Tearsheet

Jefferson Capital (JCAP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.91 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance

Jefferson Capital (JCAP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.91
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Consumer Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 21%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
Key risks
JCAP key risks include [1] a dependency on its ability to profitably acquire and collect on nonperforming loan portfolios, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90%
4 Key risks
JCAP key risks include [1] a dependency on its ability to profitably acquire and collect on nonperforming loan portfolios, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JCAP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Performance. Jefferson Capital (JCAP) reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 13, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced a 63% increase in collections, reaching $236.8 million, and a 36% rise in revenue year-over-year to $150.8 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.74 comfortably beat the estimated $0.63. 2. Strategic Credit Card Portfolio Acquisition. On December 4, 2025, Jefferson Capital finalized the acquisition of a credit card portfolio from Bluestem Brands. This significant transaction involved a net purchase price of $196.1 million, with estimated remaining collections of $310.0 million, and is anticipated to bolster the company's market position and drive future growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JCAP Return
Peers Return14%59%-23%17%2%7%78%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JCAP Win Rate67% 
Peers Win Rate62%73%38%55%43%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JCAP Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-10%-35%-26%-19%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ECPG, PRAA, NAVI, SLM, OMF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

JCAP has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,470 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Jefferson Capital (JCAP)

Better Bets than Jefferson Capital (JCAP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Jefferson Capital Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JCAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Jefferson Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JCAPECPGPRAANAVISLMOMFMedian
NameJefferso.Encore C.PRA Navient SLM OneMain  
Mkt Price21.9054.3116.8213.2026.8867.9624.39
Mkt Cap1.31.30.61.35.68.11.3
Rev LTM5771,5611,1737241,9204,8691,367
Op Inc LTM207438209---209
FCF LTM265132-37275-3303,019198
FCF 3Y Avg-115-85536-2702,716115
CFO LTM271160-33275-3303,019215
CFO 3Y Avg-167-81536-2702,716167

Growth & Margins

JCAPECPGPRAANAVISLMOMFMedian
NameJefferso.Encore C.PRA Navient SLM OneMain  
Rev Chg LTM-17.5%11.6%-23.1%1.0%9.3%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.5%7.3%-27.7%-0.8%5.2%2.5%
Rev Chg Q36.4%25.4%10.8%-9.0%42.1%9.5%18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.5%6.4%2.7%-2.2%9.2%2.3%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM35.9%28.1%17.8%---28.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.3%9.8%---17.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.9%2.8%-0.3%----0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM46.9%10.2%-2.8%38.0%-17.2%62.0%24.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-12.5%-8.5%53.4%-14.4%60.0%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM45.8%8.4%-3.2%38.0%-17.2%62.0%23.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.5%-8.9%53.4%-14.4%60.0%8.5%

Valuation

JCAPECPGPRAANAVISLMOMFMedian
NameJefferso.Encore C.PRA Navient SLM OneMain  
Mkt Cap1.31.30.61.35.68.11.3
P/S2.20.60.51.83.01.41.6
P/EBIT6.23.2----4.7
P/E9.1-21.5-1.8-25.89.29.53.7
P/CFO4.76.1-18.54.7-17.42.23.5
Total Yield16.0%-4.7%-56.9%1.2%12.8%18.0%7.0%
Dividend Yield5.0%0.0%0.0%5.0%1.9%7.5%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.8%-31.4%-5.6%47.8%21.1%
D/E0.94.1-35.51.23.33.3
Net D/E0.93.9-35.00.63.23.2

Returns

JCAPECPGPRAANAVISLMOMFMedian
NameJefferso.Encore C.PRA Navient SLM OneMain  
1M Rtn0.4%13.0%5.1%17.9%0.4%19.1%9.0%
3M Rtn23.3%21.6%0.7%2.0%-4.0%14.4%8.2%
6M Rtn-42.1%14.9%0.9%-14.5%31.3%14.9%
12M Rtn-10.7%-23.7%-4.7%-1.2%36.3%-1.2%
3Y Rtn-15.8%-48.3%-9.6%79.3%156.9%15.8%
1M Excs Rtn-0.3%12.2%4.3%17.2%-0.3%18.3%8.3%
3M Excs Rtn18.8%16.5%-4.1%-1.1%-6.5%11.0%4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-29.7%2.5%-11.5%-26.9%18.9%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn--0.8%-31.4%-17.6%-10.5%20.6%-10.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--57.9%-118.3%-79.0%2.3%69.6%-57.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024
Single Segment323
Total323


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity469,995
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-20.0%
Average Daily Volume128,765
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.65
Basic Shares Quantity58,279,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/20256.6%1.0% 
8/14/2025-1.3%-5.1%-4.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative112
Median Positive6.6%1.0% 
Median Negative-1.3%-5.1%-4.7%
Max Positive6.6%1.0% 
Max Negative-1.3%-5.1%-4.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120246272025424B4 12/31/2024
123120232052025DRS/A 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0J.C. Flowers IV L.P. 7012025Sell15.002,687,63140,314,465202,392,840Form