Tejon Ranch (TRC)


Market Price (8/19/2026): $16.395 | Market Cap: $442.7 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates

Tejon Ranch (TRC)


Market Price (8/19/2026): $16.395
Market Cap: $442.7 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Conglomerates

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.34

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 73x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%

Key risks
TRC key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges stalling its large-scale California development projects and [2] financial strain from these capital-intensive, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.34
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 73x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%
9 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
11 Key risks
TRC key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges stalling its large-scale California development projects and [2] financial strain from these capital-intensive, Show more.

TRC in ETFs

Weight = TRC's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWN0.02%
VNQ0.02%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
SCHA0.01%
+3 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/6/2026

Tejon Ranch (TRC) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Concerns regarding the sustainability and quality of earnings, particularly highlighted by the recent fiscal Q2 2026 results (ended June 30, 2026). While Tejon Ranch (TRC) reported a swing to net income of $2.6 million ($0.10/share) and a 72% year-over-year revenue increase to $14.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, a significant portion of this performance was driven by a single $6.9 million land sale to a Dedeaux Properties joint venture. Excluding this one-time transaction, core Commercial/Industrial revenue for the quarter actually contracted by 45% year-over-year. This reliance on episodic land sales rather than consistent core operational growth likely contributed to investor skepticism about long-term profitability and revenue predictability.

2. Persistent uncertainty and capital tie-up in large-scale master-planned residential communities. Projects such as Centennial and Mountain Village, which represent substantial assets for Tejon Ranch, continue to yield zero return and tie up significant capital. This issue has been a long-standing concern, with past legal challenges like a judge blocking construction of a housing development citing high wildfire risk. This ongoing drag from unmonetized residential projects, coupled with a perceived reluctance by management to pivot from capital-intensive development, has likely contributed to shareholder impatience and downward pressure on the stock.

Show more
Updated on 8/6/2026

Tejon Ranch (TRC) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Concerns regarding the sustainability and quality of earnings, particularly highlighted by the recent fiscal Q2 2026 results (ended June 30, 2026). While Tejon Ranch (TRC) reported a swing to net income of $2.6 million ($0.10/share) and a 72% year-over-year revenue increase to $14.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, a significant portion of this performance was driven by a single $6.9 million land sale to a Dedeaux Properties joint venture. Excluding this one-time transaction, core Commercial/Industrial revenue for the quarter actually contracted by 45% year-over-year. This reliance on episodic land sales rather than consistent core operational growth likely contributed to investor skepticism about long-term profitability and revenue predictability.

2. Persistent uncertainty and capital tie-up in large-scale master-planned residential communities. Projects such as Centennial and Mountain Village, which represent substantial assets for Tejon Ranch, continue to yield zero return and tie up significant capital. This issue has been a long-standing concern, with past legal challenges like a judge blocking construction of a housing development citing high wildfire risk. This ongoing drag from unmonetized residential projects, coupled with a perceived reluctance by management to pivot from capital-intensive development, has likely contributed to shareholder impatience and downward pressure on the stock.

3. Significant long-term fixed obligations from water contracts and increasing debt. As of June 30, 2026, Tejon Ranch reported substantial future payments totaling $1.518 billion related to long-term water contracts. Additionally, the company's revolving credit balance increased to $95.9 million from $93.9 million at the end of fiscal year 2025 (which ends December 31). These considerable fixed financial commitments, against a backdrop of revenue that can be volatile due to its reliance on land and water sales, likely raised concerns among investors about the company's financial flexibility and future cash flow.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.3% change in TRC stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -99.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268182026Change
Stock Price ($)19.5716.38-16.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)505714.6%
Net Income Margin (%)0.2%10.6%6923.1%
P/E Multiple7,021.973.3-99.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-16.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC-16.3% 
Market (SPY)6.8%-3.8%
Sector (XLI)5.1%-9.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.8% change in TRC stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 65.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268182026Change
Stock Price ($)16.0916.381.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)465722.4%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%10.6%65.6%
P/E Multiple145.373.3-49.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution1.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC1.8% 
Market (SPY)11.2%6.9%
Sector (XLI)11.3%1.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.8% change in TRC stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258182026Change
Stock Price ($)17.9616.38-8.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)435733.1%
Net Income Margin (%)5.0%10.6%111.9%
P/E Multiple225.473.3-67.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-8.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC-8.8% 
Market (SPY)22.4%14.8%
Sector (XLI)22.0%16.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.0% change in TRC stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238182026Change
Stock Price ($)17.6116.38-7.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7057-19.3%
Net Income Margin (%)18.8%10.6%-43.6%
P/E Multiple35.373.3107.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution-7.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TRC-7.0% 
Market (SPY)73.6%27.0%
Sector (XLI)73.2%33.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TRC Return32%-1%-9%-8%-1%5%15%
Peers Return59%-27%36%-12%9%12%70%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRC Win Rate75%42%42%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate70%43%52%43%53%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRC Max Drawdown-17%-27%-25%-24%-19%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-44%-26%-27%-25%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTRCS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven62 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven1059 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven52 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-23.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven305 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1048 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-16.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven286 days6 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD

In The Past

Tejon Ranch's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven52 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-23.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven305 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1048 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven106 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-31.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.2%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven636 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-21.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven235 days125 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, CTO, LAND, PLD

In The Past

Tejon Ranch's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) is a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company that leverages its extensive land holdings in California across five distinct segments. The company's core operations revolve around transforming its land into various revenue-generating assets, including commercial, industrial, and residential properties, alongside significant agricultural and resource management activities.

In its real estate development divisions, Tejon Ranch is active in both commercial/industrial and resort/residential projects. The Commercial/Industrial segment focuses on planning, developing, and leasing properties for logistics, retail (like fast-food and service stations), and critical infrastructure such as communication sites and land for an electric power plant. Meanwhile, the Resort/Residential segment is dedicated to the long-term entitlement, planning, and pre-construction engineering of land for future residential communities and resorts. The company also generates substantial income through its Mineral Resources segment, collecting royalties from oil and gas production, rock and aggregate extraction, and a cement operation.

Beyond real estate, Tejon Ranch operates a robust agribusiness. Its Farming segment cultivates thousands of acres of permanent crops, including almonds, pistachios, and wine grapes, and also manages or leases land for other agricultural products like alfalfa and vegetables. The Ranch Operations segment provides game management services, guided hunts, and leases land for grazing and filming, catering to a diverse set of customers ranging from agricultural product buyers to recreational hunters, livestock ranchers, and film production companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Tejon Ranch (TRC):

  • Think of it as a mini-Berkshire Hathaway, but instead of buying diverse companies, it runs multiple businesses—from real estate development to farming, mineral extraction, and ranching—all from its massive land holdings in California.

  • It's like a version of Howard Hughes Corporation (known for developing master-planned communities) that also operates a large agricultural business and earns royalties from oil, gas, and other natural resources on its vast land.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development: Develops, leases, and sells land and buildings for commercial and industrial purposes.
  • Residential/Resort Real Estate Development: Engages in the planning and entitlement of land for residential and resort communities.
  • Mineral Resources Royalties: Collects royalties from oil and gas, rock and aggregate, and a cement operation.
  • Agricultural Products: Produces and sells permanent crops such as wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios.
  • Agricultural Land Leasing: Leases land for farming various crops like vegetables and almonds.
  • Ranch and Land Management Services: Provides game management, guided hunts, grazing leases, and filming location services.
  • Water Asset Management: Manages and develops water assets and infrastructure projects.
  • Communications Infrastructure Leasing: Leases land for microwave, radio, cellular, and fiber optic communication sites.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Tejon Ranch (TRC) primarily sells to other companies. Based on the provided description, its major customers include:

