Builders FirstSource (BLDR)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $88.03 | Market Cap: $9.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Builders FirstSource (BLDR)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $88.03Market Cap: $9.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.8% Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.7 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% Key risksBLDR key risks include [1] its dependence on the highly cyclical homebuilding industry, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.8% |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Key risksBLDR key risks include [1] its dependence on the highly cyclical homebuilding industry, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Builders FirstSource reported a significant earnings and revenue miss for Q4 2025 and provided a subdued outlook for 2026.
The company announced its Q4 2025 results on February 17, 2026, reporting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.12, which missed analyst estimates of $1.24 by $0.12. Net sales reached $3.36 billion, falling short of the $3.53 billion consensus estimate by approximately $170 million. This represented a 12.1% year-over-year decrease in net sales, primarily attributed to a "below-normal starts environment" and commodity deflation. Adjusted EBITDA declined by 44.3% to $274.9 million, and adjusted EPS was down 52% year-over-year. For the full year 2026, the company projected net sales in the range of $14.8 billion to $15.8 billion, implying a continued decline from the $15.19 billion reported for 2025.
2. Deteriorating housing market conditions and persistent macroeconomic headwinds impacted demand for building materials.
Analysts and industry experts pointed to softness and uncertainty in the housing market as a significant factor. Mortgage rates have risen, reaching 6.37% after being at 5.98% in February 2026, influenced by geopolitical events, which dampened buyer activity. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) revised its 2026 forecast on April 13, 2026, projecting a more modest 4% increase in existing-home sales, a sharp reduction from an earlier 14% growth prediction, and anticipated new-home sales to remain flat, down from an initial 5% growth expectation. High borrowing costs and stricter lending standards continued to temper residential project starts, contributing to a cautious transition in the overall U.S. construction market for 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.7% change in BLDR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 102.89 | 87.77 | -14.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,653 | 15,191 | -3.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.8% | 2.9% | -24.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.1 | 22.3 | 16.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111 | 111 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BLDR | -14.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 43.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.8% | 60.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.6% change in BLDR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 121.25 | 87.77 | -27.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,944 | 15,191 | -4.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.7% | 2.9% | -39.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.8 | 22.3 | 25.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111 | 111 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BLDR | -27.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 41.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.8% | 58.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.8% change in BLDR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.94 | 87.77 | -29.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,400 | 15,191 | -7.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.6% | 2.9% | -56.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.3 | 22.3 | 67.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 115 | 111 | 3.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BLDR | -29.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 43.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 33.7% | 54.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.1% change in BLDR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -76.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 88.78 | 87.77 | -1.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22,726 | 15,191 | -33.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.1% | 2.9% | -76.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.7 | 22.3 | 375.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 145 | 111 | 31.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BLDR | -1.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 44.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 78.7% | 53.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BLDR Return | 110% | -24% | 157% | -14% | -28% | -17% | 109% |
| Peers Return | 55% | -11% | 62% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 192% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BLDR Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 83% | 58% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 43% | 63% | 55% | 53% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BLDR Max Drawdown | -7% | -42% | 0% | -21% | -34% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -37% | -8% | -12% | -14% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BLDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 252 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2249.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,276 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT
In The Past
Builders FirstSource's stock fell -41.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -41.6% loss requires a 71.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Builders FirstSource (BLDR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are brief analogies to describe Builders FirstSource (BLDR):
- They're like the Home Depot or Lowe's for professional homebuilders and contractors, supplying a vast array of materials and components.
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- Lumber and Lumber Sheet Goods: Supplies dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board products used in on-site house framing.
- Manufactured Components: Produces wood floor and roof trusses, steel roof trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products.
- Windows and Doors: Provides interior and exterior door units and windows.
- Interior and Exterior Trims and Custom Products: Offers a range of trim products and custom items under the Synboard brand.
- Gypsum, Roofing, and Insulation Products: Sells wallboards, ceilings, joint treatments, finishes, roofing materials, and insulation products.
- Siding, Metal, and Concrete Products: Distributes vinyl, composite, wood siding, exterior trims, metal studs, and cement products.
- Other Building Products: Offers additional building materials such as cabinets and hardware.
- Turn-key Framing and Shell Construction Services: Provides comprehensive services for complete framing and shell construction.
