Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HUBG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Hub Group reported its Third Quarter 2025 results on October 30, 2025, with revenue decreasing 5.3% year-over-year to $934.5 million, though showing a 3% sequential increase from Q2 2025. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.49 met analyst expectations. The company also narrowed its full-year 2025 EPS guidance to $1.80 to $1.90.

2. Hub Group finalized the acquisition of Marten Transport's Intermodal division on September 30, 2025. This strategic move aimed to enhance Hub Group's scale and provide higher-margin opportunities in the Intermodal segment, positioning it as the second-largest provider of temperature-controlled intermodal solutions in North America.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HUBG Return11%48%-6%16%-2%-10%59%
Peers Return8%27%-19%16%-6%17%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HUBG Win Rate58%58%50%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%55%37%58%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HUBG Max Drawdown-27%-8%-27%-14%-15%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-8%-28%-10%-30%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXPD, CHRW, BCO, FWRD, RLGT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHUBGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven376 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven304 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven386 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1768 days1480 days

Compare to EXPD, CHRW, BCO, FWRD, RLGT


In The Past

Hub's stock fell -31.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2023. A -31.4% loss requires a 45.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hub (HUBG)

Better Bets than Hub (HUBG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HUBG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hub

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HUBGEXPDCHRWBCOFWRDRLGTMedian
NameHub Expedito.C.H. Rob.Brink's Forward .Radiant . 
Mkt Price39.91148.09159.54118.3025.206.4579.10
Mkt Cap2.420.219.15.00.80.33.7
Rev LTM3,72911,27316,5055,1462,4979034,438
Op Inc LTM1421,1167975063619324
FCF LTM113810807418158266
FCF 3Y Avg1971,1047943474436272
CFO LTM1608628776364313398
CFO 3Y Avg2951,1528755587843426

Growth & Margins

HUBGEXPDCHRWBCOFWRDRLGTMedian
NameHub Expedito.C.H. Rob.Brink's Forward .Radiant . 
Rev Chg LTM-5.8%23.7%-7.1%3.1%14.5%12.5%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.0%-12.5%-13.4%5.1%22.0%-13.1%-11.8%
Rev Chg Q-5.3%8.7%-10.9%6.1%-3.7%7.1%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%1.9%-3.0%1.5%-1.0%1.6%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.8%9.9%4.8%9.8%1.4%2.1%4.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.5%10.1%3.8%9.9%3.6%1.9%4.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.0%0.4%0.5%-0.9%-0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%7.6%5.3%12.4%1.7%1.5%4.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%10.1%4.9%11.2%6.2%4.2%6.6%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%7.2%4.9%8.1%0.6%0.9%4.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%9.7%4.5%7.0%4.2%3.4%4.6%

Valuation

HUBGEXPDCHRWBCOFWRDRLGTMedian
NameHub Expedito.C.H. Rob.Brink's Forward .Radiant . 
Mkt Cap2.420.219.15.00.80.33.7
P/S0.61.41.01.00.30.30.8
P/EBIT13.813.919.99.27.012.713.3
P/E19.718.326.528.8-6.916.619.0
P/CFO12.918.118.17.718.321.618.1
Total Yield6.5%6.8%5.7%3.5%-14.6%6.0%5.9%
Dividend Yield1.5%1.3%1.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.0%6.4%6.7%8.2%1.9%11.4%7.4%
D/E0.20.00.10.92.70.30.3
Net D/E0.2-0.00.10.62.50.20.2

Returns

HUBGEXPDCHRWBCOFWRDRLGTMedian
NameHub Expedito.C.H. Rob.Brink's Forward .Radiant . 
1M Rtn12.4%21.6%4.9%7.0%39.9%7.5%10.0%
3M Rtn8.1%23.6%24.5%5.3%-16.0%2.4%6.7%
6M Rtn19.0%33.4%67.8%42.7%40.1%7.1%36.8%
12M Rtn-21.5%23.8%51.8%25.9%-26.7%-12.1%5.8%
3Y Rtn-1.3%32.9%77.2%106.2%-77.2%19.0%25.9%
1M Excs Rtn12.5%21.6%4.9%7.0%40.0%7.5%10.0%
3M Excs Rtn1.9%17.0%20.1%-1.1%-22.4%-5.7%0.4%
6M Excs Rtn4.2%18.7%53.1%28.0%25.4%-7.6%22.0%
12M Excs Rtn-35.3%10.4%41.2%10.1%-44.9%-27.3%-8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.8%-34.5%3.7%32.4%-149.6%-53.6%-44.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS)2,4963,3122,656  
Logistics1,8212,122887767769
Inter-segment eliminations-114-94   
Truck brokerage  689431434
Dedicated   268299
Intermodal   2,0292,166
Total4,2035,3404,2323,4963,668


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS)107349   
Logistics105126   
Inter-segment eliminations0    
Total212475   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,452,879
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202517.2%
Average Daily Volume566,346
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.57
Basic Shares Quantity60,006,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021