GEN Restaurant (GENK)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $1.54 | Market Cap: $8.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
GEN Restaurant (GENK)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $1.54Market Cap: $8.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 21% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 2142% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 33.42 |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 2142% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 33.42 |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
GEN Restaurant (GENK) stock has lost about 40% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant Miss in Q3 2025 Financial Results and Declining Sales.
GEN Restaurant Group reported disappointing third-quarter 2025 results on November 7, 2025, just before the specified period. The company posted an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.11, substantially missing analyst expectations of -$0.04. Revenue for the quarter was $50.4 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $54 million. Crucially, same-store sales declined by 9.9%, which was worse than the anticipated 7% drop. Net income also experienced a dramatic year-over-year drop of 2364% to -$566K.
2. Worsening Macroeconomic Environment and Softened Consumer Spending.
The stock's decline was exacerbated by broader macroeconomic pressures and a downturn in restaurant customer traffic. In Q4 2025, U.S. Quick-Service Restaurant (QSR) traffic decreased by 2.0% year-over-year. Consumers, particularly lower- and middle-income segments, became more price-sensitive, leading to a "Value War" within the restaurant industry and a general pullback on discretionary dining. GENK specifically noted a downturn among its Hispanic customer base, which accounts for 30%-50% of its clientele. Rising utility and gasoline prices further complicated the financial outlook for the company and contributed to negative investor sentiment.
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1. Significant Miss in Q3 2025 Financial Results and Declining Sales.
GEN Restaurant Group reported disappointing third-quarter 2025 results on November 7, 2025, just before the specified period. The company posted an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.11, substantially missing analyst expectations of -$0.04. Revenue for the quarter was $50.4 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $54 million. Crucially, same-store sales declined by 9.9%, which was worse than the anticipated 7% drop. Net income also experienced a dramatic year-over-year drop of 2364% to -$566K.
2. Worsening Macroeconomic Environment and Softened Consumer Spending.
The stock's decline was exacerbated by broader macroeconomic pressures and a downturn in restaurant customer traffic. In Q4 2025, U.S. Quick-Service Restaurant (QSR) traffic decreased by 2.0% year-over-year. Consumers, particularly lower- and middle-income segments, became more price-sensitive, leading to a "Value War" within the restaurant industry and a general pullback on discretionary dining. GENK specifically noted a downturn among its Hispanic customer base, which accounts for 30%-50% of its clientele. Rising utility and gasoline prices further complicated the financial outlook for the company and contributed to negative investor sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.9% change in GENK stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.53 | 1.52 | -39.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 217 | 217 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.0 | -39.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 5 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | -39.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 30.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -6.2% | 32.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -52.5% change in GENK stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.20 | 1.52 | -52.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 216 | 217 | 0.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.0 | -51.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 5 | -2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -52.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | -52.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 30.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.2% | 32.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -73.6% change in GENK stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -74.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.76 | 1.52 | -73.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 199 | 217 | 9.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.0 | -74.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 5 | -7.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -73.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | -73.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 41.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 3.4% | 40.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | ||
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 56.0% | 30.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GENK Return | - | - | -49% | -4% | -72% | -27% | -90% |
| Peers Return | 66% | -11% | 40% | 48% | -17% | 4% | 164% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GENK Win Rate | - | - | 43% | 42% | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 40% | 63% | 58% | 42% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GENK Max Drawdown | - | - | -56% | -25% | -72% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -33% | -5% | -25% | -29% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KRUS, DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GENK has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KRUS, DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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About GEN Restaurant (GENK)
GEN Korean BBQ is one of the largest Asian casual dining restaurant concepts by total revenue in the United States. Founded by two Korean immigrants, since the opening of our first restaurant in September 2011 we have grown to 34 company-owned restaurants as of June 14, 2023 by delivering an engaging and interactive dining experience where our guests serve as their own chefs. We offer an extensive menu of traditional Korean and Korean-American food, including high-quality meats, poultry, seafood and mixed vegetables, all at a superior value. Our restaurants have modern décor, lively Korean pop music playing in the background and embedded grills in the center of each table. Our food is served family style and requires guests to share and coordinate their cooking responsibilities, which fosters more meaningful interaction than traditional casual dining. We believe our unique culinary experience appeals to a vast segment of the population, particularly Millennials and Gen Z. Our co-founders, Jae Chang and David Kim, both highly experienced and successful restaurateur, joined forces to create our new Korean barbeque concept, opening our first restaurant in 2011 in Tustin, California. Since then, we have successfully opened profitable restaurants in multiple new markets. As of June 14, 2023, we operated 34 locations across California, Arizona, Nevada, Hawaii, Texas, New York and Florida. Our revenues in the year ended December 31, 2022 surpassed the revenue levels in 2021. As of the year ended December 31, 2022, we achieved a Net Income Margin of 6.3%, an Income Margin from Operations of 7.5%, a Restaurant-Level Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 20.5% and an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 13.1%. In the three months ended March 31, 2023, we achieved a Net Income Margin of 9.4%, an Income Margin from Operations of 7.2%, a Restaurant-Level Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 19.2% and an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 11.9%. GEN Inc. was incorporated in Delaware on October 28, 2021 as a Delaware corporation. It had no business operations prior to this offering. In connection with the consummation of this offering, GEN Inc. will become the managing member of GEN LLC. Our principal executive offices are located at 11480 South Street Suite 205, Cerritos, CA.
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- Korean BBQ Casual Dining Experience: An engaging and interactive restaurant experience where guests serve as their own chefs, featuring an extensive menu of traditional Korean and Korean-American food, high-quality meats, poultry, seafood, and mixed vegetables.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company GEN Restaurant (symbol: GENK) primarily sells to individuals. Based on the provided description, the company's unique culinary experience particularly appeals to the following categories of customers:- Millennials
- Gen Z
- Casual diners seeking an engaging and interactive dining experience, often in groups or family settings due to its "family style" service.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 100.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,822 |
| Op Inc LTM | 296 |
| FCF LTM | 216 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 218 |
| CFO LTM | 503 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 444 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.7 |
| P/E | 17.4 |
| P/CFO | 11.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.3% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.52 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/28/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -75.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.05 | $2.91 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -25.8% | -47.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 61.8% | 67.7% |
| Downside Capture | 326.66 | 249.32 |
| Upside Capture | 116.79 | 66.45 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 30.5% | 41.2% |
GENK Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.92 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.47 | 1.56 | 0.09 |
| Up Beta | 2.76 | 2.19 | 2.40 | 1.98 | 1.30 | -0.77 |
| Down Beta | 0.64 | 0.89 | 0.32 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 0.12 |
| Up Capture | 171% | 120% | 138% | 50% | 92% | 20% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 15 | 22 | 48 | 100 | 294 |
| Down Capture | 228% | 266% | 273% | 192% | 153% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 26 | 38 | 71 | 140 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GENK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENK | -73.7% | 67.7% | -1.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.0% | 23.7% | 0.46 | 41.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 41.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 0.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 22.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 31.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.0% | 44.2% | -0.24 | 21.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GENK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENK | -36.9% | 69.3% | -0.95 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.0% | 23.7% | 0.30 | 30.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 32.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 24.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.4% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 8.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GENK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENK | -20.5% | 69.3% | -0.95 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 21.9% | 0.52 | 30.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 32.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 24.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 8.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | -5.9% | -2.2% | -13.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -17.3% | -18.1% | -25.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | 22.8% | 11.0% | -12.4% |
| 11/12/2024 | -19.1% | -19.7% | -19.8% |
| 7/31/2024 | 10.4% | -6.0% | 7.6% |
| 3/6/2024 | -12.6% | -1.0% | 73.7% |
| 11/14/2023 | -15.3% | -14.3% | -14.3% |
| 8/14/2023 | -4.1% | -7.1% | -19.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| # Negative | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 16.6% | 11.0% | 40.6% |
| Median Negative | -13.9% | -7.1% | -16.6% |
| Max Positive | 22.8% | 11.0% | 73.7% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -19.7% | -25.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/29/2023 | 424B4 |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/24/2022 | DRS/A |
| 09/30/2021 | 01/26/2022 | DRS/A |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowan, Michael | Direct | Buy | 6022025 | 3.30 | 30,000 | 99,000 | 112,751 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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