LiveWire (LVWR)


Market Price (9/23/2026): $1.45 | Market Cap: $297.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products

LiveWire (LVWR)


Market Price (9/23/2026): $1.45
Market Cap: $297.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Leisure Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -72 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.5x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.5%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -152%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -163%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 172%

Key risks
LVWR key risks include [1] a high rate of cash burn and persistent operating losses that challenge its financial sustainability, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -72 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.5x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.5%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -152%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -163%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 172%
10 Key risks
LVWR key risks include [1] a high rate of cash burn and persistent operating losses that challenge its financial sustainability, Show more.

LVWR in ETFs

Weight = LVWR's share of each fund

IWM0.00%
IWO0.00%
SCHA0.00%
VTWO0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/22/2026

LiveWire (LVWR) stock has gained about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong fiscal Q2 2026 financial performance exceeded expectations.

LiveWire reported consolidated revenue of $9.1 million for its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), marking a 55% increase year-over-year on 11% consolidated unit growth. This significant revenue growth was driven by a 386% surge in electric motorcycle unit sales to 267 units, while operating losses remained relatively flat. Furthermore, year-to-date free cash flow improved by 19% to -$27.7 million through June 30, 2026.

2. Commencement of S4 Honcho production and initial U.S. dealer deliveries.

During fiscal Q2 2026, LiveWire began production of its new S4 Honcho platform, designed to expand its portfolio into a more accessible electric motorcycle segment. Deliveries of the S4 Honcho Trail motorcycles to U.S. dealers commenced in August 2026.

Show more
Updated on 9/22/2026

LiveWire (LVWR) stock has gained about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong fiscal Q2 2026 financial performance exceeded expectations.

LiveWire reported consolidated revenue of $9.1 million for its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), marking a 55% increase year-over-year on 11% consolidated unit growth. This significant revenue growth was driven by a 386% surge in electric motorcycle unit sales to 267 units, while operating losses remained relatively flat. Furthermore, year-to-date free cash flow improved by 19% to -$27.7 million through June 30, 2026.

2. Commencement of S4 Honcho production and initial U.S. dealer deliveries.

During fiscal Q2 2026, LiveWire began production of its new S4 Honcho platform, designed to expand its portfolio into a more accessible electric motorcycle segment. Deliveries of the S4 Honcho Trail motorcycles to U.S. dealers commenced in August 2026.

3. Regaining compliance with NYSE listing standards.

After receiving a notice of non-compliance from the NYSE on July 23, 2026, due to its common stock's 30-day average closing price falling below $1.00, LiveWire Group successfully regained compliance with NYSE continued listing standards by August 10, 2026. This removed a significant uncertainty for investors.

4. Strategic acquisition of Dust Motorcycles.

LiveWire completed the acquisition of Dust Motorcycles in May 2026. This acquisition was highlighted in the fiscal Q2 2026 report as a move to accelerate the company's expansion into the rapidly growing electric off-road category and to strengthen its long-term product roadmap.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.8% change in LVWR stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269222026Change
Stock Price ($)1.411.452.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)283111.6%
P/S Multiple10.39.5-7.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)204205-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution2.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LVWR2.8% 
Market (SPY)2.5%-10.9%
Sector (XLY)-6.9%9.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.7% change in LVWR stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269222026Change
Stock Price ($)1.681.45-13.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)263121.9%
P/S Multiple13.49.5-28.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)204205-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-13.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LVWR-13.7% 
Market (SPY)13.3%0.0%
Sector (XLY)-3.5%14.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -62.3% change in LVWR stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -71.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259222026Change
Stock Price ($)3.851.45-62.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)243131.3%
P/S Multiple32.99.5-71.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)204205-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution-62.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LVWR-62.3% 
Market (SPY)21.2%7.2%
Sector (XLY)-2.3%16.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -87.0% change in LVWR stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -83.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239222026Change
Stock Price ($)11.181.45-87.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3931-19.2%
P/S Multiple58.59.5-83.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)202205-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution-87.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LVWR-87.0% 
Market (SPY)78.3%18.7%
Sector (XLY)34.9%21.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LVWR Return--41%133%-57%-8%-65%-81%
Peers Return71%-45%15%-13%-4%-16%-23%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LVWR Win Rate-25%75%17%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%35%47%43%47%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LVWR Max Drawdown---44%-61%-80%-86% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-59%-47%-47%-46%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HOG, PII, TSLA, RIVN, LCID.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLVWRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-58.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven138.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven18 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-39.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven83 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven23 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-15.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven218 days427 days

Compare to HOG, PII, TSLA, RIVN, LCID

In The Past

LiveWire's stock fell -58.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 138.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLVWRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-58.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven138.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven18 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-39.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven83 days24 days

Compare to HOG, PII, TSLA, RIVN, LCID

In The Past

LiveWire's stock fell -58.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 138.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LiveWire (LVWR)

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LiveWire (LVWR) is a pioneering electric motorcycle manufacturer that was incubated by and subsequently spun off from Harley-Davidson. The company is dedicated to designing, developing, manufacturing, and distributing premium electric two-wheeled vehicles. It aims to lead the electrification of the motorcycle industry by blending cutting-edge technology, performance, and distinctive design to create a unique riding experience.

The core of LiveWire's offering consists of its advanced electric motorcycles, notably the LiveWire ONE, which deliver powerful acceleration, responsive handling, and integrated smart technology. Beyond the motorcycles themselves, the company also provides a growing ecosystem of related products and services, including charging solutions, accessories, and digital connectivity features designed to enhance the overall ownership experience and support the electric lifestyle.

LiveWire primarily serves a global market of discerning consumers who are early adopters of electric vehicle technology, environmentally conscious riders, and motorcycle enthusiasts seeking high-performance electric alternatives. Its customer base includes urban commuters looking for sustainable and efficient transportation, as well as riders who appreciate innovative design and advanced features. The company focuses on the premium segment of the electric vehicle market, with a strong presence in North America and expanding international distribution.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Tesla for motorcycles.

2. The Polestar of motorcycles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • LiveWire ONE: A premium electric motorcycle designed for high performance and connectivity.
  • S2 Del Mar: A mid-power electric motorcycle, part of their S2 Arrow platform, offering a lighter and more agile riding experience.
  • Future Electric Motorcycles: Development and production of new electric motorcycle models and technologies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

LiveWire (LVWR) primarily sells its electric motorcycles to individual consumers. The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Technology-forward consumers: These customers are typically early adopters of new technologies, environmentally conscious, and are drawn to the innovation, performance, and sustainability aspects of electric vehicles.
  • Motorcycle enthusiasts: This group includes existing motorcycle riders who are seeking a premium, high-performance electric riding experience. They appreciate features like instant torque, quiet operation, and reduced maintenance, potentially complementing or transitioning from traditional internal combustion engine motorcycles.
  • Urban and suburban commuters: Individuals looking for an agile, efficient, and environmentally friendly mode of personal transportation for daily commutes and navigating city and suburban environments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Karim Donnez Chief Executive Officer

Karim Donnez was appointed CEO of LiveWire in June 2023. Before joining LiveWire, he was President of BRP's Marine Group, a role he held from May 2022. He held various roles at BRP since 2015, including Senior Vice President of Strategy, Business Development and Transformation. Prior to BRP, Donnez held leadership positions at Rio Tinto, serving as General Manager, Refinery & Energy for Rio Tinto Kennecott, where he managed business transformation initiatives. He began his career at Accenture.

Jennifer Hoover Head Accounting Officer

Jennifer Hoover has served as LiveWire's Head Accounting Officer since July 2025. Before this role, she was the Director of Financial Reporting and Accounting at LiveWire, a position she held since August 2023. Prior to joining LiveWire, Ms. Hoover worked at PricewaterhouseCoopers for 25 years, from 1998 to 2023, where her last position was Director.

Jon Bekefy Head of Global Sales & Marketing

Prior to LiveWire, Jon Bekefy served as the General Manager of Global Brand Marketing for Harley-Davidson from 2019 to 2021. He also played a key role in marketing leadership at electric vehicle start-ups, including Alta Motors (2015-2017) and Mission Motors (2013-2015).

Ryan Ragland Head of Product Development & Design

Ryan Ragland leads LiveWire's innovative product and design strategies. He joined Harley-Davidson in 2016.

Allen Gerrard General Counsel & Board Secretary

Allen Gerrard joined LiveWire from Harley-Davidson, where he was Assistant General Counsel, Products & Strategy and Assistant Secretary. He held several legal leadership roles at Harley-Davidson since 2017, providing guidance to the company's leadership team. Before his time at Harley-Davidson, Mr. Gerrard held various legal positions at PepsiCo, Inc., GE Healthcare, and Fiserv, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to LiveWire (LVWR)

LiveWire (LVWR), the electric motorcycle manufacturer spun off from Harley-Davidson, faces several significant challenges to its business. The primary risks stem from weak market demand for its core product, persistent financial losses coupled with liquidity concerns, and a challenging competitive and regulatory environment. The most significant risk to LiveWire is the **weak demand and slow adoption of electric motorcycles**, which points to a potential product/market fit problem. The company's premium urban e-motorcycles have seen limited appeal due to their restricted range, which primarily suits short in-city trips and does not adequately address the broader leisure motorcycling market. This weak demand is further evidenced by declining average selling prices for electric motorcycles, even with the implementation of incentives. Secondly, LiveWire is burdened by **persistent financial losses and ongoing liquidity issues**, driven by high operating costs. The company has a history of losses and continues to incur significant expenses, failing to reach breakeven despite its sales efforts. In the nine months ended September 2025, operating cash outflows exceeded current assets, indicating a potential need for further capital raises through equity sales or drawing on its term loan facility, which could lead to shareholder dilution. For the full year 2025, LiveWire reported a consolidated net loss of $75.1 million. Finally, LiveWire faces a challenging **competitive landscape and waning electric vehicle (EV) incentives**. The company experiences intense competition, notably from Chinese suppliers. Compounding this, EV transition policies and incentives are diminishing in key markets such as North America and Europe, hindering LiveWire's growth prospects. Macroeconomic pressures, including inflationary environments and rising unemployment, also contribute to weakened consumer sentiment, further impacting discretionary spending on electric motorcycles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Increased Competition from Established Motorcycle Manufacturers: Traditional motorcycle giants like Ducati, Kawasaki, BMW, and Triumph are aggressively developing and launching their own electric motorcycle models. These companies possess extensive R&D capabilities, established global dealer networks, and strong brand loyalty, posing a significant challenge to LiveWire's early-mover advantage in the premium electric motorcycle segment.
  • Rapid Technological Advancements and Potential Price Erosion in Battery Technology: The electric vehicle industry is characterized by rapid innovation in battery technology, leading to improvements in range, charging speed, and potentially significant cost reductions. If LiveWire fails to continuously integrate the latest advancements or if competitors introduce more cost-effective yet high-performing electric drivetrains, LiveWire's premium pricing strategy and technological edge could be undermined, making its offerings less competitive over time.

AI Analysis | Feedback

LiveWire (LVWR) operates in two main segments: Electric Motorcycles and STACYC, which focuses on electric balance bikes for kids and adult pedal-assist electric bikes.

Electric Motorcycles

The global electric motorcycle market was valued at USD 1.30 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1.71 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.50% during the forecast period. The global premium electric motorcycle market, in which LiveWire is a player, was valued at USD 347.1 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1.6 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 16.7% between 2025 and 2034.

In the United States, the addressable market for the specific niche of 50+ horsepower on-road electric motorcycles experienced a total segment revenue of $6.1 million in 2025. This was a decrease from $8.4 million in 2024.

STACYC (Electric Balance Bikes and Adult Pedal Assist Electric Bikes)

The addressable market size for electric balance bikes for kids and adult pedal-assist electric bikes, as a specific market value for LiveWire's STACYC segment, is not explicitly available in the provided information.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for LiveWire (LVWR) over the next 2-3 years: * Launch of New Products: LiveWire is focusing on the launch of its S4 Honcho™ products, with production targeted to begin in the spring of 2026. This new product introduction is expected to contribute to revenue growth. * Expansion into New Markets: The company is continuing its expansion into new markets in Europe, specifically including Poland, Portugal, Finland, Belgium, and Luxembourg. This geographical expansion is anticipated to broaden LiveWire's customer base and increase sales. * Growth in Electric Motorcycle Sales Volume: LiveWire experienced a significant increase of 61% in electric motorcycle unit sales in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, with revenue from this segment rising by 10%. Continued momentum in increasing electric motorcycle unit sales is a key driver for future revenue. * Growth in the STACYC Segment: The STACYC segment, which sells electric balance bikes for kids, has also demonstrated consistent growth, with unit sales up 8% and revenue up 4% in Q4 2025 over Q4 2024. This segment is expected to continue contributing to overall revenue growth. * Enhanced Sales and Distribution Strategy: LiveWire is focusing on improving dealer profitability and enhancing its e-commerce strategy. These initiatives are aimed at driving incremental dealership traffic and supporting overall motorcycle sales, thereby contributing to revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • LiveWire repurchased approximately $1.024 million of common stock for the full year 2025.
  • Approximately $1.444 million of common stock was repurchased by the company in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • LiveWire went public through a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) transaction in 2022.
  • In August 2025, LiveWire filed an at-the-market (ATM) issuance sales agreement, authorizing the company to raise up to $50 million through the sale of common stock.
  • For the full year 2025, approximately $2.2 million was raised through ATM share issuances. As of Q3 2025, $1.3 million had been raised from the sale of 251,000 shares, with $48.7 million remaining under the ATM agreement.

Inbound Investments

  • LiveWire has access to a $75 million term loan facility from Harley-Davidson, its parent company. This related-party convertible term loan was renegotiated and funded in Q4 2025, contributing to the company's cash and cash equivalents.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures amounted to approximately $3.811 million in 2025, $8.07 million in 2024, $13 million in 2023, $14 million in 2022, and $9.95 million in 2021.
  • The company's capital expenditures are primarily focused on product development, including the S4 Honcho™ products, with production targeted to begin in Spring 2026.

Better Bets vs. LiveWire (LVWR)

Peer Outperformance in Leisure Products

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Share of Leisure Products constituents that LVWR has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
13%
of 15 industry peers · -71.6% return
3Y
15%
of 13 industry peers · -81.3% return
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Leisure Products is LVWR's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -22.4%74.8%63.0% LINC 284% · CVSA 219% · PRDO 217%
Homebuilding 18 -4.8%34.6%51.5% GRBK 219% · PHM 171% · TOL 142%
Specialty Stores 7 8.2%42.9%11.5% SIG 30% · ASO 22% · FIVE 22%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -23.8%-1.1%3.2% HVT 12% · LOW 4% · HD 3%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 15.9%46.2%-2.5% RCL 176% · MAR 142% · HLT 133%
Automotive Retail 18 -19.5%0.0%-3.5% MUSA 219% · PAG 127% · ORLY 106%
Distributors 4 -10.7%-24.9%-13.1% ARMK 150% · GPC 21% · LKQ -48%
Home Furnishings 4 -6.3%22.8%-16.0% SGI 38% · LZB 3% · MHK -35%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -18.0%12.3%-17.0% HRB 99% · FTDR 79% · SCI 37%
Restaurants 35 -9.0%-15.6%-20.4% EAT 291% · CAKE 146% · RAVE 127%
Footwear 10 56.0%49.1%-22.4% WEYS 173% · SHOO 17% · DECK 12%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -16.8%-21.5%-33.9% MCRI 97% · RRR 23% · BYD 18%
Leisure Products ← 13 -24.1%-17.4%-37.7% GOLF 76% · HAS 12% · MCFT -19%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -12.8%-13.4%-39.3% MOD 1607% · GTX 281% · STRT 82%
Household Appliances 18 -6.0%8.2%-41.9% FLXS 186% · KEQU 155% · HBB 146%
Leisure Facilities 11 -21.6%-5.5%-42.8% OSW 131% · JAKK 119% · ESCA 23%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 28 -9.0%10.2%-43.4% RL 229% · TPR 217% · ELA 213%
Apparel Retail 26 -3.6%18.9%-43.9% ANF 242% · URBN 128% · ROST 113%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -10.3%39.9%-49.7% BBY 13% · GME -50% · UPBD -64%
Broadline Retail 15 -7.2%18.9%-54.9% DDS 298% · EBAY 62% · AMZN 49%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -78.2%-47.5%-71.2% GM 68% · TSLA 51% · F 30%
Consumer Electronics 11 -15.0%-12.7%-74.4% AXIL 2229% · GRMN 84% · SONO -53%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -33.6%-45.4%-78.7% TLF 107% · BBW 73% · WINA 57%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LVWRHOGPIITSLARIVNLCIDMedian
NameLiveWire Harley-D.Polaris Tesla Rivian A.Lucid  
Mkt Price1.4526.0353.97378.9015.144.3220.59
Mkt Cap0.32.73.11,226.520.11.72.9
Rev LTM314,2407,445103,6195,8831,5475,061
Op Inc LTM-722131704,772-3,533-4,00749
FCF LTM-51-133675,755-3,489-5,112-92
FCF 3Y Avg-784672374,353-3,247-3,69179
CFO LTM-48-024818,685-1,845-4,081-24
CFO 3Y Avg-7263949915,327-1,890-2,783214

