Tearsheet

Tractor Supply (TSCO)


Market Price (3/3/2026): $52.28 | Market Cap: $27.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Tractor Supply (TSCO)


Market Price (3/3/2026): $52.28
Market Cap: $27.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
Key risks
TSCO key risks include [1] reduced discretionary spending by its core rural consumer base due to macroeconomic pressures and [2] a narrowing comparable sales gap with a wide array of competitors, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
4 Key risks
TSCO key risks include [1] reduced discretionary spending by its core rural consumer base due to macroeconomic pressures and [2] a narrowing comparable sales gap with a wide array of competitors, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Tractor Supply (TSCO) stock has lost about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Tractor Supply reported a significant earnings and revenue miss for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, falling short of analyst expectations. The company announced diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.43 on January 29, 2026, missing consensus estimates of $0.46 or $0.47 by $0.03 to $0.04. Additionally, net sales for the quarter reached $3.90 billion, which was below the analyst consensus of $4.02 billion to $4.03 billion. This underperformance was further exacerbated by a comparable store sales increase of merely 0.3%, considerably lower than the anticipated 2.3%.

2. A notable shift in consumer spending habits, particularly a moderation in discretionary demand, negatively impacted sales. The company's CEO, Hal Lawton, explicitly stated that fourth-quarter results "reflected a shift in consumer spending, with essential categories remaining resilient while discretionary demand moderated." This led to a slowdown in sales of "discretionary big-ticket categories" and contributed to the weaker-than-expected comparable store sales performance. The absence of hurricane-related emergency sales also created a 100-basis-point headwind for comparable store sales.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.1% change in TSCO stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253022026Change
Stock Price ($)54.5452.28-4.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,39915,3990.0%
Net Income Margin (%)7.2%7.2%0.0%
P/E Multiple26.125.1-4.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5305300.0%
Cumulative Contribution-4.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TSCO-4.1% 
Market (SPY)0.4%6.4%
Sector (XLY)-2.4%17.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.6% change in TSCO stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253022026Change
Stock Price ($)61.2252.28-14.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,14815,3991.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.2%7.2%0.0%
P/E Multiple29.925.1-16.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5305300.1%
Cumulative Contribution-14.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TSCO-14.6% 
Market (SPY)6.7%14.2%
Sector (XLY)-0.2%21.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.9% change in TSCO stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253022026Change
Stock Price ($)54.4152.28-3.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,88315,3993.5%
Net Income Margin (%)7.4%7.2%-3.0%
P/E Multiple26.425.1-4.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5345300.7%
Cumulative Contribution-3.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TSCO-3.9% 
Market (SPY)16.5%35.7%
Sector (XLY)7.6%35.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.1% change in TSCO stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233022026Change
Stock Price ($)44.2652.2818.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,20515,3998.4%
Net Income Margin (%)7.7%7.2%-6.4%
P/E Multiple22.425.111.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5525304.2%
Cumulative Contribution18.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TSCO18.1% 
Market (SPY)79.7%36.2%
Sector (XLY)62.4%35.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TSCO Return72%-4%-3%25%-4%4%101%
Peers Return18%-32%-8%17%-11%3%-21%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%0%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSCO Win Rate83%42%67%67%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%33%45%47%42%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSCO Max Drawdown-1%-28%-15%-1%-9%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-43%-29%-24%-19%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HD, LOW, CHWY, WOOF, CENT. See TSCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven39 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven600 days1,480 days

Compare to HD, LOW, CHWY, WOOF, CENT

In The Past

Tractor Supply's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Tractor Supply (TSCO)

Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company offers a selection of merchandise, including equine, livestock, pet, and small animal products necessary for their health, care, growth, and containment; hardware, truck, towing, and tool products; seasonal products, such as heating products, lawn and garden items, power equipment, gifts, and toys; work/recreational clothing and footwear; and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use. It provides its products under the 4health, Producer's Pride, American Farmworks, Red Shed, Bit & Bridle, Redstone, Blue Mountain, Retriever, C.E. Schmidt, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Dumor, Strive, Groundwork, Traveller, Huskee, Treeline, JobSmart, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Paws & Claws, and Untamed brands. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 2,003 Tractor Supply stores in 49 states, as well as 177 Petsense stores in 23 states. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Del's Feed & Farm Supply, and Petsense names. It also operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. The company sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Tractor Supply (TSCO):

  • Home Depot for farms and ranches.
  • PetSmart for homesteaders.

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Tractor Supply (TSCO) Major Products

  • Pet & Animal Feed and Supplies: Offers a wide range of food, treats, health products, and accessories for pets, livestock, and poultry.
  • Tools & Hardware: Provides essential tools, equipment, fencing materials, and general hardware for home, farm, and outdoor projects.
  • Clothing & Footwear: Sells durable workwear, outdoor apparel, boots, and casual clothing suitable for rural and outdoor lifestyles.
  • Livestock & Agriculture Supplies: Includes feeds, health products, fencing, and equipment necessary for animal care and farming operations.
  • Lawn & Garden Products: Features plants, seeds, gardening tools, outdoor power equipment, and supplies for maintaining yards and gardens.
  • Home Goods & Outdoor Living: Offers a selection of items for home improvement, outdoor decor, and products enhancing rural lifestyle living.
  • Truck & Trailer Accessories: Provides parts, accessories, and supplies for trucks and trailers, catering to utility and hauling needs.

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Major Customers of Tractor Supply (TSCO)

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) primarily sells directly to **individual consumers** rather than other businesses. The company's business model is focused on retail sales through its network of stores and e-commerce platform. Its target market can be broadly categorized into the following customer segments:

  • Rural Lifestylers and Hobby Farmers: This is the core demographic for Tractor Supply. These customers live in rural areas or on properties with acreage and are involved in managing land, raising livestock (such as horses, cattle, chickens, and other poultry), gardening, and general property maintenance. They seek products like animal feed and supplies, fencing, fertilizers, tools, and equipment for their small-scale agricultural and outdoor living needs.

  • Pet Owners: A significant portion of Tractor Supply's business caters to pet owners. These customers purchase a wide range of pet food, treats, toys, bedding, and other supplies for various animals, including dogs, cats, and exotic pets. The company also offers services like PetVet clinics and grooming, further solidifying its appeal to this segment.

  • Homeowners and DIY Enthusiasts: This category includes individuals, often with larger yards or properties, who are engaged in home improvement projects, lawn and garden care, and general maintenance. They shop for outdoor power equipment, hand tools, workwear, hardware, and seasonal items. While there can be overlap with rural lifestylers, this segment also includes more general suburban homeowners focused on property and home upkeep.

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  • Nestlé S.A. (Symbol: NESN.SW)
  • Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: SPB)

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Hal Lawton President and CEO

Hal Lawton has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Tractor Supply Company since January 2020. Under his leadership, the company achieved significant revenue growth and strategic initiatives, leading to its ranking on the Fortune 500 list. Prior to joining Tractor Supply, Mr. Lawton was President of Macy's from September 2017 to December 2019, where he was responsible for all aspects of the Macy's brand. He also served as Senior Vice President of eBay North America from August 2015 to September 2017. Before eBay, he spent 10 years in various leadership roles at The Home Depot, including President Online and Senior Vice President of Merchandising. Lawton began his career in a paper mill in rural North Carolina and was an Associate Principal at McKinsey & Co.

Kurt Barton Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Kurt Barton has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Tractor Supply Company since February 2019. He initially joined Tractor Supply Company in August 1999 and has held various leadership roles within the finance organization, including Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer from March 2017, and Vice President, Controller and Assistant Corporate Secretary from February 2009 to January 2016. Before joining Tractor Supply, Mr. Barton, a Certified Public Accountant, began his career in public accounting in 1993, spending six years at Ernst & Young, LLP.

Noni Ellison Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Noni Ellison was appointed Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Tractor Supply Company in January 2021. In this role, she oversees the legal department, risk management, government relations, licensing, quality assurance/customs compliance, and the company's environmental, social, and governance efforts. Before joining Tractor Supply, Ellison served as Carestream Dental's General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary, where she managed legal and business professionals across North and South America, Asia, and Europe, and oversaw global regulatory affairs, quality assurance, environment, health and safety, facilities, security, and real estate. Her prior experience includes roles as Associate General Counsel and Assistant Corporate Secretary at Grainger, and various positions at Turner Broadcasting Systems, Inc. Earlier in her career, she was Director of Legal Affairs at Scripps Networks and practiced corporate finance and securities law at national law firms.

