Torrid (CURV)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $1.565 | Market Cap: $155.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Torrid (CURV)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $1.565Market Cap: $155.3 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Inclusive Consumerism. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Plus-Size Fashion. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 270% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 66% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.7% Key risksCURV key risks include [1] declining revenue and profitability due to execution missteps, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Inclusive Consumerism. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Plus-Size Fashion. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 270% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 66% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.7% |
| Key risksCURV key risks include [1] declining revenue and profitability due to execution missteps, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Better-than-Expected Q4 2025 Financial Results. Torrid reported a net loss of $8.1 million, or ($0.08) per share, for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended January 31, 2026), which surpassed analysts' consensus estimate of a ($0.12) loss per share by 33.33%. The company also exceeded its own guidance for Adjusted EBITDA, reaching $5.1 million, compared to a guidance of $0.0 million to $4.0 million. This financial beat, despite a 14.3% decrease in net sales to $236.2 million year-over-year, instilled investor confidence.
2. Strategic Business Transformation and Growth Initiatives. Management highlighted fiscal 2025 as a "transformational year," during which Torrid closed 151 structurally unproductive stores as part of a Retail Store Optimization Project, ending the year with 483 stores. The company also successfully launched five new sub-brands, which generated approximately $70 million in sales in fiscal 2025 and are projected to grow by 60% to $110 million in fiscal 2026. These strategic moves aimed at optimizing its physical footprint and diversifying product offerings are viewed positively for long-term growth and efficiency.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.7% change in CURV stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.15 | 1.56 | 35.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,039 | 1,000 | -3.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.2 | 41.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 99 | 99 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CURV | 35.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | -0.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.6% | 12.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.8% change in CURV stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.25 | 1.56 | 24.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,068 | 1,000 | -6.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.2 | 29.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 102 | 99 | 3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CURV | 24.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -2.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.6% | 9.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -75.4% change in CURV stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -74.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.35 | 1.56 | -75.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,104 | 1,000 | -9.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.2 | -74.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 105 | 99 | 5.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -75.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CURV | -75.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 7.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.8% | 16.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.4% change in CURV stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.42 | 1.56 | -54.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,288 | 1,000 | -22.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.2 | -43.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 99 | 4.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -54.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CURV | -54.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 18.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 66.6% | 20.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CURV Return | -59% | -70% | 95% | -9% | -81% | 56% | -94% |
| Peers Return | 10% | -52% | 40% | 9% | 38% | -28% | -21% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CURV Win Rate | 17% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 29% | 58% | 46% | 46% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CURV Max Drawdown | -59% | -72% | -58% | -45% | -82% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -63% | -23% | -19% | -42% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AEO, LE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CURV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 166 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Torrid's stock fell -26.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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| Event | CURV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 166 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Torrid's stock fell -26.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Torrid (CURV)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Imagine an Old Navy or H&M, but exclusively focused on stylish apparel for plus-size women.
A Victoria's Secret for plus-size women, but with a full range of everyday fashion in addition to intimates.
The Lululemon or Athleta for women's plus-size fashion, creating a dedicated brand experience for a specific apparel niche.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Women's Plus-Size Apparel: A diverse range of clothing items for plus-size women, including tops, bottoms, dresses, denims, activewear, sleepwear, swimwear, and outerwear.
- Intimates: Products like bras, underwear, and other intimate apparel designed for comfort and fit.
- Accessories: Non-apparel items such as jewelry, handbags, scarves, and other complementary fashion products.
- Footwear: Various types of shoes, boots, and sandals designed to fit a range of styles and occasions.
- Beauty Products: Cosmetics, skincare, and other personal care items to complete a look.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Torrid (CURV) sells primarily to individuals, not to other companies. Its major customers can be categorized as:
- Plus-size women seeking fashionable everyday apparel: This category includes customers looking for stylish and comfortable clothing for daily wear, such as tops, bottoms, dresses, denim, and activewear, along with coordinating accessories and footwear.
- Plus-size women seeking intimates and sleepwear: This segment focuses on customers specifically seeking well-fitting and comfortable intimates and sleepwear designed for plus-size figures.
- Plus-size women seeking occasion-specific or seasonal wear: This category encompasses customers looking for specialized apparel for various occasions, such as swimwear for vacations, outerwear for different seasons, or specific dresses for events, along with complementary beauty products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Lisa Harper, Chief Executive Officer Lisa Harper has served as Torrid's Chief Executive Officer since May 2022 and has been a member of its board of directors and its predecessor since 2008. She previously served as CEO of Belk from July 2016 through July 2021 and as Executive Chairperson from July 2021 until May 2022. Harper also served as CEO of Torrid and Hot Topic from March 2011 until June 2016. From February 2001 to July 2006, she held various positions with The Gymboree Corporation, including CEO and Chairman of the board of directors. Her career also includes merchandising and design roles at retailers such as Limited Too, Esprit, GapKids, Mervyn's, and Levi Strauss. She led Belk's expedited pre-packaged Chapter 11 restructuring. Harper also serves as a director at Hot Topic, a Sycamore affiliate, and Torrid itself was acquired by the private-equity firm Sycamore Partners in 2013. Paula Dempsey, Chief Financial Officer Paula Dempsey was appointed Chief Financial Officer effective December 4, 2023. Prior to this, she served as Senior Vice President and Interim Chief Financial Officer and joined Torrid in January 2023 as Senior Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. Before joining Torrid, Ms. Dempsey held the roles of Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance at Mattress Firm, Inc. until December 2022, and Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis from December 2020 to January 2022. Her previous experience includes various leadership roles in finance and financial planning and analysis at PriceSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ: PSMT) and Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NYSE: NGVC). Vivian Alhorn, Chief Marketing Officer Vivian Alhorn has served as Torrid's Chief Marketing Officer since March 2023. Her prior roles at Torrid include Senior Vice President, Chief Digital Officer from May 2022 to March 2023, and Vice President, Digital Experience from August 2021 to May 2022. Before Torrid, she was Vice President, Digital at Gap Inc., Banana Republic Division, from October 2016 to August 2020, and Vice President, eCommerce at Pottery Barn from September 2015 to August 2016. She also served as Vice President, Merchandising and Web Production at Sephora from August 2014 to August 2015. She has over 20 years of experience across various brands and leadership roles within eCommerce, merchandising, design, and sourcing at GAP Inc. Bridgett Zeterberg, Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Legal Officer Bridgett Zeterberg has served as Torrid's Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Legal Officer since October 2022. She previously held the position of Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer at Torrid from July 2022 to October 2022. Prior to Torrid, Ms. Zeterberg served as Executive Vice President Human Resources, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary at Tuesday Morning, where she held various roles beginning in July 2016. She also held leadership positions as Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of Zale Corporation, and Senior Vice President, General Counsel of Total Wine & More. Hyon Park, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Technology Officer Hyon Park is the Chief Operating Officer and Chief Technology Officer at Torrid. He joined the company as Chief Technology Officer in September 2022. Mr. Park has 25 years of experience in information technology and consulting, with two decades of direct-to-consumer retail expertise. Before joining Torrid, he served as the Chief Technology Officer of Belk and held roles at Tailored Brands and Gymboree.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Torrid's business:
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Declining Financial Performance: Torrid has experienced a significant deterioration in its financial results, including sales misses, year-over-year revenue decreases, and pressure on profitability. For instance, the company reported third-quarter sales of $235 million, hitting the low end of guidance, with key categories underperforming. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a substantial decline, from $19.6 million in the prior year to $9.8 million, largely due to deeper-than-expected promotions eroding profitability. Net losses have also widened, and operating cash flow has turned negative.
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High Net Debt and Liquidity Concerns: The company's net debt has surged, reaching approximately $273.7 million by the third quarter of 2025. This significant debt load, compared to its cash on the balance sheet, coupled with a high net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio, indicates potential financial strain and liquidity concerns for the business.
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Assortment and Execution Missteps: Torrid has faced internal operational challenges related to its product assortment and execution. Poor performance in core categories, such as tops, contributed significantly to sales misses and customer pullback due to an imbalance in the assortment mix. The company also paused footwear sales at one point due to tariffs, which further impacted results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing adoption of size-inclusive strategies by mainstream fashion brands poses a clear emerging threat to Torrid. Historically, Torrid thrived by specializing in the underserved plus-size market. However, a growing number of established retailers and direct-to-consumer brands are expanding their size ranges significantly, offering plus-size options within their core collections rather than through separate, specialized sub-brands or stores. This trend dilutes Torrid's unique value proposition and introduces a wider array of competitive choices for consumers who previously had limited fashionable options in their size.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Torrid Holdings Inc. operates within the women's plus-size apparel and intimates market in North America. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services in this region are as follows:
Women's Plus-Size Apparel Market (North America)
- The North American plus-size clothing market generated a revenue of approximately USD 136.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach approximately USD 170.7 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% from 2024 to 2030.
- In the United States, the plus-size women's clothing market is anticipated to reach USD 111.5 billion by 2025 and is forecasted to grow to USD 159.4 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.1% from 2025 to 2034.
- For Canada, the plus-size women's clothing market is projected to grow from approximately USD 5.99 billion in 2023 to about USD 9.89 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 5.73%.
Women's Plus-Size Intimates Market (North America)
- The intimate lingerie market in North America generated a revenue of approximately USD 3.83 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach approximately USD 7.42 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.6% from 2023 to 2030. This market shows a shift towards more comfortable and body-inclusive lingerie, with increasing demand for diverse sizes including plus-size options.
- Specifically for the U.S. lingerie market (which includes plus-size offerings where Torrid is a significant player), the market size was estimated at USD 17.11 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 31.40 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 7.2% from 2025 to 2033. Torrid is noted for dominating the plus-size lingerie market in the U.S.
- The intimate lingerie market in Canada generated a revenue of USD 407.6 million in 2022 and is expected to reach USD 760.3 million by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Torrid Holdings Inc. (CURV) is focusing on several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, as outlined in recent company statements and analyst insights:
- Product Innovation and Sub-Brand Expansion: Torrid is strategically investing in product innovation within its core assortment and expanding its offerings through new sub-brands. The company has launched sub-brands such as Festi, Nightfall, and Retro Chic, which have shown strong customer engagement, particularly attracting a younger demographic. This initiative is expected to drive incremental lifestyle purchases and positive customer response.
- Enhanced Digital Marketing and Customer Acquisition: The company plans to increase its investment in digital marketing to elevate brand recognition and customer engagement. This includes expanding digital and influencer marketing efforts with the goal of attracting new customers and reactivating existing ones, thereby expanding its customer base.
- Retail Footprint Optimization: While Torrid intends to close some underperforming stores, its broader strategy involves optimizing its retail footprint. This optimization focuses on enhancing store economics, refreshing store environments, and aligning sales channels with evolving customer demand. The aim is to improve overall profitability and accelerate growth in the digital channel by focusing on more productive locations.
- Improved Assortment and Maximizing Full-Price Sales: Torrid has been concentrating on enhancing its product assortment and optimizing channel investments to maximize regular price sell-through. This strategy, coupled with disciplined inventory management, is designed to reduce promotional activity, drive higher full-price sales, and expand product margins.
- Leveraging Multi-Brand Strategy: The company's multi-brand strategy, particularly the performance of its sub-brands, is expected to continue contributing to revenue growth. These sub-brands have reportedly outperformed expectations, with projections indicating increased penetration rates in the upcoming fiscal years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Torrid had an active $100 million authorization for share repurchase, with approximately $45 million remaining as of September 2025.
- In the second quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended August 2, 2025), the company repurchased roughly 6 million shares at $3.50 per share, totaling $20 million.
- Concurrent with a secondary offering in June 2025, Torrid agreed to repurchase $20 million of its shares from Sycamore Partners.
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, an underwritten public offering of 10 million shares of common stock was launched by certain stockholders; however, Torrid did not receive any proceeds from this sale.
- Torrid's Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2021 involved 12,650,000 common shares at $21.00 per share, generating gross proceeds of $265.65 million, but all proceeds went to the selling shareholders, not the company.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures were expected to be between $15 million and $20 million, aimed at infrastructure and technology investments, and opening 4 to 8 new stores.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were also stated as $10 million to $15 million, with a focus on digital experience, store refreshes, and fulfillment capabilities to support the omnichannel growth strategy.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Torrid Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Torrid Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| CURV Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy Torrid Stock | 05/16/2025 | |
| Torrid (CURV) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,335 |
| Op Inc LTM | 44 |
| FCF LTM | 20 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 44 |
| CFO LTM | 50 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 78 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -26.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.0 |
| P/EBIT | 7.9 |
| P/E | 14.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.2 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -29.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 39.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -36.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -37.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.56 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/01/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -73.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.64 | $1.55 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -5.1% | 0.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 85.1% | 87.2% |
| Downside Capture | -0.08 | 0.88 |
| Upside Capture | 116.26 | -29.45 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -1.2% | 5.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.48 | -0.45 | 0.04 | -0.11 | 0.50 | 1.01 |
| Up Beta | 0.82 | 0.83 | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.63 | 1.22 |
| Down Beta | 12.77 | -2.55 | -3.11 | -2.47 | -1.38 | 0.51 |
| Up Capture | 73% | 142% | 135% | 60% | -15% | 67% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 26 | 33 | 62 | 109 | 368 |
| Down Capture | 707% | -280% | -36% | -2% | 144% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 14 | 26 | 54 | 121 | 347 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CURV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CURV | -70.7% | 87.0% | -1.00 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 21.8% | 18.7% | 0.92 | 15.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 6.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | -9.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 3.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 11.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CURV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CURV | -42.3% | 85.2% | -0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.1% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 30.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 27.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 4.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 24.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 16.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CURV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CURV | -24.1% | 85.2% | -0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.9% | 22.0% | 0.54 | 30.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 27.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 4.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 24.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 16.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/19/2026 | 28.0% | 37.6% | 76.8% |
| 12/3/2025 | -13.7% | -13.7% | -15.3% |
| 9/4/2025 | -25.2% | -18.9% | -26.5% |
| 6/5/2025 | -1.0% | -0.6% | -45.2% |
| 12/3/2024 | -25.1% | -11.6% | 24.0% |
| 9/4/2024 | 9.0% | 8.8% | -43.8% |
| 6/12/2024 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 33.8% |
| 8/3/2022 | 10.3% | 41.6% | 32.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| # Negative | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 10.3% | 8.8% | 33.0% |
| Median Negative | -25.1% | -13.7% | -29.0% |
| Max Positive | 32.4% | 41.6% | 76.8% |
| Max Negative | -27.9% | -27.9% | -45.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/07/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 236.00 Mil | 240.00 Mil | 244.00 Mil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 14.00 Mil | 16.00 Mil | 18.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 940.00 Mil | 950.00 Mil | 960.00 Mil | -4.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 998.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 65.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 15.7% | Raised | Guidance: 60.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 8.00 Mil | 9.00 Mil | 10.00 Mil | -35.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 14.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 995.00 Mil | 998.50 Mil | 1.00 Bil | -2.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.02 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 59.00 Mil | 60.50 Mil | 62.00 Mil | -28.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 85.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 13.00 Mil | 14.00 Mil | 15.00 Mil | 12.0% | Raised | Guidance: 12.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheeler, Ashlee | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4142026 | 1.98 | 30,013 | 59,276 | 406,566 | Form |
| 2 | Fund, 1 Investments, Llc | See Footnote | Sell | 12052025 | 1.31 | 25,000 | 32,762 | 12,980,314 | Form | |
| 3 | Wheeler, Ashlee | See remarks. | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 1.78 | 16,959 | 30,243 | 191,603 | Form |
| 4 | Dempsey, Paula | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 1.76 | 26,000 | 45,760 | 255,835 | Form |
| 5 | Fund, 1 Investments, Llc | See Footnotes | Sell | 7032025 | 2.74 | 250,000 | 683,925 | 26,850,502 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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