- Design Assistance Services: Offers professional guidance and support for project design.
- Professional Installation Services: Delivers expert installation for various building materials and components.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) primarily sells to other companies. Its major customers include:
- Professional homebuilders
- Sub-contractors
- Remodelers
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- Jeld-Wen (JELD)
- Owens Corning (OC)
- James Hardie (JHX)
- Louisiana-Pacific (LPX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Peter Jackson, President & Chief Executive Officer
Peter Jackson was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Builders FirstSource, effective November 6, 2024. Prior to this role, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer from 2016 to 2024, where he played a key role in developing and executing the company's growth strategy, overseeing capital allocation, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), leading digital transformation, and architecting the business intelligence platform. Mr. Jackson has nearly 30 years of leadership experience, with 17 years in the building products industry, including seven years with Builders FirstSource. Before joining Builders FirstSource, he held various leadership roles at Lennox International, Inc., including Global Refrigeration Segment CFO, and also worked with SPX Corporation, General Electric, and Gerber Scientific. He began his career in public accounting.Pete Beckmann, Chief Financial Officer
Pete Beckmann serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Builders FirstSource, a position he assumed, succeeding Peter Jackson, effective November 6, 2024. In this role, he oversees accounting and controls, financial planning and analysis, investor relations, treasury, tax, and mergers and acquisitions. Before becoming CFO, Mr. Beckmann was the Senior Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis, providing strategic financial support across the enterprise. He possesses over 25 years of experience with Builders FirstSource and its legacy companies, having held various leadership roles in finance and serving as a key financial partner to operations.Steve Herron, Chief Operating Officer
Steve Herron is the Chief Operating Officer of Builders FirstSource. In this capacity, he is responsible for overseeing the performance and day-to-day operational and administrative functions of the company.Timothy Johnson, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Timothy Johnson holds the titles of Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for Builders FirstSource, having joined the company in January 2021. He is responsible for the company's legal, compliance, ethics, corporate governance, mergers and acquisitions, real estate, intellectual property, litigation, risk management, and human resources functions. Mr. Johnson has over 15 years of private and corporate legal experience. Prior to the merger of Builders FirstSource and BMC, he held the same executive leadership roles at BMC Stock Holdings, Inc. His previous experience includes serving as Senior Vice President and General Counsel of Ply Gem, a prominent manufacturer of building products. He also served as Vice President and Regional Counsel of Arysta LifeScience and worked as an attorney for the international law firms Hunton Andrews Kurth and Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati.Johnny Cope, President, Commercial
Johnny Cope is the President, Commercial for Builders FirstSource. He is responsible for all sales and national account customer initiatives, marketing, customer segment strategy, and innovation, aiming to drive sales across all lines of business and strengthen partnerships. Mr. Cope brings nearly three decades of industry experience to his role, having joined Builders FirstSource in June 2024 from James Hardie, where he served as the Senior Vice President of North American Sales.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to the business of Builders FirstSource (BLDR):- Cyclicality of the Housing Market and Construction Industry: Builders FirstSource's financial performance is inherently tied to the health of the U.S. residential construction market, including new home construction and remodeling activities. The company is highly susceptible to economic downturns, fluctuations in interest rates, affordability concerns, and changes in consumer confidence, which directly impact housing starts and demand for building materials and services. Projections for both single-family and multi-family housing starts directly reflect pressure on the company's core segments.
- Volatility in Raw Material and Commodity Prices: As a major manufacturer and supplier of building materials such as lumber, wood products, steel, and gypsum, Builders FirstSource is significantly exposed to the volatility of commodity prices. Fluctuations in these prices, particularly periods of commodity deflation, can severely impact the company's cost of goods sold, gross margins, and overall profitability.
- Intense Market Competition and Operational Challenges: The building materials and construction services industry is highly competitive. Builders FirstSource faces risks from intense competition, including potential consolidation among homebuilders and subcontractors, which could increase competition for business. Additionally, the company's growth strategies, including strategic acquisitions and efforts to implement operational excellence initiatives, present operational risks. Effective integration of acquired entities and managing labor costs and shortages are crucial for sustained growth and profitability.
