Tearsheet

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $42.48 | Market Cap: $41.8 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $42.48
Market Cap: $41.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Geothermal Energy, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Geothermal Energy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OXY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested period for Occidental Petroleum (OXY) stock movement, August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual stock performance data and explanations for movements during this specific period are not yet available. However, based on news and financial reports published during this future period (as simulated by the search results), here are some key points that could have impacted the stock:

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Financial Results: Occidental Petroleum announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 10, 2025. The company reported adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.64, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.5204. However, revenue came in slightly below expectations at $6.717 billion, compared to an analyst estimate of $6.746 billion. The initial market reaction in after-hours trading was negative, suggesting investors may have focused more on the revenue shortfall despite the earnings beat.

2. Strategic Divestment of OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway: On October 2, 2025, Occidental announced a definitive agreement to sell its OxyChem division to Berkshire Hathaway for $9.7 billion in cash. This strategic move aims to consolidate Occidental's focus on its core upstream oil and gas business and accelerate debt reduction. The company plans to allocate $6.5 billion of the proceeds towards reducing its principal debt, targeting a total debt below $15 billion. The transaction was anticipated to close in Q4 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OXY Return-57%68%119%-4%-16%-14%11%
Peers Return-34%74%65%-1%4%19%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OXY Win Rate33%58%58%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate42%63%67%52%53%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OXY Max Drawdown-78%0%0%-11%-23%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-1%0%-14%-6%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, IMO, CVE, BSM. See OXY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOXYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven432.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven490 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven769 days1480 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, IMO, CVE, BSM


In The Past

Occidental Petroleum's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/25/2021. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OXY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
OXY_1312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-8.6%-22.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
OXY_1312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-8.6%-22.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Occidental Petroleum

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OXYXOMCVXIMOCVEBSMMedian
NameOccident.Exxon Mo.Chevron Imperial.Cenovus .Black St. 
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Growth & Margins

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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil and gas21,28427,16518,94113,06613,941
Chemical5,3216,7575,2463,7334,102
Midstream and marketing2,5514,1362,8631,7684,132
Corporate and eliminations-899-1,424-1,094-758-1,264
Total28,25736,63425,95617,80920,911


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil and gas53,786 56,13262,93180,093
Midstream and marketing13,327 11,1329,85614,915
Chemical4,682 4,6714,3264,361
Corporate and eliminations2,213 3,1012,9517,821
Total74,008 75,03680,064107,190


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity38,966,375
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.7%
Average Daily Volume10,226,077
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.81
Basic Shares Quantity985,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021