GRAIL (GRAL)
Market Price (5/7/2026): $61.66 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
GRAIL (GRAL)
Market Price (5/7/2026): $61.66Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -534 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -363% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -203%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -204% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 106% Key risksGRAL key risks include [1] significant cash burn from high operating losses, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -534 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -363% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -203%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -204% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 106% |
| Key risksGRAL key risks include [1] significant cash burn from high operating losses, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Continued Significant Net Losses and Cash Burn.
Despite revenue growth, GRAIL Inc. reported a net loss of $93.2 million for the first quarter of 2026, alongside an adjusted EBITDA loss of $(79.9) million. The company also reported a GAAP gross loss of $14.3 million. While GRAIL had $823.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities as of March 31, 2026, these ongoing and substantial losses for a newly independent company likely contributed to investor concerns regarding its long-term financial viability and capital needs.
2. Deterioration in Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions.
During the period, several analysts lowered their price targets for GRAIL, reflecting a more cautious outlook. For instance, Morgan Stanley set a target price of $60.0 on February 24, 2026. This was followed by Mizuho setting a target of $58.0 on April 10, 2026, and Piper Sandler setting a target of $54.0 on the same date. These downward revisions in price expectations by research firms likely influenced investor perceptions of the stock's future value.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.9% change in GRAL stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 97.82 | 62.75 | -35.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 142 | 147 | 3.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 24.9 | 17.4 | -30.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 41 | -11.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRAL | -35.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 27.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | -5.6% | 15.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.7% change in GRAL stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 91.93 | 62.75 | -31.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 134 | 147 | 9.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 24.5 | 17.4 | -29.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 41 | -12.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRAL | -31.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 32.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 1.6% | 19.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 81.9% change in GRAL stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 88.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.49 | 62.75 | 81.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 126 | 147 | 17.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.2 | 17.4 | 88.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 41 | -17.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 81.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRAL | 81.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 31.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 5.4% | 23.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRAL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 35.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.5% | 27.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GRAL Return | - | - | - | 5% | 379% | -36% | 220% |
| Peers Return | -13% | -66% | 23% | 59% | 67% | -16% | -17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 93% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GRAL Win Rate | - | - | - | 43% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 23% | 52% | 49% | 52% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GRAL Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -26% | -2% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -70% | -22% | -32% | -28% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GH, NTRA, TEM, MYGN, PSNL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GRAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 174 days | 79 days |
In The Past
GRAIL's stock fell -59.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 145.9% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | GRAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 174 days | 79 days |
In The Past
GRAIL's stock fell -59.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 145.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About GRAIL (GRAL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Analogies for GRAIL (GRAL):
- Exact Sciences (maker of Cologuard) for multi-cancer detection.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Galleri: A screening test designed for asymptomatic individuals over 50 years of age for early cancer detection.
- DAC: A diagnostic aid for cancer tests intended to accelerate diagnostic resolution for patients with clinical suspicion of cancer.
- Minimal Residual Disease and Other Post-Diagnostic Tests: Tests currently under development for monitoring cancer post-treatment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
GRAIL, LLC (GRAL) primarily sells its diagnostic tests, such as Galleri and DAC, to other companies and organizations within the healthcare ecosystem rather than directly to individuals. As is common for companies in the diagnostic testing sector, specific individual customer names are not publicly disclosed due to the broad nature of their customer base across numerous healthcare providers and institutions.
GRAIL's major customers fall into the following categories of organizations:
- Healthcare Systems and Hospitals: These include integrated delivery networks, academic medical centers, and various hospital systems where physicians practice and order diagnostic tests for their patients.
- Large Physician Groups and Clinics: Independent physician practices, specialized clinics (e.g., oncology clinics, primary care networks), and diagnostic centers that order and facilitate the use of GRAIL's tests for their patient populations.
- Employers and Corporate Wellness Programs: Some large employers may contract with GRAIL to offer tests like Galleri as part of their employee health and wellness benefits programs.
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Bob Ragusa Chief Executive Officer
Bob Ragusa is the current Chief Executive Officer of GRAIL and a Board Member, with his retirement scheduled for June 1, 2026. Prior to his role at GRAIL, he served as Chief Operations Officer for Illumina. His career also includes experience as Executive Vice President of Engineering and Global Operations at Accuray, a radiation oncology company, and as Senior Vice President of Global Operations for Applied Biosystems from 1997 to 2005. He currently serves on the Board of Directors for Twist Biosciences.
