Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $8.615 | Market Cap: $157.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $8.615Market Cap: $157.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -91 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -62% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 107% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 172% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -128% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31% Key risksKPTI key risks include [1] potential failure of its pivotal selinexor clinical trials, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -91 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -62% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 107% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 172% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -128% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31% |
| Key risksKPTI key risks include [1] potential failure of its pivotal selinexor clinical trials, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Raised Price Targets.
Throughout the period, Karyopharm Therapeutics received a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with an average price target of $16.14, representing an 82.4% potential upside from its price of $8.85 on May 7, 2026. Notably, HC Wainwright & Co. increased its price target from $8.00 to $13.00 on May 6, 2026, while Piper Sandler reiterated an "overweight" rating and raised its price objective from $8.00 to $16.00 on April 27, 2026. Rodman & Renshaw also upgraded the stock to a "strong-buy" rating on March 10, 2026.
2. Strategic $30 Million Private Placement to Enhance Liquidity.
On March 24, 2026, Karyopharm announced a $30 million private placement with RA Capital. This financing improved the company's liquidity position, extending its projected cash runway into late Q3 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.5% change in KPTI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 173.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.52 | 8.64 | 32.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 143 | 146 | 2.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 1.1 | 173.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 18 | -52.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KPTI | 32.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 7.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.9% | 11.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 49.0% change in KPTI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 197.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.80 | 8.64 | 49.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 137 | 146 | 6.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 1.1 | 197.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 18 | -52.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 49.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KPTI | 49.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 16.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 0.3% | 8.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.0% change in KPTI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 177.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.75 | 8.64 | 28.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 145 | 146 | 0.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 1.1 | 177.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 18 | -54.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KPTI | 28.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 20.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 4.0% | 30.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -83.9% change in KPTI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.70 | 8.64 | -83.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 157 | 146 | -7.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 1.1 | -47.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 18 | -67.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -83.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KPTI | -83.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 1.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.0% | -1.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KPTI Return | -58% | -47% | -75% | -22% | -27% | 20% | -96% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 19% | -5% | 8% | 29% | 3% | 89% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KPTI Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 58% | 45% | 58% | 65% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KPTI Max Drawdown | -71% | -61% | -80% | -31% | -94% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -6% | -18% | -11% | -6% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BMY, JNJ, ABBV, AMGN, GILD. See KPTI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KPTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -11.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.0% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 339 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 734 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Karyopharm Therapeutics's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | KPTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 24 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.0% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 339 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 734 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Karyopharm Therapeutics's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Karyopharm Therapeutics:
- Karyopharm is like a Vertex Pharmaceuticals for cancer, but specializing in a unique class of nuclear export inhibitor drugs.
- Karyopharm is a biotech pioneering a novel cancer treatment methodology, similar to how CRISPR Therapeutics pioneered gene editing, but Karyopharm focuses on inhibiting nuclear export in cancer cells.
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- XPOVIO: A selective inhibitor of nuclear export (SINE) compound used to treat adult patients with multiple myeloma and relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.
- NEXPOVIO: The brand name for Karyopharm's SINE compound in Europe, Latin America, and other licensed territories for human oncology indications.
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Major Customers of Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI), as a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, primarily sells its products and intellectual property to other companies within the healthcare sector rather than directly to individuals.
Based on the provided description, the major identified customer company is:
- Menarini Group: Karyopharm has a license agreement with Menarini Group to develop and commercialize NEXPOVIO (Karyopharm's drug, selinexor) for human oncology indications in Europe, the United Kingdom, Latin America, and other countries. Menarini Group is a private company and does not have a public stock symbol.
While Karyopharm also commercializes its lead compound, XPOVIO, in other markets (such as the United States), the specific names of other direct customer companies, such as pharmaceutical wholesalers, hospitals, or large pharmacy chains, are not provided in the background information.
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Richard Paulson, MBA
President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Paulson was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Karyopharm in May 2021 and has served on Karyopharm's Board of Directors since February 2020. He previously served as Executive Vice President of Ipsen Pharmaceuticals Inc. and CEO of Ipsen North America from February 2018 to May 2021. Before Ipsen, he had a 10-year career at Amgen, holding various leadership positions across Europe and North America, including Vice President and General Manager of Amgen's U.S. Oncology Business Unit. Prior to Amgen, Mr. Paulson held global leadership positions at Pfizer Inc., such as General Manager of Pfizer South Africa and Pfizer Czech Republic, and held sales, marketing, and market access roles at GlaxoWellcome in Canada.
Lori Macomber, CPA
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Ms. Macomber was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, effective January 3, 2025. She brings over 20 years of diversified experience in leading growth and driving financial strategies for life science companies. Most recently, she served as Chief Financial Officer at Legend Biotech Corporation, a publicly traded, commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. Her prior experience includes leadership roles of increasing responsibility with Ametek PDS, Cello Health, Eli Lilly and Company, and Pfizer (formerly Pharmacia).
Reshma Rangwala, MD, PhD
Chief Medical Officer & Head of Research
Dr. Rangwala is the Chief Medical Officer and Head of Research at Karyopharm, overseeing all aspects of research from discovery to regulatory approval. She joined the company in April 2022. Prior to Karyopharm, she was the Chief Medical Officer at Aravive, where she led the clinical development of batiraxcept. She also served as Vice President, Medical, at Genmab, leading a clinical development program for an antibody drug conjugate, and as Executive Clinical Director at Merck & Co., involved in the clinical development of KEYTRUDA.
Sohanya Cheng, MBA
Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer and Head of Business Development
Ms. Cheng serves as the Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer and Head of Business Development for Karyopharm Therapeutics.
Mike Mano, JD
Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
Mr. Mano serves as the Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary for Karyopharm Therapeutics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) are:
- Going Concern and Financial Instability: Karyopharm Therapeutics has incurred significant operating losses and an accumulated deficit, leading management to conclude there is substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern beyond the second quarter of 2026 without additional funding. The company had approximately $63.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of December 31, 2025, which is projected to fund operations only into the second quarter of 2026.
- Clinical Trial and Regulatory Success: The future success of Karyopharm heavily depends on the positive outcomes of its ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials, particularly the SENTRY trial in myelofibrosis and the XPORT-EC-042 trial in endometrial cancer, with top-line data expected in 2026. Additionally, XPOVIO's accelerated approval for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) carries the risk that confirmatory trials may fail, potentially leading to the withdrawal of this indication by the FDA.
- Commercialization Challenges and Competition: Karyopharm faces significant challenges in successfully commercializing XPOVIO in a competitive market. The company's ability to achieve profitability relies on obtaining sufficient pricing, coverage, and reimbursement from payers. Revenue trends have been stagnant, with full-year 2024 revenue essentially flat compared to the previous year, indicating difficulties in meaningfully growing XPOVIO sales in its currently approved indications.
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The addressable markets for Karyopharm Therapeutics' main products, XPOVIO (selinexor) and NEXPOVIO, are as follows:
Multiple Myeloma (Relapsed or Refractory)
- Global Market: The global refractory multiple myeloma market size reached USD 2.4 billion in 2022 and is projected to witness lucrative growth by reaching up to USD 3.4 billion by 2030.
- North American Market: North America accounted for approximately 42.7% of the global refractory multiple myeloma market share in 2022.
- European Market: NEXPOVIO (selinexor) has received conditional marketing authorization and subsequently full marketing authorization in Europe for the treatment of multiple myeloma. Karyopharm has a licensing agreement with Menarini Group for the commercialization of NEXPOVIO in Europe, among other territories.
Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma (Relapsed or Refractory)
- Global Market: The global Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma market was valued at USD 1.89 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 2.21 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.1% during the forecast period (2026-2033).
- North American Market: North America dominated the Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma market with the largest revenue share of 39.1% in 2025. The U.S. Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma market captured the largest revenue share of 82% in 2025 within North America.
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Karyopharm Therapeutics (NASDAQ: KPTI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by the potential expansion of its lead compound, XPOVIO (selinexor), into new indications and continued penetration in existing markets.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Launch and uptake of XPOVIO in Myelofibrosis: Top-line data from the Phase 3 SENTRY trial in myelofibrosis is anticipated in March 2026. Successful results could lead to regulatory filings and the rapid launch of XPOVIO as the first combination therapy in this market, which management views as a significant near-term value driver due to high unmet medical need and a less crowded competitive landscape compared to multiple myeloma.
- Launch and uptake of XPOVIO in Endometrial Cancer: Karyopharm expects to report top-line data in mid-2026 from the Phase 3 XPORT-EC-042 trial evaluating selinexor in a biomarker-driven patient population with advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer. This represents another significant opportunity for expanding XPOVIO's market reach and transforming patient outcomes in an area with limited treatment options.
- Sustained growth and increased adoption of XPOVIO in Multiple Myeloma and Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma (DLBCL): While these are competitive markets, XPOVIO continues to demonstrate consistent demand, particularly in the community setting for multiple myeloma. Karyopharm anticipates continued revenue growth from its established U.S. sales of XPOVIO in these indications, leveraging its differentiated mechanism of action and oral convenience.
- International expansion and global patient access for selinexor (NEXPOVIO): Karyopharm's partners are continuing to drive global launches of selinexor following favorable reimbursement decisions and regulatory approvals in numerous ex-U.S. territories, including Europe, Latin America, Spain, and China. This expanding global patient access contributes to overall revenue through license, royalty, and milestone payments.
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Share Issuance
- A 1-for-15 reverse stock split was implemented on February 25, 2025, reducing outstanding shares from approximately 126.2 million to 8.4 million and authorized shares from 800 million to 53.3 million.
