Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.6%
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 74%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 74%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CATO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Cato Corporation (CATO) experienced a stock movement of -12.4% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, due to several key factors.

1. Continued Net Losses: Despite a narrower loss compared to the previous year, Cato Corporation still reported a net loss of $5.2 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, for the third quarter ended November 1, 2025. This continued unprofitability, even with improvements, likely weighed on investor sentiment.

2. Challenging Fourth Quarter Outlook: Management projected a difficult fourth quarter for 2025, anticipating challenges from a slowdown in employment growth and broader economic uncertainties. This cautious outlook can dampen investor enthusiasm for future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CATO Return-44%84%-42%-17%-40%-11%-73%
Peers Return-0%30%-23%21%7%19%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CATO Win Rate42%67%25%42%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%38%55%47%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CATO Max Drawdown-64%-5%-48%-24%-53%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-10%-43%-31%-22%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCATOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven196.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven189.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven245 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven552 days1480 days

Compare to GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX


In The Past

Cato's stock fell -66.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -66.3% loss requires a 196.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cato (CATO)

Better Bets than Cato (CATO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CATO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cato

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CATOGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameCato Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Mkt Price3.6026.8517.1327.7535.25150.0627.30
Mkt Cap0.110.00.90.50.4167.30.7
Rev LTM65115,1663,0929002,36257,9252,727
Op Inc LTM-241,1661403166,47678
FCF LTM-187691313194,04116
FCF 3Y Avg-13938126-2204,35873
CFO LTM-131,21510127795,93590
CFO 3Y Avg-21,38020717766,145141

Growth & Margins

CATOGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameCato Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.1%-0.0%7.8%1.6%2.7%4.1%2.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.7%-1.3%4.9%-5.4%-0.3%5.3%-0.8%
Rev Chg Q4.7%0.1%5.5%1.9%4.0%6.9%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%0.0%1.3%0.5%0.9%1.6%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-3.8%7.7%4.5%0.3%0.7%11.2%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.7%5.2%6.9%-2.1%1.0%10.7%3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%-0.0%-0.6%0.1%-0.2%0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.0%8.0%3.3%3.0%3.4%10.2%3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.4%9.1%7.3%1.9%3.3%11.2%5.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.8%5.1%0.4%1.4%0.8%7.0%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.0%6.2%4.5%-0.2%0.9%8.0%2.7%

Valuation

CATOGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameCato Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Mkt Cap0.110.00.90.50.4167.30.7
P/S0.10.50.20.20.12.40.2
P/EBIT-4.26.48.381.014.520.611.4
P/E-2.89.219.9381.1-8.427.714.5
P/CFO-4.16.76.18.32.623.26.4
Total Yield-29.4%10.9%15.4%0.3%-12.0%4.9%2.6%
Dividend Yield6.6%0.0%10.4%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.1%16.3%12.3%-0.2%8.1%3.7%5.9%
D/E2.50.72.60.92.90.11.7
Net D/E0.70.42.30.52.70.10.6

Returns

CATOGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameCato Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
1M Rtn-8.9%17.7%0.7%28.2%18.9%7.2%12.4%
3M Rtn-14.7%19.8%3.2%58.2%11.6%7.9%9.7%
6M Rtn36.4%29.6%60.3%120.6%58.1%17.9%47.3%
12M Rtn8.8%7.4%8.5%23.1%-4.5%21.8%8.6%
3Y Rtn-56.3%103.3%7.0%19.6%-22.7%95.1%13.3%
1M Excs Rtn-8.8%17.7%0.7%28.3%18.9%7.2%12.5%
3M Excs Rtn-25.3%7.7%-2.4%45.1%-0.7%1.4%0.3%
6M Excs Rtn21.6%14.9%45.6%105.9%43.4%3.2%32.5%
12M Excs Rtn-0.7%0.6%0.3%12.2%-8.6%7.3%0.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-129.8%37.6%-60.0%-54.5%-105.9%22.7%-57.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail705757767572822
Credit32234
Total708759769575825


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity357,104
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.5%
Average Daily Volume59,726
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.98
Basic Shares Quantity18,809,364
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 8/3/2025
4302025529202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025331202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241126202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024327202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023823202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023525202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023323202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221122202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022825202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022526202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022323202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211119202110-Q 10/30/2021