Tractor Supply (TSCO)
Market Price (12/27/2025): $51.3 | Market Cap: $27.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Tractor Supply (TSCO)
Market Price (12/27/2025): $51.3Market Cap: $27.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% | Key risksTSCO key risks include [1] reduced discretionary spending by its core rural consumer base due to macroeconomic pressures and [2] a narrowing comparable sales gap with a wide array of competitors, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
| Key risksTSCO key risks include [1] reduced discretionary spending by its core rural consumer base due to macroeconomic pressures and [2] a narrowing comparable sales gap with a wide array of competitors, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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<b>1. Q3 2025 Revenue Slightly Below Analyst Expectations.</b><br><br>
Tractor Supply Company reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, with net sales reaching $3.72 billion, a 7.2% increase year-over-year. However, this figure was slightly below the analyst consensus estimate of $3.79 billion. This slight miss on the top line likely contributed to a cautious market reaction despite the company meeting earnings per share (EPS) estimates.
<b>2. Narrowed Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Guidance.</b><br><br>
Following its Q3 2025 earnings, Tractor Supply narrowed its financial guidance for the full fiscal year 2025. The updated guidance projected net sales growth of +4.6% to +5.6% (from a previous range of +4% to +8%), comparable store sales growth of +1.4% to +2.4% (from 0% to +4%), and diluted EPS of $2.06 to $2.13 (from a previous range of $2.00 to $2.18). While this refinement offered more focused investor expectations, the reduction in the upper end of the ranges for sales and comparable store sales growth could have been interpreted as a signal of potentially slower growth, leading to investor uncertainty.
<b>3. Negative Pre-Market Stock Reaction to Q3 Earnings.</b><br><br>
Immediately following the Q3 2025 earnings release on October 23, 2025, Tractor Supply's shares experienced a decline of approximately 2.5% in pre-market trading. This immediate negative market response, despite meeting or slightly beating EPS forecasts, indicates that other aspects of the earnings report, such as the revenue miss and narrowed guidance, overshadowed the positive EPS, triggering a downward adjustment in stock price.
<b>4. Challenging Economic Environment and Cautious Consumer Spending.</b><br><br>
The company acknowledged navigating a challenging economic environment during its third-quarter 2025 performance. Reports highlighted that despite operational strength, factors such as cautious consumer spending and higher costs continued to influence the retail landscape. This broader macroeconomic pressure could have contributed to investor concerns about future performance and thus impacted the stock price negatively during the period.
<b>5. Underlying Valuation Concerns.</b><br><br>
Prior to the period, in April 2025, analysis suggested that Tractor Supply's stock remained "quite expensive" with an estimated fair value below its trading price at that time. Although earlier in the year, such ongoing valuation concerns could have made the stock more susceptible to significant declines if subsequent performance or market sentiment did not fully support its previous higher valuation, contributing to the overall -16.4% movement.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.7% change in TSCO stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -10.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9262025 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 56.27 | 51.39 | -8.68% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15148.46 | 15399.26 | 1.66% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.18% | 7.18% | -0.02% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.45 | 24.63 | -10.25% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 530.33 | 529.74 | 0.11% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.68% |
Market Drivers
9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSCO | -8.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 16.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 24.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.2% change in TSCO stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 3.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6272025 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.29 | 51.39 | 0.19% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14955.35 | 15399.26 | 2.97% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.24% | 7.18% | -0.85% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.20 | 24.63 | -2.23% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 531.73 | 529.74 | 0.37% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.19% |
Market Drivers
6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSCO | 0.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 15.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 24.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.8% change in TSCO stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -6.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12262024 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 54.57 | 51.39 | -5.83% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14769.54 | 15399.26 | 4.26% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.53% | 7.18% | -4.75% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.28 | 24.63 | -6.25% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 535.84 | 529.74 | 1.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.84% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSCO | -5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 38.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.2% | 36.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.4% change in TSCO stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12272022 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.33 | 51.39 | 21.39% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13517.63 | 15399.26 | 13.92% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.69% | 7.18% | -6.65% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.58 | 24.63 | 9.09% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 554.30 | 529.74 | 4.43% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.15% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSCO | 24.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 36.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.0% | 34.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TSCO Return | 52% | 72% | -4% | -3% | 25% | -1% | 204% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TSCO Win Rate | 50% | 83% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TSCO Max Drawdown | -28% | -1% | -28% | -15% | -1% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See TSCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TSCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 600 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Tractor Supply's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.9% gain to breakeven.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Tractor Supply (TSCO):
- Home Depot for farms and ranches.
