Tearsheet

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)


Market Price (2/20/2026): $17.63 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)


Market Price (2/20/2026): $17.63
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  Key risks
ARR key risks include [1] its use of substantial financial leverage, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Residential Real Estate Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities, Interest Rate Sensitivity, and Residential Housing Market Trends.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Residential Real Estate Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities, Interest Rate Sensitivity, and Residential Housing Market Trends.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
7 Key risks
ARR key risks include [1] its use of substantial financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) stock has gained about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Expectations of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts and Favorable Interest Rate Environment. The investment thesis for ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) was largely contingent on anticipated future Federal Reserve rate cuts, which were expected to expand the company's net interest spread from its previously depressed levels. Management also held a constructive view on agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) spreads, driven by a steeper yield curve and historically attractive spreads, leading to positive carry. These expectations suggested a more favorable operating environment for the mREIT.

2. Maintenance of Stable and Attractive Monthly Dividends. ARMOUR Residential REIT consistently announced monthly cash dividends of $0.24 per common share for December 2025, January 2026, and February 2026. This consistent payout, contributing to a high dividend yield (around 15-16%), is a significant factor in attracting and retaining investors, particularly for REITs.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.0% change in ARR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)15.3617.6615.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)73730.0%
Net Income Margin (%)88.3%88.3%0.0%
P/E Multiple24.828.515.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1041040.0%
Cumulative Contribution15.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARR15.0% 
Market (SPY)0.4%17.5%
Sector (XLF)-0.4%14.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.9% change in ARR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)14.7317.6619.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-2173-442.0%
P/S Multiple-57.825.2-143.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)84104-19.7%
Cumulative Contribution19.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARR19.9% 
Market (SPY)8.6%19.6%
Sector (XLF)-0.1%14.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.2% change in ARR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 366.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)15.6117.6613.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14673-49.9%
Net Income Margin (%)90.4%88.3%-2.2%
P/E Multiple6.128.5366.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)52104-50.5%
Cumulative Contribution13.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARR13.2% 
Market (SPY)14.7%49.5%
Sector (XLF)2.4%44.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.4% change in ARR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -1674.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232192026Change
Stock Price ($)18.2817.66-3.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-28173-126.0%
P/S Multiple-1.625.2-1674.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)25104-76.4%
Cumulative Contribution-3.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARR-3.4% 
Market (SPY)74.7%47.1%
Sector (XLF)49.2%43.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ARR Return1%-32%-15%13%12%3%-25%
Peers Return2%-25%5%8%25%5%14%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARR Win Rate58%42%42%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%47%48%63%68%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARR Max Drawdown-4%-48%-43%-5%-22%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-43%-25%-6%-9%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AGNC, NLY, DX, ORC, TWO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven356.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven237.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-26.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to AGNC, NLY, DX, ORC, TWO

In The Past

ARMOUR Residential REIT's stock fell -78.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -78.1% loss requires a 356.6% gain to breakeven.

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About ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR)

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. The company's securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans, as well as unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. It also invests in other securities backed by residential mortgages for which the payment of principal and interest is not guaranteed by a GSE or government agency. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust under the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR):

  • If a traditional REIT like Equity Residential (EQIX) is a landlord for apartment buildings, then ARMOUR Residential REIT is an investor in the mortgage bonds that finance residential properties.
  • It's like a specialized, publicly traded bond fund focused exclusively on U.S. government-backed mortgage securities, similar to certain offerings from Vanguard or BlackRock, but structured as a REIT.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Investment Portfolio Management: ARMOUR's primary service involves actively acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to generate net interest income for its shareholders.
  • Leveraged Portfolio Financing: The company provides capital for its investments by utilizing short-term, secured financing arrangements, primarily repurchase agreements, to enhance returns.
  • Interest Rate Risk Hedging: It employs various derivative instruments, such as interest rate swaps and swaptions, to strategically manage and mitigate the interest rate risk of its portfolio and financing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is a mortgage REIT (mREIT). Unlike traditional companies that sell products or services, an mREIT's business model centers on investing in and managing a portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other mortgage-related assets.

Primarily, ARR invests in Agency residential MBS, which are residential mortgage-backed securities for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae.

Therefore, ARMOUR Residential REIT does not have "customers" in the conventional sense of entities or individuals who purchase goods or services from it. Its income is derived from the net interest margin earned on its investment portfolio, as well as from gains or losses on the sale of securities and other investment activities. Consequently, the categories of "companies it sells to" or "individuals it serves" do not apply to ARR's core business operations as a direct seller of products or services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • ARMOUR Capital Management LP (Not a public company)
  • U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB)
  • KPMG LLP (Not a public company)
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
  • Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC)
  • The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS)
  • Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: MFG)
  • Federal National Mortgage Association (OTC: FNMA)
  • Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (OTC: FMCC)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Scott J. Ulm, Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman

Mr. Ulm has served as Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman of ARMOUR since March 2024, having previously been Co-Chief Executive Officer, Co-Vice Chairman, and Head of Risk Management since November 2009. He was also Chief Investment Officer until March 2018. A co-founder of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc., Mr. Ulm has been involved in the management of its external manager entities since 2008, initially as Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Residential Management, LLC, and subsequently as a managing member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP since December 2014. Mr. Ulm has extensive experience in structured finance and debt capital markets, spanning nearly 30 years, including mortgage-backed securities. He previously served as CEO of Litchfield Capital Holdings from 2005 to 2009 and held several senior positions at Credit Suisse from 1986 to 2005, such as Global Head of Asset-Backed Securities and Global Co-Head of Collateralized Debt Obligations. Additionally, he was Co-Chief Executive Officer, Co-Vice Chairman, Chief Investment Officer, and Head of Risk Management of JAVELIN Mortgage Investment Corp., a publicly-traded REIT that ARMOUR acquired in April 2016. Mr. Ulm also serves as Co-Chief Executive Officer of Staton Bell Blank Check LLC and Chairman of the Board for BUCKLER Securities LLC, an affiliated broker-dealer. He also owns and manages a commercial real estate property and Lending Acres LLC, which provides agricultural loans.

Gordon M. Harper, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary

Mr. Harper was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of ARMOUR on March 11, 2024, and also retains his role as Controller. He has served as Vice President of Finance and Controller for ARMOUR and its external manager, ARMOUR Capital Management LP, since 2015, becoming a named executive officer in February 2017. Prior to joining ARMOUR, Mr. Harper dedicated 25 years to Deloitte as an audit client service partner, where he served banking and insurance clients across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean. He is a Chartered Professional Accountant (Ontario) and a Certified Public Accountant (Illinois). Mr. Harper also holds the positions of CFO, Secretary, and board member for BUCKLER Securities LLC since March 2024.

Jeffrey J. Zimmer, Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP and Special Advisor to the Board

Mr. Zimmer retired as Co-Chief Executive Officer, President, Vice Chairman, and director of ARMOUR in March 2024, but continues to serve as an ex-officio, non-voting special advisor to the Board of Directors and as a Co-Managing Member of ARMOUR Capital Management LP. He was a co-founder of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. He also served as the Chief Financial Officer of ARMOUR from November 2009 to September 2012. Mr. Zimmer founded Bimini Capital Management, Inc. in 2003, where he served as Chairman, President, and CEO, and also held the same roles at Bimini Mortgage Management, Inc. His career includes over 30 years of significant experience in the mortgage-backed securities market. From 1990 to 2003, he was a Managing Director at RBS/Greenwich Capital in the Mortgage-Backed and Asset-Backed Department, and prior to that, he was employed at Drexel Burnham Lambert in institutional mortgage-backed sales from 1984 to 1990. Mr. Zimmer has also been Co-Chief Executive Officer of Staton Bell Blank Check LLC since 2015.

