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Lightbridge (LTBR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.965 | Market Cap: $332.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Lightbridge (LTBR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.965
Market Cap: $332.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Nuclear Fuel Technology, and Domestic Advanced Nuclear Fuel.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 174%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 142%
5   Key risks
LTBR key risks include [1] the successful development and commercialization of its pre-revenue fuel technology, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Nuclear Fuel Technology, and Domestic Advanced Nuclear Fuel.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 174%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 142%
8 Key risks
LTBR key risks include [1] the successful development and commercialization of its pre-revenue fuel technology, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LTBR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -13.9% stock movement for Lightbridge (LTBR) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Lightbridge reported a widening net loss in its Third Quarter 2025 financial results. The company announced a net loss of $4.1 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, an increase from a $2.7 million net loss in the same period of 2024.

2. Operating expenses, particularly in research and development and general and administrative costs, significantly increased. Total operating expenses rose to $5.2 million in Q3 2025 from $3.0 million year-over-year, driven by expanded R&D activities and higher general and administrative expenses. R&D expenses specifically increased to $2.0 million from $1.3 million, and G&A expenses rose to $3.2 million from $1.7 million, due to increased professional fees, consulting, and stock-based compensation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LTBR Return-6%57%-41%-17%47%207%222%
Peers Return97%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LTBR Win Rate42%50%33%50%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate66%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LTBR Max Drawdown-60%-2%-45%-17%-28%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BWXT, SMR, OKLO, GEV, NNE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLTBRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-77.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven342.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven440 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-91.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1096.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven206.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to POWL, ETN, EMR, VRT, AME


In The Past

Lightbridge's stock fell -77.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -77.4% loss requires a 342.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lightbridge (LTBR)

Better Bets than Lightbridge (LTBR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Lightbridge Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LTBR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lightbridge

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LTBRBWXTSMROKLOGEVNNEMedian
NameLightbri.BWX Tech.NuScale .Oklo GE Verno.Nano Nuc. 
Mkt Price13.03168.1215.7375.94614.1929.9952.96
Mkt Cap0.315.42.316.8167.11.28.9
Rev LTM03,05964037,670032
Op Inc LTM-19333-629-981,381-38-28
FCF LTM-12463-282-692,473-17-15
FCF 3Y Avg-9250-198----9
CFO LTM-12630-282-623,429-17-15
CFO 3Y Avg-9411-197----9

Growth & Margins

LTBRBWXTSMROKLOGEVNNEMedian
NameLightbri.BWX Tech.NuScale .Oklo GE Verno.Nano Nuc. 
Rev Chg LTM-14.0%765.7%-9.4%-14.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.6%273.0%---142.3%
Rev Chg Q-28.9%1,635.2%-11.8%-28.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.8%13.8%-2.9%-6.8%
Op Mgn LTM-10.9%-984.0%-3.7%-3.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.5%-1,639.7%----813.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.4%-750.1%-1.9%--0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-20.6%-441.9%-9.1%-9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%-1,085.9%----535.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.1%-442.0%-6.6%-6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.7%-1,089.7%----540.5%

Valuation

LTBRBWXTSMROKLOGEVNNEMedian
NameLightbri.BWX Tech.NuScale .Oklo GE Verno.Nano Nuc. 
Mkt Cap0.315.42.316.8167.11.28.9
P/S-5.583.2-4.4-5.5
P/EBIT-29.140.4-8.5-121.1-35.4-8.5
P/E-33.355.0-14.0-219.298.2-39.0-23.6
P/CFO-45.526.8-18.8-269.848.8-78.1-32.2
Total Yield-3.0%2.4%-7.1%-0.5%1.1%-2.6%-1.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.6%2.0%-20.7%----11.6%
D/E0.00.10.0-0.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.30.1-0.1--0.0-0.2-0.1

Returns

LTBRBWXTSMROKLOGEVNNEMedian
NameLightbri.BWX Tech.NuScale .Oklo GE Verno.Nano Nuc. 
1M Rtn-23.4%-4.4%-25.3%-20.4%6.4%-3.2%-12.4%
3M Rtn-11.8%-0.0%-56.5%-20.3%-0.1%-16.3%-14.0%
6M Rtn-0.2%20.0%-59.8%22.4%25.4%-21.0%9.9%
12M Rtn173.7%43.5%-27.5%297.6%87.5%16.5%65.5%
3Y Rtn188.3%193.9%62.0%670.2%--191.1%
1M Excs Rtn-24.2%-5.2%-26.0%-21.1%5.7%-3.9%-13.1%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%-4.6%-60.1%-29.0%-0.8%-22.9%-19.1%
6M Excs Rtn-12.5%7.6%-72.2%10.1%13.0%-33.4%-2.5%
12M Excs Rtn162.7%29.0%-36.6%298.7%74.4%9.2%51.7%
3Y Excs Rtn102.7%118.4%-24.0%599.4%--110.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Nuclear fuel technology2929252220
Total2929252220


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,394,338
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-13.3%
Average Daily Volume1,237,297
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.74
Basic Shares Quantity25,624,598
Short % of Basic Shares13.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-22.4%-13.1%-27.0%
8/11/202526.7%13.4%2.2%
5/12/202514.6%8.8%40.8%
2/26/20251.3%3.5%-21.6%
10/31/2024-25.5%0.2%-41.3%
7/31/2024-9.0%-21.7%-21.1%
5/9/2024-3.6%-4.0%-4.8%
2/28/20241.8%-2.2%6.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1285
# Negative81215
Median Positive4.6%7.4%6.1%
Median Negative-11.6%-6.7%-21.1%
Max Positive26.7%36.1%40.8%
Max Negative-25.5%-28.1%-43.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023304202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021