Tearsheet

Lulus Fashion Lounge (LVLU)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.92 | Market Cap: $13.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Lulus Fashion Lounge (LVLU)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.92
Market Cap: $13.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 184%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -332%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
5   Key risks
LVLU key risks include [1] its failure to anticipate fashion trends and effectively manage inventory and [2] a precarious financial position with declining revenue, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 184%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -332%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
7 Key risks
LVLU key risks include [1] its failure to anticipate fashion trends and effectively manage inventory and [2] a precarious financial position with declining revenue, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LVLU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Lulus Fashion Lounge (LVLU) experienced notable stock movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. New Credit Agreement Secured. On August 14, 2025, Lulus announced a new credit agreement with White Oak Commercial Finance, LLC. This development likely provided crucial financial stability and improved investor confidence, especially following earlier amendments to a forbearance agreement with Bank of America.

2. Positive Adjusted EBITDA and Debt Reduction in Q2 2025. Despite an 11% year-over-year decrease in net revenue and a 16% drop in total orders placed, Lulus reported positive Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter ended June 29, 2025, with results announced on August 13, 2025. The company also continued to reduce its total debt. Management expressed expectations for positive Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter of 2025 and was actively negotiating a new asset-based revolving credit facility, contributing to a forward-looking positive outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LVLU Return-75%-26%-39%-70%
Peers Return-53%57%130%11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LVLU Win Rate0%42%42%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate48%32%48%50%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LVLU Max Drawdown-79%-38%-46%-81% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-30%-19%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RVLV, URBN, ANF, REAL, RENT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLVLUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1171.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX


In The Past

Lulus Fashion Lounge's stock fell -92.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2022. A -92.1% loss requires a 1171.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Lulus Fashion Lounge (LVLU)

Better Bets than Lulus Fashion Lounge (LVLU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LVLU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lulus Fashion Lounge

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LVLURVLVURBNANFREALRENTMedian
NameLulus Fa.Revolve Urban Ou.Abercrom.RealReal Rent the. 
Mkt Price5.0027.4280.91117.1614.718.7421.07
Mkt Cap0.02.06.44.01.20.01.6
Rev LTM2851,1956,0005,181663314929
Op Inc LTM-1965572719-35-6423
FCF LTM063403385-18-7632
FCF 3Y Avg136281468-49-7819
CFO LTM37463362115-244
CFO 3Y Avg443491659-14-524

Growth & Margins

LVLURVLVURBNANFREALRENTMedian
NameLulus Fa.Revolve Urban Ou.Abercrom.RealReal Rent the. 
Rev Chg LTM-12.1%9.2%11.1%7.6%14.3%2.9%8.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-13.8%3.5%8.2%12.4%4.3%3.3%3.9%
Rev Chg Q-8.6%4.4%12.3%6.8%17.5%15.4%9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.4%1.1%2.9%1.6%4.1%3.9%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-6.7%5.4%9.5%13.9%-5.3%-20.3%0.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.5%4.1%8.0%12.3%-14.1%-21.4%-1.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%0.5%-0.0%-0.7%1.3%-0.0%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM0.9%6.2%10.5%12.0%2.3%-0.7%4.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.2%3.8%8.9%14.2%-2.7%-1.6%2.5%
FCF/Rev LTM0.2%5.3%6.7%7.4%-2.7%-24.3%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.3%3.2%5.1%10.2%-8.5%-25.6%1.7%

Valuation

LVLURVLVURBNANFREALRENTMedian
NameLulus Fa.Revolve Urban Ou.Abercrom.RealReal Rent the. 
Mkt Cap0.02.06.44.01.20.01.6
P/S0.01.31.10.81.90.10.9
P/EBIT-0.323.3----11.5
P/E-0.327.413.17.7-17.22.65.1
P/CFO5.320.710.16.579.6-12.58.3
Total Yield-327.8%3.7%7.6%13.0%-5.8%38.5%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.1%2.7%----2.4%
D/E2.00.0----1.0
Net D/E1.8-0.2----0.8

Returns

LVLURVLVURBNANFREALRENTMedian
NameLulus Fa.Revolve Urban Ou.Abercrom.RealReal Rent the. 
1M Rtn1.8%32.8%32.4%68.4%3.7%95.5%32.6%
3M Rtn4.0%14.7%15.4%37.2%40.8%90.6%26.3%
6M Rtn-26.0%31.3%17.5%54.5%188.4%95.1%42.9%
12M Rtn-69.7%-24.9%46.7%-23.3%54.7%11.7%-5.8%
3Y Rtn-88.8%13.4%208.0%437.9%965.9%-85.8%110.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.1%32.1%31.7%67.6%3.0%94.8%31.9%
3M Excs Rtn4.4%12.5%11.7%29.0%36.0%91.9%20.7%
6M Excs Rtn-38.4%18.9%5.1%42.1%176.0%82.8%30.5%
12M Excs Rtn-80.2%-37.1%43.2%-28.9%56.3%-3.4%-16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-157.7%-63.6%124.3%337.7%874.8%-152.6%30.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Sale of merchandise directly to end customers355 376249
Retail 440  
Total355440376249


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Sale of merchandise directly to end customers-19   
Total-19   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity76,203
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-48.3%
Average Daily Volume24,594
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.10
Basic Shares Quantity2,756,533
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/202516.8%10.2%4.7%
8/13/20255.6%16.1%19.6%
3/27/2025-8.3%-7.6%6.1%
11/13/2024-12.1%-21.7%-32.9%
8/1/2024-8.8%-9.4%-10.7%
3/6/2024-6.3%-15.7%-28.2%
11/8/2023-9.5%-29.5%5.0%
7/25/2023-6.6%-9.9%-23.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive546
# Negative897
Median Positive14.3%20.2%6.1%
Median Negative-9.2%-15.7%-23.4%
Max Positive18.1%33.0%47.3%
Max Negative-23.6%-31.0%-57.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024814202410-Q 7/2/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023808202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023509202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022314202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221115202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022816202210-Q 7/4/2022
3312022517202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021331202210-K 1/2/2022