Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals & Resource Development. Themes include Gold Mining Operations, Mineral Resource Development, and North American Gold Production.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals & Resource Development. Themes include Gold Mining Operations, Mineral Resource Development, and North American Gold Production.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IAUX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 52.4% stock movement of i-80 Gold (IAUX) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial and Operating Results. i-80 Gold reported significantly improved financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, which were released on November 12, 2025. The company's revenue increased to $32.0 million for the quarter, a substantial rise from $11.5 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by higher gold ounces sold at Granite Creek and a higher average realized gold price of $3,412 per ounce. Gross profit improved to $3.1 million from a gross loss of $4.9 million in the comparative period. 2. Advancement of Key Development Projects and Operational Efficiencies. During the period, i-80 Gold highlighted significant project development progress, including ongoing underground development at Granite Creek and the commencement of construction on the Archimedes underground project. The company also reported improved water management initiatives at Granite Creek, leading to enhanced operational efficiencies and the expectation of positive gross profit for the second half of 2025. Additionally, the strategic importance of the Lone Tree autoclave refurbishment was emphasized, which is anticipated to significantly increase recovery rates on sulfide material from 55-60% to a targeted 92%, potentially yielding over $1,000 per ounce margin improvement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IAUX Return----38%-72%145%-58%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%128%178%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IAUX Win Rate--29%42%25%70% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IAUX Max Drawdown----54%-80%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIAUXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

i-80 Gold's stock fell -57.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2022. A -57.6% loss requires a 136.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About i-80 Gold (IAUX)

Better Bets than i-80 Gold (IAUX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Can i-80 Gold Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IAUX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for i-80 Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IAUXBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
Namei-80 GoldBarrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price1.2240.50202.459.5589.65169.1865.08
Mkt Cap0.769.539.02.998.385.054.3
Rev LTM7713,8241,5461,35221,50310,5686,057
Op Inc LTM-865,3511,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM-80--8562266,1223,645226
FCF 3Y Avg-96--161242,6362,041124
CFO LTM-74-1,3104559,2245,8371,310
CFO 3Y Avg-69-1,0563395,6163,8831,056

Growth & Margins

IAUXBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
Namei-80 GoldBarrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM40.2%16.9%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%37.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg145.7%5.9%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%24.9%
Rev Chg Q287.5%16.4%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%40.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM36.9%3.9%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM-111.6%38.7%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-158.8%29.4%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%26.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM63.5%3.2%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-96.1%-84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%42.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-120.1%-81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%35.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-104.2%--55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-178.1%-4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%11.7%

Valuation

IAUXBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
Namei-80 GoldBarrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap0.769.539.02.998.385.054.3
P/S4.72.627.82.04.38.04.5
P/EBIT-3.36.336.75.98.916.27.6
P/E-2.612.946.711.912.924.612.9
P/CFO-4.9-32.86.010.014.510.0
Total Yield-38.6%9.2%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.1%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.6%
D/E0.50.00.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E0.10.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

IAUXBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
Namei-80 GoldBarrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn30.5%23.0%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.3%13.2%
3M Rtn50.4%50.0%6.8%22.8%19.6%14.0%21.2%
6M Rtn98.5%103.1%14.8%41.7%63.2%37.6%52.4%
12M Rtn109.2%134.8%66.7%92.2%119.3%99.3%104.2%
3Y Rtn-58.4%155.4%43.6%144.9%102.1%250.1%123.5%
1M Excs Rtn30.5%23.1%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.4%13.2%
3M Excs Rtn50.9%44.0%1.2%20.0%14.7%8.9%17.4%
6M Excs Rtn83.8%88.4%0.1%27.0%48.5%22.8%37.7%
12M Excs Rtn80.1%122.9%53.2%86.2%103.8%89.4%87.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-125.3%109.7%-22.8%103.2%49.2%204.6%76.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity25,403,192
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume3,794,883
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.69
Basic Shares Quantity608,167,841
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024401202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481220246-K 6/30/2024
331202451320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023312202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110120236-K 9/30/2023
630202380220236-K 6/30/2023
331202350820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022331202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110820226-K 9/30/2022
630202280920226-K 6/30/2022