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Builders FirstSource (BLDR) operates within several significant addressable markets across the United States for its main products and services:
- Lumber and Lumber Sheet Goods: The U.S. sawmill and wood market, which includes lumber, was valued at approximately USD 51.2 billion in 2024. Separately, the U.S. hardwood lumber market size is estimated to reach $6.1 billion by 2030.
- Manufactured Components (e.g., Trusses): The U.S. structural trusser manufacturing industry market size was valued at approximately USD 11.7 billion in 2023.
- Windows and Doors: The U.S. window and door market size was approximately USD 25.9 billion in 2024 and estimated at USD 27.71 billion in 2023.
- Gypsum and Drywall Products: The U.S. gypsum board market size was estimated at USD 15.6 billion in 2023. The US Drywall and Gypsum Board Market is expected to be valued at 6.2 billion USD in 2024.
- Roofing Products: The United States roofing market size was valued at USD 49.50 billion in 2024. Other estimates for the U.S. roofing market include USD 29.65 billion in 2024.
- Insulation Products: The U.S. insulation market size was valued at approximately USD 13.52 billion in 2024 and USD 12.51 billion in 2023. Another source indicates the U.S. insulation market size was USD 10.92 billion in 2025.
- Siding Products: The United States siding industry had an estimated revenue of USD 28.5 billion in 2024. The US siding market size was 18.7 billion USD in 2024.
- Overall Building Materials: The U.S. construction materials market was valued at approximately USD 145.0 billion in 2024.
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Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market improvements:
- Recovery and Stabilization of the Housing Market: Despite recent challenges with declining single-family and multifamily housing starts, Builders FirstSource anticipates a market stabilization and eventual recovery. An improved housing market, driven by factors such as easing mortgage rates and more balanced new-home inventories, is expected to unlock demand and naturally increase sales of building materials and services. The repair and remodel (R&R) segment is also projected to see growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Market Expansion: The company has a demonstrated history of utilizing strategic mergers and acquisitions to expand its geographic footprint and diversify its product and service offerings. Acquisitions completed in 2024 and 2025, including those that broaden value-added and modular housing options, are anticipated to contribute to net sales growth.
- Growth in Value-Added Products and Services: Builders FirstSource is heavily investing in and prioritizing its value-added solutions, such as manufactured components (e.g., wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels), install services, and other specialized offerings. These solutions are considered key differentiators and drivers of organic growth, with investments in new facilities and plant expansions aimed at meeting escalating customer demand.
- Digital Transformation and Technology Adoption: Significant investment in digital platforms and technology is a core part of the company's strategy to enhance operational efficiency and improve the customer experience. The digital platform has seen substantial year-over-year increases in processed quotes, indicating growing adoption and the potential for incremental sales by streamlining the building process for contractors and builders.
- Expansion into Modular Housing: Builders FirstSource is actively expanding its prefabricated component strategy, including through acquisitions like Pleasant Valley Homes. This initiative aims to address critical industry challenges such as housing affordability and labor shortages by offering cost-competitive, factory-built housing options, representing an exciting new avenue for growth.
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to BLDR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | NSP | Insperity | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | TNC | Tennant | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | HURN | Huron Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TRU | TransUnion | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 03202026 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.4% | 1.4% | -2.9% |
| 05312025 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | -23.5% | -26.8% |
| 08312022 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 46.3% | 147.5% | -9.8% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 125.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.0 |
| Rev LTM | 4,655 |
| Op Inc LTM | 575 |
| FCF LTM | 467 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 493 |
| CFO LTM | 683 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 712 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.0 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 17.1 |
| P/E | 28.0 |
| P/CFO | 13.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 95.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 33.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumber & lumber sheet goods | 4,269 | 4,126 | 8,087 | 8,455 | 3,076 |
| Windows, doors & millwork | 4,238 | 4,310 | 4,653 | 3,401 | 1,629 |
| Manufactured products | 3,986 | 4,669 | 5,676 | 4,404 | 1,640 |
| Specialty building products & services | 3,907 | 3,992 | 4,311 | 3,634 | |
| Gypsum, roofing & insulation | 515 | ||||
| Other building products & services | 925 | ||||
| Siding, metal & concrete products | 774 | ||||
| Total | 16,400 | 17,097 | 22,726 | 19,894 | 8,559 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $87.77 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/28/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -41.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $97.75 | $115.85 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -10.2% | -24.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 45.5% | 47.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.72 | 0.92 |
