Tearsheet

Tejon Ranch (TRC)


Market Price (5/21/2026): $19.505 | Market Cap: $525.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates

Tejon Ranch (TRC)


Market Price (5/21/2026): $19.505
Market Cap: $525.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Conglomerates

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.85

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.7%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 49x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 311x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -86%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%

Key risks
TRC key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges stalling its large-scale California development projects and [2] financial strain from these capital-intensive, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.85
7 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.7%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 49x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 311x
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
10 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -86%
11 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
12 Key risks
TRC key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges stalling its large-scale California development projects and [2] financial strain from these capital-intensive, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Tejon Ranch (TRC) stock has gained about 20% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Tejon Ranch reported strong financial results, surpassing analyst expectations for both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026. The company's Q4 2025 earnings, released March 19, 2026, showed earnings of $0.06 per share, beating estimates by $0.01, and revenue of $21.11 million, exceeding estimates by over $7 million. This was followed by a return to net income in Q1 2026, with a gain of $0.2 million ($0.01/share) compared to a loss of $1.5 million in Q1 2025, and a 13% increase in revenues and other income to $10.8 million, beating estimates. Adjusted EBITDA also increased by $2.0 million to $4.8 million in Q1 2026.

2. Robust activity and full occupancy in the Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC) industrial portfolio, coupled with new development, signal strong demand in Southern California's real estate market. The TRCC industrial portfolio remained 100% leased as of March 31, 2026, encompassing 2.8 million square feet of gross leasable area (GLA). Furthermore, Tejon Ranch commenced construction on a new 510,000-square-foot Class A industrial facility at TRCC through a joint venture with Dedeaux Properties, expected to be completed in early 2027. This expansion highlights confidence in the tightening supply market of the region.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.4% change in TRC stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 114.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265202026Change
Stock Price ($)16.0919.5321.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)46519.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%3.3%-48.2%
P/E Multiple145.3311.3114.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution21.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC21.4% 
Market (SPY)7.4%12.3%
Sector (XLI)3.5%6.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.5% change in TRC stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255202026Change
Stock Price ($)15.8219.5323.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)455112.3%
P/S Multiple9.410.310.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution23.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC23.5% 
Market (SPY)9.3%21.6%
Sector (XLI)10.8%20.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.4% change in TRC stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 84.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255202026Change
Stock Price ($)16.9319.5315.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)425121.5%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%3.3%-48.3%
P/E Multiple168.8311.384.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution15.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC15.4% 
Market (SPY)35.2%20.0%
Sector (XLI)31.9%23.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.0% change in TRC stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 974.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235202026Change
Stock Price ($)17.2819.5313.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7951-35.8%
Net Income Margin (%)20.0%3.3%-83.4%
P/E Multiple29.0311.3974.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution13.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC13.0% 
Market (SPY)85.2%29.4%
Sector (XLI)78.5%38.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TRC Return32%-1%-9%-8%-1%22%33%
Peers Return59%-27%36%-12%9%8%63%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRC Win Rate75%42%42%42%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate70%43%52%43%53%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRC Max Drawdown-17%-27%-25%-24%-19%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-44%-26%-27%-25%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTRCS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven62 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven1059 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven52 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-23.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven305 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1048 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-16.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven286 days6 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD

In The Past

Tejon Ranch's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven52 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-23.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven305 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1048 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven106 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-31.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.2%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven636 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-21.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven235 days125 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD

In The Past

Tejon Ranch's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Tejon Ranch Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company. It operates through five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations. The Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment engages in the planning and permitting of land for development; construction of infrastructure projects, pre-leased buildings, and buildings to be leased or sold; and sale of land to third parties for their own development. It is also involved in the activities related to communications leases, and landscape maintenance. This segment leases land to two auto service stations with convenience stores, 13 fast-food operations, a motel, an antique shop, and a post office; various microwave repeater locations, radio and cellular transmitter sites, and fiber optic cable routes; and 32 acres of land for an electric power plant. The Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segment engages in land entitlement, planning, pre-construction engineering, stewardship, and conservation activities. The Mineral Resources segment includes oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from a cement operation leased to National Cement Company of California, Inc.; and the management of water assets and infrastructure projects. The Farming segment farms permanent crops, such as wine grapes in 1,036 acres, almonds in 2,262 acres, and pistachios in 1,053 acres. It also manages the farming of alfalfa and forage mix on 626 acres in the Antelope Valley; and leases 720 acres of land for growing vegetables, as well as almonds. The Ranch Operations segment provides game management and ancillary land services comprising grazing leases and filming, as well as various guided hunts. Tejon Ranch Co. was founded in 1843 and is based in Lebec, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Tejon Ranch (TRC):

  • Think of it as a mini-Berkshire Hathaway, but instead of buying diverse companies, it runs multiple businesses—from real estate development to farming, mineral extraction, and ranching—all from its massive land holdings in California.

