i-80 Gold (IAUX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.19 | Market Cap: $723.7 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
i-80 Gold (IAUX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.19Market Cap: $723.7 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals & Resource Development. Themes include Gold Mining Operations, Mineral Resource Development, and North American Gold Production. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals & Resource Development. Themes include Gold Mining Operations, Mineral Resource Development, and North American Gold Production. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IAUX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the 52.4% stock movement of i-80 Gold (IAUX) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial and Operating Results. i-80 Gold reported significantly improved financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, which were released on November 12, 2025. The company's revenue increased to $32.0 million for the quarter, a substantial rise from $11.5 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by higher gold ounces sold at Granite Creek and a higher average realized gold price of $3,412 per ounce. Gross profit improved to $3.1 million from a gross loss of $4.9 million in the comparative period. 2. Advancement of Key Development Projects and Operational Efficiencies. During the period, i-80 Gold highlighted significant project development progress, including ongoing underground development at Granite Creek and the commencement of construction on the Archimedes underground project. The company also reported improved water management initiatives at Granite Creek, leading to enhanced operational efficiencies and the expectation of positive gross profit for the second half of 2025. Additionally, the strategic importance of the Lone Tree autoclave refurbishment was emphasized, which is anticipated to significantly increase recovery rates on sulfide material from 55-60% to a targeted 92%, potentially yielding over $1,000 per ounce margin improvement.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IAUX Return | - | - | - | -38% | -72% | 145% | -58% |
| Peers Return | 41% | -14% | -6% | -1% | 9% | 128% | 178% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IAUX Win Rate | - | - | 29% | 42% | 25% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 78% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IAUX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -54% | -80% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -28% | -32% | -22% | -21% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IAUX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
i-80 Gold's stock fell -57.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2022. A -57.6% loss requires a 136.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can i-80 Gold Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IAUX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for i-80 Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 65.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| Rev LTM | 6,057 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,146 |
| FCF LTM | 226 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 124 |
| CFO LTM | 1,310 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,056 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 37.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 40.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 41.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 7.6 |
| P/E | 12.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 104.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 123.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 37.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 87.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 76.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4012025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3122024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |