Lightbridge (LTBR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.965 | Market Cap: $332.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Lightbridge (LTBR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.965Market Cap: $332.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Nuclear Fuel Technology, and Domestic Advanced Nuclear Fuel. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 174% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 142% | ||
| Key risksLTBR key risks include [1] the successful development and commercialization of its pre-revenue fuel technology, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Nuclear Fuel Technology, and Domestic Advanced Nuclear Fuel. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 174% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 142% |
| Key risksLTBR key risks include [1] the successful development and commercialization of its pre-revenue fuel technology, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LTBR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -13.9% stock movement for Lightbridge (LTBR) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Lightbridge reported a widening net loss in its Third Quarter 2025 financial results. The company announced a net loss of $4.1 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, an increase from a $2.7 million net loss in the same period of 2024.
2. Operating expenses, particularly in research and development and general and administrative costs, significantly increased. Total operating expenses rose to $5.2 million in Q3 2025 from $3.0 million year-over-year, driven by expanded R&D activities and higher general and administrative expenses. R&D expenses specifically increased to $2.0 million from $1.3 million, and G&A expenses rose to $3.2 million from $1.7 million, due to increased professional fees, consulting, and stock-based compensation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LTBR Return | -6% | 57% | -41% | -17% | 47% | 207% | 222% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 97% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LTBR Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 66% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LTBR Max Drawdown | -60% | -2% | -45% | -17% | -28% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BWXT, SMR, OKLO, GEV, NNE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LTBR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 342.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 440 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -69.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 223.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -91.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1096.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 206.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to POWL, ETN, EMR, VRT, AME
In The Past
Lightbridge's stock fell -77.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -77.4% loss requires a 342.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LTBR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lightbridge
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 52.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.9 |
| Rev LTM | 32 |
| Op Inc LTM | -28 |
| FCF LTM | -15 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -9 |
| CFO LTM | -15 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -9 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 142.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 28.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -813.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -535.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -540.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.9 |
| P/S | 5.5 |
| P/EBIT | -8.5 |
| P/E | -23.6 |
| P/CFO | -32.2 |
| Total Yield | -1.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 65.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 191.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 51.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 110.5% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -22.4% | -13.1% | -27.0% |
| 8/11/2025 | 26.7% | 13.4% | 2.2% |
| 5/12/2025 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 40.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | 1.3% | 3.5% | -21.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | -25.5% | 0.2% | -41.3% |
| 7/31/2024 | -9.0% | -21.7% | -21.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | -3.6% | -4.0% | -4.8% |
| 2/28/2024 | 1.8% | -2.2% | 6.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 8 | 5 |
| # Negative | 8 | 12 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Median Negative | -11.6% | -6.7% | -21.1% |
| Max Positive | 26.7% | 36.1% | 40.8% |
| Max Negative | -25.5% | -28.1% | -43.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3042024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |