Builders FirstSource (BLDR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $113.78 | Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Builders FirstSource (BLDR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $113.78Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BLDR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) experienced a stock decline of approximately 17.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily due to several key factors related to its third-quarter 2025 financial performance and broader housing market challenges.
1. Weak Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Builders FirstSource reported a significant year-over-year downturn in its financial performance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Net sales decreased by 6.9% to $3.9 billion, largely driven by lower core organic net sales and commodity deflation. The company also saw a substantial 57.0% decline in net income, which fell to $122.4 million, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $1.10 compared to $2.44 in the prior year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BLDR Return | 61% | 110% | -24% | 157% | -14% | -22% | 341% |
| Peers Return | 41% | 55% | -11% | 62% | 9% | 13% | 285% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BLDR Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 58% | 83% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 63% | 43% | 63% | 55% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BLDR Max Drawdown | -58% | -7% | -42% | 0% | -21% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -3% | -37% | -8% | -12% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BLDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 252 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2249.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3276 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT
In The Past
Builders FirstSource's stock fell -41.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -41.6% loss requires a 71.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BLDR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 09302023 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 67.5% | 56.0% | -14.7% |
| 08312022 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 46.3% | 147.5% | -9.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 09302023 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 67.5% | 56.0% | -14.7% |
| 08312022 | BLDR | Builders FirstSource | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 46.3% | 147.5% | -9.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Builders FirstSource
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Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufactured products | 4,669 | 5,676 | 4,404 | 1,640 | 1,450 |
| Windows, doors & millwork | 4,310 | 4,653 | 3,401 | 1,629 | 1,543 |
| Lumber & lumber sheet goods | 4,126 | 8,087 | 8,455 | 3,076 | 2,252 |
| Specialty building products & services | 3,992 | 4,311 | 3,634 | ||
| Gypsum, roofing & insulation | 515 | 529 | |||
| Other building products & services | 925 | 795 | |||
| Siding, metal & concrete products | 774 | 713 | |||
| Total | 17,097 | 22,726 | 19,894 | 8,559 | 7,280 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Johnson Timothy D | EVP & General Counsel | 8262025 | Sell | 144.85 | 1,250 | 181,062 | 10,649,517 | Form |
| 1 | Vance Todd | President - East Division | 6122025 | Buy | 115.50 | 1,948 | 224,994 | 3,594,476 | Form |
| 2 | Charles Dirkson R | 5292025 | Buy | 109.67 | 5,000 | 548,350 | 548,350 | Form | |
| 3 | LEVY PAUL S | 5122025 | Buy | 110.65 | 216,483 | 23,953,844 | 153,711,660 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |