Fortuna Mining (FSM)


Market Price (10/21/2026): $10.38 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold

Fortuna Mining (FSM)


Market Price (10/21/2026): $10.38
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Gold

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 20%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 49%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 69%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Materials & Resource Scarcity. Themes include Precious Metals Supply, Base Metals Supply, and Sustainable Mining & ESG.

Key risks
FSM key risks include [1] a looming 35%+ production decline due to near-term mine closures and short reserve lives, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 20%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 49%
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 69%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Materials & Resource Scarcity. Themes include Precious Metals Supply, Base Metals Supply, and Sustainable Mining & ESG.
6 Key risks
FSM key risks include [1] a looming 35%+ production decline due to near-term mine closures and short reserve lives, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/16/2026

Fortuna Mining (FSM) stock has gained about 25% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong analyst sentiment and elevated price targets underpinned investor confidence.

Equity research analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Fortuna Mining, with an average 12-month price target ranging from $14.00 to $14.50. This suggested a significant upside potential from the stock's trading levels during the period, attracting investor interest.

2. Significant growth initiatives, particularly the Séguéla plant expansion and Diamba Sud project, propelled future outlook.

The company approved a $109 million budget for a 30% expansion of the Séguéla processing plant, projected to boost annual gold production to over 200,000 ounces from the second half of fiscal 2028. Furthermore, the Diamba Sud Gold Project advanced toward a final investment decision in fiscal Q4 2026, with initial gold pour targeted for fiscal Q2 2028. Fortuna also expanded its Diamba Sud concession by acquiring the 190 km² Bambadji Project, consolidating approximately 60 kilometers of prospective strike along the Senegal-Mali Shear Zone, and reported high-grade exploration results, including 7.8 g/t gold over 12.8 meters. The in-situ asset valuation for the Diamba project increased from $150 million to $400 million.

Show more
Updated on 10/16/2026

Fortuna Mining (FSM) stock has gained about 25% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong analyst sentiment and elevated price targets underpinned investor confidence.

Equity research analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Fortuna Mining, with an average 12-month price target ranging from $14.00 to $14.50. This suggested a significant upside potential from the stock's trading levels during the period, attracting investor interest.

2. Significant growth initiatives, particularly the Séguéla plant expansion and Diamba Sud project, propelled future outlook.

The company approved a $109 million budget for a 30% expansion of the Séguéla processing plant, projected to boost annual gold production to over 200,000 ounces from the second half of fiscal 2028. Furthermore, the Diamba Sud Gold Project advanced toward a final investment decision in fiscal Q4 2026, with initial gold pour targeted for fiscal Q2 2028. Fortuna also expanded its Diamba Sud concession by acquiring the 190 km² Bambadji Project, consolidating approximately 60 kilometers of prospective strike along the Senegal-Mali Shear Zone, and reported high-grade exploration results, including 7.8 g/t gold over 12.8 meters. The in-situ asset valuation for the Diamba project increased from $150 million to $400 million.

3. Despite a slight sequential dip in fiscal Q3 2026 production, Fortuna Mining reaffirmed its annual guidance, signaling operational stability and future recovery.

Although Fortuna Mining reported a fiscal Q3 2026 production of 69,665 gold equivalent ounces, a 3.9% decrease from fiscal Q2 2026, the company confirmed it remains on track to achieve its annual production guidance of 281,000–305,000 gold equivalent ounces for fiscal 2026. Production at the Lindero mine, specifically, saw a 24.9% increase quarter-over-quarter in fiscal Q3 2026. Additionally, fiscal Q2 2026 was expected to mark the peak for company-wide All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC), suggesting improving cost efficiency ahead.

4. Favorable macroeconomic conditions, driven by elevated precious metal prices, positively impacted revenue expectations.