  • It's like a version of Howard Hughes Corporation (known for developing master-planned communities) that also operates a large agricultural business and earns royalties from oil, gas, and other natural resources on its vast land.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development: Develops, leases, and sells land and buildings for commercial and industrial purposes.
  • Residential/Resort Real Estate Development: Engages in the planning and entitlement of land for residential and resort communities.
  • Mineral Resources Royalties: Collects royalties from oil and gas, rock and aggregate, and a cement operation.
  • Agricultural Products: Produces and sells permanent crops such as wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios.
  • Agricultural Land Leasing: Leases land for farming various crops like vegetables and almonds.
  • Ranch and Land Management Services: Provides game management, guided hunts, grazing leases, and filming location services.
  • Water Asset Management: Manages and develops water assets and infrastructure projects.
  • Communications Infrastructure Leasing: Leases land for microwave, radio, cellular, and fiber optic communication sites.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Tejon Ranch (TRC) primarily sells to other companies. Based on the provided description, its major customers include:

  • National Cement Company of California, Inc.: This company leases the cement operation from Tejon Ranch, generating royalties for TRC as part of its Mineral Resources segment. (National Cement Company of California, Inc. is a subsidiary of Vicat S.A., which is publicly traded on Euronext Paris under symbol VCT, but National Cement itself is not publicly traded with its own distinct symbol.)
  • Real Estate Developers and Commercial Tenants: While specific names are not provided, these comprise various companies that purchase land for development or lease commercial spaces. Examples from the description include companies operating auto service stations, convenience stores, fast-food operations, motels, and antique shops.
  • Telecommunications and Energy Companies: These are companies that lease land for critical infrastructure, such as microwave repeater locations, radio and cellular transmitter sites, fiber optic cable routes, and electric power plants.
  • Agricultural Processors and Distributors: This group includes companies in the food and beverage industry that purchase Tejon Ranch's farmed crops (e.g., wineries, nut processing companies, food distributors) and companies that lease land for farming vegetables and almonds.
  • Oil, Gas, and Rock & Aggregate Companies: These are companies involved in natural resource extraction that pay royalties for oil and gas, as well as rock and aggregate, from Tejon Ranch's properties.
  • Ranching and Film Production Companies: Companies that lease land for grazing livestock or for filming locations.

While TRC primarily serves businesses, its Ranch Operations segment also serves individuals who participate in guided hunts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Matthew Walker
President & Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Walker was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Tejon Ranch Co., effective March 31, 2025, having initially joined as Chief Operating Officer in March 2025. Prior to Tejon Ranch, he spent 24 years at Lowe Enterprises, a Los Angeles-based real estate firm, where he served as Executive Vice President and Shareholder, overseeing their hospitality and resort community platform. His extensive real estate experience encompasses resort and residential development, residential sales and marketing, master-planned community entitlement and development, and capital development and joint venture formation. Mr. Walker began his career in architectural firms and holds a Bachelor of Architecture from Cornell University and a Master of Business Administration from the UCLA Anderson School of Management.

Robert D. Velasquez
Senior Vice President, Finance, Chief Accounting Officer and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Velasquez serves as Senior Vice President, Finance, Chief Accounting Officer and Chief Financial Officer for Tejon Ranch Co., having joined the company in 2014. He was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer effective July 15, 2025. With over 25 years of experience, he has worked across the real estate, hospitality, and construction industries. Before joining Tejon Ranch, Mr. Velasquez was an Executive Director at Ernst & Young, where he was responsible for audit and advisory services for publicly traded companies. He is a Certified Public Accountant and earned a Bachelor of Science degree in business with an emphasis in accounting from California State University, Los Angeles.

Hugh F. McMahon IV
Executive Vice President, Real Estate

Mr. McMahon is the Executive Vice President of Real Estate for Tejon Ranch Co., a role in which he is responsible for the entitlement and development of the Grapevine and Mountain Village master-planned communities. He commenced his career with the Company in 2001. Previously, Mr. McMahon served as Director of Finance for Castle & Cooke's mainland operations. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from California State University, Fresno, and a Master of Business Administration from California State University, Bakersfield. Additionally, he is a graduate of Stanford University's Financial Management Program and Harvard University's Real Estate Management Program.

Michael R.W. Houston
Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Mr. Houston is the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for Tejon Ranch Co. He previously held these same positions at the Company for nearly five years starting in 2016. Mr. Houston is licensed to practice law in both California and Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Tejon Ranch (TRC):
  1. Dependence on Real Estate Market Conditions and Regulatory/Environmental Challenges: Tejon Ranch's substantial Commercial/Industrial and Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segments are highly susceptible to fluctuations in real estate market demand, pricing, and interest rates. Furthermore, undertaking large-scale land entitlement, planning, and development projects in California exposes the company to complex, often lengthy, regulatory and permitting processes, including significant environmental reviews and concerns over water availability, which can lead to substantial delays and increased costs.
  2. Exposure to Agricultural and Commodity Price Volatility, and Environmental Factors: The Farming segment's profitability is directly impacted by the fluctuating market prices of permanent crops such as wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios. This segment, along with the Mineral Resources segment, is also vulnerable to environmental factors like drought, extreme weather conditions, pests, and diseases, which can affect crop yields and resource extraction. Additionally, the Mineral Resources segment faces risks associated with the volatility of commodity prices for oil, gas, rock, and aggregates.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The following clear emerging threats have been identified for Tejon Ranch (TRC):

  • Intensified Climate-Induced Water Scarcity: For its Farming segment (wine grapes, almonds, pistachios) and Mineral Resources segment (management of water assets), the increasing severity and duration of droughts in California, driven by climate change, represent a clear emerging threat. This could lead to severe water allocation restrictions, making large-scale, water-intensive agriculture economically unfeasible and significantly devaluing the company's water assets and agricultural land.
  • Disruptive Sustainable Building Materials: For its Mineral Resources segment, which derives royalties from rock, aggregate, and a cement operation, the rapid development and widespread adoption of highly sustainable, cost-effective alternative building materials (e.g., advanced mass timber, mycelium-based composites, or low-carbon concrete innovations) could significantly reduce the long-term demand for traditional raw materials like rock, aggregate, and cement. This mirrors historical disruptions where new materials or technologies rendered older ones less competitive.
  • Decentralized Logistics and Manufacturing: For its Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment, which focuses on developing land for logistics, warehousing, and industrial uses, the emergence of highly decentralized logistics models (e.g., widespread drone delivery networks and hyper-local micro-fulfillment centers) and advanced manufacturing technologies (e.g., on-demand 3D printing reducing the need for traditional large factories) could reduce the long-term demand for vast industrial parks and large-scale distribution centers. This could impact the value and lease potential of Tejon Ranch’s commercial and industrial land holdings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the addressable market sizes for Tejon Ranch's main products and services:

  • Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development: The California commercial building market was valued at approximately USD 151.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 154.86 billion in 2025. This market is expected to grow to USD 198.85 billion by 2035. California's industrial real estate market, a significant component of commercial real estate, has a total industrial inventory of nearly 780 million square feet. Direct spending on California commercial real estate was $22.6 billion in 2023, with industrial assets accounting for $5 billion and warehouses for $8.8 billion.
  • Resort/Residential Real Estate Development: The median sale price for homes in California was $813,000 in September 2024. In February 2026, the median home price in California was $821,300. The California Association of REALTORS® projects the statewide median price to increase to approximately $905,000 in 2026.
  • Mineral Resources:
    • Oil and Gas royalties: null
    • Rock and Aggregate royalties: null
    • Water assets: California's water market is valued at $1.1 billion. Approximately 1.5 million acre-feet of water is traded annually in California. Additionally, water-related infrastructure spending in California is approximately $37 billion annually.
  • Farming:
    • Wine grapes: The U.S. market can support 3.2 million tons of California wine grapes annually. California crushed 2.6 million tons of wine grapes in 2025, with the total crop value for California wine grapes estimated at $2.414 billion in 2025.
    • Almonds: California's 2025 almond harvest is projected at 3.00 billion meat-pounds. In 2022, almonds alone represented $4.6 to $4.7 billion of California's agricultural exports.
    • Pistachios: California's pistachio production is projected to exceed 1.4 billion pounds by 2026. The global pistachio market is estimated to be worth $5.6 billion and is projected to grow to over $7 billion by 2030, with California supplying more than 60% of the world's pistachios.
    • Alfalfa and forage mix: null
    • Vegetables: California's fruit and vegetable sales exceeded US$20 billion in 2024.
  • Ranch Operations:
    • Game management and guided hunts: The U.S. wildlife tourism market generated a revenue of USD 13,836.0 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 25,831.1 million by 2033. In 2022, U.S. residents spent $145 billion on fishing and hunting.
    • Grazing leases: null
    • Filming: The Movie & Video Production industry in California is estimated at $26.7 billion in 2026. In 2022-2023, on-location film and TV productions in California directly spent $1.14 billion in the state. The California film and TV industry contributed $28.9 billion to the state's GDP in 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for Tejon Ranch (TRC) Over the Next 2-3 Years

  • Continued Development and Leasing at Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC): Tejon Ranch's Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment is expected to drive revenue growth through further development and increased leasing at its Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC). The industrial portfolio at TRCC is already 100% leased, with the commercial portfolio at 95% occupancy. The company has significant entitled development capacity remaining, with 11 million square feet available for future projects. Additionally, the development of a multifamily apartment complex with up to 495 units is underway, transforming TRCC into a mixed-use community.
  • Progress in Master Planned Communities: The Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segment is poised for substantial future revenue as Tejon Ranch advances its master-planned communities. The company holds entitlements for over 35,000 homes, which have the potential to generate significantly higher earnings compared to current levels. The initial multifamily community, Terra Vista at Tejon, is already over halfway leased, indicating progress in their long-term residential development strategy.
  • Improved Performance in Farming Operations: Tejon Ranch's Farming segment demonstrated strong improvement in the recent past, with revenues increasing by over 50% year-over-year in Q3 2025. This growth, coupled with stable expenses, led to a $2 million improvement in the segment's bottom line. Sustained strong performance in the farming of permanent crops like wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios will contribute to overall revenue growth.
  • Increased Traffic and Retail Activity from Hard Rock Tejon Casino: The upcoming opening of the Hard Rock Tejon Casino is anticipated to significantly boost traffic to the surrounding retail assets within the Tejon Ranch Commerce Center. This increased visitor volume is expected to positively impact revenue generated from existing leases with auto service stations, fast-food operations, and other commercial tenants in the area.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Tejon Ranch's number of outstanding shares increased from 26.35 million in 2021 to 26.89 million in 2025, indicating a slight issuance of shares over this period.

Outbound Investments

  • In late 2024, Tejon Ranch announced a joint venture with Dedeaux Properties to construct a 510,385 square foot warehouse facility, with plans for a new residential area in 2025 to expand its industrial portfolio.
  • The company continued its partnership with Majestic Realty Co., undertaking the construction of a nearly 630,000 square foot industrial building in 2021, which was anticipated for occupancy in late 2022.
  • Tejon Ranch expanded its partnership with Majestic Realty Co. for a multi-family residential complex at the Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC), with groundbreaking expected in late 2022 and anticipated occupancy in late 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • Tejon Ranch invested significantly in large real estate projects, with development spending increasing from $337 million at the end of 2023 to $357 million by mid-2024.
  • The company reported $12.2 million in capital expenditures during Q3 2025, primarily allocated to long-term assets and infrastructure.
  • A primary focus of capital expenditures includes the construction of the first phase of Terra Vista at Tejon, a multi-family community within TRCC, which began in the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, Tejon Ranch continues to invest in its residential projects, such as Mountain Village, Centennial, and Grapevine at Tejon Ranch.

Better Bets vs. Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Tejon Ranch Earnings Notes12/16/2025
2How Low Can Tejon Ranch Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TRC.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026GEOGEODip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RSG_4172026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04172026RSGRepublic ServicesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.1%
VRSK_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026VRSKVerisk AnalyticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.3%12.3%0.0%
UHAL_4102026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04102026UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-1.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Mkt Price19.5364.9726.0320.709.44144.6823.37
Mkt Cap0.53.71.30.70.4134.71.0
Rev LTM51-1,708155888,948155
Op Inc LTM-5-21035223,42735
FCF LTM-441782656965,136124
FCF 3Y Avg-4483-859205,15639
CFO LTM1120426769125,136136
CFO 3Y Avg11142-659275,15643

