Tearsheet

Sherwin-Williams (SHW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $331.92 | Market Cap: $81.7 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Sherwin-Williams (SHW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $331.92
Market Cap: $81.7 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  Key risks
SHW key risks include [1] high sensitivity to housing market downturns, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x
5 Key risks
SHW key risks include [1] high sensitivity to housing market downturns, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SHW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested period of 8/31/2025 to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As such, it is not possible to provide factual reasons for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, based on available forward-looking statements and analyses for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) and the broader market, several factors could hypothetically contribute to a significant stock decline if such an event were to transpire in the future. Here are potential key points that *could* lead to a negative stock movement for Sherwin-Williams:

1. Weakness in Housing Market and Demand: Analysts and company executives have expressed concerns about persistent weakness in the housing market, including both existing and new home sales. A continued slowdown in do-it-yourself (DIY) project spending and overall demand "choppiness" across key markets could negatively impact Sherwin-Williams' revenue and profits. This environment could persist into late 2025 or even 2026.

2. Disappointing Financial Outlook and Guidance: Sherwin-Williams has provided cautious outlooks for future periods. For instance, the company narrowed its 2025 EPS outlook, indicating that the market might remain "softer for longer." While Q4 2024 earnings beat expectations, the company's revenue missed, and the guidance for 2025 was described as "soft." A reduced profit guidance has previously led to drops in premarket trading.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SHW Return27%45%-32%33%10%-3%78%
Peers Return15%14%-19%13%4%-12%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SHW Win Rate50%67%33%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%52%42%43%53%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SHW Max Drawdown-32%-10%-42%-12%-6%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-7%-32%-12%-15%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MMM, PPG, DOW, RPM, EMN. See SHW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSHWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven648 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven71 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days1,480 days

Compare to MMM, PPG, DOW, RPM, EMN


In The Past

Sherwin-Williams's stock fell -42.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -42.9% loss requires a 75.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

Better Bets than Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SHW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.6%0.6%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
45.1%45.1%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.6%6.6%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.6%0.6%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
45.1%45.1%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.6%6.6%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sherwin-Williams

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
Mkt Price327.95162.17103.7223.07108.1263.93105.92
Mkt Cap80.786.623.416.413.87.319.9
Rev LTM23,27624,82515,69040,9137,5189,02419,483
Op Inc LTM3,6805,0822,1724729091,1901,681
FCF LTM2,4261,588715-1,120516395615
FCF 3Y Avg2,3052,3931,2139036605111,058
CFO LTM3,2942,5411,4001,5627581,0081,481
CFO 3Y Avg3,2253,7151,8243,6458941,1952,525

Growth & Margins

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
Rev Chg LTM1.0%1.1%8.5%-5.3%3.1%-3.4%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.4%-10.3%-3.5%-11.3%2.5%-5.9%-4.7%
Rev Chg Q3.2%3.5%1.2%-8.3%7.4%-10.6%2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%0.9%0.3%-2.2%2.0%-2.8%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%20.5%13.8%1.2%12.1%13.2%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.8%1.1%13.8%3.5%12.0%12.6%12.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%1.0%-0.0%-0.5%-0.1%-1.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM14.2%10.2%8.9%3.8%10.1%11.2%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%13.8%11.9%8.3%12.1%12.9%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%6.4%4.6%-2.7%6.9%4.4%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%8.8%7.9%1.9%9.0%5.5%8.3%

Valuation

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
Mkt Cap80.786.623.416.413.87.319.9
P/S3.73.31.50.42.00.81.8
P/EBIT22.816.012.0138.316.66.716.3
P/E33.124.423.8-14.421.810.322.8
P/CFO25.932.616.910.419.87.218.4
Total Yield3.9%5.0%6.8%3.7%4.6%12.3%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%2.6%10.6%0.0%2.6%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%4.7%4.2%1.2%4.7%5.3%4.4%
D/E0.20.20.31.20.20.70.3
Net D/E0.20.10.30.90.20.60.2

Returns

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
1M Rtn0.3%-1.9%8.8%8.0%4.0%12.7%6.0%
3M Rtn-6.1%5.0%-3.3%-4.6%-11.7%-1.9%-4.0%
6M Rtn-0.6%14.8%-2.8%-16.7%2.0%-12.2%-1.7%
12M Rtn-8.8%29.0%-12.8%-38.9%-16.2%-29.9%-14.5%
3Y Rtn40.1%78.0%-12.2%-44.6%14.8%-12.7%1.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%-2.7%8.0%7.3%3.3%11.9%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn-7.3%3.5%-5.5%-4.2%-13.8%-3.9%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-13.0%2.4%-15.2%-29.0%-10.4%-24.6%-14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-20.3%16.1%-25.3%-50.4%-27.9%-42.6%-26.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-35.7%2.3%-84.7%-114.5%-57.9%-84.6%-71.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Paint Stores Group12,84011,96311,21710,38310,172
Consumer Brands Group8,6008,6037,1336,7426,284
Performance Coatings Group7,0416,9976,1545,0605,165
Administrative-5,428-5,415-4,559-3,823-3,720
Total23,05222,14919,94518,36217,901


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Performance Coatings Group8,2678,2978,3898,0718,176
Consumer Brands Group6,6326,7505,1615,3875,601
Paint Stores Group5,7455,8745,6285,3875,399
Administrative2,3111,6741,4891,5561,321
Total22,95422,59420,66720,40220,496


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,344,627
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume1,896,923
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.29
Basic Shares Quantity246,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20255.5%2.8%2.2%
7/22/2025-0.4%-1.5%8.0%
4/29/20254.8%8.3%7.0%
1/30/20251.4%1.1%0.5%
10/22/2024-5.3%-4.8%-2.0%
7/23/20246.9%9.4%10.5%
4/23/2024-2.2%-1.0%0.5%
1/25/20240.9%1.1%7.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131417
# Negative11107
Median Positive3.0%3.1%7.0%
Median Negative-2.2%-1.8%-5.6%
Max Positive9.4%9.4%16.3%
Max Negative-8.9%-7.7%-14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021