Gold prices reached elevated levels in recent months, influenced by factors such as central bank buying, geopolitical tensions fostering safe-haven demand, and concerns over inflation. These higher commodity prices are reflected in the gold equivalent ounce (GEO) calculations, which used prices such as $4,281 per ounce for gold and $62.70 per ounce for silver in fiscal Q3 2026, contributing to an optimistic revenue outlook for the precious and base metals miner.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.0% change in FSM stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610202026Change
Stock Price ($)8.4510.3923.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0941,1828.0%
Net Income Margin (%)31.1%32.0%3.0%
P/E Multiple7.68.39.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3053011.4%
Cumulative Contribution23.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FSM23.0% 
Market (SPY)3.0%39.6%
Sector (XLB)0.8%56.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.6% change in FSM stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)331202610202026Change
Stock Price ($)9.9310.394.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9471,18224.9%
Net Income Margin (%)30.4%32.0%5.4%
P/E Multiple10.68.3-22.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3073012.0%
Cumulative Contribution4.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FSM4.6% 
Market (SPY)18.6%52.0%
Sector (XLB)2.9%57.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.0% change in FSM stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510202026Change
Stock Price ($)8.9610.3916.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8021,18247.4%
Net Income Margin (%)19.6%32.0%62.8%
P/E Multiple17.48.3-52.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3073012.0%
Cumulative Contribution16.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FSM16.0% 
Market (SPY)16.4%44.4%
Sector (XLB)15.9%57.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 282.0% change in FSM stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 122.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202310202026Change
Stock Price ($)2.7210.39282.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6651,18277.7%
P/S Multiple1.22.6122.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)291301-3.4%
Cumulative Contribution282.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FSM282.0% 
Market (SPY)86.1%31.0%
Sector (XLB)37.5%42.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FSM Return-53%-4%3%11%129%8%29%
Peers Return-25%-19%-14%12%217%-2%82%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FSM Win Rate25%58%42%42%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate37%48%47%48%70%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FSM Max Drawdown-68%-53%-37%-34%-21%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-52%-45%-38%-29%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PAAS, HL, CDE, SSRM, AG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventFSMS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven74 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-27.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-11.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven19 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-46.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven92 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven63 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.1%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven253 days105 days

Compare to PAAS, HL, CDE, SSRM, AG

In The Past

Fortuna Mining's stock fell -7.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventFSMS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven74 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-27.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-46.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven92 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven63 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.1%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven253 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-42.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven75.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven1229 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven16 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-60.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven91 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-28.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven24 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-23.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.5%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven98 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-88.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven778.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven691 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-33.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.4%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven74 days47 days

Compare to PAAS, HL, CDE, SSRM, AG

In The Past

Fortuna Mining's stock fell -7.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fortuna Mining (FSM)

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Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM) is a Canadian-based mining company primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and operation of precious and base metal deposits. The company's core business revolves around extracting valuable metals, including silver and gold, which are considered precious metals, as well as base metals such as lead and zinc, from various mine sites across the globe.

FSM operates a diversified portfolio of mines and projects located in key mining jurisdictions. Its significant assets include the Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine in Peru, the San Jose silver and gold mine in Mexico, and the Lindero gold project in Argentina. The company also has a presence in Africa with the Yaramoko gold mine in Burkina Faso and the Séguéla gold mine in Côte d'Ivoire, showcasing a broad international footprint.

The primary products of Fortuna Silver Mines are the raw or semi-processed forms of these metals, which are sold into global commodity markets. By supplying silver, gold, lead, and zinc, the company serves a wide range of customers, including industrial manufacturers, refiners, and investors who demand these metals for various applications, from jewelry and electronics to construction and automotive industries, as well as for wealth preservation.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Fortuna Mining (FSM):

  • Imagine a smaller, globally diversified Barrick Gold or Newmont, but with significant operations in both gold and silver, along with some lead and zinc.
  • Think of it as a Pan American Silver, but with a broader portfolio that includes more gold mines and operations spread across several continents.
  • A mid-tier precious metals miner with diverse international operations, similar to a smaller Newmont or Barrick Gold, but with a pronounced emphasis on silver production.

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  • Gold: A precious metal extracted from its mines in Mexico, Argentina, Burkina Faso, and Côte d'Ivoire.
  • Silver: A precious metal mined from its operations in Peru and Mexico.
  • Lead: A base metal produced from its Caylloma mine in Peru.
  • Zinc: A base metal extracted from its Caylloma mine in Peru.

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Major Customers of Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM)

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is a mining company that extracts and produces precious metals (silver and gold) and base metal concentrates (lead and zinc). As such, it operates as a business-to-business (B2B) supplier, selling its raw or semi-processed mineral products to other companies within the global metals industry, rather than directly to individuals.

