Campbell's (CPB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.92 | Market Cap: $8.9 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Campbell's (CPB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.92Market Cap: $8.9 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CPB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting factors that contributed to Campbell's (CPB) stock movement, which saw an approximate -5.4% change between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Lower Fiscal Year 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance: Campbell's projected an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) decline of 12% to 18% for fiscal year 2026, signaling a challenging outlook for future profitability.
2. Expected Negative Impact from Tariffs: The company anticipates an approximate 4% impact on product costs due to tariffs in fiscal year 2026, which could pressure margins.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPB Return | 1% | -7% | 35% | -21% | 0% | -25% | -26% |
| Peers Return | -2% | 9% | 7% | -8% | -6% | -12% | -14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPB Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 83% | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 47% | 60% | 50% | 47% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPB Max Drawdown | -16% | -15% | -3% | -31% | -5% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -15% | -16% | -21% | -16% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PEP, TSN, HRL, CAG, LW. See CPB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 982 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1426 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PEP, TSN, HRL, CAG, LW
In The Past
Campbell's's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CPB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.2% | -10.0% | -10.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.2% | -10.0% | -10.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Campbell's
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9182025 | 10-K 8/3/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6022025 | 10-Q 4/27/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3052025 | 10-Q 1/26/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 10-Q 10/27/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9192024 | 10-K 7/28/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/28/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3062024 | 10-Q 1/28/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 10-Q 10/29/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9212023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6072023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3082023 | 10-Q 1/29/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/30/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9222022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-Q 5/1/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3092022 | 10-Q 1/30/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12082021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |