Tearsheet

Tejon Ranch (TRC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $16.01 | Market Cap: $430.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates

Tejon Ranch (TRC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $16.01
Market Cap: $430.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Conglomerates

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 144x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -150%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
5   Key risks
TRC key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges stalling its large-scale California development projects and [2] financial strain from these capital-intensive, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 144x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -150%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
10 Key risks
TRC key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges stalling its large-scale California development projects and [2] financial strain from these capital-intensive, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TRC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

While Tejon Ranch (TRC) reported an increase in total revenue for the third quarter of 2025, its earnings per share (EPS) of $0.06 fell short of the forecasted $0.07, representing a negative surprise of 14.29%. The company did, however, swing to a net profit of $1.7 million compared to a net loss in the same period last year.

2. Persistent Weak Profitability and High Valuation Concerns

As of November 6, 2025, Tejon Ranch continued to operate with weak gross profit margins of 9.91%. Furthermore, by November 13, 2025, the stock was trading at a P/E ratio of 147.17, suggesting it was significantly overvalued compared to its estimated fair value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TRC Return-10%32%-1%-9%-8%2%2%
Peers Return28%59%-27%36%-12%11%96%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRC Win Rate42%75%42%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate63%70%43%52%43%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRC Max Drawdown-22%-2%-25%-19%-14%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-4%-38%-11%-21%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to HON, TTI, HHS, MMM, CSL


In The Past

Tejon Ranch's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -32.4% loss requires a 48.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Better Bets than Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TRC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tejon Ranch

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Mkt Price15.9861.8226.8317.738.73127.6122.28
Mkt Cap0.43.61.40.60.3118.51.0
Rev LTM464891,662147688,738318
Op Inc LTM-813220917163,47675
FCF LTM-70148-1998115,18641
FCF 3Y Avg-4222165205,13821
CFO LTM9176-1988185,18645
CFO 3Y Avg10125365295,13847

Growth & Margins

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Rev Chg LTM15.7%26.9%10.1%23.8%-23.2%10.7%13.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.8%19.4%3.3%20.3%-7.2%18.1%10.7%
Rev Chg Q10.3%62.7%21.6%18.7%-21.2%8.7%14.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%14.5%7.7%4.2%-6.6%2.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-17.5%27.1%12.6%11.6%22.9%39.8%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.3%24.2%14.3%16.2%32.6%38.1%20.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.3%3.5%-0.5%1.2%-4.2%0.4%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM19.7%36.0%-11.9%55.3%11.7%59.3%27.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.0%29.9%1.0%53.4%33.2%63.0%31.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-150.0%30.3%-12.0%55.3%1.0%59.3%15.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-96.7%2.6%0.9%53.4%21.9%63.0%12.2%

Valuation

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Mkt Cap0.43.61.40.60.3118.51.0
P/S9.35.90.83.64.912.25.4
P/EBIT-52.916.66.5-57.611.023.28.7
P/E144.327.48.1-15.933.633.230.3
P/CFO46.916.2-6.96.541.620.518.4
Total Yield0.7%4.8%12.3%2.9%9.1%3.0%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%0.0%9.2%6.1%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.4%0.9%0.8%14.4%3.9%4.7%2.4%
D/E0.20.20.61.21.40.30.5
Net D/E0.20.20.31.11.40.30.3

Returns

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
1M Rtn-3.0%8.1%9.9%3.8%-9.1%4.7%4.2%
3M Rtn-2.9%20.0%-0.4%10.7%-0.9%12.8%5.1%
6M Rtn-2.6%34.6%38.2%2.8%-9.7%23.5%13.1%
12M Rtn5.4%32.1%-1.8%-5.9%-16.9%21.4%1.8%
3Y Rtn-13.8%71.1%73.4%25.4%-46.5%25.0%25.2%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%7.2%8.9%2.8%-10.0%3.7%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-5.2%17.4%-2.8%7.6%-4.6%9.9%2.4%
6M Excs Rtn-16.2%21.0%24.6%-10.9%-23.4%9.8%-0.5%
12M Excs Rtn-9.0%20.4%-17.8%-16.5%-30.3%7.0%-12.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.2%1.1%2.4%-51.3%-120.7%-51.4%-51.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mineral Resources1522211110
Farming1413111419
Real estate - commercial/industrial1241191017
Ranch Operations54444
Total4579563850


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real estate - commercial/industrial1124824
Mineral Resources69744
Ranch Operations-1-1-1-1-2
Farming-1-7-3-14
Real Estate - Resort/Residential-2-2-2-2-2
Corporate expenses -10-10-9-9
Total1314-0-7-1


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate - Resort/Residential321313306297287
Corporate7783566877
Real estate - commercial/industrial7374827377
Farming5246473841
Mineral Resources5249525855
Ranch Operations22223
Total578567546536539


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity886,357
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.1%
Average Daily Volume91,976
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.64
Basic Shares Quantity26,890,979
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-1.4%1.8%0.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive011
# Negative100
Median Positive 1.8%0.1%
Median Negative-1.4%  
Max Positive 1.8%0.1%
Max Negative-1.4%  

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021