Mining companies like Fortuna generally do not publicly disclose the specific names of their major customers due to the commodity nature of their products and competitive reasons. However, based on typical industry practices for producers of precious and base metals, their customers fall into the following categories:

  • Precious Metal Refiners: For their gold and silver dore (unrefined metal) production, the primary customers are specialized precious metal refineries. These companies process the dore into high-purity, marketable forms such as bullion bars.
  • Base Metal Smelters: For their lead and zinc concentrates, the customers are base metal smelters. These industrial facilities process the concentrates to extract and refine the contained metals.
  • Metal Trading Houses: Large international commodity trading firms may also act as customers, purchasing concentrates or dore for onward sale and distribution to refiners and smelters globally.

While specific customer companies are not typically identified by Fortuna Silver Mines Inc., their sales are directed towards these industrial buyers who further process or trade the extracted metals.

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Jorge A. Ganoza, President, CEO and Director
Jorge A. Ganoza co-founded Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (now Fortuna Mining) in 2004 and has served as its President and CEO since January 2006. He is a fourth-generation miner from a Peruvian family with a history of owning and operating underground gold, silver, and base metal mines. Prior to co-founding Fortuna, Mr. Ganoza worked in business development at senior levels for several private and public Canadian junior mining companies operating across Latin America. He previously served as a Director of Ferreycorp from March 2017 to July 2020.

Luis D. Ganoza, Chief Financial Officer
Luis D. Ganoza has been the Chief Financial Officer at Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. since June 2006. He possesses over 14 years of experience in the operation and financial management of mining companies. Before joining Fortuna, he was the Controller and Treasurer for Minera Atacocha, one of Peru's largest public mining companies, which was subsequently acquired by the Votorantim Group. Mr. Ganoza also serves as a Director and Non-Executive Chairman of Atico Mining Corporation.

Cesar E. Velasco, Chief Operating Officer – Latin America
Cesar E. Velasco was appointed Chief Operating Officer, Latin America, effective September 1, 2021. He joined Fortuna in 2018 as Country Head Peru. Mr. Velasco is an executive with 23 years of global experience in the mining and manufacturing industry, having held senior management positions in various large private and public multinational companies throughout Latin America, including EXSA, ENAEX–EXSA JV, and Dyno Nobel Latin America.

David Whittle, Chief Operating Officer – West Africa
David Whittle serves as the Chief Operating Officer for West Africa. He has over 30 years of international mining industry experience spanning exploration, development, and production across Africa and Australia. His experience includes working with both junior and major mining companies.

Eric Chapman, Senior Vice President, Technical Services
Eric Chapman is a geologist with over 20 years of experience who joined Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. in 2011. He was appointed Vice President, Technical Services in 2017, and later became Senior Vice President, Technical Services. Prior to his time at Fortuna, Mr. Chapman was a Senior Consultant for Snowden Mining Industry Consultants, where he worked on various mine and exploration projects in Africa and the Americas.

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Here are the key risks to Fortuna Mining (FSM):

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Fortuna Mining's financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the global prices of precious and base metals, including silver, gold, lead, and zinc. These prices are cyclical and can be influenced by economic conditions, central bank policies, and geopolitical events, directly impacting the company's revenues and profits.

  2. Geopolitical and Jurisdictional Risks: The company operates mines in several countries, including Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire. Many of these jurisdictions are traditionally viewed as riskier, exposing Fortuna Mining to potential political instability, changes in mining regulations and taxation, social unrest, and community disputes. These factors can lead to operational disruptions, increased costs, and impact the company's valuation.

  3. Operational Disruptions and Production Challenges: Fortuna Mining faces inherent operational risks common to the mining industry, such as supply chain interruptions, technical failures, accidents, and labor disputes. More specifically, the company has experienced declining production due to events like a seismic incident at the Yaramoko mine and the planned closure of the San Jose mine in 2025, with no immediate new projects to offset this decline.

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Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. operates within the global precious and base metals markets, primarily focusing on silver, gold, lead, and zinc. The addressable markets for these main products are substantial on a global scale.

Addressable Markets for Fortuna Mining's Main Products:

  • Silver: The global silver market size was valued at USD 23.51 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 36.51 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.50% from 2026 to 2035. Another estimate indicates the global silver market size was anticipated to reach USD 21.91 billion in 2025, growing at a CAGR of 3.31% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2033. Industrial use now dominates silver demand, accounting for nearly two-thirds of total consumption.
  • Gold: The global gold market size was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.51% over the forecast period of 2025-2030. In terms of volume, the global gold market size stood at 4,890.0 tons in 2025 and is expected to grow from 5,118.1 tons in 2026 to 7,424.4 tons by 2034, recording a CAGR of 4.70%. Asia Pacific dominated the gold market with a market share of 65.54% in 2025.
  • Lead: The global lead market size was valued at USD 23.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 39.26 billion by 2034, with a projected CAGR of 5.84%. Another source reported the global lead market was valued at USD 29.9 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 31.2 billion in 2026. The increasing demand for lead-acid batteries accounts for approximately 86% of total lead consumption, essential in automotive applications, uninterruptible power supplies, and energy storage systems. The Asia-Pacific region covers major consumers like China, Japan, and India and dominates global lead consumption.
  • Zinc: The global zinc market size was estimated at USD 23.36 billion in 2024. In terms of volume, the zinc market size was valued at 13.78 million tons in 2025 and is estimated to grow to 15.06 million tons by 2031, at a CAGR of 1.57% during the forecast period (2026-2031). The global zinc market is projected to grow at a 5.58% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by increasing demand in construction, automotive, and renewable energy sectors. Asia-Pacific commanded 62.86% of 2025 volume and is set to remain the dominant consumer.

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Future Revenue Growth Drivers for Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM)

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily driven by the enhanced production from key gold assets, the development of new projects, and favorable precious metal prices. The company has strategically shifted its focus towards becoming a diversified precious metals producer, with gold now driving most of its revenue. The following are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Fortuna Silver Mines:
  1. Increased Gold Production from the Séguéla Mine and its Expansion: The Séguéla mine in Côte d'Ivoire is a cornerstone of Fortuna's gold-led growth strategy. It significantly contributed to increased net income and lower consolidated costs in the first quarter of 2024. The mine is ramping up towards its nameplate capacity, with satellite deposits such as Sunbird, Koula, and Ancien scheduled to commence production sequentially through 2025–2027, supporting an annual run-rate of 150,000 to 200,000 ounces of gold. Furthermore, an expansion of the Séguéla plant capacity by 15% to 40% is anticipated in the second quarter of 2026, which is expected to further boost gold output. The mine's mineral reserves have also increased by 31%, extending its operational life to over nine years.
  2. Development of the Diamba Sud Gold Project: The Diamba Sud project in Senegal is identified as a significant emerging growth engine for Fortuna. Recent drilling has substantially increased the indicated mineral resources by 53% and inferred resources by 93% within six months, now totaling 1 million ounces of indicated and inferred resources. The project's indicated mineral resources now stand at 1.25 million ounces, with a feasibility study projected for completion by mid-2026. This development is critical to Fortuna's long-term objective of achieving over 500,000 ounces of gold production annually.
  3. Optimization and Life Extension of Existing Gold Assets: Fortuna is focused on optimizing its current gold-producing assets to enhance output and extend mine life. For instance, the Lindero gold project in Argentina aims to increase its annual production to between 110,000 and 130,000 ounces by 2025 through improved stacking and recovery methods, alongside low-capital expenditure debottlenecking. Similarly, ongoing infill drilling and regional exploration at the Yaramoko mine in Burkina Faso are targeting production stabilization to 100,000–130,000 ounces per year, with updated reserves and resources expected in the 2025 technical report. The company's strategic decision to divest non-core assets like the San Jose and Yaramoko mines in 2025 allows for a concentrated focus on higher-yield, longer-life gold operations.
  4. Favorable Precious Metal Price Environment: The company's financial outlook is supported by expectations of higher precious metal prices, particularly for gold. Increased gold sales volume and higher realized gold and silver prices have already contributed to improved financial results. Analysts are projecting higher gold prices in the coming years, with some forecasts reaching $6,000 per ounce by 2026. This elevated price environment is expected to enhance revenue, although it may also lead to higher costs due to royalties.

