LiveWire (LVWR)
Market Price (2/15/2026): $2.67 | Market Cap: $544.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
LiveWire (LVWR)
Market Price (2/15/2026): $2.67Market Cap: $544.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -83 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -331% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -269%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -286% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 211% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 24.2 | ||
| Key risksLVWR key risks include [1] a high rate of cash burn and persistent operating losses that challenge its financial sustainability, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -83 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -331% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -269%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -286% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 211% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 24.2 |
| Key risksLVWR key risks include [1] a high rate of cash burn and persistent operating losses that challenge its financial sustainability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
LiveWire (LVWR) stock has lost about 50% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued Significant Unprofitability and Reliance on External Funding
Despite LiveWire reporting narrower net losses for both the fourth quarter and full year 2025, the company remains substantially unprofitable, projecting an operating loss between $70 million and $80 million for the full year 2026. This ongoing cash burn necessitates external financing, as evidenced by the launch of an At-The-Market (ATM) offering to raise up to $50 million through share issuance and a $75 million convertible term loan from majority shareholder Harley-Davidson. The need for such capital raises indicates a lack of self-sufficiency and can lead to concerns about potential dilution for existing shareholders.
2. Weak Revenue Performance in the Core Electric Motorcycle Segment
While LiveWire reported an increase in overall consolidated revenue units for 2025, the revenue from its Electric Motorcycle segment actually decreased for the full year 2025, despite a 7% increase in unit sales. This revenue decline was attributed to increased incentives implemented to drive demand in the market, suggesting pricing pressures and challenges in converting unit volume into profitable top-line growth.
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1. Continued Significant Unprofitability and Reliance on External Funding
Despite LiveWire reporting narrower net losses for both the fourth quarter and full year 2025, the company remains substantially unprofitable, projecting an operating loss between $70 million and $80 million for the full year 2026. This ongoing cash burn necessitates external financing, as evidenced by the launch of an At-The-Market (ATM) offering to raise up to $50 million through share issuance and a $75 million convertible term loan from majority shareholder Harley-Davidson. The need for such capital raises indicates a lack of self-sufficiency and can lead to concerns about potential dilution for existing shareholders.
2. Weak Revenue Performance in the Core Electric Motorcycle Segment
While LiveWire reported an increase in overall consolidated revenue units for 2025, the revenue from its Electric Motorcycle segment actually decreased for the full year 2025, despite a 7% increase in unit sales. This revenue decline was attributed to increased incentives implemented to drive demand in the market, suggesting pricing pressures and challenges in converting unit volume into profitable top-line growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -51.1% change in LVWR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.48 | 2.68 | -51.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 24 | 25 | 5.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 46.8 | 21.8 | -53.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 204 | 204 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -51.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LVWR | -51.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.0% | 36.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.2% | 27.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -28.5% change in LVWR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.75 | 2.68 | -28.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 24 | 25 | 2.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 31.3 | 21.8 | -30.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203 | 204 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -28.5% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LVWR | -28.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 38.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.1% | 32.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.9% change in LVWR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.15 | 2.68 | -14.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31 | 25 | -19.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 20.7 | 21.8 | 5.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203 | 204 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LVWR | -14.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.3% | 24.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.7% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -57.4% change in LVWR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.29 | 2.68 | -57.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 25 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 21.8 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 161 | 204 | -21.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LVWR | -57.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 22.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.0% | 22.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LVWR Return | - | -41% | 133% | -57% | -8% | -47% | -72% |
| Peers Return | 71% | -45% | 15% | -13% | -4% | -8% | -16% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LVWR Win Rate | - | 25% | 75% | 17% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 35% | 47% | 43% | 47% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LVWR Max Drawdown | - | -49% | 0% | -60% | -79% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -54% | -29% | -43% | -41% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HOG, PII, TSLA, RIVN, LCID.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LVWR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 163 days | 464 days |
Compare to HOG, PII, TSLA, RIVN, LCID
In The Past
LiveWire's stock fell -56.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/4/2022. A -56.4% loss requires a 129.3% gain to breakeven.
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About LiveWire (LVWR)
N/A
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for LiveWire (LVWR):
- Tesla for motorcycles
- Polestar for motorcycles
AI Analysis | Feedback
- LiveWire ONE: A premium, performance-oriented electric motorcycle designed for an exhilarating riding experience.
- LiveWire S2 Del Mar: A middleweight electric street tracker known for its agile handling and urban performance.
- LiveWire S2 Mulholland: A cruiser-style electric motorcycle emphasizing a relaxed riding posture and distinctive design.
AI Analysis | Feedback
LiveWire (LVWR) Major Customers
LiveWire (LVWR) primarily sells electric motorcycles directly to individual consumers. As such, it does not have major B2B customer companies in the traditional sense. The company distributes its products through a network of LiveWire brand dealerships and select Harley-Davidson dealerships, which serve as retail points for the end consumers. The categories of individual customers that LiveWire serves include:- Early Adopters and Tech Enthusiasts: Individuals who are drawn to innovative technology, sustainable transportation solutions, and being among the first to experience new electric vehicle performance and design. These customers value the advanced features, instant torque, and quiet operation of electric motorcycles.
- Urban Commuters and Style-Conscious Riders: Riders who are looking for a modern, efficient, and stylish mode of transport for city riding and short-to-medium distance trips. They appreciate the ease of use (no clutch, no gears), sleek aesthetics, and reduced environmental impact for their daily commutes and leisure rides.
- Existing Motorcycle Riders Transitioning to Electric: Experienced motorcyclists, potentially including those familiar with the Harley-Davidson brand, who are open to or actively seeking an electric alternative to traditional gasoline-powered motorcycles. They may be motivated by lower maintenance, a different riding experience, or environmental considerations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)
- Panasonic Holdings Corporation (PCRFY)
- Brembo S.p.A. (BRBI.MI)
- Michelin (ML.PA)
- Showa Corporation
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Karim Donnez, Chief Executive Officer
Appointed CEO in June 2023, Karim Donnez previously served as President of Marine Group at BRP Inc. from May 2022 to 2023, holding various leadership roles at BRP since 2015, including SVP, Strategy, Business Development and Transformation. Before joining BRP, he held leadership positions at Rio Tinto, where he oversaw business transformation initiatives, and began his career at Accenture.
Jennifer Hoover, Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer
Ms. Hoover has been LiveWire's Head Accounting Officer since July 2025. Prior to this role, she was the Director of Financial Reporting and Accounting at LiveWire, starting in August 2023. Before joining LiveWire, Ms. Hoover spent 25 years at PricewaterhouseCoopers from 1998 to 2023, where her last position was Director.
Ryan Morrissey, President, LiveWire EV LLC
Mr. Morrissey serves as President of LiveWire EV LLC. He previously held the position of Chief Electric Vehicle Officer at Harley-Davidson, Inc. from 2020 to 2022. Before his time at Harley-Davidson, he was a Senior Partner and head of the Automotive & Mobility practice in the Americas at Bain & Company, a private equity firm, where he led strategies for growth and M&A, and advised investment firms on mobility acquisitions.
Ryan Ragland, Head of Product Development and Design
Ryan Ragland leads innovative product and design strategies at LiveWire. In 2016, he co-founded StaCyc, which introduced the first electric balance bike for young riders. Following StaCyc's acquisition by Harley-Davidson in 2019, Mr. Ragland continued in a leadership role as CEO and Chief of Brand and Product for StaCyc.
Jon Bekefy, Head of Global Sales & Marketing
Prior to LiveWire, Mr. Bekefy served as the GM of Global Brand Marketing for Harley-Davidson from 2019 to 2021. He also played a key role in marketing leadership at electric vehicle start-ups, including Alta Motors (2015-2017) and Mission Motors (2013-2015).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to LiveWire (LVWR)
- Slow Electric Vehicle (EV) Adoption and Macroeconomic Headwinds: LiveWire faces significant challenges due to the slower-than-expected adoption of electric vehicles, particularly in the United States. This is compounded by macroeconomic pressures such as high interest rates and inflation, which are dampening consumer confidence and discretionary spending. These factors directly impact LiveWire's sales volumes and its timeline to achieve profitability.
- High Cash Burn, Persistent Operating Losses, and Financial Sustainability: The company is characterized by a high rate of cash consumption and persistent operating losses. Concerns have been raised regarding LiveWire's financial sustainability and its limited cash runway, suggesting potential difficulties in funding ongoing operations and growth initiatives without securing additional, possibly dilutive, financing.
- Declining Sales and Valuation Concerns: LiveWire has experienced a significant downturn in unit sales, with its main brand seeing a substantial fall in sales in recent quarters. This declining revenue trend, combined with a valuation that analysts consider steep and disconnected from the company's underlying fundamentals, raises concerns about the potential for further share price volatility and decline.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated and robust entry of major traditional motorcycle manufacturers (such as Honda, Kawasaki, Yamaha, BMW, Ducati, and KTM) into the premium electric motorcycle segment poses a clear emerging threat. These companies possess immense financial resources, established global dealer networks, manufacturing scale, and strong brand loyalty. While many have shown concepts or made strategic announcements regarding electric motorcycle development, their full-fledged, competitive product lines in LiveWire's specific premium segment are actively emerging. If these incumbents successfully leverage their substantial advantages to launch compelling electric models, LiveWire, as a newer, specialized brand, could face significant pressure on market share and profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
LiveWire (symbol: LVWR) primarily operates in two segments: Electric Motorcycles and STACYC electric balance bikes for kids. The addressable market sizes for their main products are as follows:
Electric Motorcycles
The global electric motorcycle market was valued at approximately USD 30.11 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 121.07 billion by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.9% from 2023 to 2030.
- Asia Pacific: This region dominated the electric motorcycle market, holding an 82.2% share in 2022. The Asia Pacific electric two-wheeler market (which includes motorcycles and scooters) was estimated at USD 124.53 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 184.33 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.16% during that period.
- North America: The electric scooters and motorcycles market in North America was valued at USD 727.9 million in 2023. It is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% from 2024 to 2030, reaching USD 2,360.5 million by 2030. The U.S. constitutes the largest market within North America.
- Europe: The European electric scooters and motorcycles market was valued at USD 562.6 million in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 28.3% during the forecast period of 2024–2030. Another estimate for the Europe Electric Two-Wheeler Market (including scooters and bikes) valued it at USD 18.9 billion in 2022, with a projection to reach USD 86.1 billion in 2030, growing at a CAGR of 24.20% between 2023 and 2030.
STACYC Electric Balance Bikes for Kids
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for LiveWire (LVWR) over the next 2-3 years:
- Launch of New Electric Motorcycle Models: LiveWire plans to expand its product portfolio significantly. The company is set to begin production of its new S4 Honcho Trail and S4 Honcho Street models in Spring 2026. Additionally, LiveWire intends to introduce a lighter and more affordable sprint bike in the second half of 2026 to appeal to younger riders. A maxi-scooter, leveraging the existing S2 platform and targeted at the European market, is also slated for 2026.
- Continued Growth in the STACYC Segment: The STACYC segment has been a strong performer for LiveWire, contributing significantly to overall corporate revenue. In the third quarter of 2025, STACYC experienced a 46% increase in revenue. Continued momentum and expansion in this segment are expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Increased Unit Sales and Market Share: LiveWire is focused on increasing unit sales and maintaining its leadership in the electric motorcycle market. The company reported an 86% increase in Electric Motorcycle unit sales in Q3 2025 and aims for 1,000 to 1,500 unit sales in 2025. Strategic promotions, such as the "Twist & Go" campaign, have already demonstrated success in boosting unit sales.
- Expansion to New Markets and Customer Demographics: LiveWire is actively working to attract new customers and expand its market reach. The introduction of models like the S4 Honcho Trail and S4 Honcho Street is intended to broaden its customer base. Furthermore, the planned maxi-scooter for the European market signifies an expansion into new geographical territories. Efforts to attract younger riders with more accessible and affordable models also represent a key strategy for customer growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In the third quarter of 2025, LiveWire bought back 3.4 million shares of its stock, totaling $100 million.
- For the year-to-date period ending Q3 2025, LiveWire repurchased 6.8 million shares, amounting to $187 million.
Share Issuance
- LiveWire launched an At-The-Market (ATM) offering to potentially raise up to $50 million in additional capital through future share issuance as of Q3 2025.
- In connection with its business combination on September 26, 2022, 161,000,000 shares of common stock were issued to the Legacy LiveWire Equityholder at an equity consideration value of $10.00 per share.
- Up to 30,365,207 shares of common stock are issuable upon the exercise of public and private placement warrants.
Inbound Investments
- LiveWire became a publicly traded company on September 26, 2022, through a business combination (SPAC merger with AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.), which served as a significant capital inflow event.