Growth & Margins

LVWRHOGPIITSLARIVNLCIDMedian
NameLiveWire Harley-D.Polaris Tesla Rivian A.Lucid  
Rev Chg LTM31.3%-5.2%8.4%11.8%14.2%66.5%13.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.5%-10.4%-6.0%3.5%28.4%31.4%-0.0%
Rev Chg Q55.2%-5.9%9.2%25.5%27.2%56.2%26.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.6%-1.8%2.3%5.9%6.4%10.4%6.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM20.4%15.0%25.1%-17.4%1.8%-33.6%8.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg11.0%-28.0%-30.0%-26.8%15.7%-10.9%-18.9%
Op Mgn LTM-230.9%5.0%2.3%4.6%-60.1%-259.0%-28.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-317.1%6.9%3.5%6.1%-82.4%-342.9%-39.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM27.6%-0.8%1.4%-0.8%8.9%9.5%5.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-152.1%-0.0%3.3%18.0%-31.4%-263.8%-15.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-246.6%12.6%6.7%15.7%-35.9%-269.2%-14.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-162.7%-3.1%0.9%5.6%-59.3%-330.4%-31.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-267.1%9.1%3.2%4.5%-61.1%-364.7%-28.9%

Valuation

LVWRHOGPIITSLARIVNLCIDMedian
NameLiveWire Harley-D.Polaris Tesla Rivian A.Lucid  
Mkt Cap0.32.73.11,226.520.11.72.9
P/S9.50.60.411.83.41.12.2
P/Op Inc-4.112.818.3257.0-5.7-0.46.2
P/EBIT-4.38.7-18.8221.0-6.8-0.4-2.4
P/E-4.113.5-11.9322.4-6.2-0.4-2.2
P/CFO-6.2-10,728.312.565.6-10.9-0.4-3.3
Total Yield-24.7%10.4%-3.5%0.3%-16.1%-233.6%-9.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%4.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.5%13.1%8.3%0.4%-20.1%-98.5%-6.0%
D/E0.30.80.70.00.32.20.5
Net D/E0.10.20.6-0.00.01.80.1

Returns

LVWRHOGPIITSLARIVNLCIDMedian
NameLiveWire Harley-D.Polaris Tesla Rivian A.Lucid  
1M Rtn20.8%-7.1%-15.3%4.4%-10.8%-21.6%-8.9%
3M Rtn40.8%2.5%-20.6%-0.7%1.7%-16.8%0.5%
6M Rtn9.8%41.9%-2.8%-1.1%-6.0%-58.3%-1.9%
12M Rtn-71.6%-6.4%0.5%-12.7%-0.7%-80.7%-9.6%
3Y Rtn-81.3%-13.7%-41.3%54.7%-26.5%-91.5%-33.9%
1M Excs Rtn19.7%-8.2%-16.5%3.2%-12.0%-22.8%-10.1%
3M Excs Rtn35.4%-3.0%-26.0%-6.1%-3.7%-22.2%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-13.7%30.5%-19.3%-18.5%-22.0%-76.1%-18.9%
12M Excs Rtn-88.9%-21.5%-14.9%-27.6%-11.2%-96.0%-24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-160.0%-90.1%-117.2%-36.4%-111.9%-167.2%-114.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
STACYC2018263326
Electric Motorcycles68121410
Total2627384736


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
STACYC-2-5142
Electric Motorcycles-74-106-117-89-70
Total-75-110-116-85-68


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Electric Motorcycles12412123332339
STACYC2227332923
Total14614826635262


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.45 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date09/27/2022 
Distance from 52W High-76.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.27$1.94
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA14.4%-25.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility281.1%172.3%
Downside Capture-142.81266.73
Upside Capture62.4573.44
Correlation (SPY)-17.2%6.6%
LVWR Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-3.08-5.50-2.70-0.110.971.95
Up Beta-8.97-25.03-14.66-3.60-1.602.77
Down Beta-8.02-7.95-1.19-1.340.511.58
Up Capture-213%166%-15%80%104%73%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days7162248101336
Down Capture591%110%57%167%177%112%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days14264074143397

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LVWR
LVWR-72.6%172.0%-0.06-
Sector ETF (XLY)-6.2%19.5%-0.4516.2%
Equity (SPY)17.6%13.0%0.986.6%
Gold (GLD)18.0%29.3%0.562.9%
Commodities (DBC)46.6%20.7%1.75-19.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%13.6%0.1222.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.0%44.9%-0.5411.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LVWR
LVWR-29.4%143.8%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.1%24.1%0.1720.6%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.5918.6%
Gold (GLD)18.9%18.8%0.81-0.2%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.6%0.43-4.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.0%18.9%-0.0516.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.7%52.6%0.428.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LVWR
LVWR-16.0%143.8%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.1%22.2%0.5020.6%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7318.6%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.4%0.61-0.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.37-4.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1916.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.0%66.2%1.048.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8152026-0.3%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity205.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/2026-15.3%184.9%24.3%
5/5/20266.0%-9.0%-22.8%
2/10/2026-12.6%-5.4%-40.2%
11/4/2025-7.0%-12.6%-13.0%
7/30/20250.3%-14.9%-1.3%
5/1/2025-14.0%-40.8%151.4%
2/5/2025-0.7%-24.8%-36.8%
10/24/2024-5.3%-3.6%4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive745
# Negative81110
Median Positive2.0%12.3%24.3%
Median Negative-7.3%-5.4%-14.1%
Max Positive8.2%184.9%151.4%
Max Negative-15.3%-40.8%-40.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/2026-15.3%184.9%24.3%
5/5/20266.0%-9.0%-22.8%
2/10/2026-12.6%-5.4%-40.2%
11/4/2025-7.0%-12.6%-13.0%
7/30/20250.3%-14.9%-1.3%
5/1/2025-14.0%-40.8%151.4%
2/5/2025-0.7%-24.8%-36.8%
10/24/2024-5.3%-3.6%4.2%
7/25/20242.5%-2.5%-15.2%
4/25/20240.7%-4.0%-6.5%
2/8/20241.2%1.7%-23.4%
10/26/20238.2%21.8%32.4%
7/27/2023-7.6%-4.8%-2.7%
4/27/20232.0%2.8%10.0%
2/24/2023-0.2%-3.4%-12.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive745
# Negative81110
Median Positive2.0%12.3%24.3%
Median Negative-7.3%-5.4%-14.1%
Max Positive8.2%184.9%151.4%
Max Negative-15.3%-40.8%-40.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/06/202310-K
09/30/202211/30/2022S-1/A
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/06/202310-K
09/30/202211/30/2022S-1/A
06/30/202210/25/2022S-1
03/31/202206/10/2022S-4/A

Insider Activity

Updated 9/15/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cornog, William L DirectSell80420262.25216486640,242Form
2Gruner, Kjell DirectSell80320262.1194,091198,532228,360Form
3Gruner, Kjell DirectSell80320261.987,07114,000400,590Form
4Nienhuis, JeremiahHead of Strat. & Product Ops.DirectSell73120262.3810,73225,498262,794Form
5Donnez, KarimChief Executive OfficerDirectSell73120262.33230,557537,1293,131,294Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cornog, William L DirectSell80420262.25216486640,242Form
2Gruner, Kjell DirectSell80320262.1194,091198,532228,360Form
3Gruner, Kjell DirectSell80320261.987,07114,000400,590Form
4Nienhuis, JeremiahHead of Strat. & Product Ops.DirectSell73120262.3810,73225,498262,794Form
5Donnez, KarimChief Executive OfficerDirectSell73120262.33230,557537,1293,131,294Form
6Bekefy, JonHead of Global Sales & Mktg.DirectSell120920254.024,19916,895469,751Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/22/2026