Melissa Kersey Executive Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer

Melissa Kersey has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer of Tractor Supply Company since July 2020. Prior to joining Tractor Supply, Ms. Kersey served as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer for Dollar General Corporation from 2017 to 2020. She also held leadership roles at Walmart Inc., including Senior Vice President of Human Resources for Walmart U.S. and Vice President of Global Human Resources for Walmart International, during her 20-year tenure with the company. Her career began in store operations before transitioning to human resources, where she gained extensive experience in talent management, compensation, benefits, and labor relations.

Mary Winn Pilkington Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Public Relations

Mary Winn Pilkington has served as Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Public Relations at Tractor Supply Company since 2019, having joined the company in 2018 as Vice President. Before her tenure at Tractor Supply, she spent nearly nine years at Dollar General, most recently as Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Public Relations. Ms. Pilkington also served as Vice President of Investor Relations and Public Relations at The Pepsi Bottling Group for nearly 10 years and spent a decade at International Paper in various finance positions. She began her career at Ernst & Young LLP.

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The key risks to Tractor Supply (symbol: TSCO) include:

  1. Macroeconomic Pressures and Shifting Consumer Spending: Tractor Supply is susceptible to broader economic uncertainties, including high inflation and economic slowdowns, which can significantly impact discretionary spending by its rural consumer base. Such conditions can lead to reduced footfall in stores, decreased sales volumes, and pressure on operating margins, as evidenced by the company's own cautious outlook and narrowed earnings per share guidance in response to macroeconomic challenges.
  2. Intense Competition: Tractor Supply operates in a highly competitive retail environment, facing competition from a wide array of retailers including general merchandise, home center, pet, specialty, discount, independent farm and ranch stores, regional chains, farm cooperatives, and online retailers. The narrowing competitive gap in comparable sales with rivals poses a threat to TSCO's market share and can lead to increased pressure on pricing and promotional activities, potentially eroding profit margins.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Tariffs: The company faces risks associated with its supply chain, including potential disruptions and the impact of tariffs. Increased tariffs can lead to higher costs for imported goods, which, if not effectively mitigated or passed on to consumers, could squeeze profit margins. Shortages of key merchandise within the supply chain could also materially and adversely affect Tractor Supply’s financial condition and operational results.

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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) operates in several key markets primarily serving the rural lifestyle demographic in the United States. The addressable markets for their main products and services are sized as follows:

  • Pet Supplies, Livestock, and Equine Care: The total U.S. pet market is projected to reach approximately $157 billion in 2025.
  • Farm and Ranch Supplies: The Farm Supply Stores industry in the United States is estimated to be approximately $38.1 billion in 2025. Additionally, the U.S. agricultural equipment market was valued at $39.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $57.1 billion by 2032.
  • Home Improvement (Rural/DIY focused): The U.S. home improvement market size was valued at $534.57 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $549.27 billion in 2025. The U.S. home remodeling market was valued at $498.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $522.5 billion in 2025.
  • Lawn and Garden Supplies: The U.S. Gardening Market size was valued at around $22 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $27.4 billion by 2030. For lawn and garden consumables specifically, the U.S. market was evaluated at $6.97 billion in 2024 and is projected to be worth around $12.75 billion by 2034.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Tractor Supply (TSCO)

Over the next 2-3 years, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) anticipates several key initiatives and strategies to drive future revenue growth, as outlined in recent earnings releases, transcripts, and analyst commentary:

  1. New Store Expansion: Tractor Supply plans to continue its aggressive new store growth. The company aims to open approximately 90 new Tractor Supply stores in fiscal year 2025. Furthermore, the company has raised its long-term target for new store opportunities to 3,200 stores, an increase of 200 sites, indicating a sustained focus on expanding its physical footprint.
  2. Expansion of Life Out Here Strategy and Store Remodels (Project Fusion & Garden Centers): A significant driver involves the ongoing execution and expansion of the "Life Out Here" strategy, which includes Project Fusion remodels and the rollout of garden centers. Approximately 50% of stores are already in the Project Fusion layout, and over 550 garden centers have been completed, contributing to enhanced space productivity and customer engagement. These initiatives aim to tailor product selection to local demographics and improve the overall in-store customer experience.
  3. Growth in Digital Sales and Omnichannel Capabilities: Tractor Supply is focused on accelerating its digital capabilities and omnichannel investments. This includes a re-launched website, a new mobile app, curbside pickup, and same-day/next-day delivery options. The company's digital business has already achieved record sales, topping over $1.1 billion in 2024, and continued investment in this area is expected to drive further growth.
  4. Acquisition and Expansion of Pet and Animal Health Offerings (Allivet & Pet Rx): The acquisition of Allivet, a leading online pet pharmacy, is a crucial new growth opportunity. This acquisition is expected to add over $100 million to net sales in fiscal year 2025 and expand Tractor Supply's footprint in the growing pet wellness and animal health sector, particularly by offering pet prescriptions to its more than 37 million Neighbor's Club members. The company also plans to expand its Pet and Animal Rx capabilities.
  5. Development of New Initiatives (Direct Sales & Private/Exclusive Brands): As part of its "Life Out Here 2030" strategy, Tractor Supply is launching new initiatives such as "Direct Sales" and increasing its focus on "Private/Exclusive Brands." The Direct Sales opportunity aims to extend customer service to larger farms, small to medium businesses, and event spaces. Increasing the penetration of private label and exclusive licensed brands is intended to enhance differentiation and improve gross margins, thereby contributing to revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • In fiscal year 2023, Tractor Supply Company repurchased approximately 2.7 million shares of its common stock for $597.0 million.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2023, the company repurchased approximately 0.5 million shares for $110.4 million.
  • In January 2022, Tractor Supply's Board of Directors authorized an expanded share repurchase program of $2 billion.

Capital Expenditures

  • In fiscal year 2023, Tractor Supply Company opened 70 new Tractor Supply stores and 13 new Petsense by Tractor Supply stores.
  • The company also rebranded 81 Orscheln Farm and Home stores to Tractor Supply in 2023, which were acquired in 2022.
  • Planned growth investments in 2024 included higher depreciation and the onboarding of a new distribution center.

Better Bets vs. Tractor Supply (TSCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TSCO.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MBLY_2272026_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd02272026MBLYMobileye GlobalDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
0.0%0.0%0.0%
SAH_2202026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202202026SAHSonic AutomotiveInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.9%-5.9%-6.1%
MAT_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026MATMattelInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
2.9%2.9%0.0%
SONO_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026SONOSonosInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.7%-0.7%-4.6%
DECK_2062026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02062026DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-0.8%
TSCO_2282018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282018TSCOTractor SupplyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
34.2%49.0%-10.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TSCOHDLOWCHWYWOOFCENTMedian
NameTractor .Home Dep.Lowe's C.Chewy Petco He.Central . 
Mkt Price52.28370.81257.1727.072.6338.9145.59
Mkt Cap27.7368.2143.811.20.72.419.5
Rev LTM15,399166,18984,25612,5845,9983,09013,992
Op Inc LTM1,48821,53610,274202106239863
FCF LTM95213,9277,050487130285720
FCF 3Y Avg76916,1066,75838960323579
CFO LTM1,82817,6499,2086362573311,232
CFO 3Y Avg1,59919,5188,8385372303671,068

Growth & Margins

TSCOHDLOWCHWYWOOFCENTMedian
NameTractor .Home Dep.Lowe's C.Chewy Petco He.Central . 
Rev Chg LTM4.3%7.5%0.6%10.0%-3.9%-4.1%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%1.9%-4.2%8.5%0.2%-2.2%1.1%
Rev Chg Q7.2%2.8%3.2%8.3%-3.1%-6.0%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%0.7%0.8%1.9%-0.8%-1.2%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM9.7%13.0%12.2%1.6%1.8%7.7%8.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.9%13.7%12.5%0.9%1.2%6.9%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.1%-0.2%0.3%0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%10.6%10.9%5.1%4.3%10.7%10.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.6%12.4%10.3%4.6%3.8%11.4%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.2%8.4%8.4%3.9%2.2%9.2%7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%10.2%7.9%3.3%1.0%10.1%6.5%

Valuation

TSCOHDLOWCHWYWOOFCENTMedian
NameTractor .Home Dep.Lowe's C.Chewy Petco He.Central . 
Mkt Cap27.7368.2143.811.20.72.419.5
P/S1.82.21.70.90.10.81.3
P/EBIT18.617.013.850.16.79.015.4
P/E25.125.321.254.3-335.815.323.1
P/CFO15.220.915.617.62.97.215.4
Total Yield4.0%6.4%6.5%1.8%-0.3%6.5%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%1.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%4.5%5.0%3.1%7.6%13.7%4.8%
D/E0.20.20.30.04.00.60.3
Net D/E0.20.20.3-0.03.70.30.2

Returns

TSCOHDLOWCHWYWOOFCENTMedian
NameTractor .Home Dep.Lowe's C.Chewy Petco He.Central . 
1M Rtn3.2%-1.0%-3.7%-7.0%-2.2%15.0%-1.6%
3M Rtn-2.1%3.8%4.8%-22.2%-13.5%15.4%0.8%
6M Rtn-14.6%-7.7%0.6%-33.9%-34.1%6.8%-11.2%
12M Rtn-3.9%-4.2%5.5%-27.3%-2.2%10.3%-3.1%
3Y Rtn19.7%34.1%36.5%-32.8%-74.5%19.5%19.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%1.0%-2.3%-8.9%-4.5%18.4%-0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-4.9%4.0%5.9%-21.9%-23.7%12.7%-0.5%
6M Excs Rtn-21.7%-13.7%-5.0%-40.5%-24.4%2.4%-17.7%
12M Excs Rtn-20.2%-20.0%-10.5%-42.5%-20.4%-4.2%-20.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.7%-37.8%-36.6%-103.4%-147.5%-53.4%-53.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Livestock, Equine & Agriculture3,9303,9775,9844,9923,925
Companion Animal3,6393,267   
Seasonal & Recreation3,2023,1252,6742,2301,754
Truck, Tool & Hardware2,3292,2732,6742,2301,670
Clothing, Gift & Décor1,4561,5631,018743668
Agriculture  382425334
Total14,55614,20512,73110,6208,352


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$52.28 
Market Cap ($ Bil)27.7 
First Trading Date02/18/1994 
Distance from 52W High-15.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$52.25$54.32
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA0.1%-3.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.2%28.7%
Downside Capture28.0761.67
Upside Capture12.5247.86
Correlation (SPY)7.4%35.9%
TSCO Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.100.380.220.330.530.62
Up Beta1.441.281.101.380.680.76
Down Beta-0.88-0.04-0.33-0.220.310.44
Up Capture-39%43%7%2%35%28%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days10212963131395
Down Capture47%22%43%60%71%87%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days11203261120356

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TSCO
TSCO-2.8%28.7%-0.10-
Sector ETF (XLY)9.4%24.1%0.3235.6%
Equity (SPY)18.4%19.3%0.7535.9%
Gold (GLD)86.5%25.7%2.415.6%
Commodities (DBC)16.5%17.1%0.738.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.1%16.6%0.2448.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-22.3%45.0%-0.4311.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TSCO
TSCO11.5%27.8%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.8%23.7%0.2945.8%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.0%0.6346.9%
Gold (GLD)23.9%17.2%1.145.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.1%19.0%0.479.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%18.8%0.1741.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.2%56.8%0.3316.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TSCO
TSCO13.4%28.8%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.2%21.9%0.5548.1%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7347.0%
Gold (GLD)15.6%15.6%0.842.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.9%17.6%0.4215.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.5%20.7%0.2835.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)65.1%66.8%1.0510.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1312026-8.8%
Average Daily Volume6.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity529.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/29/2026-7.6%0.3%-5.6%
10/23/20252.8%-1.1%-4.0%
7/24/2025-0.5%-3.0%2.3%
4/24/2025-3.4%-0.2%-2.1%
1/30/2025-5.0%-6.2%-2.8%
10/24/2024-6.1%-8.3%-6.3%
7/25/2024-1.9%0.3%1.1%
4/25/20242.8%5.1%9.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91213
# Negative141110
Median Positive4.0%4.9%4.4%
Median Negative-3.9%-3.8%-3.4%
Max Positive6.0%10.0%14.2%
Max Negative-8.1%-11.1%-12.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kersey, MelissaEVP Chief HR OfficerDirectSell815202559.786,313377,4262,036,878Form
2Weikel, Mark J DirectSell811202559.928,000479,3602,545,282Form
3Yankee, ColinEVP Chief Supply Chain OfficerDirectSell730202558.406,680390,1212,344,365Form
4Ellison, Noni LSVP General CounselDirectSell728202563.965,200332,5921,831,729Form
5Barton, Kurt DEVP Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell728202563.9690,0005,756,4003,051,870Form