Tearsheet

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $40.33 | Market Cap: $39.8 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $40.33
Market Cap: $39.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  Key risks
OXY key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden from its Anadarko acquisition, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Geothermal Energy, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Geothermal Energy, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7%
5 Key risks
OXY key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden from its Anadarko acquisition, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OXY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Lower Crude Oil Prices: Occidental Petroleum's stock performance has been significantly impacted by fluctuations in crude oil prices. Reports indicate that lower oil prices contributed to the company's stock underperformance in recent years and specifically affected its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024.

2. Debt Concerns from CrownRock Acquisition: The $12 billion acquisition of CrownRock, announced in December 2023 and expected to close in the first quarter of 2024, increased Occidental's debt load. This led to investor concerns and some brokerage downgrades, contributing to a notable stock price decline since April 2024 due to debt-related challenges.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OXY Return-57%68%119%-4%-16%-19%3%
Peers Return-37%81%62%-0%3%-2%89%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OXY Win Rate33%58%58%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate32%73%60%53%55%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OXY Max Drawdown-78%0%0%-11%-23%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-0%0%-15%-7%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVX, XOM, COP, EOG, FANG. See OXY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOXYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven432.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven490 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven769 days1,480 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, IMO, CVE, BSM


In The Past

Occidental Petroleum's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/25/2021. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

Better Bets than Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OXY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
OXY_1312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-14.7%-22.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
OXY_1312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-14.7%-22.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Occidental Petroleum

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OXYCVXXOMCOPEOGFANGMedian
NameOccident.Chevron Exxon Mo.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Price40.63149.52117.4194.96104.74154.07111.07
Mkt Cap46.6289.9483.1118.256.744.587.5
Rev LTM26,601186,979324,92459,78822,57915,28443,194
Op Inc LTM4,80215,06735,70812,5497,5395,58410,044
FCF LTM3,79915,42423,7757,0883,891-1,0945,490
FCF 3Y Avg5,04618,18531,4628,9105,167-1,9667,038
CFO LTM11,25431,84551,52019,93510,1958,75615,594
CFO 3Y Avg11,87334,25055,76820,72011,4536,73016,296

Growth & Margins

OXYCVXXOMCOPEOGFANGMedian
NameOccident.Chevron Exxon Mo.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.0%-3.6%-4.4%8.2%-5.0%60.1%-2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.6%-6.2%-5.6%-6.6%-7.6%20.8%-6.4%
Rev Chg Q-7.7%-1.5%-5.1%15.3%-2.3%48.2%-1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.0%-0.4%-1.4%3.4%-0.6%9.1%-0.5%
Op Mgn LTM18.1%8.1%11.0%21.0%33.4%36.5%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.5%11.2%12.7%24.1%36.4%46.8%22.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%-0.3%-0.4%-1.0%-0.8%-1.3%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM42.3%17.0%15.9%33.3%45.2%57.3%37.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg42.8%17.6%16.5%35.6%49.0%62.5%39.2%
FCF/Rev LTM14.3%8.2%7.3%11.9%17.2%-7.2%10.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%9.3%9.3%15.3%22.1%-18.6%12.3%

Valuation

OXYCVXXOMCOPEOGFANGMedian
NameOccident.Chevron Exxon Mo.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Cap46.6289.9483.1118.256.744.587.5
P/S1.81.61.52.02.72.71.9
P/EBIT-13.5-8.18.36.98.2
P/E22.223.616.113.311.09.914.7
P/CFO4.19.59.45.95.94.75.9
Total Yield4.5%8.3%9.8%10.8%12.6%12.9%10.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.1%3.6%3.3%3.5%2.7%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.2%-6.9%7.6%-5.2%6.6%
D/E-0.1-0.20.10.40.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.10.40.1

Returns

OXYCVXXOMCOPEOGFANGMedian
NameOccident.Chevron Exxon Mo.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
1M Rtn-2.0%-2.3%-0.2%7.0%-4.3%5.3%-1.1%
3M Rtn-13.4%-5.6%2.7%2.2%-11.8%10.4%-1.7%
6M Rtn-9.4%3.2%5.6%3.0%-13.9%5.0%3.1%
12M Rtn-10.8%5.6%12.7%-0.0%-12.0%-1.1%-0.5%
3Y Rtn-31.7%0.5%24.3%-4.4%-7.0%30.0%-2.0%
1M Excs Rtn-2.7%-3.1%-1.0%6.3%-5.1%4.5%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-15.1%-6.2%2.6%1.2%-12.0%9.0%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn-21.8%-9.2%-6.8%-9.4%-26.2%-7.4%-9.3%
12M Excs Rtn-23.9%-9.4%-1.3%-13.8%-25.6%-14.1%-14.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-101.7%-68.5%-45.7%-74.0%-73.0%-38.3%-70.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil and gas21,28427,16518,94113,06613,941
Chemical5,3216,7575,2463,7334,102
Midstream and marketing2,5514,1362,8631,7684,132
Corporate and eliminations-899-1,424-1,094-758-1,264
Total28,25736,63425,95617,80920,911


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil and gas53,78654,05856,13262,93180,093
Midstream and marketing13,32712,07611,1329,85614,915
Chemical4,6824,5584,6714,3264,361
Corporate and eliminations2,2131,9173,1012,9517,821
Total74,00872,60975,03680,064107,190


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity37,562,691
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.6%
Average Daily Volume7,763,151
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.84
Basic Shares Quantity986,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20250.1%-0.3%-0.9%
8/6/20252.5%5.2%7.9%
5/7/20256.2%12.3%9.0%
2/18/20254.4%0.1%-1.3%
11/12/20241.7%0.4%-3.7%
8/7/20244.3%1.5%-7.3%
5/7/2024-2.1%-3.1%-7.7%
2/14/20244.9%5.6%9.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121211
# Negative101011
Median Positive2.1%4.1%9.0%
Median Negative-3.2%-1.2%-7.3%
Max Positive6.2%22.7%58.6%
Max Negative-9.2%-15.6%-62.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021