Campbell's (CPB)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $28.87 | Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Campbell's (CPB)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $28.87Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CPB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Campbell's (CPB) stock moved by approximately -8.9% from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:
1. Disappointing First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings. Campbell's reported a 3% decrease in net sales and a 1% decline in organic net sales for the first quarter ended November 2, 2025, compared to the prior year. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) decreased by 13%, primarily due to lower adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT). The company's adjusted gross profit also fell, with gross margins declining 150 basis points to 29.9%, reaching their lowest level since 2002.
2. Weakened Consumer Spending and Inflationary Pressures. The company continued to face challenges from high inflation and increasing price awareness among consumers, leading to lower volumes in both its Meals and Beverages and Snacks segments. Consumers have been pulling back on purchases due to rising prices, and the Snacks business, in particular, has experienced category softness and declining consumption. This overall weakness in consumer spending across the food sector has weighed on Campbell's performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPB Return | 1% | -7% | 35% | -21% | 0% | -29% | -30% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 14% | 14% | -6% | 3% | -8% | 25% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPB Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 83% | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 52% | 55% | 47% | 48% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPB Max Drawdown | -16% | -15% | -3% | -31% | -5% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -9% | -9% | -18% | -9% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KHC, GIS, MDLZ, PEP, K. See CPB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 982 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1426 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PEP, TSN, HRL, CAG, LW
In The Past
Campbell's's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CPB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.7% | -5.7% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.9% | 12.9% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.2% | -13.5% | -15.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.7% | -5.7% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.9% | 12.9% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.2% | -13.5% | -15.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Campbell's
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 29.0 |
| Rev LTM | 22,160 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,738 |
| FCF LTM | 2,193 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,674 |
| CFO LTM | 3,134 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,534 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 29.0 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 15.1 |
| P/E | 18.8 |
| P/CFO | 13.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -14.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -20.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -95.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/9/2025 | -5.2% | ||
| 9/3/2025 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| 6/2/2025 | 0.6% | 1.3% | -6.9% |
| 3/5/2025 | -2.9% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
| 12/3/2024 | -6.2% | -4.4% | -7.5% |
| 8/29/2024 | -1.8% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
| 6/5/2024 | -0.2% | -2.4% | 3.0% |
| 3/6/2024 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 3.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -4.4% | -5.8% |
| Max Positive | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Max Negative | -8.9% | -13.6% | -9.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12092025 | 10-Q 11/2/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9182025 | 10-K 8/3/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6022025 | 10-Q 4/27/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3052025 | 10-Q 1/26/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 10-Q 10/27/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9192024 | 10-K 7/28/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/28/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3062024 | 10-Q 1/28/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 10-Q 10/29/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9212023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6072023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3082023 | 10-Q 1/29/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/30/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9222022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-Q 5/1/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3092022 | 10-Q 1/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
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