GEN Restaurant (GENK)
Market Price (1/17/2026): $2.44 | Market Cap: $12.8 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
GEN Restaurant (GENK)
Market Price (1/17/2026): $2.44Market Cap: $12.8 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.76, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1351% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% | ||
| Key risksGENK key risks include [1] severely declining same-store sales and persistent operating losses, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.76, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1351% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% |
| Key risksGENK key risks include [1] severely declining same-store sales and persistent operating losses, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Revenue and Same-Store Sales Decline.
GEN Restaurant Group reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 7, 2025, with revenue of $50.42 million, falling below analyst estimates of $54.25 million. The company also experienced a significant 9.9% year-over-year drop in same-store sales, primarily attributed to macroeconomic pressures and a decrease in restaurant customer traffic.
2. Negative Revisions to Future Earnings Estimates.
Following the Q3 2025 report, analysts revised their earnings per share (EPS) forecasts downwards for the upcoming periods. The consensus EPS forecast for Q4 2025 decreased from $0.01 a month prior to -$0.06. Additionally, the consensus EPS forecast for Q4 2025 was -$0.12, with a range between -$0.18 and -$0.06.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.3% change in GENK stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 10312025 | 1162026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.98 | 2.41 | -19.26% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 216.14 | 217.45 | 0.61% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.07 | 0.06 | -17.98% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5.13 | 5.25 | -2.20% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.30% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | -19.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | 22.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.9% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -40.6% change in GENK stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 7312025 | 1162026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.06 | 2.41 | -40.64% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 214.96 | 217.45 | 1.16% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.09 | 0.06 | -38.61% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5.01 | 5.25 | -4.63% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -40.77% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | -40.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 10.7% | 31.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -62.1% change in GENK stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -62.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 1312025 | 1162026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.35 | 2.41 | -62.08% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 198.83 | 217.45 | 9.36% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.16 | 0.06 | -62.58% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4.86 | 5.25 | -7.90% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -62.31% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | -62.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | 42.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 6.1% | 41.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENK | ||
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 68.4% | 30.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GENK Return | - | - | -49% | -4% | -72% | 17% | -84% |
| Peers Return | 66% | -11% | 40% | 48% | -17% | 24% | 215% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GENK Win Rate | - | - | 43% | 42% | 25% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 40% | 63% | 58% | 42% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GENK Max Drawdown | - | - | -56% | -25% | -72% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -33% | -5% | -25% | -29% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KRUS, DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GENK has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KRUS, DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
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Fogo de Chão (FOGO) for Korean BBQ.
A rapidly growing, full-service restaurant chain specializing in Korean BBQ, similar to how Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) focuses on steaks.
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- Restaurant Operations: Operates full-service, company-owned "GEN Korean BBQ House" restaurants, providing an all-you-can-eat Korean BBQ dining experience.
- Franchising: Licenses its "GEN Korean BBQ House" brand and operational model to independent franchisees, earning initial franchise fees and ongoing royalties.
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GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. (GENK)
GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. (GENK) operates full-service Korean BBQ restaurants primarily under the "GEN Korean BBQ" brand. As such, it sells directly to individual consumers rather than to other companies.
The company serves a diverse customer base, which can be categorized as follows:
Major Customer Categories for GEN Restaurant Group (GENK):
- Families and Social Groups: GEN Korean BBQ's communal dining style, where patrons cook their food at the table, makes it a popular destination for family gatherings, groups of friends, and other social outings looking for an interactive and shared dining experience.
- Young Adults and Experiential Diners: The interactive nature of Korean BBQ, combined with the cultural appeal of Korean cuisine and entertainment, attracts a younger demographic (including Millennials and Gen Z) seeking fun, trendy, and unique dining experiences.
- Food Enthusiasts and Ethnic Cuisine Seekers: Customers who specifically seek out authentic Korean flavors and the traditional Korean BBQ experience. This category includes individuals interested in exploring diverse culinary options and those who appreciate the quality and variety of meats, banchan (side dishes), and other Korean dishes offered.
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- Performance Food Group Company (PFGC)
- US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD)
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David Kim, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Kim joined GEN Restaurant Group shortly after the opening of its first restaurant in September 2011 and currently serves as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. He also co-founded GEN Korean BBQ in 2011. Prior to his role at GEN, Mr. Kim served as Chief Executive Officer of La Salsa, Inc. and Baja Fresh Enterprises. He was also President of Caliber Capital Group, an equity investment firm focused on distressed companies. Additionally, Mr. Kim was a managing member of CinnaWorks, LLC and Sweet Candy, LLC, and managed Golden Den Corp. and RD Restaurant Group, Inc., which operated Denny's, Carl's Jr., Golden Corral, and Pick-Up Stix franchises. He established the Kim Family Foundation to support charitable causes.
Thomas V. Croal, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Croal has served as GEN Restaurant Group's Chief Financial Officer since July 2021. Before joining GEN, he held the position of Chief Financial Officer at Pancreatic Cancer Action Network, a non-profit organization. His experience also includes serving as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Silverado Senior Living Holdings, Inc. and Sage Publications, Inc. He was also the Chief Financial Officer of PPONet, Inc., and Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer at Insight Health Services Corporation. Mr. Croal is a former California Certified Public Accountant with Arthur Anderson & Co. and holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from Loyola Marymount University.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to GEN Restaurant (GENK) are:-
Weak Same-Store Sales Growth and Profitability Challenges: GEN Restaurant Group has been experiencing significant challenges with its core restaurant business, reporting much weaker same-store sales growth compared to other restaurants. The company recorded a -9.9% same-store sales growth in the third quarter of 2025 and -7.2% in the second quarter of 2025. This decline in comparable restaurant sales is attributed to broader economic headwinds, including tariffs, immigration concerns, and a temporary dip in guest traffic. Furthermore, GEN is operating at a loss, with a reported loss of $578,000 for the third quarter of 2025 and a net loss of $2.1 million for the first quarter of 2025. The company also faces margin compression due to rising input costs, particularly for premium ingredients and occupancy, as well as labor shortages and pre-opening costs associated with new restaurant expansion.
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High Debt Levels and Liquidity Concerns: GENK exhibits a poor financial strength rating, primarily due to its high debt levels. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is significantly high, reported at 12.95 and previously as high as 373% (primarily from lease liabilities). These high debt levels contribute to an Altman Z-Score of 0.76, placing the company in a distress zone and implying a risk of bankruptcy. Additionally, GENK faces potential liquidity issues, indicated by low current and quick ratios of 0.44 and 0.42, respectively. The company has also reported negative operating cash flow (-$4.7 million in Q1 2025) and negative free cash flow (-$15.1 million for the last four quarters).
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Risky Growth Strategy and Diversification Efforts: Despite the underperformance of its restaurant segment, GEN Restaurant Group is actively expanding into the Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) segment by selling meat at grocery stores. While this diversification into ready-to-cook meats could be a new growth driver, it presents a risk as it is unclear whether the company can successfully manage both a casual-dining restaurant chain and a CPG business simultaneously. This strategy may divert focus and resources from addressing the foundational issues within its struggling restaurant operations, despite management's optimistic outlook on the CPG segment's potential.
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
GEN Restaurant Group (NASDAQ: GENK) primarily operates a chain of all-you-can-eat Korean barbecue restaurants in the United States. Its main products and services include traditional Korean and Korean-American food, such as various meats, poultry, and seafood, offered in a "grill at your table" dining experience. The company also recently launched a retail line of ready-to-cook meats in Southern California grocery stores, with plans for broader expansion in the Western U.S.
Addressable Markets:
- North American Korean BBQ Restaurant Market: This market was valued at approximately USD 1.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.2% through 2033.
- United States Full-Service Restaurant Market: The U.S. full-service restaurant market size is estimated at USD 360.91 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 617.47 billion by 2030, with an 11.33% CAGR. Another estimate indicates the market expanding from USD 336.22 billion in 2024 to USD 807.83 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.23% from 2025 to 2033. For single-location full-service restaurants in the U.S., the revenue is estimated to be $260.1 billion in 2025.
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GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. (GENK) is strategically focused on several key initiatives to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years.
The expected drivers of future revenue growth include:
- New Restaurant Openings: GENK is aggressively expanding its physical footprint both domestically and internationally. The company exceeded its initial target for 2025, planning to open a total of 17 new restaurants, including six international units in South Korea. This expansion strategy aims to increase the company's overall store count and market presence.
- Expansion of Ready-to-Cook (CPG) Product Line: The company has launched and is rapidly expanding its ready-to-cook Korean meat products into the grocery retail market. This initiative is projected to generate substantial annual revenues, with expectations to exceed $100 million over the next four to five years. By late 2025, the ready-to-cook line is expected to be available in over 600 grocery stores across California and Hawaii.
- Introduction of Dual-Concept Locations: GENK is diversifying its offerings by developing and opening dual-concept restaurants, such as locations combining the GEN Korean BBQ experience with the new Kan Sushi brand. This model is designed for operational efficiency by utilizing a single labor force to run two distinct restaurant concepts, aiming to attract a broader customer base and improve operating margins.
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Share Repurchases
- In March 2025, GEN Restaurant Group's board of directors approved a stock repurchase program authorizing the repurchase of up to $5.0 million worth of the company's outstanding Class A common stock.
- The repurchase program is flexible and can be suspended or discontinued at any time, with the timing and volume of repurchases depending on market conditions and other business considerations.
Share Issuance
- In May 2023, GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. filed to raise $25 million in an IPO of its Class A shares.
- As of November 2025, GENK has 32.93 million shares outstanding, with the number of shares increasing by 11.18% in the past year.
Inbound Investments
- As of March 31, 2023, GEN Restaurant Group had booked fair market value investment of $11.8 million in equity and debt from investors.
Capital Expenditures
- GEN Restaurant Group has reported Capital Expenditures of $31.885 million.
- The company plans to open a total of 17 new restaurants in 2025, including 6 international units in South Korea, exceeding its initial target of 12-13 new openings.
- Higher new restaurant development costs, including $2.1 million in preopening costs in Q2 2025, have contributed to net losses in Q2 and Q3 2025.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for GEN Restaurant
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 116.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 4,774 |
| Op Inc LTM | 326 |
| FCF LTM | 220 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 188 |
| CFO LTM | 507 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 412 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.41 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/28/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -66.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.46 | $3.38 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.9% | -28.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.5% | 70.5% |
| Downside Capture | 307.53 | 227.78 |
| Upside Capture | 118.95 | 81.47 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 26.5% | 41.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.35 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.49 | 0.24 |
| Up Beta | 4.54 | -0.41 | 1.74 | 2.48 | 1.29 | 0.02 |
| Down Beta | -1.86 | -0.92 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 1.73 | -0.10 |
| Up Capture | 175% | 37% | 95% | 43% | 54% | 15% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 12 | 25 | 50 | 97 | 279 |
| Down Capture | 497% | 288% | 225% | 232% | 148% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 25 | 35 | 68 | 141 | 336 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullSEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/10/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/29/2023 | 424B4 (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/24/2022 | DRS/A (12/31/2021) |
| 09/30/2021 | 01/26/2022 | DRS/A (09/30/2021) |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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