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Share Repurchases

  • Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. received approval in April 2025 from the Toronto Stock Exchange to renew its normal course issuer bid, authorizing the repurchase of up to 5% of its outstanding common shares, which equates to approximately 15.3 million common shares, through May 1, 2026.
  • Between December 23, 2025, and January 7, 2026, the company repurchased 1,700,000 common shares on the open market for a total consideration of $17,019,894, at a weighted-average price of $10.01 per share. These repurchases represented approximately 11% of the shares authorized under the NCIB.
  • As of April 28, 2025, under its prior normal course issuer bid, Fortuna repurchased an aggregate of 7,319,540 common shares at a weighted-average price of US$4.7203 per common share.

Outbound Investments

  • Fortuna completed the sale of its San Jose Mine in April 2025 and the Yaramoko Mine in May 2025, as part of a strategy to streamline its portfolio by divesting non-core assets.

Capital Expenditures

  • Fortuna's capital expenditures for the full year 2025 amounted to $178.1 million.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, non-sustaining capital expenditures totaled $20.6 million, with $10.7 million allocated to mine site exploration and other items, and $10.1 million directed towards the Diamba Sud project.
  • For 2026, the company has allocated significant capital towards project development and exploration, including $100 million for the Diamba Sud project and $55 million for exploration activities. These expenditures are focused on growth initiatives, such as advancing the Diamba Sud project in Senegal and the Séguéla plant expansion in Côte d'Ivoire, and brownfield exploration at Séguéla and Caylloma.
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Better Bets vs. Fortuna Mining (FSM)

Peer Outperformance in Gold

FSM has trailed 53% of its 34 Gold peers over 5Y. Gold ranks 3rd of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Gold constituents that FSM has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
70%
of 40 industry peers · 16.7% return
3Y
64%
of 39 industry peers · 241.8% return
5Y
47%
of 34 industry peers · 116.0% return
No Gold peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten FSM by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Gold is FSM's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 45.6%124.7%141.0% SCCO 280% · TGB 249% · HBM 221%
Steel 14 22.4%47.5%140.3% STLD 304% · HCC 264% · RS 203%
Gold ← 35 -2.2%173.1%120.6% IAG 517% · OGC 395% · KGC 311%
Silver 6 21.7%260.7%108.6% AYA 251% · HL 166% · SVM 128%
Aluminum 3 5.5%164.4%60.4% CENX 109% · KALU 60% · AA -18%
Construction Materials 6 -21.2%26.0%41.9% USLM 359% · CRH 89% · VMC 47%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 11 -4.1%7.0%4.8% GEF 48% · SLGN 7% · ATR 5%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 15.1%15.4%-4.6% PKG 104% · CCK 14% · SON 0%
Diversified Metals & Mining 23 -65.2%-17.8%-9.1% USAR 33658% · MTRN 243% · MP 8%
Diversified Chemicals 3 6.8%0.5%-18.2% CBT 52% · ASH -18%
Specialty Chemicals 41 10.1%7.6%-21.1% NEU 159% · ESI 70% · SXT 56%
Commodity Chemicals 13 -1.1%-25.5%-34.8% HWKN 259% · MEOH 44% · DOW -33%
Precious Metals & Minerals 8 -20.2%153.0%-45.4% PPTA 280%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -45.3%-54.9%-61.6% CF 117% · NTR 14% · MOS -52%
Paper Products 4 -33.8%-55.8%-75.5%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
Mkt Price10.3844.3015.0715.2331.3316.0415.63
Mkt Cap3.118.610.115.76.57.99.0
Rev LTM1,1824,3121,6033,1711,9331,6501,791
Op Inc LTM5751,6917561,145817722787
FCF LTM6131,3004841,156321614613
FCF 3Y Avg318700166390205222270
CFO LTM8191,6907341,466597826822
CFO 3Y Avg5031,056387659405388454

