ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $17.58 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $17.58Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.8% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Key risksARR key risks include [1] its use of substantial financial leverage, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Residential Real Estate Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities, Interest Rate Sensitivity, and Residential Housing Market Trends. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Residential Real Estate Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities, Interest Rate Sensitivity, and Residential Housing Market Trends. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50% |
| Key risksARR key risks include [1] its use of substantial financial leverage, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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2. Consistent and Attractive Dividend Payouts. Throughout the period, ARMOUR Residential REIT consistently declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.24 per common share, confirming payouts for October, November, and December 2025, and providing guidance for January 2026. This consistent dividend, contributing to an attractive annualized yield, likely enhanced investor confidence.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.8% change in ARR stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -24.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.94 | 17.53 | 25.75% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -21.36 | 73.06 | -441.99% |
| P/S Multiple | -54.68 | 25.03 | -145.77% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 83.80 | 104.32 | -24.48% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.22% |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARR | 25.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 42.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.3% | 36.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.7% change in ARR stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 1691.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.15 | 17.53 | 15.72% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4.08 | 73.06 | 1691.61% |
| P/S Multiple | 279.44 | 25.03 | -91.04% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75.22 | 104.32 | -38.68% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.60% |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARR | 15.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 28.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.4% | 26.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.7% change in ARR stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 360.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.70 | 17.53 | 11.69% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 145.72 | 73.06 | -49.86% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 90.37% | 88.34% | -2.24% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.16 | 28.33 | 360.28% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51.65 | 104.32 | -101.98% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -104.47% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARR | 11.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 53.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 15.3% | 51.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.8% change in ARR stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -126.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12292022 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.72 | 17.53 | 4.82% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -281.48 | 73.06 | -125.96% |
| P/S Multiple | -1.46 | 25.03 | -1808.96% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24.65 | 104.32 | -323.20% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1090.08% |
Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARR | 25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 49.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 51.8% | 46.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARR Return | -33% | 1% | -32% | -15% | 13% | 11% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARR Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARR Max Drawdown | -64% | -4% | -48% | -43% | -5% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -78.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 356.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 237.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -40.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
ARMOUR Residential REIT's stock fell -78.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -78.1% loss requires a 356.6% gain to breakeven.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR):
- If a traditional REIT like Equity Residential (EQIX) is a landlord for apartment buildings, then ARMOUR Residential REIT is an investor in the mortgage bonds that finance residential properties.
- It's like a specialized, publicly traded bond fund focused exclusively on U.S. government-backed mortgage securities, similar to certain offerings from Vanguard or BlackRock, but structured as a REIT.
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- Investment Portfolio Management: ARMOUR's primary service involves actively acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to generate net interest income for its shareholders.
- Leveraged Portfolio Financing: The company provides capital for its investments by utilizing short-term, secured financing arrangements, primarily repurchase agreements, to enhance returns.
- Interest Rate Risk Hedging: It employs various derivative instruments, such as interest rate swaps and swaptions, to strategically manage and mitigate the interest rate risk of its portfolio and financing.
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ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is a mortgage REIT (mREIT). Unlike traditional companies that sell products or services, an mREIT's business model centers on investing in and managing a portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other mortgage-related assets.
Primarily, ARR invests in Agency residential MBS, which are residential mortgage-backed securities for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae.
Therefore, ARMOUR Residential REIT does not have "customers" in the conventional sense of entities or individuals who purchase goods or services from it. Its income is derived from the net interest margin earned on its investment portfolio, as well as from gains or losses on the sale of securities and other investment activities. Consequently, the categories of "companies it sells to" or "individuals it serves" do not apply to ARR's core business operations as a direct seller of products or services.
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- ARMOUR Capital Management LP (Not a public company)
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB)
- KPMG LLP (Not a public company)
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
- Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC)
- The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS)
- Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: MFG)
- Federal National Mortgage Association (OTC: FNMA)
- Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (OTC: FMCC)
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Scott J. Ulm, Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman
Mr. Ulm has served as Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman of ARMOUR since March 2024, having previously been Co-Chief Executive Officer, Co-Vice Chairman, and Head of Risk Management since November 2009. He was also Chief Investment Officer until March 2018. A co-founder of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc., Mr. Ulm has been involved in the management of its external manager entities since 2008, initially as Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Residential Management, LLC, and subsequently as a managing member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP since December 2014. Mr. Ulm has extensive experience in structured finance and debt capital markets, spanning nearly 30 years, including mortgage-backed securities. He previously served as CEO of Litchfield Capital Holdings from 2005 to 2009 and held several senior positions at Credit Suisse from 1986 to 2005, such as Global Head of Asset-Backed Securities and Global Co-Head of Collateralized Debt Obligations. Additionally, he was Co-Chief Executive Officer, Co-Vice Chairman, Chief Investment Officer, and Head of Risk Management of JAVELIN Mortgage Investment Corp., a publicly-traded REIT that ARMOUR acquired in April 2016. Mr. Ulm also serves as Co-Chief Executive Officer of Staton Bell Blank Check LLC and Chairman of the Board for BUCKLER Securities LLC, an affiliated broker-dealer. He also owns and manages a commercial real estate property and Lending Acres LLC, which provides agricultural loans.
Gordon M. Harper, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary
Mr. Harper was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of ARMOUR on March 11, 2024, and also retains his role as Controller. He has served as Vice President of Finance and Controller for ARMOUR and its external manager, ARMOUR Capital Management LP, since 2015, becoming a named executive officer in February 2017. Prior to joining ARMOUR, Mr. Harper dedicated 25 years to Deloitte as an audit client service partner, where he served banking and insurance clients across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean. He is a Chartered Professional Accountant (Ontario) and a Certified Public Accountant (Illinois). Mr. Harper also holds the positions of CFO, Secretary, and board member for BUCKLER Securities LLC since March 2024.
Jeffrey J. Zimmer, Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP and Special Advisor to the Board
Mr. Zimmer retired as Co-Chief Executive Officer, President, Vice Chairman, and director of ARMOUR in March 2024, but continues to serve as an ex-officio, non-voting special advisor to the Board of Directors and as a Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP. He was a co-founder of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. He also served as the Chief Financial Officer of ARMOUR from November 2009 to September 2012. Mr. Zimmer founded Bimini Capital Management, Inc. in 2003, where he served as Chairman, President, and CEO, and also held the same roles at Bimini Mortgage Management, Inc. His career includes over 30 years of significant experience in the mortgage-backed securities market. From 1990 to 2003, he was a Managing Director at RBS/Greenwich Capital in the Mortgage-Backed and Asset-Backed Department, and prior to that, he was employed at Drexel Burnham Lambert in institutional mortgage-backed sales from 1984 to 1990. Mr. Zimmer has also been Co-Chief Executive Officer of Staton Bell Blank Check LLC since 2015.
Desmond E. Macauley, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Risk Management
Mr. Macauley was appointed Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Risk Management in March 2024, having previously served as the Director of Investment Strategies at ARMOUR from May 2013. He possesses 25 years of experience in the mortgage-backed securities market and has been recognized among the top analysts in Structured MBS Securities by the U.S. Institutional Investor survey. Before joining ARMOUR, Mr. Macauley was a Managing Director in the MBS Strategy group at RBS Greenwich Capital and a Vice President in the MBS Research group at Merrill Lynch.
Sergey Losyev, Co-Chief Investment Officer
Mr. Losyev has served as Co-Chief Investment Officer of ARMOUR since March 2024. He joined ARMOUR in 2016 and held the position of Deputy Chief Investment Officer from January 2020 until his current appointment. Prior to his tenure at ARMOUR, Mr. Losyev worked as an Agency MBS Portfolio Analyst at Deutsche Asset Management from 2009 to 2016, where he was involved in co-managing over $25 billion in Agency MBS assets. Earlier in his career, he worked as a financial programmer at Zebra Capital Management LLC.
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Here are the key risks to ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR): 1.Interest Rate Sensitivity and Volatility
ARMOUR Residential REIT's business model is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Changes in interest rates directly impact the value of its mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio, its borrowing costs, and its net interest spread. Rising interest rates can lead to a decline in the fair value of existing fixed-rate MBS, increase interest expense on variable-rate debt, and compress the interest rate spread that the company relies on for income, thereby reducing cash flow and profitability. This can also affect the market price of its common stock as investors may demand a higher distribution yield. 2.High Leverage
The company operates with substantial financial leverage to amplify returns. While leverage can enhance profits during favorable market conditions, it also magnifies the impact of adverse changes in asset values or borrowing costs. A high debt-to-equity ratio means that small changes in interest rates or asset performance can have an outsized negative impact on ARMOUR's book value, financial performance, and ability to service its indebtedness and pay distributions. 3.Mortgage Market Volatility and Prepayment Risks
Volatility within the broader mortgage market, including rapid changes in mortgage rates or unexpected shifts in prepayment speeds, poses a significant risk. Such disruptions can negatively impact the company's investment strategy and the performance of its mortgage-backed securities portfolio. In a volatile market, ARMOUR may need to adjust its hedging strategies more frequently, potentially incurring higher transaction costs and reducing overall returns. Prepayment risks specifically refer to the risk that homeowners refinance their mortgages when interest rates fall, leading to the early repayment of MBS and forcing the REIT to reinvest at lower yields.AI Analysis | Feedback
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The addressable market for ARMOUR Residential REIT's (ARR) main products, which are investments in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) primarily issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored entities (GSEs) and the Government National Mortgage Association, is the U.S. mortgage-backed securities market.
The U.S. mortgage-backed securities market is one of the largest and most liquid fixed-income markets globally, with over $11 trillion of securities outstanding. As of mid-2023, the Federal Reserve reported over $11 trillion in outstanding MBS in the United States. This market is estimated to be approximately USD 15.55 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 22.43 trillion by 2030.
More specifically, the agency MBS market, in which ARMOUR primarily invests, is approximately $5.5 trillion and constitutes a significant portion of the broader U.S. securitized market, which is around $14 trillion.
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ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors:
- Strategic Deployment of Capital into Favorable Spreads: ARMOUR Residential REIT actively raises capital through offerings and deploys it into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) at attractive spread levels. For instance, in Q3 2025, the company raised approximately $298.6 million from common stock sales and deployed capital into appealing spread opportunities. This strategic capital allocation directly enhances the interest income generated from their investment portfolio, which is a primary revenue stream.
- Anticipated Improvement in the Mortgage Market Environment: Management anticipates a constructive medium-term market backdrop that includes factors such as Federal Reserve easing, tighter MBS spreads, and reduced market volatility. These conditions are favorable for mortgage REITs like ARR, as they can lead to improved profitability on their mortgage-backed securities investments through better net interest income and potential for realized gains on security sales.
- Expansion and Optimization of the Investment Portfolio: The company's continued focus on increasing and optimizing its portfolio of Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other high-quality assets like U.S. Treasuries is a direct driver of revenue growth. As of Q3 2025, ARR's portfolio totaled $18.2 billion, predominantly comprised of Agency MBS. Growth in the total value of these interest-earning assets, coupled with strategic adjustments to the portfolio, is expected to boost overall interest income.
- Increased Net Interest Income (NII): As a mortgage REIT, ARMOUR's primary revenue source is net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on its MBS portfolio and its borrowing costs. With a constructive market outlook, including potential for tighter MBS spreads and efficient funding (repo, standing facility), the company anticipates hedged return on equities (ROEs) on incremental investments around 16%-18%. This indicates an expectation for an improved net interest spread, directly contributing to higher NII and thus increased revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- In September 2025, ARMOUR Residential REIT repurchased 684,102 shares of common stock through its stock repurchase program.
- The company has engaged in ongoing share buybacks during the third quarter and first nine months of 2025.
- Quarterly stock buybacks between Q2 2022 and Q3 2025 ranged from approximately $1.55 million to $23.24 million.
Share Issuance
- In August 2025, ARMOUR closed a public offering of 18,500,000 shares of common stock, generating approximately $302.5 million in gross proceeds, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 2,775,000 shares.
- During the first quarter of 2025, the company raised approximately $371.4 million by issuing nearly 20 million shares of common stock through an at-the-market offering program and an additional $0.3 million by issuing Series C Preferred Stock.
- In the second quarter of 2025, ARMOUR raised $104.6 million by issuing 6,303,710 common shares, with an additional $59 million raised post-quarter through further share issuance.
Outbound Investments
- ARMOUR Residential REIT primarily invests in a leveraged portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) or the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae).
- The company's portfolio included approximately $18.8 billion of Agency MBS and U.S. Treasury Securities as of October 2025.
- From time to time, investments also include U.S. Treasury Securities and money market instruments, with a 4% allocation to U.S. Treasuries added in the first half of 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- The net proceeds from common stock offerings are intended to be used by ARMOUR to acquire additional mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets, aligning with its investment strategy.
- In the fourth quarter of 2024, ARMOUR deployed approximately $2 billion in mortgage assets and To Be Announced (TBA) securities, with a focus on higher-coupon specified pools and TBAs in the 5.5% and 6% coupon segments.
- As of September 30, 2025, the company's portfolio totaled $18.2 billion, primarily comprised of 97.9% Agency MBS, 1.4% U.S. Treasury Securities, and 0.7% TBA Securities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
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| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.5% | 14.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.6% | 7.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.1% | -11.1% | -12.1% |
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Peer Comparisons for ARMOUR Residential REIT
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11,544 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/03/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $16.47 | $15.12 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.4% | 16.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 18.9% | 24.7% |
| Downside Capture | 52.14 | 72.12 |
| Upside Capture | 151.91 | 71.69 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.2% | 53.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.69 | 0.84 |
| Up Beta | 0.54 | 0.31 | 0.65 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| Down Beta | 1.31 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 0.28 | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Up Capture | 170% | 161% | 98% | 75% | 59% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 35 | 68 | 129 | 389 |
| Down Capture | 25% | 39% | 21% | 63% | 78% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 56 | 117 | 344 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ARR With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 10.7% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 24.5% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 51.5% | 53.4% | 1.4% | 18.3% | 56.4% | 20.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ARR With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -6.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 28.5% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.20 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.4% | 49.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 57.1% | 16.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ARR With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -4.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 34.2% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.03 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.1% | 50.2% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 59.1% | 12.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% |
| 7/23/2025 | -1.2% | -2.7% | -11.3% |
| 4/23/2025 | 2.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% |
| 2/12/2025 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 10/23/2024 | 0.2% | -2.9% | -3.3% |
| 7/24/2024 | -2.4% | -2.3% | -2.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% |
| 2/14/2024 | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.7% | -5.6% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 10.7% | 23.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.7% | -10.6% | -67.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7232025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10232024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7242024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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