Tearsheet

LSB Industries (LXU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.41 | Market Cap: $677.2 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Commodity Chemicals

LSB Industries (LXU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.41
Market Cap: $677.2 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Commodity Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Hydrogen Infrastructure, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Hydrogen Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LXU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 15.5% stock movement for LSB Industries (LXU) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.

LSB Industries reported robust financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.10, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.07. Net sales reached $155.4 million, also surpassing the forecasted $141.58 million. This strong earnings beat signaled a positive financial trajectory for the company. 2. Significant Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA.

The company demonstrated a substantial improvement in its adjusted EBITDA, which rose to $40.1 million in the third quarter of 2025 from $17.5 million in the same period of 2024. This growth was primarily attributed to higher pricing and increased sales volumes across its product lines.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LXU Return-19%324%20%-30%-18%25%193%
Peers Return14%22%-7%30%9%-22%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LXU Win Rate50%75%33%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%50%50%52%50%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LXU Max Drawdown-75%-4%-15%-41%-24%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-12%-23%-6%-22%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLXUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven303.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven209 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-75.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven301.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven807 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven312.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven782 days1480 days

Compare to MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN


In The Past

LSB Industries's stock fell -70.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -70.8% loss requires a 241.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LSB Industries (LXU)

Better Bets than LSB Industries (LXU)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LXU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LSB Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LXUMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameLSB Indu.Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
Mkt Price9.6137.35-23.76137.0710.6123.76
Mkt Cap0.72.9-16.92.81.82.8
Rev LTM5853,569040,9131,0455,7802,307
Op Inc LTM24516-1472121-2472
FCF LTM-39280-1,1207919939
FCF 3Y Avg53515-90389126126
CFO LTM821,05701,562123366244
CFO 3Y Avg129803-3,645133332332

Growth & Margins

LXUMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameLSB Indu.Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
Rev Chg LTM12.5%-3.4%2,000.0%-5.3%11.9%-3.5%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.6%-7.7%--11.3%5.3%-11.5%-10.6%
Rev Chg Q42.3%-0.8%653.9%-8.3%13.5%-5.2%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.6%-0.2%45.2%-2.2%3.3%-1.4%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM4.1%14.4%-392.0%1.2%11.6%-0.4%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.9%9.5%-3.5%11.4%1.2%7.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.1%0.8%-54.6%-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM13.9%29.6%15.6%3.8%11.8%6.3%12.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.0%21.9%-8.3%13.8%5.5%13.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.5%26.0%15.6%-2.7%7.5%3.4%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%14.2%-1.9%9.2%2.1%7.7%

Valuation

LXUMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameLSB Indu.Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
Mkt Cap0.72.9-16.92.81.82.8
P/S1.00.9-0.43.60.30.9
P/EBIT18.85.7-138.331.0-12.818.8
P/E-848.914.4--14.445.6-4.7-4.7
P/CFO7.02.9-10.430.84.27.0
Total Yield-0.1%8.6%-3.7%2.5%-9.9%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%-10.6%0.3%11.3%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.1%17.3%-1.2%4.6%5.7%5.7%
D/E0.91.2-1.20.11.51.2
Net D/E0.61.0-0.90.11.20.9

Returns

LXUMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameLSB Indu.Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
1M Rtn13.9%0.4%-3.8%5.3%32.5%5.3%
3M Rtn16.3%6.2%-0.8%-17.6%0.4%0.8%
6M Rtn21.8%13.6%--13.5%2.8%-3.4%2.8%
12M Rtn6.3%-19.6%--41.8%0.4%-42.4%-19.6%
3Y Rtn-35.4%2.8%--44.9%236.1%-56.6%-35.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.9%0.4%-3.8%5.3%32.5%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn11.8%-4.2%--4.5%-24.0%-6.9%-4.5%
6M Excs Rtn7.1%-1.1%--28.2%-11.9%-18.2%-11.9%
12M Excs Rtn-4.7%-32.4%--55.8%-11.1%-55.3%-32.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-106.9%-73.2%--115.4%163.6%-128.2%-106.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ammonium nitrate (AN) & Nitric Acid222316229  
Ammonia167284155  
Urea ammonium Nitrate (UAN)154239124  
Other516348  
Agricultural products   180188
Industrial products   133140
Mining products   3838
Total594902556351365


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,517,456
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.8%
Average Daily Volume433,404
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.50
Basic Shares Quantity71,963,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021