Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 8.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
  Key risks
FSM key risks include [1] a looming 35%+ production decline due to near-term mine closures and short reserve lives, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Materials & Resource Scarcity. Themes include Precious Metals Supply, Base Metals Supply, and Sustainable Mining & ESG.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 8.2%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Materials & Resource Scarcity. Themes include Precious Metals Supply, Base Metals Supply, and Sustainable Mining & ESG.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
6 Key risks
FSM key risks include [1] a looming 35%+ production decline due to near-term mine closures and short reserve lives, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FSM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Fortuna Mining (FSM) experienced a notable stock movement of 26.8% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Fortuna Mining reported robust financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 5, 2025. The company announced free cash flow from ongoing operations of $73.4 million, a significant increase of $16.0 million from the second quarter of 2025. Additionally, its net cash position strengthened to $265.8 million, up from $214.8 million in the previous quarter. Attributable net income reached $123.6 million, or $0.40 per share, partly due to a $69 million impairment reversal at the Lindero mine, and sales increased by 40% to $251.4 million compared to the same period last year. The company also confirmed it was on track to meet its annual production guidance.

2. Higher Gold Prices: The company's Q3 2025 report highlighted an average gold price of $3,467 per ounce, marking a 5% increase from Q2 and a 20% increase from Q1. Furthermore, by December 2025, gold was trading above $4,300 per ounce, which was noted to be fueling aggressive drilling across the mining sector and creating record profit margins for companies like Fortuna Mining. This favorable commodity price environment directly boosted Fortuna Mining's revenue and profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FSM Return102%-53%-4%3%11%122%134%
Peers Return36%-25%-19%-14%12%210%147%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FSM Win Rate58%25%58%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%37%48%47%48%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FSM Max Drawdown-56%-63%-46%-30%-32%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-34%-39%-34%-35%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PAAS, HL, CDE, SSRM, AG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFSMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven356.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,115 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven66 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven185.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven425 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1181.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven747 days1,480 days

Compare to B, FNV, NEM, AEM, AU


In The Past

Fortuna Mining's stock fell -78.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2021. A -78.1% loss requires a 356.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fortuna Mining (FSM)

Better Bets than Fortuna Mining (FSM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FSM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fortuna Mining

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
Mkt Price9.7650.0019.4117.2022.1016.3818.30
Mkt Cap3.014.713.011.04.58.09.5
Rev LTM1,3523,2551,2251,7011,4319711,392
Op Inc LTM426792374505296166400
FCF LTM226746182369192147209
FCF 3Y Avg1242824-13101-1152
CFO LTM4551,051413576395340434
CFO 3Y Avg339613225261293150277

Growth & Margins

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
Rev Chg LTM68.1%21.7%45.6%68.3%30.3%83.9%56.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.7%28.4%21.2%32.6%6.3%19.9%23.9%
Rev Chg Q38.3%19.3%67.1%76.9%49.9%95.1%58.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%4.4%15.5%16.5%9.9%16.8%12.7%
Op Mgn LTM31.5%24.3%30.5%29.7%20.7%17.1%27.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.0%12.4%16.3%14.5%8.6%-0.5%13.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.9%2.5%6.2%1.9%4.4%5.5%3.7%
CFO/Rev LTM33.7%32.3%33.7%33.9%27.6%35.0%33.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.4%21.3%22.1%18.4%22.3%18.6%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM16.7%22.9%14.9%21.7%13.4%15.1%15.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.7%8.2%-2.3%-9.9%7.2%-5.4%2.4%

Valuation

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
Mkt Cap3.014.713.011.04.58.09.5
P/S2.04.56.67.03.56.25.3
P/EBIT5.9-22.426.817.135.722.4
P/E11.923.140.629.322.578.726.2
P/CFO6.014.019.620.812.517.715.8
Total Yield8.4%5.4%2.5%3.4%4.4%1.4%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.2%--1.3%-14.5%2.4%-3.2%-1.3%
D/E0.1-0.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

Returns

FSMPAASHLCDESSRMAGMedian
NameFortuna .Pan Amer.Hecla Mi.Coeur Mi.SSR Mini.First Ma. 
1M Rtn18.4%33.7%38.8%18.9%3.8%41.8%26.3%
3M Rtn23.5%42.0%76.0%7.5%1.5%63.1%32.8%
6M Rtn44.6%73.9%227.0%90.7%69.1%96.4%82.3%
12M Rtn112.2%131.0%265.0%172.2%204.8%179.8%176.0%
3Y Rtn162.4%233.5%271.7%426.0%50.8%92.9%197.9%
1M Excs Rtn17.7%33.0%38.1%18.2%3.1%41.1%25.6%
3M Excs Rtn21.6%41.2%78.9%4.3%0.0%63.5%31.4%
6M Excs Rtn32.2%61.5%214.6%78.3%56.7%84.0%69.9%
12M Excs Rtn96.1%117.7%249.2%151.1%186.0%161.3%156.2%
3Y Excs Rtn87.7%155.7%185.2%349.6%-19.4%18.2%121.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sango976833760  
Mansfield491500614622507
Sanu228183249  
Bateas139142128125117
Corporate7430322760
Cuzcatlan59188239281252
Total1,9681,8762,0221,055936


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,323,407
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-34.3%
Average Daily Volume7,519,412
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.90
Basic Shares Quantity306,960,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024327202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110820236-K 9/30/2023
630202381020236-K 6/30/2023
331202351620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022330202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022111020226-K 9/30/2022
630202281120226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021