| Upside Capture | -47.54 | 94.80 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.3% | 40.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.05 | 1.44 | 1.78 | 1.52 | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Up Beta | 3.04 | 2.90 | 2.99 | 1.74 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Down Beta | 1.94 | 2.66 | 2.39 | 2.01 | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| Up Capture | 98% | -36% | 78% | 70% | 95% | 249% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 100 | 364 |
| Down Capture | 244% | 159% | 151% | 147% | 135% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 16 | 30 | 42 | 83 | 151 | 385 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BLDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLDR | -25.1% | 47.7% | -0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 42.1% | 15.4% | 2.08 | 55.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 42.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | 4.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 46.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 16.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BLDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLDR | 13.9% | 44.9% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 17.3% | 0.61 | 59.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 54.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 8.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 50.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 22.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BLDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLDR | 23.1% | 47.5% | 0.62 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 19.9% | 0.63 | 60.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 56.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 19.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 50.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.7% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/17/2026 | -0.1% | -6.5% | -21.0% |
| 10/30/2025 | -3.1% | -3.2% | -1.8% |
| 7/31/2025 | 0.8% | 3.7% | 11.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | -6.4% | -11.4% | -10.0% |
| 2/20/2025 | -0.3% | -1.9% | -11.1% |
| 11/5/2024 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| 8/6/2024 | 4.1% | 2.4% | 12.8% |
| 5/7/2024 | -19.0% | -16.7% | -25.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.1% | 6.5% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -6.5% | -10.5% |
| Max Positive | 8.5% | 16.2% | 27.6% |
| Max Negative | -19.0% | -16.7% | -25.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/17/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 14.80 Bil | 15.30 Bil | 15.80 Bil | 0.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 15.25 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Gross Profit margin | 28.5% | 29.25% | 30.0% | -3.5% | -1.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 30.3% for 2025 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.30 Bil | 1.50 Bil | 1.70 Bil | -9.1% | Lower New | Guidance: 1.65 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | -9.7% | -1.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 10.85% for 2025 |
| 2026 Free cash flow | 500.00 Mil | -44.4% | Lower New | Guidance: 900.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Productivity savings | 50.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 14.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 52.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures | 250.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | -15.4% | Lower New | Guidance: 325.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Interest expense | 270.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 280.00 Mil | 0 | Same New | Guidance: 275.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Effective tax rate | 20.0% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 0 | 0 | Same New | Guidance: 21.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Depreciation and amortization expenses | 525.00 Mil | 550.00 Mil | 575.00 Mil | -4.4% | Lower New | Guidance: 575.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net Sales | 15.10 Bil | 15.25 Bil | 15.40 Bil | 0.3% | Raised | Guidance: 15.20 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Gross Profit margin | 30.1% | 30.3% | 30.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | Raised | Guidance: 29.75% for 2025 |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.62 Bil | 1.65 Bil | 1.68 Bil | 3.1% | Raised | Guidance: 1.60 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA margin | 10.6% | 10.85% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% | Raised | Guidance: 10.5% for 2025 |
| 2025 Free cash flow | 800.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 900.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Productivity savings | 45.00 Mil | 52.50 Mil | 60.00 Mil | -4.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 55.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital expenditures | 300.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | 350.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 325.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Interest expense | 270.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 280.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 275.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Effective tax rate | 20.0% | 21.0% | 22.0% | -12.5% | -3.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 24.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Depreciation and amortization expenses | 550.00 Mil | 575.00 Mil | 600.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnson, Timothy D | EVP & General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 144.85 | 1,250 | 181,062 | 10,649,517 | Form |
| 2 | Vance, Todd | President - East Division | Direct | Buy | 6122025 | 115.50 | 1,948 | 224,994 | 3,594,476 | Form |
| 3 | Charles, Dirkson R | trust | Buy | 5292025 | 109.67 | 5,000 | 548,350 | 548,350 | Form | |
| 4 | Levy, Paul S | Direct | Buy | 5122025 | 110.65 | 216,483 | 23,953,844 | 153,711,660 | Form | |
| 5 | Levy, Paul S | Direct | Buy | 5122025 | 111.21 | 283,517 | 31,529,926 | 186,019,521 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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