Tearsheet

Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $51.35 | Market Cap: $621.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $51.35
Market Cap: $621.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Restaurant Automation.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.4%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Restaurant Automation.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.4%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KRUS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Kura Sushi USA (KRUS) stock moved by approximately -39.2% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Weak Full-Year Revenue Guidance. The company's full-year revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026, provided during the November 6, 2025, fiscal Q4 2025 earnings call, came in below analysts' forecasts, a significant concern for investors despite an earnings beat.

2. Concerns over Comparable Restaurant Sales and Traffic. Kura Sushi reported a 1.3% decrease in comparable restaurant sales for the full fiscal year 2025. While the fiscal fourth quarter saw a slight increase, the overall trend and broader industry challenges, including slowing customer traffic for the sit-down dining segment, contributed to investor apprehension about sustained growth from existing restaurants.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KRUS Return-23%315%-41%59%19%-45%97%
Peers Return18%25%3%-2%8%-7%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KRUS Win Rate42%75%42%75%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate20%23%20%15%18%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KRUS Max Drawdown-79%-8%-60%-16%-36%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-2%-12%-9%-10%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GST, BH, RICK, BRCB, CADV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKRUSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven151.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven445.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days

Compare to GST, BH, RICK, BRCB, CADV


In The Past

Kura Sushi USA's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)

Better Bets than Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KRUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kura Sushi USA

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KRUSGSTBHRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameKura Sus.Ga Sai T.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
Mkt Price51.60-308.6025.1824.68-38.39
Mkt Cap0.6-0.40.2--0.4
Rev LTM283-387282--283
Op Inc LTM-5-2447--24
FCF LTM-24-8134--34
FCF 3Y Avg-25-5428--28
CFO LTM25-10751--51
CFO 3Y Avg19-8056--56

Growth & Margins

KRUSGSTBHRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameKura Sus.Ga Sai T.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
Rev Chg LTM18.9%-6.9%-5.3%--6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.2%-1.7%4.2%--4.2%
Rev Chg Q20.4%-10.3%-6.6%--10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%-2.5%-1.8%--2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-6.2%16.6%--6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.9%-8.1%19.8%--8.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.2%-1.0%-1.3%--1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%-27.7%18.2%--18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%-21.3%19.4%--19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.4%-21.0%11.9%--11.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.9%-14.2%9.7%--9.7%

Valuation

KRUSGSTBHRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameKura Sus.Ga Sai T.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
Mkt Cap0.6-0.40.2--0.4
P/S2.5-1.11.2--1.2
P/EBIT-433.3-61.29.3--9.3
P/E-377.5-200.820.2--20.2
P/CFO29.1-3.96.5--6.5
Total Yield-0.3%-0.5%5.7%--0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%0.7%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.2%-17.5%6.6%--6.6%
D/E0.2-0.80.8--0.8
Net D/E0.1--0.10.7--0.1

Returns

KRUSGSTBHRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameKura Sus.Ga Sai T.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
1M Rtn-4.5%--13.3%4.9%1.7%--1.4%
3M Rtn-39.0%--0.4%-29.4%---29.4%
6M Rtn-33.1%-18.5%-37.8%---33.1%
12M Rtn-49.6%-37.8%-50.0%---49.6%
3Y Rtn-25.5%-112.9%-71.6%---25.5%
1M Excs Rtn-4.5%--13.2%4.9%1.7%--1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-43.2%--6.1%-35.6%---35.6%
6M Excs Rtn-47.8%-3.8%-52.5%---47.8%
12M Excs Rtn-65.3%-33.1%-65.2%---65.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.4%-47.2%-143.8%---93.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,453,937
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.8%
Average Daily Volume534,895
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.72
Basic Shares Quantity12,099,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251106202510-K 8/31/2025
5312025708202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025408202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024107202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241108202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024709202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231109202310-K 8/31/2023
5312023706202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023404202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221110202210-K 8/31/2022
5312022707202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/30/2021