Tearsheet

Iridium Communications (IRDM)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $18.88 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers

Iridium Communications (IRDM)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $18.88
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Alternative Carriers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 93%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
  
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Wireless Services, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 93%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IRDM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Iridium Communications (IRDM) stock moved by -24.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:

1. Significant Stock Drop Following Lowered Q2 2025 Earnings and Reduced Full-Year Guidance: Iridium Communications reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 24, 2025, missing analyst expectations for earnings per share and reducing its full-year 2025 service revenue growth forecast from a range of 5-7% to 3-5%. This announcement led to a substantial 20.8% decline in the stock's pre-market trading on the day of the announcement, setting a negative tone for the subsequent period.

2. Multiple Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Cuts in September 2025: In early September 2025, Iridium faced several analyst downgrades. On September 9, 2025, BWS Financial downgraded the stock from "Neutral" to "Sell" and drastically lowered its price target from $25.00 to $16.00, citing "competitive threats from Starlink" as an "existential threat" to Iridium's business model. Two days later, on September 11, 2025, Raymond James also downgraded IRDM to 'Outperform' from 'Strong Buy' and cut its price target from $39 to $26, also due to competition concerns related to Starlink's spectrum acquisition.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IRDM Return60%5%24%-19%-28%-34%-20%
Peers Return-33%20%57%251%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IRDM Win Rate83%67%58%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate38%42%50%42%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IRDM Max Drawdown-27%-10%-22%-30%-40%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-37%-50%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VSAT, GSAT, SATS, TSAT, ASTS. See IRDM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIRDMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven244 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven81 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-31.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2857 days1480 days

Compare to GSAT, VICR, AVNW, CMTL, LUMN


In The Past

Iridium Communications's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2023. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Iridium Communications (IRDM)

Better Bets than Iridium Communications (IRDM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IRDM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.4%-6.4%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.0%5.0%0.0%
VICR_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025VICRVicorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.9%15.9%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%-5.6%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-28.9%-21.3%-33.5%
IRDM_10312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312024IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.1%-33.2%-40.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.4%-6.4%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.0%5.0%0.0%
VICR_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025VICRVicorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.9%15.9%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%-5.6%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-28.9%-21.3%-33.5%
IRDM_10312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312024IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.1%-33.2%-40.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Iridium Communications

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IRDMVSATGSATSATSTSATASTSMedian
NameIridium .Viasat Globalst.EchoStar Telesat AST Spac. 
Mkt Price18.7335.8373.01107.3732.0776.7054.42
Mkt Cap2.04.09.230.90.513.46.6
Rev LTM8724,58326215,17645219662
Op Inc LTM233-5011-52590-274-20
FCF LTM305147283-1,765-22-94462
FCF 3Y Avg279-43870-3,97859-483-189
CFO LTM3961,05978637295-165384
CFO 3Y Avg3587593302,430136-149344

Growth & Margins

IRDMVSATGSATSATSTSATASTSMedian
NameIridium .Viasat Globalst.EchoStar Telesat AST Spac. 
Rev Chg LTM7.3%1.2%8.5%-5.3%-25.8%641.2%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.6%24.0%24.1%-0.2%-14.5%-8.6%
Rev Chg Q6.7%1.7%2.1%-7.1%-27.0%1,239.9%1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%0.4%0.6%-1.8%-7.6%278.8%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM26.7%-1.1%4.1%-3.5%19.9%-1,479.5%1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.2%-10.0%0.7%1.1%49.9%-1.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%1.3%0.2%-0.1%-9.1%3,835.9%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM45.5%23.1%299.9%2.4%21.1%-890.0%22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.3%17.9%130.1%10.1%21.8%-21.8%
FCF/Rev LTM35.0%3.2%108.0%-11.6%-4.9%-5,094.0%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.7%-12.1%25.1%-16.4%7.4%-7.4%

Valuation

IRDMVSATGSATSATSTSATASTSMedian
NameIridium .Viasat Globalst.EchoStar Telesat AST Spac. 
Mkt Cap2.04.09.230.90.513.46.6
P/S2.10.917.61.40.9722.61.8
P/EBIT8.0-429.9-1.4-1.0-3.5
P/E14.7-7.6-97.6-1.7-2.5-44.1-5.0
P/CFO4.73.75.959.24.1-81.24.4
Total Yield10.2%-13.2%-1.0%-58.9%-39.8%-2.3%-7.7%
Dividend Yield3.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.6%-1.0%-74.4%32.5%-5.3%
D/E1.0-0.11.48.4-1.2
Net D/E0.9-0.01.27.2-1.1

Returns

IRDMVSATGSATSATSTSATASTSMedian
NameIridium .Viasat Globalst.EchoStar Telesat AST Spac. 
1M Rtn13.2%-0.6%16.0%59.3%28.8%24.9%20.4%
3M Rtn5.3%17.3%143.9%43.4%43.6%98.1%43.5%
6M Rtn-34.0%184.4%232.6%537.6%86.1%99.9%142.1%
12M Rtn-36.6%283.8%149.6%360.0%91.3%226.7%188.1%
3Y Rtn-61.1%17.4%240.4%567.7%393.4%1,897.4%316.9%
1M Excs Rtn11.5%-4.2%13.7%54.5%25.9%19.3%16.5%
3M Excs Rtn-0.2%5.6%131.0%46.0%15.0%84.0%30.5%
6M Excs Rtn-48.3%170.1%218.4%523.4%71.9%85.7%127.9%
12M Excs Rtn-51.0%273.8%99.4%347.7%82.2%201.7%150.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-133.7%-54.3%111.1%483.9%253.5%1,515.9%182.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Services478429388362350
Government Services10610610410197
Subscriber equipment105135928683
Engineering and support services10152303430
Total791721614583560


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,269,749
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.2%
Average Daily Volume1,435,708
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.76
Basic Shares Quantity106,095,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-7.5%-13.9%-19.4%
7/24/2025-22.1%-23.2%-25.6%
2/13/202515.4%15.9%-0.5%
10/17/202411.2%-1.4%-1.8%
7/23/20247.3%11.0%4.1%
4/18/20245.5%18.5%23.2%
10/19/2023-9.1%-15.6%-14.3%
7/25/2023-15.6%-12.4%-19.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121110
# Negative789
Median Positive5.1%9.4%7.2%
Median Negative-7.5%-9.2%-14.3%
Max Positive15.4%18.5%23.2%
Max Negative-22.1%-23.2%-25.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241017202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024418202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231019202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023420202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221020202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022419202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021