Josh Ofman, MD, MSHS President
Josh Ofman is currently the President of GRAIL and will succeed Bob Ragusa as Chief Executive Officer on June 1, 2026. He joined GRAIL in 2019 and brings extensive experience in clinical medicine, biopharmaceutical leadership, health policy, and precision medicine. Dr. Ofman has served on various industry Boards, including BIO and the Precision Medicine Coalition. Before joining GRAIL, he spent over 15 years at Amgen, most recently as Senior Vice President, Global Value, Access and Policy. Earlier in his career, he was a faculty member in the Department of Medicine and Health Services Research at the UCLA School of Medicine and the Division of Digestive Diseases at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, and served as Senior Vice President of Zynx Health Inc., a subsidiary of Cerner Corp.
Aaron Freidin Chief Financial Officer
Aaron Freidin is the Chief Financial Officer at GRAIL. Previously, he held the position of VP, Corporate Controller at Counsyl, where he was responsible for leading the Accounting, Reporting, Facilities, and Procurement functions. Before Counsyl, he led the SEC Reporting and Revenue functions at Cepheid and managed multinational and cross-functional client service teams at PwC. Mr. Freidin is a Certified Public Accountant (Inactive) and has over 20 years of experience.
Sir Harpal Kumar Chief Scientific Officer & President International
Sir Harpal Kumar is the Chief Scientific Officer & President International at GRAIL. A British healthcare leader and cancer research advocate, he was knighted by Queen Elizabeth II in 2016 for his services to cancer research. Prior to GRAIL, he spent 15 years with Cancer Research UK, serving as its Chief Executive Officer from 2007 to 2018. His previous experience includes roles as Senior Vice President and Head of Innovation EMEA at Johnson & Johnson, a consultant at McKinsey & Company, Chief Executive of The Papworth Trust, and founder of Nexan Group, a venture capital-backed medical devices company.
Andy Partridge Chief Commercial Officer
Andy Partridge serves as the Chief Commercial Officer at GRAIL. He possesses more than 25 years of global sales and marketing experience, including leading global commercial launches in oncology, hematology, and rare diseases. Before joining GRAIL, he was Chief Commercial Officer at Turning Point Therapeutics. He has also held sales and marketing roles at Schering-Plough, Roche, and Amgen, and served as Senior Vice President and Head of North American Commercial Operations at Vertex Pharmaceuticals.
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The key risks to GRAIL, Inc.'s business include significant regulatory hurdles and reimbursement uncertainty, challenges to achieving profitability in a nascent market, and potential liabilities and restrictions stemming from its spin-off from Illumina.
- Regulatory Hurdles, Reimbursement Uncertainty, and Impact of Clinical Trial Results: GRAIL operates in a highly regulated industry, and obtaining necessary regulatory clearances, such as FDA approval for its flagship Galleri test, is complex and time-consuming. There is significant uncertainty surrounding reimbursement rates from third-party payors, which is crucial for the company's revenue model and product adoption. Galleri currently has limited reimbursement. This risk has been exacerbated by the recent pivotal three-year UK trial for Galleri, which failed to show a statistically significant reduction in advanced cancers, raising concerns about its commercial prospects, U.S. regulatory plans, and potential Medicare coverage.
- Limited Operating History, Unproven Market, and Challenges to Achieving Profitability: GRAIL operates in the rapidly developing sector of multi-cancer early detection (MCED), a new and evolving field with a short commercial track record, making it difficult to predict future performance. The company has experienced significant net losses since its inception and anticipates continued losses, raising concerns about its long-term profitability. Furthermore, the failure to secure additional financing could constrain commercialization efforts, research and development, and the launch of new products.
- Spin-Off Tax Risks and Restrictions: As a result of its recent spin-off from Illumina, GRAIL is subject to specific restrictions designed to preserve favorable tax treatment. If the distribution fails to meet the criteria for non-recognition for U.S. federal tax purposes, GRAIL could face substantial indemnification obligations to Illumina. These post-spin-off restrictions may also limit GRAIL's strategic flexibility.