- PetSmart for homesteaders.
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Tractor Supply (TSCO) Major Products
- Pet & Animal Feed and Supplies: Offers a wide range of food, treats, health products, and accessories for pets, livestock, and poultry.
- Tools & Hardware: Provides essential tools, equipment, fencing materials, and general hardware for home, farm, and outdoor projects.
- Clothing & Footwear: Sells durable workwear, outdoor apparel, boots, and casual clothing suitable for rural and outdoor lifestyles.
- Livestock & Agriculture Supplies: Includes feeds, health products, fencing, and equipment necessary for animal care and farming operations.
- Lawn & Garden Products: Features plants, seeds, gardening tools, outdoor power equipment, and supplies for maintaining yards and gardens.
- Home Goods & Outdoor Living: Offers a selection of items for home improvement, outdoor decor, and products enhancing rural lifestyle living.
- Truck & Trailer Accessories: Provides parts, accessories, and supplies for trucks and trailers, catering to utility and hauling needs.
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Major Customers of Tractor Supply (TSCO)
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) primarily sells directly to **individual consumers** rather than other businesses. The company's business model is focused on retail sales through its network of stores and e-commerce platform. Its target market can be broadly categorized into the following customer segments:
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Rural Lifestylers and Hobby Farmers: This is the core demographic for Tractor Supply. These customers live in rural areas or on properties with acreage and are involved in managing land, raising livestock (such as horses, cattle, chickens, and other poultry), gardening, and general property maintenance. They seek products like animal feed and supplies, fencing, fertilizers, tools, and equipment for their small-scale agricultural and outdoor living needs.
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Pet Owners: A significant portion of Tractor Supply's business caters to pet owners. These customers purchase a wide range of pet food, treats, toys, bedding, and other supplies for various animals, including dogs, cats, and exotic pets. The company also offers services like PetVet clinics and grooming, further solidifying its appeal to this segment.
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Homeowners and DIY Enthusiasts: This category includes individuals, often with larger yards or properties, who are engaged in home improvement projects, lawn and garden care, and general maintenance. They shop for outdoor power equipment, hand tools, workwear, hardware, and seasonal items. While there can be overlap with rural lifestylers, this segment also includes more general suburban homeowners focused on property and home upkeep.
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- Nestlé S.A. (Symbol: NESN.SW)
- Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: SPB)
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Hal Lawton President and CEO
Hal Lawton has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Tractor Supply Company since January 2020. Under his leadership, the company achieved significant revenue growth and strategic initiatives, leading to its ranking on the Fortune 500 list. Prior to joining Tractor Supply, Mr. Lawton was President of Macy's from September 2017 to December 2019, where he was responsible for all aspects of the Macy's brand. He also served as Senior Vice President of eBay North America from August 2015 to September 2017. Before eBay, he spent 10 years in various leadership roles at The Home Depot, including President Online and Senior Vice President of Merchandising. Lawton began his career in a paper mill in rural North Carolina and was an Associate Principal at McKinsey & Co.
Kurt Barton Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Kurt Barton has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Tractor Supply Company since February 2019. He initially joined Tractor Supply Company in August 1999 and has held various leadership roles within the finance organization, including Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer from March 2017, and Vice President, Controller and Assistant Corporate Secretary from February 2009 to January 2016. Before joining Tractor Supply, Mr. Barton, a Certified Public Accountant, began his career in public accounting in 1993, spending six years at Ernst & Young, LLP.
Noni Ellison Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Noni Ellison was appointed Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Tractor Supply Company in January 2021. In this role, she oversees the legal department, risk management, government relations, licensing, quality assurance/customs compliance, and the company's environmental, social, and governance efforts. Before joining Tractor Supply, Ellison served as Carestream Dental's General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary, where she managed legal and business professionals across North and South America, Asia, and Europe, and oversaw global regulatory affairs, quality assurance, environment, health and safety, facilities, security, and real estate. Her prior experience includes roles as Associate General Counsel and Assistant Corporate Secretary at Grainger, and various positions at Turner Broadcasting Systems, Inc. Earlier in her career, she was Director of Legal Affairs at Scripps Networks and practiced corporate finance and securities law at national law firms.