Growth & Margins

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Rev Chg LTM19.2%-16.1%17.2%7.7%6.7%16.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.7%-13.2%20.0%-0.7%11.6%11.6%
Rev Chg Q15.8%-6.6%15.0%-1.5%7.4%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%-1.4%3.6%-0.3%1.8%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM47.6%-4.1%182.7%-21.9%5.5%5.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-52.7%-9.3%55.7%-15.0%12.6%9.3%
Op Mgn LTM-9.7%-12.3%22.7%24.6%38.3%22.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.4%-14.0%17.4%32.0%38.6%17.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.4%--0.1%0.6%-3.1%-0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM21.2%-15.6%44.5%13.4%57.4%21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.8%--1.4%44.0%31.4%60.7%31.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-85.5%-15.5%44.5%7.1%57.4%15.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-97.9%--1.5%44.0%22.8%60.7%22.8%

Valuation

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Mkt Cap0.53.71.30.70.4134.71.0
P/S10.3-0.84.34.415.14.4
P/Op Inc-107.0-6.319.117.839.317.8
P/EBIT-107.0-6.316.328.226.016.3
P/E311.3-7.948.0-65.536.236.2
P/CFO48.818.35.09.832.626.222.3
Total Yield0.3%-12.6%9.5%4.0%2.8%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.0%7.4%5.5%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.8%2.5%-3.7%11.3%4.6%4.5%3.5%
D/E0.20.20.61.01.30.30.4
Net D/E0.10.10.30.91.20.30.3

Returns

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
1M Rtn0.4%-5.8%-1.6%3.2%-7.1%-0.2%-0.9%
3M Rtn15.8%-7.9%-13.3%11.2%-13.3%4.5%-1.7%
6M Rtn22.7%16.5%12.7%26.2%7.5%20.1%18.3%
12M Rtn18.4%46.4%32.0%23.5%3.8%37.7%27.8%
3Y Rtn13.3%46.6%27.5%64.7%-28.1%29.4%28.4%
1M Excs Rtn-3.8%-10.3%-7.9%0.4%-10.0%-3.3%-5.8%
3M Excs Rtn7.2%-16.5%-20.5%1.7%-21.2%-3.4%-10.0%
6M Excs Rtn11.4%2.8%0.1%13.8%-8.0%7.6%5.2%
12M Excs Rtn-5.0%18.8%6.3%-2.4%-21.5%10.7%2.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-65.1%-23.1%-48.2%-15.8%-108.5%-52.6%-50.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Real Estate - Resort/Residential331321313306297
Real estate - commercial/industrial9873748273
Corporate6877835668
Mineral Resources5552495258
Farming5452464738
Ranch Operations32222
Total608578567546536


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$19.53 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date03/17/1992 
Distance from 52W High-4.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$19.34$17.18
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.0%13.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility26.7%23.5%
Downside Capture-5.6443.64
Upside Capture49.4951.37
Correlation (SPY)12.1%21.4%
TRC Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.060.230.310.420.410.51
Up Beta-0.52-0.44-0.36-0.160.140.52
Down Beta-0.620.930.620.680.360.33
Up Capture53%68%91%82%46%26%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days14263970134363
Down Capture163%-5%2%31%63%85%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8172453113378

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TRC
TRC19.7%23.5%0.71-
Sector ETF (XLI)20.0%15.5%0.9825.6%
Equity (SPY)26.2%12.1%1.6221.8%
Gold (GLD)40.2%26.8%1.24-2.4%
Commodities (DBC)46.2%18.7%1.89-9.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.1%13.4%0.5433.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.4%41.8%-0.6514.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TRC
TRC5.1%26.1%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.3%17.4%0.5545.6%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.0%0.6540.8%
Gold (GLD)19.5%18.0%0.896.7%
Commodities (DBC)11.1%19.4%0.468.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%18.8%0.1147.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.1%55.6%0.3720.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TRC
TRC-0.3%27.7%0.03-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.8%20.0%0.6151.6%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7448.0%
Gold (GLD)13.1%16.0%0.681.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%17.9%0.3616.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2348.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.1%66.9%1.0614.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-1.0%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity26.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/19/20262.4%3.9%8.7%
11/6/2025-1.4%1.8%0.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive122
# Negative100
Median Positive2.4%2.9%4.4%
Median Negative-1.4%  
Max Positive2.4%3.9%8.7%
Max Negative-1.4%  

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/06/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/08/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Brown, Brett AExecutive Vice President / CFODirectSell711202518.555,356  Form