Houlihan Lokey (HLI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $176.5 | Market Cap: $11.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage
Houlihan Lokey (HLI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $176.5Market Cap: $11.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Investment Banking & Brokerage
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 32x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 32x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HLI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide the requested information as the specified time period (from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) is in the future, and there is no available data for future stock movements and related news.
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Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HLI Return | 41% | 57% | -14% | 41% | 47% | 2% | 301% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 40% | -9% | 23% | 55% | 10% | 220% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HLI Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 63% | 42% | 53% | 72% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HLI Max Drawdown | -6% | -5% | -27% | -2% | -5% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -5% | -30% | -10% | -3% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SF, EVR, JEF, SEIC, AMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 518 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 120 days |
Compare to SF, EVR, JEF, SEIC, AMG
In The Past
Houlihan Lokey's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HLI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 08312022 | HLI | Houlihan Lokey | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.4% | 38.2% | -3.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 08312022 | HLI | Houlihan Lokey | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.4% | 38.2% | -3.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Houlihan Lokey
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 149.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.2 |
| Rev LTM | 3,054 |
| Op Inc LTM | 609 |
| FCF LTM | 854 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 616 |
| CFO LTM | 873 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 661 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.2 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 9.0 |
| P/E | 18.5 |
| P/CFO | 10.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 81.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5212024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5252023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5272022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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