Tearsheet

Ibotta (IBTA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.95 | Market Cap: $614.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Ibotta (IBTA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.95
Market Cap: $614.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 10%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Key risks
IBTA key risks include [1] a class-action lawsuit over IPO disclosures following the loss of its major Kroger contract, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
 
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 10%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%
6 Key risks
IBTA key risks include [1] a class-action lawsuit over IPO disclosures following the loss of its major Kroger contract, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IBTA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -18.5% movement in Ibotta (IBTA) stock from August 31, 2025, to today: 1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Financial Results and Weak Q3 Guidance.

On August 13, 2025, Ibotta reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, with revenue declining 2% year-over-year and missing guidance. The company's outlook for the third quarter projected a 17% year-over-year revenue decrease at the midpoint, attributing the weakness to short-term headwinds from pilot clients pausing campaigns and disruptions from a sales reorganization. 2. Significant Miss on Q3 2025 Earnings and Revenue Decline.

Ibotta announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025, revealing a notable miss on earnings per share (EPS) at $0.56, falling short of analyst expectations of $0.77 by 27.27%. Additionally, revenue for the quarter was $83.3 million, marking a 16% decline year-over-year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IBTA Return-66%
Peers Return-63%61%31%-30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IBTA Win Rate25%50% 
Peers Win Rate34%32%60%52%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IBTA Max Drawdown-68% 
Peers Max Drawdown-72%-29%-33%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GRPN, CDLX, TTD, RAMP, DSP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

IBTA has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,183 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ibotta (IBTA)

Better Bets than Ibotta (IBTA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IBTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ibotta

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IBTAGRPNCDLXTTDRAMPDSPMedian
NameIbotta Groupon Cardlyti.Trade De.LiveRamp Viant Te. 
Mkt Price21.9516.230.9637.1729.7711.5419.09
Mkt Cap0.60.70.118.11.90.20.6
Rev LTM3524962512,791779324424
Op Inc LTM1410-5052840512
FCF LTM6460-186781491862
FCF 3Y Avg--18-256001172424
CFO LTM8975-18811513682
CFO 3Y Avg-1-97311194040

Growth & Margins

IBTAGRPNCDLXTTDRAMPDSPMedian
NameIbotta Groupon Cardlyti.Trade De.LiveRamp Viant Te. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.4%-0.8%-14.4%20.8%10.1%23.0%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--9.2%-5.8%23.5%10.9%13.7%10.9%
Rev Chg Q-15.6%7.3%-22.4%17.7%7.7%7.1%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.2%1.7%-5.6%4.2%1.9%1.8%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM3.9%1.9%-19.8%18.9%5.1%1.6%2.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--1.4%-22.7%14.6%0.4%-4.1%-1.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.8%1.4%1.6%1.2%1.7%0.0%1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM25.4%15.1%-0.3%31.6%19.4%11.1%17.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%-2.9%32.0%16.9%14.9%14.9%
FCF/Rev LTM18.1%12.1%-7.3%24.3%19.2%5.6%15.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--3.1%-8.6%26.6%16.6%9.0%9.0%

Valuation

IBTAGRPNCDLXTTDRAMPDSPMedian
NameIbotta Groupon Cardlyti.Trade De.LiveRamp Viant Te. 
Mkt Cap0.60.70.118.11.90.20.6
P/S1.71.90.58.62.30.61.8
P/EBIT44.6-11.3-1.345.333.535.634.5
P/E7.6-6.7-1.254.544.0102.325.8
P/CFO6.912.7-175.427.111.75.29.3
Total Yield13.1%-14.9%-85.3%1.8%2.3%1.0%1.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.3%-11.9%1.8%6.6%16.7%1.8%
D/E0.00.41.70.00.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.30.11.4-0.0-0.2-0.7-0.1

Returns

IBTAGRPNCDLXTTDRAMPDSPMedian
NameIbotta Groupon Cardlyti.Trade De.LiveRamp Viant Te. 
1M Rtn-9.3%-4.8%-24.2%-7.6%3.6%18.5%-6.2%
3M Rtn-17.9%-25.9%-32.7%-18.1%11.2%23.2%-18.0%
6M Rtn-42.6%-56.2%-46.2%-45.9%-1.2%-11.7%-44.2%
12M Rtn-69.8%41.4%-74.9%-72.5%-6.7%-44.3%-57.0%
3Y Rtn-135.9%-82.8%-19.5%31.4%245.5%31.4%
1M Excs Rtn-10.1%-5.5%-25.0%-8.3%2.8%17.7%-6.9%
3M Excs Rtn-18.8%-29.0%-66.4%-16.7%8.3%21.4%-17.8%
6M Excs Rtn-55.0%-68.6%-58.6%-58.2%-13.5%-24.1%-56.6%
12M Excs Rtn-81.3%30.3%-85.3%-83.0%-17.6%-55.0%-68.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.8%-150.3%-92.9%-36.2%161.3%-36.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Redemption revenue244139
Ad & other revenue7672
Total320211


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,763,764
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.1%
Average Daily Volume473,747
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.83
Basic Shares Quantity27,995,708
Short % of Basic Shares9.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-23.7%-25.6%-35.8%
8/13/2025-30.3%-19.0%-21.4%
5/14/202520.2%5.5%-16.9%
2/26/2025-46.1%-44.5%-29.6%
11/13/2024-12.5%-15.3%-1.7%
8/13/2024-26.7%-12.6%-3.5%
5/30/2024-7.3%-25.8%-31.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative667
Median Positive20.2%5.5% 
Median Negative-25.2%-22.3%-21.4%
Max Positive20.2%5.5% 
Max Negative-46.1%-44.5%-35.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024531202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120234182024424B4 12/31/2023