- In October 2025, as part of strategic financing transactions, Karyopharm Therapeutics exchanged approximately $15 million in convertible notes due 2029 and approximately $24.25 million in senior unsecured convertible notes (including accrued interest) for newly issued common stock or pre-funded warrants, along with warrants.
- Also in October 2025, a private placement of common stock and warrants generated approximately $8.8 million in proceeds.
Inbound Investments
- In October 2025, Karyopharm Therapeutics entered into comprehensive strategic financing transactions that were expected to provide $100 million of financial flexibility and additional capital. These transactions included $27.5 million in new term loan borrowings and new convertible notes.
- The October 2025 financing also involved $25 million of near-term deferrals of interest and royalty payments and a $15 million temporary reduction in the Company's minimum liquidity covenant.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 166.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 171.1 |
| Rev LTM | 42,852 |
| Op Inc LTM | 12,746 |
| FCF LTM | 11,069 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 10,913 |
| CFO LTM | 12,056 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,064 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 33.0% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 28.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 171.1 |
| P/S | 5.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 15.3 |
| P/EBIT | 14.6 |
| P/E | 20.3 |
| P/CFO | 15.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 51.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.4% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA212306 | XPOVIO | selinexor | tablet | 7032019 | 10.7% | 115.5% | 121.6% | 18.1% | -93.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovering, developing and commercializing drugs to treat cancer | 145 | 146 | |||
| License and other revenue | 37 | 111 | 32 | ||
| Product revenue, net | 120 | 98 | 76 | ||
| Total | 145 | 146 | 157 | 210 | 108 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovering, developing and commercializing drugs to treat cancer | -76 | ||||
| Total | -76 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.64 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/06/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -14.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.00 | $6.77 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.9% | 27.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 99.4% | 96.2% |
| Downside Capture | 0.40 | 0.88 |
| Upside Capture | 212.13 | 165.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 6.5% | 18.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.93 | 1.32 | 0.49 | 1.07 | 1.56 | 0.91 |
| Up Beta | -1.08 | -0.55 | -0.19 | 0.62 | 1.44 | -3.56 |
| Down Beta | -1.83 | -1.73 | -2.11 | 0.11 | 0.76 | 0.56 |
| Up Capture | 483% | 254% | 210% | 246% | 278% | 67% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 20 | 32 | 63 | 118 | 324 |
| Down Capture | 332% | 303% | 108% | 120% | 159% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 22 | 30 | 60 | 129 | 410 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KPTI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPTI | 54.4% | 95.5% | 0.87 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.9% | 15.4% | 0.30 | 28.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 18.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 19.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 8.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KPTI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPTI | -41.9% | 733.2% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 4.9% | 14.6% | 0.16 | 0.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 2.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | -2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 1.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | -2.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KPTI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPTI | -23.6% | 521.1% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.46 | 3.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 4.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | -0.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 2.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | -0.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/12/2026 | -5.6% | -27.3% | -24.1% |
| 11/3/2025 | 4.7% | -11.0% | -5.9% |
| 8/11/2025 | -4.3% | 50.3% | 60.7% |
| 5/12/2025 | -20.0% | -16.7% | -28.6% |
| 2/19/2025 | -93.7% | -94.0% | -37.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | -9.4% | -1.2% | -14.8% |
| 8/6/2024 | -3.6% | -6.5% | -18.2% |
| 2/29/2024 | -12.8% | 0.0% | 13.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% |
| Median Negative | -8.6% | -11.0% | -18.2% |
| Max Positive | 37.4% | 50.3% | 60.7% |
| Max Negative | -93.7% | -94.0% | -38.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenue | 130.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 150.00 Mil | -5.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 147.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 U.S. XPOVIO net product revenue | 115.00 Mil | 122.50 Mil | 130.00 Mil | 6.5% | Raised | Guidance: 115.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 R&D and SG&A expenses | 230.00 Mil | 237.50 Mil | 245.00 Mil | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 240.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Total Revenue | 140.00 Mil | 147.50 Mil | 155.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 147.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 U.S. XPOVIO Net Product Revenue | 110.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 115.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 R&D and SG&A Expenses | 235.00 Mil | 240.00 Mil | 245.00 Mil | -2.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 245.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangwala, Reshma | EVP & Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 4222026 | 8.94 | 449 | 4,014 | 503,233 | Form |
| 2 | Abate, Kristin | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 9.41 | 559 | 5,260 | 207,602 | Form |
| 3 | Mano, Michael | EVP, CLO&Secretary | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 9.41 | 3,526 | 33,178 | 884,154 | Form |
| 4 | Cheng, Sohanya Roshan | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 9.41 | 4,604 | 43,321 | 1,009,799 | Form |
| 5 | Rangwala, Reshma | EVP & Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 9.41 | 5,066 | 47,669 | 533,886 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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