Desmond E. Macauley, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Risk Management

Mr. Macauley was appointed Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Risk Management in March 2024, having previously served as the Director of Investment Strategies at ARMOUR from May 2013. He possesses 25 years of experience in the mortgage-backed securities market and has been recognized among the top analysts in Structured MBS Securities by the U.S. Institutional Investor survey. Before joining ARMOUR, Mr. Macauley was a Managing Director in the MBS Strategy group at RBS Greenwich Capital and a Vice President in the MBS Research group at Merrill Lynch.

Sergey Losyev, Co-Chief Investment Officer

Mr. Losyev has served as Co-Chief Investment Officer of ARMOUR since March 2024. He joined ARMOUR in 2016 and held the position of Deputy Chief Investment Officer from January 2020 until his current appointment. Prior to his tenure at ARMOUR, Mr. Losyev worked as an Agency MBS Portfolio Analyst at Deutsche Asset Management from 2009 to 2016, where he was involved in co-managing over $25 billion in Agency MBS assets. Earlier in his career, he worked as a financial programmer at Zebra Capital Management LLC.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR): 1.

Interest Rate Sensitivity and Volatility

ARMOUR Residential REIT's business model is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Changes in interest rates directly impact the value of its mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio, its borrowing costs, and its net interest spread. Rising interest rates can lead to a decline in the fair value of existing fixed-rate MBS, increase interest expense on variable-rate debt, and compress the interest rate spread that the company relies on for income, thereby reducing cash flow and profitability. This can also affect the market price of its common stock as investors may demand a higher distribution yield. 2.

High Leverage

The company operates with substantial financial leverage to amplify returns. While leverage can enhance profits during favorable market conditions, it also magnifies the impact of adverse changes in asset values or borrowing costs. A high debt-to-equity ratio means that small changes in interest rates or asset performance can have an outsized negative impact on ARMOUR's book value, financial performance, and ability to service its indebtedness and pay distributions. 3.

Mortgage Market Volatility and Prepayment Risks

Volatility within the broader mortgage market, including rapid changes in mortgage rates or unexpected shifts in prepayment speeds, poses a significant risk. Such disruptions can negatively impact the company's investment strategy and the performance of its mortgage-backed securities portfolio. In a volatile market, ARMOUR may need to adjust its hedging strategies more frequently, potentially incurring higher transaction costs and reducing overall returns. Prepayment risks specifically refer to the risk that homeowners refinance their mortgages when interest rates fall, leading to the early repayment of MBS and forcing the REIT to reinvest at lower yields.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for ARMOUR Residential REIT's (ARR) main products, which are investments in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) primarily issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored entities (GSEs) and the Government National Mortgage Association, is the U.S. mortgage-backed securities market.

The U.S. mortgage-backed securities market is one of the largest and most liquid fixed-income markets globally, with over $11 trillion of securities outstanding. As of mid-2023, the Federal Reserve reported over $11 trillion in outstanding MBS in the United States. This market is estimated to be approximately USD 15.55 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 22.43 trillion by 2030.

More specifically, the agency MBS market, in which ARMOUR primarily invests, is approximately $5.5 trillion and constitutes a significant portion of the broader U.S. securitized market, which is around $14 trillion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors:

  1. Strategic Deployment of Capital into Favorable Spreads: ARMOUR Residential REIT actively raises capital through offerings and deploys it into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) at attractive spread levels. For instance, in Q3 2025, the company raised approximately $298.6 million from common stock sales and deployed capital into appealing spread opportunities. This strategic capital allocation directly enhances the interest income generated from their investment portfolio, which is a primary revenue stream.
  2. Anticipated Improvement in the Mortgage Market Environment: Management anticipates a constructive medium-term market backdrop that includes factors such as Federal Reserve easing, tighter MBS spreads, and reduced market volatility. These conditions are favorable for mortgage REITs like ARR, as they can lead to improved profitability on their mortgage-backed securities investments through better net interest income and potential for realized gains on security sales.
  3. Expansion and Optimization of the Investment Portfolio: The company's continued focus on increasing and optimizing its portfolio of Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other high-quality assets like U.S. Treasuries is a direct driver of revenue growth. As of Q3 2025, ARR's portfolio totaled $18.2 billion, predominantly comprised of Agency MBS. Growth in the total value of these interest-earning assets, coupled with strategic adjustments to the portfolio, is expected to boost overall interest income.
  4. Increased Net Interest Income (NII): As a mortgage REIT, ARMOUR's primary revenue source is net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on its MBS portfolio and its borrowing costs. With a constructive market outlook, including potential for tighter MBS spreads and efficient funding (repo, standing facility), the company anticipates hedged return on equities (ROEs) on incremental investments around 16%-18%. This indicates an expectation for an improved net interest spread, directly contributing to higher NII and thus increased revenue.

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Share Repurchases

  • In September 2025, ARMOUR Residential REIT repurchased 684,102 shares of common stock through its stock repurchase program.
  • The company has engaged in ongoing share buybacks during the third quarter and first nine months of 2025.
  • Quarterly stock buybacks between Q2 2022 and Q3 2025 ranged from approximately $1.55 million to $23.24 million.

Share Issuance

  • In August 2025, ARMOUR closed a public offering of 18,500,000 shares of common stock, generating approximately $302.5 million in gross proceeds, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 2,775,000 shares.
  • During the first quarter of 2025, the company raised approximately $371.4 million by issuing nearly 20 million shares of common stock through an at-the-market offering program and an additional $0.3 million by issuing Series C Preferred Stock.
  • In the second quarter of 2025, ARMOUR raised $104.6 million by issuing 6,303,710 common shares, with an additional $59 million raised post-quarter through further share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • ARMOUR Residential REIT primarily invests in a leveraged portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) or the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae).
  • The company's portfolio included approximately $18.8 billion of Agency MBS and U.S. Treasury Securities as of October 2025.
  • From time to time, investments also include U.S. Treasury Securities and money market instruments, with a 4% allocation to U.S. Treasuries added in the first half of 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • The net proceeds from common stock offerings are intended to be used by ARMOUR to acquire additional mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets, aligning with its investment strategy.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2024, ARMOUR deployed approximately $2 billion in mortgage assets and To Be Announced (TBA) securities, with a focus on higher-coupon specified pools and TBAs in the 5.5% and 6% coupon segments.
  • As of September 30, 2025, the company's portfolio totaled $18.2 billion, primarily comprised of 97.9% Agency MBS, 1.4% U.S. Treasury Securities, and 0.7% TBA Securities.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ARR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FDS_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026FDSFactSet Research SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.1%-19.1%-23.8%
PFSI_1302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01302026PFSIPennyMac Financial ServicesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-7.6%-9.2%
FIS_1232026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01232026FISFidelity National Information ServicesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.6%-22.6%-22.6%
MORN_1022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01022026MORNMorningstarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-23.9%-23.9%-26.8%
ABR_1022026_Short_Squeeze01022026ABRArbor Realty TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-2.9%-2.9%-6.7%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARRAGNCNLYDXORCTWOMedian
NameARMOUR R.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.Dynex Ca.Orchid I.Two Harb. 
Mkt Price17.6611.3222.9814.017.4911.1612.66
Mkt Cap1.811.915.91.91.01.21.9
Rev LTM739562,23723080395313
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM179604-22212290-178106
FCF 3Y Avg1971961,398714964133
CFO LTM17960469312290-49150
CFO 3Y Avg1971962,1247149251196

Growth & Margins

ARRAGNCNLYDXORCTWOMedian
NameARMOUR R.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.Dynex Ca.Orchid I.Two Harb. 
Rev Chg LTM-49.9%-24.1%90.4%87.1%5.9%254.9%46.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg73.0%108.3%32.3%63.4%264.9%-11.5%68.2%
Rev Chg Q142.2%122.3%101.2%309.0%259.1%144.1%143.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM442.0%92.7%31.4%113.8%230.6%329.7%172.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM245.1%63.2%31.0%52.8%111.9%-12.5%58.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.0%-77.6%--49.3%
FCF/Rev LTM245.1%63.2%-9.9%52.8%111.9%-45.2%58.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.0%-77.6%--49.3%

Valuation

ARRAGNCNLYDXORCTWOMedian
NameARMOUR R.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.Dynex Ca.Orchid I.Two Harb. 
Mkt Cap1.811.915.91.91.01.21.9
P/S25.212.57.18.312.72.910.4
P/EBIT-------
P/E28.514.27.910.316.7-6.112.3
P/CFO10.319.723.015.711.4-23.613.5
Total Yield16.2%7.0%12.7%9.7%20.6%-0.6%11.2%
Dividend Yield12.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%14.6%15.7%6.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.8%1.7%14.1%6.4%7.5%4.4%6.9%
D/E0.00.02.00.00.01.10.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.01.4-0.3-0.60.5-0.0

Returns

ARRAGNCNLYDXORCTWOMedian
NameARMOUR R.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.Dynex Ca.Orchid I.Two Harb. 
1M Rtn-3.6%-1.9%-3.1%-3.8%-6.9%-16.2%-3.7%
3M Rtn12.7%16.1%9.6%8.5%11.0%22.0%11.9%
6M Rtn30.6%25.9%19.4%21.8%17.3%24.7%23.2%
12M Rtn10.9%25.1%22.2%18.6%2.9%-5.4%14.8%
3Y Rtn1.7%55.2%59.3%52.7%12.1%-0.8%32.4%
1M Excs Rtn-4.5%-2.9%-4.1%-4.8%-7.8%-17.1%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn9.0%13.0%7.4%4.8%6.6%17.5%8.2%
6M Excs Rtn23.8%19.2%11.2%14.1%10.2%11.5%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn-1.0%12.9%11.0%7.5%-7.8%-17.1%3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.4%-11.3%-9.0%-14.5%-54.0%-67.4%-34.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-63-22219-22-217
Total-63-22219-22-217


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.8 
First Trading Date12/03/2007 
Distance from 52W High-6.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.46$15.41
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.2%14.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility23.1%25.6%
Downside Capture36.6872.81
Upside Capture93.9574.41
Correlation (SPY)18.4%49.5%
ARR Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.030.840.690.630.690.86
Up Beta-1.77-0.61-0.020.460.440.59
Down Beta1.470.710.510.350.880.90
Up Capture115%132%132%88%71%70%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10233567133389
Down Capture169%113%71%74%87%104%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days10182657116348

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARR
ARR11.0%25.5%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.0%19.4%-0.0744.3%
Equity (SPY)13.0%19.4%0.5149.5%
Gold (GLD)71.2%25.5%2.0810.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%16.9%0.2522.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.4%16.7%0.2053.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.2%44.9%-0.6618.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARR
ARR-7.9%28.6%-0.26-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.7%18.7%0.5545.1%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6248.0%
Gold (GLD)22.0%17.1%1.0514.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.0%0.4714.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1656.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.9%57.1%0.3418.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARR
ARR-2.8%34.1%0.01-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.3%22.2%0.5951.6%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7649.8%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.6%0.8012.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.4119.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.8%20.7%0.2959.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.7%1.0713.3%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1152026-21.9%
Average Daily Volume3.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity104.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/18/2026-0.1%  
10/22/20251.1%2.8%4.9%
7/23/2025-1.2%-2.7%-11.3%
4/23/20252.8%10.7%8.7%
2/12/20251.6%1.4%0.7%
10/23/20240.2%-2.9%-3.3%
7/24/2024-2.4%-2.3%-2.1%
4/25/20241.7%3.4%5.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121212
# Negative121111
Median Positive1.8%3.5%5.2%
Median Negative-2.5%-2.7%-5.6%
Max Positive5.7%10.7%23.2%
Max Negative-8.7%-10.6%-67.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202504/23/202510-Q
12/31/202402/12/202510-K
09/30/202410/23/202410-Q
06/30/202407/24/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202303/15/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q
03/31/202204/27/202210-Q
12/31/202102/16/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hain, Robert C DirectSell116202518.072,50045,178122,756Form
2Paperin, Stewart J See FootnoteSell103202518.7824,852466,7936,818Form