  • National Cement Company of California, Inc.: This company leases the cement operation from Tejon Ranch, generating royalties for TRC as part of its Mineral Resources segment. (National Cement Company of California, Inc. is a subsidiary of Vicat S.A., which is publicly traded on Euronext Paris under symbol VCT, but National Cement itself is not publicly traded with its own distinct symbol.)
  • Real Estate Developers and Commercial Tenants: While specific names are not provided, these comprise various companies that purchase land for development or lease commercial spaces. Examples from the description include companies operating auto service stations, convenience stores, fast-food operations, motels, and antique shops.
  • Telecommunications and Energy Companies: These are companies that lease land for critical infrastructure, such as microwave repeater locations, radio and cellular transmitter sites, fiber optic cable routes, and electric power plants.
  • Agricultural Processors and Distributors: This group includes companies in the food and beverage industry that purchase Tejon Ranch's farmed crops (e.g., wineries, nut processing companies, food distributors) and companies that lease land for farming vegetables and almonds.
  • Oil, Gas, and Rock & Aggregate Companies: These are companies involved in natural resource extraction that pay royalties for oil and gas, as well as rock and aggregate, from Tejon Ranch's properties.
  • Ranching and Film Production Companies: Companies that lease land for grazing livestock or for filming locations.

While TRC primarily serves businesses, its Ranch Operations segment also serves individuals who participate in guided hunts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Matthew Walker
President & Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Walker was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Tejon Ranch Co., effective March 31, 2025, having initially joined as Chief Operating Officer in March 2025. Prior to Tejon Ranch, he spent 24 years at Lowe Enterprises, a Los Angeles-based real estate firm, where he served as Executive Vice President and Shareholder, overseeing their hospitality and resort community platform. His extensive real estate experience encompasses resort and residential development, residential sales and marketing, master-planned community entitlement and development, and capital development and joint venture formation. Mr. Walker began his career in architectural firms and holds a Bachelor of Architecture from Cornell University and a Master of Business Administration from the UCLA Anderson School of Management.

Robert D. Velasquez
Senior Vice President, Finance, Chief Accounting Officer and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Velasquez serves as Senior Vice President, Finance, Chief Accounting Officer and Chief Financial Officer for Tejon Ranch Co., having joined the company in 2014. He was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer effective July 15, 2025. With over 25 years of experience, he has worked across the real estate, hospitality, and construction industries. Before joining Tejon Ranch, Mr. Velasquez was an Executive Director at Ernst & Young, where he was responsible for audit and advisory services for publicly traded companies. He is a Certified Public Accountant and earned a Bachelor of Science degree in business with an emphasis in accounting from California State University, Los Angeles.

Hugh F. McMahon IV
Executive Vice President, Real Estate

Mr. McMahon is the Executive Vice President of Real Estate for Tejon Ranch Co., a role in which he is responsible for the entitlement and development of the Grapevine and Mountain Village master-planned communities. He commenced his career with the Company in 2001. Previously, Mr. McMahon served as Director of Finance for Castle & Cooke's mainland operations. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from California State University, Fresno, and a Master of Business Administration from California State University, Bakersfield. Additionally, he is a graduate of Stanford University's Financial Management Program and Harvard University's Real Estate Management Program.

Michael R.W. Houston
Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Mr. Houston is the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for Tejon Ranch Co. He previously held these same positions at the Company for nearly five years starting in 2016. Mr. Houston is licensed to practice law in both California and Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Tejon Ranch (TRC):
  1. Dependence on Real Estate Market Conditions and Regulatory/Environmental Challenges: Tejon Ranch's substantial Commercial/Industrial and Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segments are highly susceptible to fluctuations in real estate market demand, pricing, and interest rates. Furthermore, undertaking large-scale land entitlement, planning, and development projects in California exposes the company to complex, often lengthy, regulatory and permitting processes, including significant environmental reviews and concerns over water availability, which can lead to substantial delays and increased costs.
  2. Exposure to Agricultural and Commodity Price Volatility, and Environmental Factors: The Farming segment's profitability is directly impacted by the fluctuating market prices of permanent crops such as wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios. This segment, along with the Mineral Resources segment, is also vulnerable to environmental factors like drought, extreme weather conditions, pests, and diseases, which can affect crop yields and resource extraction. Additionally, the Mineral Resources segment faces risks associated with the volatility of commodity prices for oil, gas, rock, and aggregates.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The following clear emerging threats have been identified for Tejon Ranch (TRC):