Growth & Margins

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
Rev Chg LTM47.4%38.4%74.4%117.3%48.4%98.5%61.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg23.4%35.7%33.6%66.2%22.4%47.9%34.6%
Rev Chg Q38.2%38.4%52.4%125.9%9.5%56.5%45.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%7.8%7.7%23.6%2.0%10.0%7.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM139.1%143.3%254.2%181.9%132.6%646.1%162.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg118.6%432.1%209.8%364.3%276.4%348.0%312.2%
Op Mgn LTM48.7%39.2%47.2%36.1%42.3%43.7%43.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg32.7%22.1%26.2%23.4%21.8%15.9%22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.4%1.8%2.3%-5.8%0.1%7.2%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM69.2%39.2%45.8%46.2%30.9%50.1%46.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.8%30.0%31.5%28.0%26.6%31.9%30.7%
FCF/Rev LTM51.8%30.2%30.2%36.5%16.6%37.2%33.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.0%18.9%9.9%9.0%13.2%13.3%13.3%

Valuation

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
Mkt Cap3.118.610.115.76.57.99.0
P/S2.64.36.34.93.44.84.6
P/Op Inc5.411.013.413.78.011.011.0
P/EBIT5.09.314.014.48.310.19.7
P/E8.313.530.318.427.420.619.5
P/CFO3.811.013.810.710.99.610.8
Total Yield12.1%8.8%3.4%5.6%3.7%5.1%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.2%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.0%5.0%1.4%-0.1%8.1%2.0%3.5%
D/E0.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.1-0.1

Returns

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
1M Rtn-13.1%-11.4%-20.3%-22.9%-13.8%-19.2%-16.5%
3M Rtn22.6%0.1%-1.4%-0.5%15.2%-4.8%-0.2%
6M Rtn3.0%-19.8%-16.7%-17.3%5.0%-20.0%-17.0%
12M Rtn16.6%14.0%4.2%-30.8%28.5%12.0%13.0%
3Y Rtn241.4%205.5%257.8%484.2%123.1%190.5%223.5%
1M Excs Rtn-10.4%-7.8%-16.5%-20.6%-13.1%-15.6%-14.3%
3M Excs Rtn18.4%-4.0%-6.1%-6.0%9.5%-9.4%-5.0%
6M Excs Rtn-5.4%-28.2%-25.1%-25.8%-3.5%-28.4%-25.5%
12M Excs Rtn4.4%1.8%-6.7%-42.6%17.1%-0.4%0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn176.2%137.5%190.9%432.4%52.6%123.0%156.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sango52633015400
Mansfield294232208212179
Bateas127115102102104
Corporate00000
Cuzcatlan  150174216
Sanu  229194101
Total947677842681600


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mansfield1815718-4141
Sango1576657-1-1
Bateas2923192018
Corporate-78-55-58-61-53
Cuzcatlan  -1071743
Sanu  28-6912
Total28990-44-13659


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sango1,012939976833760
Mansfield649554491500614
Corporate538230743032
Bateas162154139142128
Cuzcatlan05959188239
Sanu0179228183249
Total2,3612,1161,9681,8762,022


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$10.39 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.1 
First Trading Date01/08/2007 
Distance from 52W High-23.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$11.45$10.34
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.3%0.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.0%58.0%
Downside Capture161.38230.76
Upside Capture266.39218.87
Correlation (S&P 500)37.8%47.0%
FSM Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.172.132.062.282.041.13
Up Beta-3.05-0.660.901.591.940.88
Down Beta6.715.372.743.101.431.08
Up Capture198%389%334%266%442%356%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days9243259128380
Down Capture283%113%137%214%160%105%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days13183266120354

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FSM
FSM19.5%58.0%0.52-
Sector ETF (XLB)18.2%17.8%0.7858.5%
Equity (SPY)16.8%12.7%0.9345.6%
Gold (GLD)-2.9%29.3%-0.1079.1%
Commodities (DBC)52.5%20.7%1.935.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%13.8%0.1122.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%43.6%-0.5033.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FSM
FSM18.9%57.7%0.52-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.7%19.1%0.2441.4%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.1%0.6131.6%
Gold (GLD)18.1%18.9%0.7760.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%19.5%0.3823.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.4%18.9%-0.0329.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.7%51.7%0.3320.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FSM
FSM4.7%58.9%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.2%20.7%0.4331.4%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7223.6%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.6059.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3723.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2120.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.9%66.2%1.0316.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520264.5%
Average Daily Volume5.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity301.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/20/2026