Tearsheet

Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $44.65 | Market Cap: $540.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $44.65
Market Cap: $540.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Restaurant Automation.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.4%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Restaurant Automation.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.4%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

KRUS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the approximate -49.1% movement in Kura Sushi USA (KRUS) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:

1. Weak Comparable Restaurant Sales Performance: Kura Sushi USA reported a decrease of 2.1% in comparable restaurant sales for the fiscal third quarter ended May 31, 2025, primarily driven by negative customer traffic. While the fiscal fourth quarter saw a slight increase of 0.2% in comparable sales, the full fiscal year 2025 comparable restaurant sales still experienced a decline of 1.3%, indicating ongoing difficulties in attracting and retaining customers at existing locations.

2. Decelerating Comparable Sales Trends and Cautious Outlook: Despite beating Q4 fiscal 2025 EPS and revenue estimates, the modest 0.2% comparable sales growth in the fourth quarter was perceived as a deceleration from earlier positive momentum observed in parts of Q3. Analysts noted that this softening trend appeared to persist into the first quarter of fiscal 2026, contributing to concerns about sustained top-line growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KRUS Return-23%315%-41%59%19%-51%75%
Peers Return18%25%3%-2%72%-28%87%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KRUS Win Rate42%75%42%75%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate20%23%20%24%28%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KRUS Max Drawdown-79%-8%-60%-16%-36%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-2%-12%-9%-12%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CHSN, HCHL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKRUSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven151.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven445.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days

Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CHSN, HCHL


In The Past

Kura Sushi USA's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)

Better Bets than Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KRUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kura Sushi USA

Financials

KRUSBHRICKBRCBCHSNHCHLMedian
NameKura Sus.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Chanson .Happy Ci. 
Mkt Price44.64307.6023.1321.142.083.0222.13
Mkt Cap0.50.40.2---0.4
Rev LTM283387282---283
Op Inc LTM-52447---24
FCF LTM-248134---34
FCF 3Y Avg-255428---28
CFO LTM2510751---51
CFO 3Y Avg198056---56

Growth & Margins

KRUSBHRICKBRCBCHSNHCHLMedian
NameKura Sus.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Chanson .Happy Ci. 
Rev Chg LTM18.9%6.9%-5.3%---6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.2%1.7%4.2%---4.2%
Rev Chg Q20.4%10.3%-6.6%---10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%2.5%-1.8%---2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1.7%6.2%16.6%---6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.9%8.1%19.8%---8.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.2%1.0%-1.3%---1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%27.7%18.2%---18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%21.3%19.4%---19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.4%21.0%11.9%---11.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.9%14.2%9.7%---9.7%

Valuation

KRUSBHRICKBRCBCHSNHCHLMedian
NameKura Sus.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Chanson .Happy Ci. 
Mkt Cap0.50.40.2---0.4
P/S1.91.00.7---1.0
P/EBIT-325.658.15.7---5.7
P/E-283.7190.912.3---12.3
P/CFO21.93.74.0---4.0
Total Yield-0.4%0.5%9.4%---0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.2%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.2%17.5%6.6%---6.6%
D/E0.30.91.3---0.9
Net D/E0.2-0.11.2---0.2

Returns

KRUSBHRICKBRCBCHSNHCHLMedian
NameKura Sus.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Chanson .Happy Ci. 
1M Rtn-26.5%-14.8%-14.0%-9.8%-14.0%-13.0%-14.0%
3M Rtn-41.5%1.5%-36.3%--36.6%3.8%-36.3%
6M Rtn-32.7%27.4%-44.9%--95.3%--38.8%
12M Rtn-50.0%46.5%-52.9%--99.6%--51.4%
3Y Rtn-29.6%114.1%-73.0%----29.6%
1M Excs Rtn-26.6%-14.9%-14.1%-9.9%-14.2%-13.1%-14.1%
3M Excs Rtn-47.6%-3.2%-40.3%--27.0%-1.0%-27.0%
6M Excs Rtn-44.6%15.5%-56.8%--107.1%--50.7%
12M Excs Rtn-63.3%39.3%-65.1%--111.1%--64.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-106.3%40.8%-140.6%----106.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,480,266
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume238,446
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.21
Basic Shares Quantity12,099,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-11.3%-12.9% 
7/8/2025-11.9%-16.4%-2.7%
4/8/202531.6%30.2%46.0%
11/6/2024-8.1%-10.5%3.2%
6/27/2024-23.4%-28.2%-32.3%
4/4/20246.0%8.9%2.0%
11/8/2023-10.5%-6.6%-3.7%
7/6/202317.4%27.8%8.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7710
# Negative11118
Median Positive17.4%27.8%4.7%
Median Negative-11.5%-10.5%-8.6%
Max Positive33.6%43.0%56.9%
Max Negative-23.4%-30.4%-35.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251106202510-K 8/31/2025
5312025708202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025408202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024107202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241108202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024709202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231109202310-K 8/31/2023
5312023706202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023404202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221110202210-K 8/31/2022
5312022707202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/30/2021

Insider Activity

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