  • Intensified Climate-Induced Water Scarcity: For its Farming segment (wine grapes, almonds, pistachios) and Mineral Resources segment (management of water assets), the increasing severity and duration of droughts in California, driven by climate change, represent a clear emerging threat. This could lead to severe water allocation restrictions, making large-scale, water-intensive agriculture economically unfeasible and significantly devaluing the company's water assets and agricultural land.
  • Disruptive Sustainable Building Materials: For its Mineral Resources segment, which derives royalties from rock, aggregate, and a cement operation, the rapid development and widespread adoption of highly sustainable, cost-effective alternative building materials (e.g., advanced mass timber, mycelium-based composites, or low-carbon concrete innovations) could significantly reduce the long-term demand for traditional raw materials like rock, aggregate, and cement. This mirrors historical disruptions where new materials or technologies rendered older ones less competitive.
  • Decentralized Logistics and Manufacturing: For its Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment, which focuses on developing land for logistics, warehousing, and industrial uses, the emergence of highly decentralized logistics models (e.g., widespread drone delivery networks and hyper-local micro-fulfillment centers) and advanced manufacturing technologies (e.g., on-demand 3D printing reducing the need for traditional large factories) could reduce the long-term demand for vast industrial parks and large-scale distribution centers. This could impact the value and lease potential of Tejon Ranch’s commercial and industrial land holdings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the addressable market sizes for Tejon Ranch's main products and services:

  • Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development: The California commercial building market was valued at approximately USD 151.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 154.86 billion in 2025. This market is expected to grow to USD 198.85 billion by 2035. California's industrial real estate market, a significant component of commercial real estate, has a total industrial inventory of nearly 780 million square feet. Direct spending on California commercial real estate was $22.6 billion in 2023, with industrial assets accounting for $5 billion and warehouses for $8.8 billion.
  • Resort/Residential Real Estate Development: The median sale price for homes in California was $813,000 in September 2024. In February 2026, the median home price in California was $821,300. The California Association of REALTORS® projects the statewide median price to increase to approximately $905,000 in 2026.
  • Mineral Resources:
    • Oil and Gas royalties: null
    • Rock and Aggregate royalties: null
    • Water assets: California's water market is valued at $1.1 billion. Approximately 1.5 million acre-feet of water is traded annually in California. Additionally, water-related infrastructure spending in California is approximately $37 billion annually.
  • Farming:
    • Wine grapes: The U.S. market can support 3.2 million tons of California wine grapes annually. California crushed 2.6 million tons of wine grapes in 2025, with the total crop value for California wine grapes estimated at $2.414 billion in 2025.
    • Almonds: California's 2025 almond harvest is projected at 3.00 billion meat-pounds. In 2022, almonds alone represented $4.6 to $4.7 billion of California's agricultural exports.
    • Pistachios: California's pistachio production is projected to exceed 1.4 billion pounds by 2026. The global pistachio market is estimated to be worth $5.6 billion and is projected to grow to over $7 billion by 2030, with California supplying more than 60% of the world's pistachios.
    • Alfalfa and forage mix: null
    • Vegetables: California's fruit and vegetable sales exceeded US$20 billion in 2024.
  • Ranch Operations:
    • Game management and guided hunts: The U.S. wildlife tourism market generated a revenue of USD 13,836.0 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 25,831.1 million by 2033. In 2022, U.S. residents spent $145 billion on fishing and hunting.
    • Grazing leases: null
    • Filming: The Movie & Video Production industry in California is estimated at $26.7 billion in 2026. In 2022-2023, on-location film and TV productions in California directly spent $1.14 billion in the state. The California film and TV industry contributed $28.9 billion to the state's GDP in 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for Tejon Ranch (TRC) Over the Next 2-3 Years

  • Continued Development and Leasing at Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC): Tejon Ranch's Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment is expected to drive revenue growth through further development and increased leasing at its Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC). The industrial portfolio at TRCC is already 100% leased, with the commercial portfolio at 95% occupancy. The company has significant entitled development capacity remaining, with 11 million square feet available for future projects. Additionally, the development of a multifamily apartment complex with up to 495 units is underway, transforming TRCC into a mixed-use community.
  • Progress in Master Planned Communities: The Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segment is poised for substantial future revenue as Tejon Ranch advances its master-planned communities. The company holds entitlements for over 35,000 homes, which have the potential to generate significantly higher earnings compared to current levels. The initial multifamily community, Terra Vista at Tejon, is already over halfway leased, indicating progress in their long-term residential development strategy.
  • Improved Performance in Farming Operations: Tejon Ranch's Farming segment demonstrated strong improvement in the recent past, with revenues increasing by over 50% year-over-year in Q3 2025. This growth, coupled with stable expenses, led to a $2 million improvement in the segment's bottom line. Sustained strong performance in the farming of permanent crops like wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios will contribute to overall revenue growth.
  • Increased Traffic and Retail Activity from Hard Rock Tejon Casino: The upcoming opening of the Hard Rock Tejon Casino is anticipated to significantly boost traffic to the surrounding retail assets within the Tejon Ranch Commerce Center. This increased visitor volume is expected to positively impact revenue generated from existing leases with auto service stations, fast-food operations, and other commercial tenants in the area.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Tejon Ranch's number of outstanding shares increased from 26.35 million in 2021 to 26.89 million in 2025, indicating a slight issuance of shares over this period.

Outbound Investments

  • In late 2024, Tejon Ranch announced a joint venture with Dedeaux Properties to construct a 510,385 square foot warehouse facility, with plans for a new residential area in 2025 to expand its industrial portfolio.
  • The company continued its partnership with Majestic Realty Co., undertaking the construction of a nearly 630,000 square foot industrial building in 2021, which was anticipated for occupancy in late 2022.
  • Tejon Ranch expanded its partnership with Majestic Realty Co. for a multi-family residential complex at the Tejon Ranch Commerce Center (TRCC), with groundbreaking expected in late 2022 and anticipated occupancy in late 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • Tejon Ranch invested significantly in large real estate projects, with development spending increasing from $337 million at the end of 2023 to $357 million by mid-2024.
  • The company reported $12.2 million in capital expenditures during Q3 2025, primarily allocated to long-term assets and infrastructure.
  • A primary focus of capital expenditures includes the construction of the first phase of Terra Vista at Tejon, a multi-family community within TRCC, which began in the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, Tejon Ranch continues to invest in its residential projects, such as Mountain Village, Centennial, and Grapevine at Tejon Ranch.

Better Bets vs. Tejon Ranch (TRC)

Peer Outperformance in Industrial Conglomerates

TRC has trailed 69% of its 16 Industrial Conglomerates peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are CSL, MMM and HON. Industrial Conglomerates ranks 13th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Industrial Conglomerates constituents that TRC has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
17%
of 18 industry peers · -4.2% return
3Y
35%
of 17 industry peers · -1.9% return
5Y
31%
of 16 industry peers · -15.4% return
Industrial Conglomerates peers with revenue growth within 4pp of TRC's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
TRC Tejon Ranch -0.4% 73.3x -4.2%-1.9%-15.4%
CSL Carlisle Companies 1.7% 19.7x -4.9%37.3%82.9% +98pp
MMM 3M 3.2% 31.4x 20.6%133.7%32.3% +48pp
HON Honeywell International 0.1% 8.8x 12.7%36.4%16.4% +32pp
SEB Seaboard -0.1% 6.8x 25.8%25.7%11.6% +27pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Industrial Conglomerates is TRC's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 34.4%131.4%215.6% CDNL 3372% · STRL 2462% · FIX 2322%
Marine Transportation 4 54.2%63.4%163.0% MATX 224% · KEX 165% · SFL 161%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 14.4%56.3%127.2% CAT 348% · ALSN 267% · WAB 255%
Aerospace & Defense 54 13.2%77.2%95.6% DFNS 2733% · ATI 1147% · FTAI 1018%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -13.3%52.1%59.3% UBER 87% · CAR 59% · LYFT -64%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 13.4%57.6%59.2% CRS 1647% · PSIX 867% · GHM 841%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 46.9%13.3%52.4% R 301% · XPO 297% · CVLG 225%
Diversified Support Services 34 12.4%37.0%43.9% LIME 4409% · TH 429% · WLFC 380%
Rail Transportation 7 38.8%69.9%43.5% FSTR 123% · CSX 60% · UNP 49%
Trading Companies & Distributors 18 6.7%37.2%42.3% DXPE 572% · AIT 330% · URI 250%
Electrical Components & Equipment 40 24.1%42.2%35.9% POWL 2534% · BE 969% · ELVA 956%
Building Products 33 -4.2%19.8%32.1% GFF 444% · LMB 431% · PPIH 278%
Industrial Conglomerates ← 17 25.8%28.8%11.6% RCMT 812% · TTI 215% · CSW 163%
Office Services & Supplies 10 18.1%30.7%7.1% TILE 200% · PBI 168% · EBF 63%
Environmental & Facilities Services 28 -7.5%14.2%4.8% CECO 972% · ADUR 642% · NVRI 300%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -9.4%-20.9%-5.0% HURN 206% · CRAI 89% · GRNQ 87%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 -6.1%-17.7%-16.7% BLBD 201% · DE 75% · GENC 68%
Passenger Airlines 11 10.9%-3.7%-21.4% LTM 2330% · UAL 170% · SKYW 161%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -32.9%-12.8%-27.3% EXLS 48% · BR 7% · MMS -27%
Human Resource & Employment Services 21 13.5%-21.7%-31.5% BBSI 87% · ADP 42% · KFY 39%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -12.1%-23.4%-35.9% CHRW 86% · FDX 69% · EXPD 61%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -31.9%-19.0%-47.1% CIX 119% · MG 94% · BCO 52%
Airport Services 3 -69.5%-68.1%-56.0% JOBY -10% · ASLE -56% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Tejon Ranch Earnings Notes12/16/2025
2How Low Can Tejon Ranch Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Mkt Price16.3867.3228.6521.868.23140.0225.25
Mkt Cap0.43.81.50.80.4130.71.1
Rev LTM575481,725161889,190354
Op Inc LTM-116521440223,532102
FCF LTM-3019128372255,241131
FCF 3Y Avg-4496-3560215,20041
CFO LTM1221728472285,241144
CFO 3Y Avg13145-3460285,20044

Growth & Margins

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Rev Chg LTM25.4%28.4%11.8%14.3%21.6%7.3%17.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.4%19.8%11.0%18.7%0.3%6.0%8.5%
Rev Chg Q71.7%23.0%4.2%16.5%3.2%11.1%13.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.7%5.7%1.0%4.0%0.4%2.7%3.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM94.8%64.0%5.7%170.7%10.5%4.9%37.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-36.6%31.6%6.5%57.1%-12.0%4.5%5.5%
Op Mgn LTM-0.9%30.2%12.4%24.6%24.6%38.4%24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-15.9%25.3%13.6%18.4%29.7%37.5%21.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.8%1.7%0.1%1.9%0.0%0.1%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM21.9%39.6%16.5%44.5%31.4%57.0%35.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.0%31.1%-2.8%42.9%32.7%61.4%31.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-53.4%34.9%16.4%44.5%28.0%57.0%31.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-94.6%19.3%-2.9%42.9%24.6%61.4%22.0%

Valuation

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
Mkt Cap0.43.81.50.80.4130.71.1
P/S7.87.00.84.74.014.25.9
P/Op Inc-858.923.36.919.316.237.017.7
P/EBIT-858.919.86.99.427.622.614.6
P/E73.331.38.614.6-54.631.022.8
P/CFO35.517.75.210.712.724.915.2
Total Yield1.4%4.1%11.6%13.6%4.4%6.2%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.0%6.7%6.3%3.0%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.3%2.9%-6.2%10.7%5.1%4.8%3.9%
D/E0.20.10.60.91.40.30.4
Net D/E0.20.10.30.81.30.30.3

