Tearsheet

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $17.58 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $17.58
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.8%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.1%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Key risks
ARR key risks include [1] its use of substantial financial leverage, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Residential Real Estate Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities, Interest Rate Sensitivity, and Residential Housing Market Trends.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Residential Real Estate Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities, Interest Rate Sensitivity, and Residential Housing Market Trends.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.1%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
9 Key risks
ARR key risks include [1] its use of substantial financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Solid Q3 2025 Financial Results. ARMOUR Residential REIT reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, with GAAP net income reaching $156.3 million and the book value per share increasing by 3.5% to $17.49. The company also surpassed revenue expectations, despite a slight miss on earnings per share.

2. Consistent and Attractive Dividend Payouts. Throughout the period, ARMOUR Residential REIT consistently declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.24 per common share, confirming payouts for October, November, and December 2025, and providing guidance for January 2026. This consistent dividend, contributing to an attractive annualized yield, likely enhanced investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.8% change in ARR stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -24.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)13.9417.5325.75%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-21.3673.06-441.99%
P/S Multiple-54.6825.03-145.77%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)83.80104.32-24.48%
Cumulative Contribution18.22%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ARR25.8% 
Market (SPY)4.3%42.3%
Sector (XLF)3.3%36.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.7% change in ARR stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 1691.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)15.1517.5315.72%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4.0873.061691.61%
P/S Multiple279.4425.03-91.04%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)75.22104.32-38.68%
Cumulative Contribution-1.60%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ARR15.7% 
Market (SPY)12.6%28.6%
Sector (XLF)7.4%26.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.7% change in ARR stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 360.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)15.7017.5311.69%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)145.7273.06-49.86%
Net Income Margin (%)90.37%88.34%-2.24%
P/E Multiple6.1628.33360.28%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)51.65104.32-101.98%
Cumulative Contribution-104.47%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ARR11.7% 
Market (SPY)17.0%53.6%
Sector (XLF)15.3%51.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.8% change in ARR stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -126.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)16.7217.534.82%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-281.4873.06-125.96%
P/S Multiple-1.4625.03-1808.96%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24.65104.32-323.20%
Cumulative Contribution-1090.08%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ARR25.3% 
Market (SPY)48.4%49.3%
Sector (XLF)51.8%46.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARR Return-33%1%-32%-15%13%11%-51%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARR Win Rate67%58%42%42%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARR Max Drawdown-64%-4%-48%-43%-5%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven356.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven237.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-26.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

ARMOUR Residential REIT's stock fell -78.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -78.1% loss requires a 356.6% gain to breakeven.

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About ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. The company's securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans, as well as unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. It also invests in other securities backed by residential mortgages for which the payment of principal and interest is not guaranteed by a GSE or government agency. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust under the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR):

  • If a traditional REIT like Equity Residential (EQIX) is a landlord for apartment buildings, then ARMOUR Residential REIT is an investor in the mortgage bonds that finance residential properties.
  • It's like a specialized, publicly traded bond fund focused exclusively on U.S. government-backed mortgage securities, similar to certain offerings from Vanguard or BlackRock, but structured as a REIT.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Investment Portfolio Management: ARMOUR's primary service involves actively acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to generate net interest income for its shareholders.
  • Leveraged Portfolio Financing: The company provides capital for its investments by utilizing short-term, secured financing arrangements, primarily repurchase agreements, to enhance returns.
  • Interest Rate Risk Hedging: It employs various derivative instruments, such as interest rate swaps and swaptions, to strategically manage and mitigate the interest rate risk of its portfolio and financing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is a mortgage REIT (mREIT). Unlike traditional companies that sell products or services, an mREIT's business model centers on investing in and managing a portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other mortgage-related assets.

Primarily, ARR invests in Agency residential MBS, which are residential mortgage-backed securities for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae.

Therefore, ARMOUR Residential REIT does not have "customers" in the conventional sense of entities or individuals who purchase goods or services from it. Its income is derived from the net interest margin earned on its investment portfolio, as well as from gains or losses on the sale of securities and other investment activities. Consequently, the categories of "companies it sells to" or "individuals it serves" do not apply to ARR's core business operations as a direct seller of products or services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • ARMOUR Capital Management LP (Not a public company)
  • U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB)
  • KPMG LLP (Not a public company)
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
  • Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC)
  • The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS)
  • Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: MFG)
  • Federal National Mortgage Association (OTC: FNMA)
  • Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (OTC: FMCC)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Scott J. Ulm, Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman

Mr. Ulm has served as Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman of ARMOUR since March 2024, having previously been Co-Chief Executive Officer, Co-Vice Chairman, and Head of Risk Management since November 2009. He was also Chief Investment Officer until March 2018. A co-founder of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc., Mr. Ulm has been involved in the management of its external manager entities since 2008, initially as Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Residential Management, LLC, and subsequently as a managing member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP since December 2014. Mr. Ulm has extensive experience in structured finance and debt capital markets, spanning nearly 30 years, including mortgage-backed securities. He previously served as CEO of Litchfield Capital Holdings from 2005 to 2009 and held several senior positions at Credit Suisse from 1986 to 2005, such as Global Head of Asset-Backed Securities and Global Co-Head of Collateralized Debt Obligations. Additionally, he was Co-Chief Executive Officer, Co-Vice Chairman, Chief Investment Officer, and Head of Risk Management of JAVELIN Mortgage Investment Corp., a publicly-traded REIT that ARMOUR acquired in April 2016. Mr. Ulm also serves as Co-Chief Executive Officer of Staton Bell Blank Check LLC and Chairman of the Board for BUCKLER Securities LLC, an affiliated broker-dealer. He also owns and manages a commercial real estate property and Lending Acres LLC, which provides agricultural loans.

Gordon M. Harper, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary

Mr. Harper was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of ARMOUR on March 11, 2024, and also retains his role as Controller. He has served as Vice President of Finance and Controller for ARMOUR and its external manager, ARMOUR Capital Management LP, since 2015, becoming a named executive officer in February 2017. Prior to joining ARMOUR, Mr. Harper dedicated 25 years to Deloitte as an audit client service partner, where he served banking and insurance clients across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean. He is a Chartered Professional Accountant (Ontario) and a Certified Public Accountant (Illinois). Mr. Harper also holds the positions of CFO, Secretary, and board member for BUCKLER Securities LLC since March 2024.

Jeffrey J. Zimmer, Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP and Special Advisor to the Board

Mr. Zimmer retired as Co-Chief Executive Officer, President, Vice Chairman, and director of ARMOUR in March 2024, but continues to serve as an ex-officio, non-voting special advisor to the Board of Directors and as a Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP. He was a co-founder of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. He also served as the Chief Financial Officer of ARMOUR from November 2009 to September 2012. Mr. Zimmer founded Bimini Capital Management, Inc. in 2003, where he served as Chairman, President, and CEO, and also held the same roles at Bimini Mortgage Management, Inc. His career includes over 30 years of significant experience in the mortgage-backed securities market. From 1990 to 2003, he was a Managing Director at RBS/Greenwich Capital in the Mortgage-Backed and Asset-Backed Department, and prior to that, he was employed at Drexel Burnham Lambert in institutional mortgage-backed sales from 1984 to 1990. Mr. Zimmer has also been Co-Chief Executive Officer of Staton Bell Blank Check LLC since 2015.

Desmond E. Macauley, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Risk Management

Mr. Macauley was appointed Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Risk Management in March 2024, having previously served as the Director of Investment Strategies at ARMOUR from May 2013. He possesses 25 years of experience in the mortgage-backed securities market and has been recognized among the top analysts in Structured MBS Securities by the U.S. Institutional Investor survey. Before joining ARMOUR, Mr. Macauley was a Managing Director in the MBS Strategy group at RBS Greenwich Capital and a Vice President in the MBS Research group at Merrill Lynch.

Sergey Losyev, Co-Chief Investment Officer

Mr. Losyev has served as Co-Chief Investment Officer of ARMOUR since March 2024. He joined ARMOUR in 2016 and held the position of Deputy Chief Investment Officer from January 2020 until his current appointment. Prior to his tenure at ARMOUR, Mr. Losyev worked as an Agency MBS Portfolio Analyst at Deutsche Asset Management from 2009 to 2016, where he was involved in co-managing over $25 billion in Agency MBS assets. Earlier in his career, he worked as a financial programmer at Zebra Capital Management LLC.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR): 1.

Interest Rate Sensitivity and Volatility

ARMOUR Residential REIT's business model is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Changes in interest rates directly impact the value of its mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio, its borrowing costs, and its net interest spread. Rising interest rates can lead to a decline in the fair value of existing fixed-rate MBS, increase interest expense on variable-rate debt, and compress the interest rate spread that the company relies on for income, thereby reducing cash flow and profitability. This can also affect the market price of its common stock as investors may demand a higher distribution yield. 2.

High Leverage

The company operates with substantial financial leverage to amplify returns. While leverage can enhance profits during favorable market conditions, it also magnifies the impact of adverse changes in asset values or borrowing costs. A high debt-to-equity ratio means that small changes in interest rates or asset performance can have an outsized negative impact on ARMOUR's book value, financial performance, and ability to service its indebtedness and pay distributions. 3.

Mortgage Market Volatility and Prepayment Risks

Volatility within the broader mortgage market, including rapid changes in mortgage rates or unexpected shifts in prepayment speeds, poses a significant risk. Such disruptions can negatively impact the company's investment strategy and the performance of its mortgage-backed securities portfolio. In a volatile market, ARMOUR may need to adjust its hedging strategies more frequently, potentially incurring higher transaction costs and reducing overall returns. Prepayment risks specifically refer to the risk that homeowners refinance their mortgages when interest rates fall, leading to the early repayment of MBS and forcing the REIT to reinvest at lower yields.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for ARMOUR Residential REIT's (ARR) main products, which are investments in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) primarily issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored entities (GSEs) and the Government National Mortgage Association, is the U.S. mortgage-backed securities market.

The U.S. mortgage-backed securities market is one of the largest and most liquid fixed-income markets globally, with over $11 trillion of securities outstanding. As of mid-2023, the Federal Reserve reported over $11 trillion in outstanding MBS in the United States. This market is estimated to be approximately USD 15.55 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 22.43 trillion by 2030.

More specifically, the agency MBS market, in which ARMOUR primarily invests, is approximately $5.5 trillion and constitutes a significant portion of the broader U.S. securitized market, which is around $14 trillion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors:

  1. Strategic Deployment of Capital into Favorable Spreads: ARMOUR Residential REIT actively raises capital through offerings and deploys it into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) at attractive spread levels. For instance, in Q3 2025, the company raised approximately $298.6 million from common stock sales and deployed capital into appealing spread opportunities. This strategic capital allocation directly enhances the interest income generated from their investment portfolio, which is a primary revenue stream.
  2. Anticipated Improvement in the Mortgage Market Environment: Management anticipates a constructive medium-term market backdrop that includes factors such as Federal Reserve easing, tighter MBS spreads, and reduced market volatility. These conditions are favorable for mortgage REITs like ARR, as they can lead to improved profitability on their mortgage-backed securities investments through better net interest income and potential for realized gains on security sales.
  3. Expansion and Optimization of the Investment Portfolio: The company's continued focus on increasing and optimizing its portfolio of Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other high-quality assets like U.S. Treasuries is a direct driver of revenue growth. As of Q3 2025, ARR's portfolio totaled $18.2 billion, predominantly comprised of Agency MBS. Growth in the total value of these interest-earning assets, coupled with strategic adjustments to the portfolio, is expected to boost overall interest income.
  4. Increased Net Interest Income (NII): As a mortgage REIT, ARMOUR's primary revenue source is net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on its MBS portfolio and its borrowing costs. With a constructive market outlook, including potential for tighter MBS spreads and efficient funding (repo, standing facility), the company anticipates hedged return on equities (ROEs) on incremental investments around 16%-18%. This indicates an expectation for an improved net interest spread, directly contributing to higher NII and thus increased revenue.

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Share Repurchases

  • In September 2025, ARMOUR Residential REIT repurchased 684,102 shares of common stock through its stock repurchase program.
  • The company has engaged in ongoing share buybacks during the third quarter and first nine months of 2025.
  • Quarterly stock buybacks between Q2 2022 and Q3 2025 ranged from approximately $1.55 million to $23.24 million.

Share Issuance

  • In August 2025, ARMOUR closed a public offering of 18,500,000 shares of common stock, generating approximately $302.5 million in gross proceeds, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 2,775,000 shares.
  • During the first quarter of 2025, the company raised approximately $371.4 million by issuing nearly 20 million shares of common stock through an at-the-market offering program and an additional $0.3 million by issuing Series C Preferred Stock.
  • In the second quarter of 2025, ARMOUR raised $104.6 million by issuing 6,303,710 common shares, with an additional $59 million raised post-quarter through further share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • ARMOUR Residential REIT primarily invests in a leveraged portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) or the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae).
  • The company's portfolio included approximately $18.8 billion of Agency MBS and U.S. Treasury Securities as of October 2025.
  • From time to time, investments also include U.S. Treasury Securities and money market instruments, with a 4% allocation to U.S. Treasuries added in the first half of 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • The net proceeds from common stock offerings are intended to be used by ARMOUR to acquire additional mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets, aligning with its investment strategy.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2024, ARMOUR deployed approximately $2 billion in mortgage assets and To Be Announced (TBA) securities, with a focus on higher-coupon specified pools and TBAs in the 5.5% and 6% coupon segments.
  • As of September 30, 2025, the company's portfolio totaled $18.2 billion, primarily comprised of 97.9% Agency MBS, 1.4% U.S. Treasury Securities, and 0.7% TBA Securities.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ARR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.1%-11.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ARMOUR Residential REIT

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARRHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameARMOUR R.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price17.5323.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap1.821.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM7355,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-3,6241,64411,54412,991130,21411,544
FCF LTM1792,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg1972,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1793,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1973,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

ARRHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameARMOUR R.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-49.9%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg73.0%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q142.2%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM442.0%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM245.1%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM245.1%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%20.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

ARRHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameARMOUR R.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap1.821.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S25.00.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT-6.819.925.122.531.322.5
P/E28.38.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO10.25.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield16.3%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield12.8%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.2%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.00.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

ARRHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameARMOUR R.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn1.5%-3.6%12.7%-1.1%1.6%-2.0%0.2%
3M Rtn25.8%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.5%
6M Rtn15.7%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%15.5%
12M Rtn11.7%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%13.9%
3Y Rtn4.8%-3.7%67.3%141.3%79.6%114.1%73.5%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn21.4%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn3.5%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%3.2%
12M Excs Rtn-4.3%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-2.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.3%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-63-22219-22-217
Total-63-22219-22-217


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.53 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.8 
First Trading Date12/03/2007 
Distance from 52W High-1.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$16.47$15.12
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA6.4%16.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility18.9%24.7%
Downside Capture52.1472.12
Upside Capture151.9171.69
Correlation (SPY)43.2%53.6%
ARR Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.780.700.580.610.690.84
Up Beta0.540.310.650.770.500.61
Down Beta1.310.510.570.280.930.88
Up Capture170%161%98%75%59%66%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days13253568129389
Down Capture25%39%21%63%78%102%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days6162756117344

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of ARR With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 ARRSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return10.7%16.3%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility24.5%19.0%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.370.670.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 51.5%53.4%1.4%18.3%56.4%20.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of ARR With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 ARRSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-6.3%16.1%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility28.5%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio-0.200.710.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 46.4%49.0%13.0%14.8%57.1%16.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of ARR With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 ARRSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-4.2%13.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility34.2%22.3%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio-0.030.550.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 52.1%50.2%11.7%20.6%59.1%12.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,410,540
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202526.8%
Average Daily Volume2,965,326
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.19
Basic Shares Quantity104,318,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/20251.1%2.8%4.9%
7/23/2025-1.2%-2.7%-11.3%
4/23/20252.8%10.7%8.7%
2/12/20251.6%1.4%0.7%
10/23/20240.2%-2.9%-3.3%
7/24/2024-2.4%-2.3%-2.1%
4/25/20241.7%3.4%5.5%
2/14/20245.6%3.6%4.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121212
# Negative111111
Median Positive1.8%3.5%5.2%
Median Negative-2.5%-2.7%-5.6%
Max Positive5.7%10.7%23.2%
Max Negative-8.7%-10.6%-67.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021