1775348291,141115829
FCF 3Y Avg8167746741,133119774
CFO LTM2,1558451,4301,5446801,430
CFO 3Y Avg2,1661,0531,2091,5206361,209

Growth & Margins

TSNHRLPPCCAGSEBMedian
NameTyson Fo.Hormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Seaboard  
Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.6%1.8%-4.1%10.3%1.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.7%-0.9%1.9%-0.9%-3.4%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q2.2%1.5%3.8%-5.8%14.5%2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%0.4%1.0%-1.4%3.4%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM2.6%7.4%9.5%11.8%2.9%7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.0%8.2%6.5%15.1%1.4%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.5%-0.3%-0.7%0.4%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM4.0%7.0%7.8%13.5%6.9%7.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.0%8.8%6.7%12.8%6.6%6.7%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%4.4%4.5%10.0%1.2%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%6.4%3.7%9.6%1.1%3.7%

Valuation

TSNHRLPPCCAGSEBMedian
NameTyson Fo.Hormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Seaboard  
Mkt Cap19.313.69.48.64.29.4
P/S0.41.10.50.80.40.5
P/EBIT--5.55.77.25.7
P/E40.728.57.910.38.810.3
P/CFO8.916.16.85.75.16.8
Total Yield4.3%8.2%17.9%17.3%11.5%11.5%
Dividend Yield1.8%4.6%5.2%7.6%0.2%4.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.6%9.5%2.3%5.6%
D/E--0.30.90.50.5
Net D/E--0.30.90.20.3

Returns

TSNHRLPPCCAGSEBMedian
NameTyson Fo.Hormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Seaboard  
1M Rtn11.1%7.7%6.4%4.7%7.3%7.3%
3M Rtn9.1%-2.4%-6.4%-3.2%11.4%-2.4%
6M Rtn9.6%-18.7%-13.7%-13.4%55.5%-13.4%
12M Rtn2.0%-22.2%-11.7%-31.3%70.9%-11.7%
3Y Rtn5.0%-41.7%90.8%-45.0%14.4%5.0%
1M Excs Rtn10.4%6.9%5.7%3.9%6.6%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn7.9%-4.0%-5.6%-3.8%10.5%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-2.8%-31.1%-26.1%-25.8%43.1%-25.8%
12M Excs Rtn-10.9%-35.2%-21.6%-43.2%59.5%-21.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.8%-112.0%15.5%-114.1%-56.7%-67.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Beef20,47919,32519,85417,99915,742
Chicken16,42517,06016,96113,73313,234
Prepared Foods9,8519,8459,6898,8538,532
Pork5,9035,7686,4146,2775,128
International/Other2,3532,5152,3551,9901,856
Intersegment Sales-1,702-1,632-1,991-1,803-1,307
Total53,30952,88153,28247,04943,185


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Chicken988-770955-625122
Prepared Foods8798237461,456743
Intersegment Sales0    
International/Other-37-21814-3-2
Pork-40-139193328565
Beef-381-912,5023,2401,580
Total1,409-3954,4104,3963,008


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Prepared Foods15,13815,19814,92014,63014,883
Chicken12,12112,14312,38611,37311,028
International/Other4,5413,4423,9355,0453,806
Beef3,7303,7723,8833,6783,223
Pork1,5701,6961,6971,5831,516
Intersegment Sales0    
Total37,10036,25136,82136,30934,456


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,670,064
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202513.1%
Average Daily Volume3,474,193
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.07
Basic Shares Quantity355,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20252.3%2.5%10.4%
8/4/20252.4%8.6%8.6%
5/5/2025-7.7%-9.0%-7.4%
2/3/20252.2%2.6%8.0%
11/12/20246.5%9.7%6.1%
8/5/20242.1%0.8%6.7%
5/6/2024-5.7%-3.8%-7.7%
2/5/20242.0%-6.7%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131213
# Negative111211
Median Positive2.3%2.5%8.0%
Median Negative-5.7%-4.1%-7.4%
Max Positive12.2%15.2%10.4%
Max Negative-16.4%-19.5%-22.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-K 9/27/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024203202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241112202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231113202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023508202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022808202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022509202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021207202210-Q 1/1/2022

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data