Returns

TRCJOEFORCTOLANDPLDMedian
NameTejon Ra.St. Joe Forestar CTO Real.Gladston.Prologis  
1M Rtn-9.9%11.2%-4.2%-1.6%-4.9%-6.5%-4.6%
3M Rtn-14.7%6.9%13.7%7.4%-10.9%-1.0%2.9%
6M Rtn-4.0%-4.9%-4.6%18.6%-25.4%0.3%-4.3%
12M Rtn-4.2%37.2%5.9%44.5%-0.6%37.1%21.5%
3Y Rtn-1.9%18.1%-0.0%70.0%-38.0%26.8%9.0%
1M Excs Rtn-12.1%8.4%-1.7%-5.7%-7.7%-8.4%-6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-19.2%1.0%7.8%5.0%-16.8%-4.8%-1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-16.4%-17.3%-17.0%6.2%-37.8%-12.1%-16.7%
12M Excs Rtn-25.3%16.2%-13.2%24.5%-20.3%16.4%1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-78.7%-62.5%-78.8%-13.3%-113.9%-47.6%-70.6%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Farming1914141311
Real estate - commercial / industrial1513124119
Mineral Resources1010152221
Ranch Operations55544
Multifamily100  
Total5042457956


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Real estate - commercial / industrial151611328
Mineral Resources33697
Ranch Operations00-1-1-1
Farming-0-4-1-7-3
Multifamily-200  
Real Estate - Resort / Residential-2-3-2-2-2
Corporate expenses    -10
Total14131331-0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Real Estate - Resort / Residential341331321313306
Real estate - commercial / industrial6569717482
Multifamily64293  
Mineral Resources6255524952
Farming5954524647
Corporate3868778356
Ranch Operations23222
Total630608578567546


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$16.38 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date03/17/1992 
Distance from 52W High-20.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.97$17.67
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-8.9%-7.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility18.5%21.1%
Downside Capture44.4632.72
Upside Capture-34.7720.68
Correlation (SPY)-1.5%14.4%
TRC Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.20-0.09-0.060.130.270.46
Up Beta0.210.070.390.030.190.50
Down Beta0.99-0.150.220.270.250.31
Up Capture-78%-50%-52%13%17%16%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days8182664124361
Down Capture72%32%2%12%48%80%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days14253559124379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TRC
TRC-6.1%21.2%-0.39-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.4%17.0%1.0617.0%
Equity (SPY)20.4%12.8%1.1714.8%
Gold (GLD)29.8%28.5%0.910.9%
Commodities (DBC)40.2%20.2%1.56-8.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.9%0.6535.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.4%42.7%-1.3013.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TRC
TRC-2.8%25.8%-0.12-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.7%17.6%0.6043.9%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5939.7%
Gold (GLD)19.8%18.6%0.876.4%
Commodities (DBC)9.8%19.6%0.396.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0247.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.1%52.6%0.3220.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TRC
TRC-4.8%27.3%-0.15-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.1%20.0%0.6250.7%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7247.1%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.613.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.3516.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2048.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.0%1.0015.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 715202612.4%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity27.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/17/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/20260.1%-0.7% 
5/7/20263.9%-2.2%-2.4%
3/19/20262.4%3.9%8.7%
11/6/2025-1.4%1.8%0.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive322
# Negative121
Median Positive2.4%2.9%4.4%
Median Negative-1.4%-1.5%-2.4%
Max Positive3.9%3.9%8.7%
Max Negative-1.4%-2.2%-2.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/20260.1%-0.7% 
5/7/20263.9%-2.2%-2.4%
3/19/20262.4%3.9%8.7%
11/6/2025-1.4%1.8%0.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive322
# Negative121
Median Positive2.4%2.9%4.4%
Median Negative-1.4%-1.5%-2.4%
Max Positive3.9%3.9%8.7%
Max Negative-1.4%-2.2%-2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/06/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/08/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/06/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/08/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202103/03/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/05/202110-Q
12/31/202003/03/202110-K
09/30/202011/03/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/04/202010-Q
12/31/201903/10/202010-K
09/30/201911/07/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 7/28/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Brown, Brett AExecutive Vice President / CFODirectSell711202518.555,356  Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Brown, Brett AExecutive Vice President / CFODirectSell711202518.555,356  Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/18/2026