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The clear emerging threat to GRAIL is the potential market entry and adoption of competing multi-cancer early detection (MCED) tests developed by other well-established diagnostic and biotechnology companies. These competitors are actively developing and validating blood-based tests that aim to offer similar or superior performance in terms of sensitivity, specificity, breadth of cancer detection, or cost-effectiveness. Should a competitor successfully launch a test that is perceived as significantly more accurate, affordable, or receives broader regulatory approval and reimbursement ahead of or more comprehensively than GRAIL's offerings (such as Galleri), it would directly threaten GRAIL's market position.AI Analysis | Feedback
GRAIL (symbol: GRAL) operates in the multi-cancer early detection (MCED) market with its flagship product, Galleri. The company also develops DAC, a diagnostic aid for cancer tests.
Galleri
The total addressable market for multi-cancer early detection (MCED), where Galleri operates, is estimated to be $100 billion. This market is global, with a current significant focus on the U.S. and planned expansion into regions such as the UK and EU.
More specifically, the Multi-Cancer Early Detection Testing Market Size was US$1.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to US$7.52 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 16.5% during 2025–2033. The U.S. alone accounted for over US$920 million in the MCED market in 2024. Galleri dominated this market with over 40% share, equating to US$770 million in 2024.
DAC (Diagnostic Aid for Cancer)
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GRAIL, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRAL), a biotechnology company specializing in early cancer detection, is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors as it transitions from a subsidiary of Illumina, Inc. to an independent public entity.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for GRAIL:
- Accelerated Adoption and Sales Volume of Galleri: GRAIL anticipates continued robust growth in the adoption and sales volume of its flagship multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test, Galleri. The company reported a 26% year-over-year increase in U.S. Galleri revenue for 2025, reaching $136.8 million, with over 185,000 tests sold. GRAIL projects Galleri sales growth between 22% and 32% for 2026. This growth is expected to be fueled by expanding partnerships, including digital health initiatives, and deeper integration into health systems, supported by an enlarged sales force.
- Regulatory Approvals and Reimbursement Expansion: Securing FDA approval for Galleri and expanding reimbursement coverage from Medicare and commercial payors are critical catalysts for significant revenue growth. GRAIL has completed its Pre-Market Approval (PMA) submission for Galleri to the FDA. The "Nancy Gardner Sewell Medicare Multi-Cancer Early Detection Screening Coverage Act" becoming federal law is a positive step toward future Medicare coverage. Successful navigation of these regulatory and reimbursement pathways would broaden access and significantly increase the addressable market for Galleri.
- International Market Expansion: GRAIL is actively pursuing growth in international markets. A notable strategic partnership was formed with Samsung C&T and Samsung Electronics in October 2025 to introduce Galleri in key Asian markets, starting with South Korea and potentially expanding to Japan and Singapore. This collaboration aims to integrate GRAIL's genomic diagnostic technologies into Samsung's digital health ecosystem. Additionally, GRAIL has initiated a commercial launch in Canada through a partnership with MedCan.
- Positive Clinical Evidence and Data Generation: Ongoing and future clinical trial results, such as those from the PATHFINDER 2 and NHS-Galleri trials, are vital for demonstrating Galleri's clinical utility, driving physician adoption, and supporting regulatory and reimbursement efforts. While the NHS-Galleri trial's primary endpoint for reducing advanced cancer diagnoses was not met, positive secondary outcomes, including a substantial reduction in Stage IV cancer diagnoses and increased detection of Stage I and II cancers, are highlighted. Detailed results from both PATHFINDER 2 and NHS-Galleri trials are anticipated in mid-2026, which are expected to further solidify the evidence base for multi-cancer early detection.
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Share Issuance
- GRAIL Inc. was spun off from Illumina and began trading as a public company on Nasdaq under the symbol "GRAL" on June 25, 2024, resulting in the issuance of new public shares.
- The company completed a Post-IPO funding round on October 20, 2025, raising $325 million.
Inbound Investments
- Illumina acquired GRAIL in August 2021 for a total consideration of $8 billion, comprising $3.5 billion in cash and $4.5 billion in Illumina common stock for GRAIL stockholders.
- Prior to its acquisition and spin-off, GRAIL raised $2 billion in total funding over six rounds from investors such as Arch Venture Partners, Illumina, and Google Ventures.
- As part of its spin-off from Illumina in June 2024, GRAIL was capitalized with approximately $1 billion to fund 2.5 years of its operations.
Capital Expenditures
- The $1 billion capitalization received from Illumina during the June 2024 spin-off was designated to fund 2.5 years of GRAIL's operations, which would include ongoing capital expenditures for its technology development and infrastructure.
- GRAIL's primary focus on developing technologies for early cancer detection, such as the Galleri test, necessitates substantial investment in research, development, and scaling of its operations.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| GRAIL (-51%): NHS-Galleri Trial Misses Primary Endpoint, Erasing Value | 02/21/2026 | |
| GRAIL Stock (-9.6%) : Guidance Disappoints + Valuation Reset | 01/24/2026 | |
| GRAIL Earnings Notes | 12/20/2025 | |
| GRAIL (GRAL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| GRAIL (GRAL) Net Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| GRAIL (GRAL) Operating Income Comparison | 02/14/2025 | |
| GRAIL (GRAL) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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| 04302026 | GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 04302026 | UHS | Universal Health Services | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 58.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.1 |
| Rev LTM | 906 |
| Op Inc LTM | -289 |
| FCF LTM | -150 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -155 |
| CFO LTM | -130 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -134 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 25.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 14.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -32.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -57.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -16.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -31.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -19.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -35.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.1 |
| P/S | 10.1 |
| P/Op Inc | -16.8 |
| P/EBIT | -17.8 |
| P/E | -17.7 |
| P/CFO | -8.0 |
| Total Yield | -9.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -23.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 45.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 220.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -24.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -38.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 138.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Multi-cancer early detection testing and services | 93 | 56 |
| Total | 93 | 56 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Multi-cancer early detection testing and services | -1,515 | -5,443 |
| Total | -1,515 | -5,443 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Multi-cancer early detection testing and services | -1,466 | -5,399 |
| Total | -1,466 | -5,399 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $62.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/25/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -45.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $50.88 | $67.11 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 23.3% | -6.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 135.2% | 106.3% |
| Downside Capture | 1.61 | 1.46 |
| Upside Capture | 34.82 | 278.48 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.23 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 2.60 | 2.64 | -0.42 |
| Up Beta | 3.55 | 3.25 | 3.17 | 3.70 | 2.96 | 0.47 |
| Down Beta | -4.42 | 0.06 | 1.18 | -0.31 | 0.84 | 0.24 |
| Up Capture | 195% | 302% | 55% | 283% | 687% | 786% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 19 | 30 | 60 | 125 | 226 |
| Down Capture | 675% | 276% | 278% | 237% | 190% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 34 | 65 | 126 | 235 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAL | 94.7% | 106.4% | 1.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.2% | 15.7% | 0.25 | 22.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.5% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 30.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.6% | 27.2% | 1.23 | 17.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.9% | 18.0% | 2.20 | -8.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 13.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.2% | 42.1% | -0.25 | 18.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAL | 31.4% | 108.0% | 1.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.3% | 14.6% | 0.19 | 27.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 35.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 13.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.9% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 0.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 23.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.7% | 56.1% | 0.37 | 17.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAL | 14.6% | 108.0% | 1.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.45 | 27.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 35.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 16.0% | 0.71 | 13.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 0.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 23.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.6% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 15.3% | ||
| 2/19/2026 | -50.5% | -42.8% | -53.9% |
| 11/12/2025 | -1.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% |
| 8/12/2025 | 1.1% | -6.5% | 15.0% |
| 5/13/2025 | -23.3% | -8.3% | -2.3% |
| 2/20/2025 | -14.7% | -17.7% | -36.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | 5.5% | -2.0% | 37.7% |
| 8/13/2024 | -2.8% | 1.4% | -14.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 2.6% | 15.0% |
| Median Negative | -14.7% | -8.3% | -25.5% |
| Max Positive | 15.3% | 3.8% | 37.7% |
| Max Negative | -50.5% | -42.8% | -53.9% |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freidin, Aaron | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4092026 | 49.92 | 45,806 | 2,286,526 | 13,011,971 | Form |
| 2 | Ragusa, Robert P | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 4092026 | 49.92 | 123,502 | 6,164,923 | 25,886,369 | Form |
| 3 | Ofman, Joshua J | President | Direct | Sell | 4092026 | 49.92 | 61,665 | 3,078,169 | 18,530,212 | Form |
| 4 | Freidin, Aaron | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 47.89 | 2,492 | 119,340 | 14,676,907 | Form |
| 5 | Ofman, Joshua J | President | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 47.89 | 2,937 | 140,650 | 20,730,272 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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