Caris Life Sciences (CAI)
Market Price (1/22/2026): $25.55 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Caris Life Sciences (CAI)
Market Price (1/22/2026): $25.55Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -80 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2% | ||
| Key risksCAI key risks include [1] its history of persistent net losses and high cash burn, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -80 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2% |
| Key risksCAI key risks include [1] its history of persistent net losses and high cash burn, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Post-IPO Valuation Correction and Muted Market Response to Strong Earnings.
Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI) experienced a period of high valuation following its June 2025 IPO. Despite reporting robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, which included a 113% year-over-year revenue increase and positive net income, the market reaction was described as "muted," indicating that high expectations may have already been priced into the stock. This suggests a re-evaluation of its valuation in the subsequent period. InvestingPro data also indicated the stock was overvalued as of January 2026.
2. Lockup Expiration Increasing Selling Pressure.
The lockup period for early investors and company insiders expired around December 15, 2025. This event typically allows a significant number of previously restricted shares to become eligible for sale, often leading to increased selling pressure and downward movement in the stock price as early investors may choose to monetize their holdings.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.3% change in CAI stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 10312025 | 1212026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| k | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAI | -15.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.5% | 17.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 9.7% | 7.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.3% change in CAI stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 7312025 | 1212026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| k | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAI | -9.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 17.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 21.9% | 19.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAI | -54.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 9.2% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 16.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 24.2% | 24.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAI Return | 79% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -52% | -3% | -16% |
| Peers Return | -16% | -28% | -41% | -66% | -32% | 7% | -91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAI Win Rate | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 36% | 50% | 53% | 29% | 56% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 0% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAI Max Drawdown | -3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -58% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -45% | -60% | -67% | -49% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AKTS, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Caris Life Sciences (CAI):
- Palantir for cancer's molecular data.
- Foundation Medicine for comprehensive, AI-driven cancer insights.
- The Intel Inside for personalized cancer medicine.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Molecular Profiling Services: Provides comprehensive molecular insights into a patient's tumor, guiding personalized cancer treatment strategies.
- Companion Diagnostic Development: Collaborates with pharmaceutical companies to develop and commercialize diagnostic tests identifying patients who will benefit from specific therapies.
- Therapeutic Discovery Partnerships: Leverages its extensive molecular database and AI platform to assist pharmaceutical companies in identifying novel drug targets and accelerating drug development.
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Major Customers of Caris Life Sciences (CAI)
Caris Life Sciences (symbol: CAI) primarily sells its advanced molecular science and artificial intelligence solutions to other companies and institutions within the healthcare and biopharmaceutical sectors, rather than directly to individuals. While Caris Life Sciences partners with numerous organizations, specific individual "major customers" (i.e., those accounting for more than 10% of total revenue) are generally not disclosed by the company in its public filings. This suggests that their revenue is diversified across a range of collaborations and service agreements. Based on their business model, Caris Life Sciences' major customer categories include:- Biopharmaceutical and Biotechnology Companies: These are a primary B2B customer segment. Caris collaborates with a wide range of global pharma and biotech firms, providing services such as biomarker discovery, companion diagnostic development, patient stratification for clinical trials, and leveraging Caris's real-world evidence and AI platforms for drug development and commercialization. These companies pay Caris for research services, data licensing, and development partnerships.
- Healthcare Providers and Institutions (e.g., Oncologists, Cancer Centers, Hospitals): While these entities do not typically purchase a product from Caris for resale, they are critical partners and "customers" in the context of service utilization. They refer cancer patients to Caris for comprehensive molecular profiling services (e.g., Caris Molecular Intelligence®). Caris then bills third-party payers (insurance companies, government programs) or the patient directly for these tests. These providers are essential channels through which Caris's services reach the ultimate end-user (the patient).
- Academic and Research Institutions: Caris also engages with leading academic and research centers. These collaborations can involve leveraging Caris's profiling capabilities for specific research studies, contributing to Caris's extensive database, and co-developing new insights into cancer biology and treatment. While these relationships can sometimes be collaborative research agreements rather than direct "customer" transactions, they can also involve payment for specific services or data access.
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David D. Halbert is the Chairman, Founder, and CEO of Caris Life Sciences. He founded Caris Life Sciences in 1987 (or acquired Molecular Profiling Institute in 2008 and renamed it Caris Life Sciences). He has over 40 years of experience across the energy, financial, and healthcare industries. Prior to Caris, Mr. Halbert founded AdvancePCS in 1987, a pharmacy benefits management company, which he grew into a publicly traded Fortune 250 corporation with over $15 billion in annual revenue before selling it to CareMark in 2004 for $7.5 billion. In 2005, he acquired Pathology Partners, Inc., later renamed Caris Diagnostics, which he sold to Miraca Life Sciences for $725 million in 2011. He has been an active buyer and seller of healthcare businesses through his Caris Capital. Mr. Halbert holds a Bachelor of Business Administration from Abilene Christian University, which also awarded him an honorary Doctorate of Science in 2023 for his contributions to precision medicine and philanthropic work.
Thomas Parker serves as the Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer of Caris Life Sciences, a position he started in January 2017. Further detailed background regarding his prior company management or acquisition history is not readily available in the provided search results. He is based in the Dallas/Fort Worth Area.
Brian J. Brille joined Caris Life Sciences in January 2018 as Vice Chairman and is also a member of the Board of Directors. He provides executive leadership for strategic, corporate, and business development activities, including M&A and capital markets. Mr. Brille is a senior financial services executive with more than 25 years of experience in investment banking. Prior to joining Caris, he held global leadership positions at Bank of America Merrill Lynch from 1999 to 2013, including Chairman & President of Asia Pacific and Global Head of Corporate & Investment Banking. He also built Bank of America's Healthcare Investment Banking business and previously established Morgan Stanley's Healthcare Services Group. Mr. Brille holds a Juris Doctor from Stanford Law School, a Master in Public Policy from the Harvard Kennedy School, and a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from the University of Illinois.
Dr. George W. Sledge, Jr. joined Caris Life Sciences in October 2022 as Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer. In this role, he oversees medical affairs, research, and medical education, including leadership for the Caris Precision Oncology Alliance. Prior to Caris, Dr. Sledge was a Professor of Medicine at the Stanford University School of Medicine, where he served as co-director of the Stanford Cancer Institute's Cancer Therapeutics Program and Chief of the Division of Oncology from 2013-2020. He has dedicated his professional career to understanding and improving the treatment of breast cancer and is an active laboratory and clinical researcher with over 390 scientific publications. He is a Past President of the American Society of Clinical Oncology and served as Chief Scientific Advisor for the Susan G. Komen Foundation.
Dr. David Spetzler joined Caris Life Sciences in August 2009. As President, he leads the company's Clinical Operations, Research and Development, Information Technology, Bioinformatics, and Biopharma Services. Prior to Caris, Dr. Spetzler was a member of the research faculty at Arizona State University, where he developed multiplexed nanotechnologies for single molecule detection. He earned an MS in Computational Bioscience, a PhD in Molecular & Cellular Biology, and an MBA from Arizona State University. Dr. Spetzler has generated more than 330 patent applications and co-authored over 120 peer-reviewed journal articles. He has led the development of various clinical offerings at Caris, including whole transcriptome sequencing, whole exome sequencing, and AI-based clinical products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Caris Life Sciences (CAI):
- Persistent Net Losses and High Cash Burn: Caris Life Sciences has consistently reported substantial net losses and has accumulated a significant deficit, despite robust revenue growth. The company's operating losses are primarily driven by heavy investments in research and development and commercialization efforts, which raise questions about the timeline for achieving profitability. This high cash burn rate suggests a fragile financial structure, common for a high-growth company in its investment phase.
- Intense Competition: Caris operates within a fiercely competitive precision medicine industry. The market includes numerous established diagnostic firms and emerging players, many of whom are larger, better-capitalized, and possess greater resources for research and development, as well as sales and marketing. This dynamic landscape is characterized by rapid technological advancements, frequent new product introductions, and evolving industry standards, making it challenging to maintain market share and competitive advantage.
- Dependence on Molecular Profiling Services and Reimbursement Risk: A significant majority of Caris Life Sciences' revenue is generated from its molecular profiling services. This heavy reliance on a single service line makes the company vulnerable to market fluctuations, technological disruptions, or changes in demand within this specific area. Furthermore, there is an ongoing risk associated with the reimbursement landscape for molecular diagnostics, where inconsistent policies across regions and potential changes in reimbursement structures could adversely impact the company's revenue and financial performance.
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Comprehensive liquid biopsy platforms developed by competitors (e.g., Guardant Health, Tempus) could increasingly displace traditional tissue-based multi-omic profiling as the primary method for guiding cancer treatment decisions. As liquid biopsy technologies advance in their ability to provide comprehensive, actionable genomic and other molecular insights from blood, and as their clinical utility and adoption expand beyond resistance monitoring to initial diagnosis and treatment selection, the reliance on more invasive tissue biopsies for initial comprehensive profiling may diminish. This shift offers advantages in speed, non-invasiveness, and the potential for dynamic monitoring, posing a significant emerging threat to companies whose core differentiation relies heavily on deep tissue analysis.