Melissa Kersey Executive Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer
Melissa Kersey has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer of Tractor Supply Company since July 2020. Prior to joining Tractor Supply, Ms. Kersey served as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer for Dollar General Corporation from 2017 to 2020. She also held leadership roles at Walmart Inc., including Senior Vice President of Human Resources for Walmart U.S. and Vice President of Global Human Resources for Walmart International, during her 20-year tenure with the company. Her career began in store operations before transitioning to human resources, where she gained extensive experience in talent management, compensation, benefits, and labor relations.
Mary Winn Pilkington Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Public Relations
Mary Winn Pilkington has served as Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Public Relations at Tractor Supply Company since 2019, having joined the company in 2018 as Vice President. Before her tenure at Tractor Supply, she spent nearly nine years at Dollar General, most recently as Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Public Relations. Ms. Pilkington also served as Vice President of Investor Relations and Public Relations at The Pepsi Bottling Group for nearly 10 years and spent a decade at International Paper in various finance positions. She began her career at Ernst & Young LLP.
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The key risks to Tractor Supply (symbol: TSCO) include:
- Macroeconomic Pressures and Shifting Consumer Spending: Tractor Supply is susceptible to broader economic uncertainties, including high inflation and economic slowdowns, which can significantly impact discretionary spending by its rural consumer base. Such conditions can lead to reduced footfall in stores, decreased sales volumes, and pressure on operating margins, as evidenced by the company's own cautious outlook and narrowed earnings per share guidance in response to macroeconomic challenges.
- Intense Competition: Tractor Supply operates in a highly competitive retail environment, facing competition from a wide array of retailers including general merchandise, home center, pet, specialty, discount, independent farm and ranch stores, regional chains, farm cooperatives, and online retailers. The narrowing competitive gap in comparable sales with rivals poses a threat to TSCO's market share and can lead to increased pressure on pricing and promotional activities, potentially eroding profit margins.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Tariffs: The company faces risks associated with its supply chain, including potential disruptions and the impact of tariffs. Increased tariffs can lead to higher costs for imported goods, which, if not effectively mitigated or passed on to consumers, could squeeze profit margins. Shortages of key merchandise within the supply chain could also materially and adversely affect Tractor Supply’s financial condition and operational results.
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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) operates in several key markets primarily serving the rural lifestyle demographic in the United States. The addressable markets for their main products and services are sized as follows:
- Pet Supplies, Livestock, and Equine Care: The total U.S. pet market is projected to reach approximately $157 billion in 2025.
- Farm and Ranch Supplies: The Farm Supply Stores industry in the United States is estimated to be approximately $38.1 billion in 2025. Additionally, the U.S. agricultural equipment market was valued at $39.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $57.1 billion by 2032.
- Home Improvement (Rural/DIY focused): The U.S. home improvement market size was valued at $534.57 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $549.27 billion in 2025. The U.S. home remodeling market was valued at $498.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $522.5 billion in 2025.
- Lawn and Garden Supplies: The U.S. Gardening Market size was valued at around $22 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $27.4 billion by 2030. For lawn and garden consumables specifically, the U.S. market was evaluated at $6.97 billion in 2024 and is projected to be worth around $12.75 billion by 2034.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Tractor Supply (TSCO)
Over the next 2-3 years, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) anticipates several key initiatives and strategies to drive future revenue growth, as outlined in recent earnings releases, transcripts, and analyst commentary:
- New Store Expansion: Tractor Supply plans to continue its aggressive new store growth. The company aims to open approximately 90 new Tractor Supply stores in fiscal year 2025. Furthermore, the company has raised its long-term target for new store opportunities to 3,200 stores, an increase of 200 sites, indicating a sustained focus on expanding its physical footprint.
- Expansion of Life Out Here Strategy and Store Remodels (Project Fusion & Garden Centers): A significant driver involves the ongoing execution and expansion of the "Life Out Here" strategy, which includes Project Fusion remodels and the rollout of garden centers. Approximately 50% of stores are already in the Project Fusion layout, and over 550 garden centers have been completed, contributing to enhanced space productivity and customer engagement. These initiatives aim to tailor product selection to local demographics and improve the overall in-store customer experience.
- Growth in Digital Sales and Omnichannel Capabilities: Tractor Supply is focused on accelerating its digital capabilities and omnichannel investments. This includes a re-launched website, a new mobile app, curbside pickup, and same-day/next-day delivery options. The company's digital business has already achieved record sales, topping over $1.1 billion in 2024, and continued investment in this area is expected to drive further growth.
- Acquisition and Expansion of Pet and Animal Health Offerings (Allivet & Pet Rx): The acquisition of Allivet, a leading online pet pharmacy, is a crucial new growth opportunity. This acquisition is expected to add over $100 million to net sales in fiscal year 2025 and expand Tractor Supply's footprint in the growing pet wellness and animal health sector, particularly by offering pet prescriptions to its more than 37 million Neighbor's Club members. The company also plans to expand its Pet and Animal Rx capabilities.
- Development of New Initiatives (Direct Sales & Private/Exclusive Brands): As part of its "Life Out Here 2030" strategy, Tractor Supply is launching new initiatives such as "Direct Sales" and increasing its focus on "Private/Exclusive Brands." The Direct Sales opportunity aims to extend customer service to larger farms, small to medium businesses, and event spaces. Increasing the penetration of private label and exclusive licensed brands is intended to enhance differentiation and improve gross margins, thereby contributing to revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- In fiscal year 2023, Tractor Supply Company repurchased approximately 2.7 million shares of its common stock for $597.0 million.
- In the fourth quarter of 2023, the company repurchased approximately 0.5 million shares for $110.4 million.
- In January 2022, Tractor Supply's Board of Directors authorized an expanded share repurchase program of $2 billion.
Capital Expenditures
- In fiscal year 2023, Tractor Supply Company opened 70 new Tractor Supply stores and 13 new Petsense by Tractor Supply stores.
- The company also rebranded 81 Orscheln Farm and Home stores to Tractor Supply in 2023, which were acquired in 2022.
- Planned growth investments in 2024 included higher depreciation and the onboarding of a new distribution center.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TSCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
| 02282018 | TSCO | Tractor Supply | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 34.2% | 49.0% | -10.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Tractor Supply
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livestock, Equine & Agriculture | 3,930 | 3,977 | 5,984 | 4,992 | 3,925 |
| Companion Animal | 3,639 | 3,267 | |||
| Seasonal & Recreation | 3,202 | 3,125 | 2,674 | 2,230 | 1,754 |
| Truck, Tool & Hardware | 2,329 | 2,273 | 2,674 | 2,230 | 1,670 |
| Clothing, Gift & Décor | 1,456 | 1,563 | 1,018 | 743 | 668 |
| Agriculture | 382 | 425 | 334 | ||
| Total | 14,556 | 14,205 | 12,731 | 10,620 | 8,352 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $51.39 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 27.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/18/1994 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $53.71 | $54.25 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -4.3% | -5.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 21.4% | 27.6% |
| Downside Capture | 60.86 | 58.90 |
| Upside Capture | 4.79 | 44.25 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.5% | 37.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.54 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.34 | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | 1.04 | 1.28 | 1.53 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| Down Beta | -1.22 | -0.30 | -0.21 | -0.06 | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| Up Capture | 78% | 24% | -4% | 39% | 38% | 33% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 33 | 69 | 130 | 392 |
| Down Capture | 60% | 58% | 71% | 21% | 71% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 17 | 29 | 56 | 118 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TSCO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSCO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -3.1% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 27.6% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.13 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 36.6% | 38.0% | 3.6% | 10.6% | 50.9% | 12.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TSCO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSCO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 13.9% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 27.7% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.1% | 47.1% | 3.2% | 9.9% | 41.4% | 19.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TSCO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSCO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 28.6% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 49.1% | 48.1% | 1.0% | 16.4% | 36.7% | 11.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 2.8% | -1.1% | -3.6% |
| 7/24/2025 | -0.5% | -3.0% | 2.3% |
| 4/24/2025 | -3.4% | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| 1/30/2025 | -5.0% | -6.2% | -2.8% |
| 10/24/2024 | -6.1% | -8.3% | -6.3% |
| 7/25/2024 | -1.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | 2.8% | 5.1% | 9.7% |
| 2/1/2024 | 4.6% | 3.9% | 12.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.1% | -11.1% | -12.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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