- A "KYMCO PIPE Investment" resulted in the issuance of up to 9,999,365 shares of common stock to Kwang Yang Motor Co., Ltd. and other related entities as part of the business combination agreement.
Capital Expenditures
- In the 12 months prior to November 2025, LiveWire's capital expenditures amounted to approximately $4.18 million.
- The company expects future capital expenditures to increase as it focuses on business growth, developing customer support and marketing infrastructure, and expanding product development efforts.
- LiveWire plans to introduce new products, such as a maxi-scooter for the European market with production slated for Spring 2026, indicating ongoing investment in new product development and manufacturing capabilities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| LiveWire Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold LiveWire Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 | |
| LiveWire Stock Soars 24% In A Single Month, Why You Shouldn Not Be Buying The Stock | 08/09/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| LiveWire (LVWR) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: LVWR, IOVA, AVXL | Losers: SSII, GHRS, KSS | 07/24/2025 | |
| LVWR Stock Down -21% after 6-Day Loss Streak | 07/17/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 5,026 |
| Op Inc LTM | -24 |
| FCF LTM | 160 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 123 |
| CFO LTM | 241 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 281 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -33.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -46.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -22.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -19.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -37.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | -4.0 |
| P/E | -3.7 |
| P/CFO | 1.6 |
| Total Yield | -11.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -47.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -112.4% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/27/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -64.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.53 | $3.98 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -24.0% | -32.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 99.6% | 211.6% |
| Downside Capture | 476.45 | 173.12 |
| Upside Capture | 136.81 | 155.19 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.3% | 24.8% |
LVWR Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.68 | 2.65 | 2.70 | 2.91 | 2.68 | 1.97 |
| Up Beta | 7.16 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.91 | 3.92 | 3.22 |
| Down Beta | 3.28 | 2.78 | 2.71 | 2.87 | 2.30 | 1.75 |
| Up Capture | -366% | -89% | -7% | 282% | 129% | 65% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 19 | 25 | 58 | 109 | 361 |
| Down Capture | 953% | 479% | 392% | 288% | 137% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 22 | 36 | 66 | 138 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LVWR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVWR | 15.6% | 211.1% | 0.78 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.6% | 24.2% | 0.13 | 24.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 19.4% | 0.55 | 24.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.3% | 25.3% | 2.17 | -10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.7% | 0.24 | -5.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.9% | 16.6% | 0.28 | 20.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.8% | 44.9% | -0.65 | 11.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LVWR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVWR | -20.2% | 128.9% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 22.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 23.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.0% | 1.06 | -3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.5% | 18.9% | 0.44 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 15.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.3% | 57.2% | 0.37 | 9.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LVWR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVWR | -10.6% | 128.9% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.9% | 21.9% | 0.58 | 22.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 23.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.82 | -3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.4% | 20.7% | 0.27 | 15.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.9% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 9.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/10/2026 | -12.6% | ||
| 11/4/2025 | -7.0% | -12.6% | -13.0% |
| 7/30/2025 | 0.3% | -14.9% | -1.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | -14.0% | -40.8% | 151.4% |
| 2/5/2025 | -0.7% | -24.8% | -36.8% |
| 10/24/2024 | -5.3% | -3.6% | 4.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 2.5% | -2.5% | -15.2% |
| 4/25/2024 | 0.7% | -4.0% | -6.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 12.3% | 20.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.3% | -8.7% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 39.4% | 151.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.0% | -40.8% | -36.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/30/2022 | S-1/A |
| 06/30/2022 | 10/25/2022 | S-1 |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/10/2022 | S-4/A |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bekefy, Jon | Head of Global Sales & Mktg. | Direct | Sell | 12092025 | 4.02 | 4,199 | 16,895 | 469,751 | Form |
| 2 | Donnez, Karim | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6172025 | 5.50 | 54,661 | 300,636 | 5,440,160 | Form |
| 3 | Garcia, John L | Direct | Sell | 6132025 | 7.49 | 49,998 | 374,485 | 20,637,055 | Form | |
| 4 | Garcia, John L | Direct | Sell | 6132025 | 6.47 | 56,559 | 365,937 | 17,460,731 | Form | |
| 5 | Maraj, Tralisa | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6132025 | 8.60 | 25,000 | 215,000 | 2,793,031 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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