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Caris Life Sciences (symbol: CAI) operates in several significant addressable markets related to oncology, primarily focusing on precision oncology, liquid biopsy, and oncology molecular diagnostics.
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Precision Oncology:
- The global precision oncology market was valued at USD 166 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 364 billion by 2035.
- In the United States, the oncology precision medicine market accounted for USD 19.7 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 46 billion by 2032.
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Liquid Biopsy:
- The global liquid biopsy market is estimated to be valued at USD 6.39 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 25.43 billion by 2035.
- The U.S. liquid biopsy market size was estimated at USD 2.40 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach approximately USD 7.32 billion by 2034.
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Oncology Molecular Diagnostics / Cancer Tumor Profiling:
- The global oncology molecular diagnostic market is projected to grow from USD 3.06 billion in 2025 to USD 8.50 billion by 2034.
- The U.S. oncology molecular diagnostic market size was estimated at USD 810 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to approximately USD 2,570.17 million by 2034.
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Caris Life Sciences (CAI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Growth in Molecular Profiling Services and Clinical Case Volumes: The company anticipates continued robust growth in its molecular profiling services, which has been a primary driver of its revenue. Caris Life Sciences expects clinical therapy selection volume to increase by 21-22% in 2025. This sustained growth is supported by the comprehensive nature of their whole exome and whole transcriptome assay technology.
- Increase in Average Selling Price (ASP): Caris Life Sciences has seen a significant increase in the average selling price per profile, with an 87% year-over-year rise to $4,089 in Q3 2025. This growth is attributed to new CMS rates and improved private payer contracting, which are expected to continue enhancing pricing strategy and reimbursement from molecular profiling services.
- Launch and Expansion of New Products in MRD and Early Detection: The company is strategically focusing on developing and launching new products in the Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) and early detection markets. These areas represent significant emerging opportunities in the healthcare sector, and Caris is incorporating whole genome sequencing into its early detection tests to enhance its assay technology.
- Expansion of Pharma R&D Services: While a smaller segment, Caris's Pharma R&D services revenue has also shown growth, increasing by 18.3% year-over-year in Q3 2025. The company is shifting its focus in this segment towards establishing sustained multi-year partnerships rather than single projects, which could provide more stable and recurring revenue.
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Share Issuance
- Caris Life Sciences completed its initial public offering (IPO) on June 18, 2025, by pricing 23,529,412 shares of its common stock at $21.00 per share, raising over $494.1 million.
- The company granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase an additional 3,529,411 shares of common stock at the IPO price.
Inbound Investments
- On April 7, 2025, Caris Life Sciences closed a growth capital funding round of $168 million, led by Braidwell LP, bringing the total capital raised since 2018 to $1.86 billion.
- In May 2021, Caris Life Sciences secured an $830 million growth equity round at a post-money valuation of $7.83 billion, led by Sixth Street with participation from T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc., Silver Lake, Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC, and Coatue.
- On October 27, 2020, the company raised $310 million in growth capital, which included $235 million in equity financing co-led by Highland Capital Management and Coatue, and $75 million in debt financing from Sixth Street.
Outbound Investments
- Caris Life Sciences has acquired Pharmatech.
Capital Expenditures
- Caris Life Sciences reported positive free cash flow of $5.9 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025, with free cash flow defined as net cash used in operating activities less purchases of property and equipment.
- The company intends to use net proceeds from its IPO for general corporate purposes, including working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Caris Life Sciences
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 62.7 |
| Rev LTM | 6,186 |
| Op Inc LTM | -86 |
| FCF LTM | 1,662 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,064 |
| CFO LTM | 1,859 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,419 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 62.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 10.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -15.7% | -15.2% | -2.9% |
| 8/12/2025 | 5.6% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 5.6% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Median Negative | -15.7% | -15.2% | -2.9% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Max Negative | -15.7% | -15.2% | -2.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/20/2025 | 424B4 (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2023 | 12/20/2024 | DRS/A (12/31/2023) |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Power, Luke Thomas | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 26.58 | 62,250 | 1,654,461 | 2,646,367 | Form |
| 2 | Denton, John Russel | See Remarks | Trust | Buy | 11102025 | 24.09 | 4,184 | 100,793 | 221,243 | Form |
| 3 | Spetzler, David Baxley | President | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 23.85 | 400 | 9,540 | 10,989,531 | Form |
| 4 | Denton, John Russel | See Remarks | Direct | Buy | 6232025 | 21.00 | 7,500 | 157,500 | 2,595,411 | Form |
| 5 | Brille, Brian J | See Remarks | Direct | Buy | 6232025 | 21.00 | 30,000 | 630,000 | 3,410,988 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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