Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $44.65 | Market Cap: $540.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Kura Sushi USA (KRUS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $44.65Market Cap: $540.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Restaurant Automation. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Restaurant Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
KRUS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the approximate -49.1% movement in Kura Sushi USA (KRUS) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Weak Comparable Restaurant Sales Performance: Kura Sushi USA reported a decrease of 2.1% in comparable restaurant sales for the fiscal third quarter ended May 31, 2025, primarily driven by negative customer traffic. While the fiscal fourth quarter saw a slight increase of 0.2% in comparable sales, the full fiscal year 2025 comparable restaurant sales still experienced a decline of 1.3%, indicating ongoing difficulties in attracting and retaining customers at existing locations.
2. Decelerating Comparable Sales Trends and Cautious Outlook: Despite beating Q4 fiscal 2025 EPS and revenue estimates, the modest 0.2% comparable sales growth in the fourth quarter was perceived as a deceleration from earlier positive momentum observed in parts of Q3. Analysts noted that this softening trend appeared to persist into the first quarter of fiscal 2026, contributing to concerns about sustained top-line growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KRUS Return | -23% | 315% | -41% | 59% | 19% | -51% | 75% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 25% | 3% | -2% | 72% | -28% | 87% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KRUS Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 42% | 75% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 20% | 23% | 20% | 24% | 28% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KRUS Max Drawdown | -79% | -8% | -60% | -16% | -36% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -2% | -12% | -9% | -12% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CHSN, HCHL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KRUS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 445.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 148 days |
Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CHSN, HCHL
In The Past
Kura Sushi USA's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KRUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kura Sushi USA
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 283 |
| Op Inc LTM | 24 |
| FCF LTM | 34 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 28 |
| CFO LTM | 51 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 56 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 5.7 |
| P/E | 12.3 |
| P/CFO | 4.0 |
| Total Yield | 0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -36.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -38.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -51.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -29.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -27.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -50.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -64.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -106.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -11.3% | -12.9% | |
| 7/8/2025 | -11.9% | -16.4% | -2.7% |
| 4/8/2025 | 31.6% | 30.2% | 46.0% |
| 11/6/2024 | -8.1% | -10.5% | 3.2% |
| 6/27/2024 | -23.4% | -28.2% | -32.3% |
| 4/4/2024 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| 11/8/2023 | -10.5% | -6.6% | -3.7% |
| 7/6/2023 | 17.4% | 27.8% | 8.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 17.4% | 27.8% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -11.5% | -10.5% | -8.6% |
| Max Positive | 33.6% | 43.0% | 56.9% |
| Max Negative | -23.4% | -30.4% | -35.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 11062025 | 10-K 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7082025 | 10-Q 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4082025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1072025 | 10-Q 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 11082024 | 10-K 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7092024 | 10-Q 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4042024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1042024 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 11092023 | 10-K 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7062023 | 10-Q 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4042023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1052023 | 10-Q 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 11102022 | 10-K 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7072022 | 10-Q 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4072022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1062022 | 10-Q 11/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |