Greenfire Resources (GFR)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.58 | Market Cap: $348.1 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Greenfire Resources (GFR)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.58Market Cap: $348.1 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.9% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -54% | Key risksGFR key risks include [1] significant production declines from operational failures, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include North American Energy Resources. Themes include Oil Sands Production, and Heavy Oil Extraction. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include North American Energy Resources. Themes include Oil Sands Production, and Heavy Oil Extraction. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.9% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -54% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36% |
| Key risksGFR key risks include [1] significant production declines from operational failures, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Elimination of Debt and Strengthened Balance Sheet.
Greenfire Resources successfully executed a major refinancing in December 2025, raising approximately C$298.7 million through an oversubscribed rights offering. These proceeds were utilized to fully redeem all outstanding 12.00% senior secured notes due 2028. As a result, the company became debt-free by year-end 2025, reporting a net surplus of C$49.7 million and C$324.7 million in available funding, including an undrawn C$275 million senior credit facility. This significant reduction in financial risk and interest burden was a key positive driver.
2. Exceeding 2025 Production Guidance.
The company demonstrated strong operational performance by achieving full-year 2025 bitumen production of 16,169 barrels per day (bbls/d), which surpassed its initial guidance range of 15,000–16,000 bbls/d. Fourth-quarter 2025 production also remained robust, averaging 15,699 bbls/d.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 44.0% change in GFR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 173.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.57 | 6.58 | 44.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 678 | 603 | -11.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.9% | 7.9% | -60.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 2.7 | 7.3 | 173.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 79 | 53 | 49.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 44.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GFR | 44.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 1.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 39.5% | 42.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.5% change in GFR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 309.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.58 | 6.58 | 43.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 731 | 603 | -17.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 27.7% | 7.9% | -71.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 1.8 | 7.3 | 309.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 79 | 53 | 49.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 43.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GFR | 43.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 6.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 40.8% | 39.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.5% change in GFR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 59.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.29 | 6.58 | 24.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 776 | 603 | -22.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.9% | 7.9% | 59.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.8 | 7.3 | -32.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 78 | 53 | 47.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GFR | 24.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 30.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 42.1% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GFR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 24.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 65.5% | 38.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GFR Return | - | - | -29% | 45% | -24% | 35% | 5% |
| Peers Return | 93% | 27% | 2% | -5% | 28% | 37% | 319% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GFR Win Rate | - | - | 25% | 67% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 57% | 53% | 52% | 67% | 87% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GFR Max Drawdown | - | - | -30% | -1% | -44% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -12% | -20% | -15% | -20% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SU, CNQ, CVE, IMO, MEG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GFR has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,858 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SU, CNQ, CVE, IMO, MEG
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Greenfire Resources (GFR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Greenfire Resources (GFR):
- Like a specialized Suncor Energy focused on SAGD bitumen extraction.
- Think of them as a focused Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) for underground oil sands recovery.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bitumen: A heavy, viscous form of petroleum extracted from the Athabasca oil sands using steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Greenfire Resources (GFR) operates in the upstream oil and gas sector, extracting bitumen from the Athabasca oil sands. As such, its product is a raw commodity that requires further processing. Therefore, the company primarily sells to other businesses rather than directly to individuals.
Major customers for companies like Greenfire Resources are typically large energy companies, refineries, and commodity trading firms. While specific customer names are generally not disclosed for commodity producers, the categories of companies that would purchase bitumen from Greenfire Resources include:
- Refining companies that operate facilities capable of processing heavy oil and bitumen into various petroleum products.
- Integrated oil and gas companies with refining capabilities that purchase crude oil and bitumen from producers to supply their own downstream operations.
- Energy trading firms that buy and sell crude oil and bitumen on the global market, often acting as intermediaries to refiners.
Given the commodity nature of bitumen, Greenfire Resources sells into a market where buyers are typically other large industrial players in the energy sector.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Colin Germaniuk
President
Colin Germaniuk was appointed President of Greenfire Resources in February 2025. He brings extensive experience in thermal oil operations, having previously spent eight years at Serafina Energy Ltd., a private thermal oil company. At Serafina, he was an early employee and a member of the executive management team, playing a critical role in growing thermal oil production from zero to approximately 40,000 barrels per day. His roles at Serafina included Vice President of Engineering and Health, Safety, and Environment (HSE), and before that, Vice President, Subsurface. Mr. Germaniuk's background also includes management positions at Connacher Oil and Gas Limited and Canadian Natural Resources Limited, both focused on thermal oil operations.
Travis Belak
Vice President, Finance
Travis Belak was appointed Vice President, Finance for Greenfire Resources in August 2025, succeeding Tony Kraljic as Chief Financial Officer. He has approximately 15 years of experience in upstream oil and gas financial reporting, corporate planning, tax, and treasury. Prior to joining Greenfire, Mr. Belak served as the Corporate Controller at HWN Energy.
Adam Waterous
Executive Chairman
Adam Waterous was appointed Executive Chairman of Greenfire Resources in February 2025. In this role, he provides strategic oversight and guidance at the highest level, leading the board of directors and advising on key decisions. Mr. Waterous possesses extensive industry experience and a deep understanding of the energy sector.
Jonathan Kanderka
Chief Operating Officer
Jonathan Kanderka continues in his role as Chief Operating Officer at Greenfire Resources. With a background in engineering, Mr. Kanderka is responsible for the day-to-day management of the company's operational activities, ensuring efficiency, safety, and productivity. He is instrumental in implementing operational strategies, managing resources, and driving continuous improvement across all operational functions.
Charles Kraus
Corporate Secretary
Charles Kraus serves as the Corporate Secretary of Greenfire Resources. He is a Canadian and United States corporate lawyer with 25 years of experience in governance, capital markets, and commercial matters. Mr. Kraus has previously served as a senior executive, general counsel, and corporate secretary for three different dual-listed public companies operating in the energy and construction industries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Greenfire Resources:
- Operational Challenges and Production Issues: Greenfire Resources faces direct operational risks, as evidenced by its recent decision to lower 2026 production guidance. This revision was primarily due to unplanned well downtime at its Expansion Asset during the first quarter of 2026 and steeper-than-anticipated base production decline rates. The company has also experienced past technical issues, including an unexpected boiler outage and sulphur dioxide emissions in excess of regulatory allowances. Operating with Steam-Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) technology in remote, cold weather conditions, such as those in Alberta, presents inherent challenges, including the risk of equipment failure due to high temperatures and pressures, and the significant impact of downtime.
- Volatility in Commodity Prices: As an oil and gas producer, Greenfire Resources is highly susceptible to fluctuations in global oil prices. This is a significant sector-specific risk that directly impacts the company's revenue and profitability. SAGD projects, in particular, involve high initial investment, making their economic viability sensitive to product prices. While Greenfire employs risk management strategies to mitigate the impact of commodity price volatility on its cash flows, this remains a fundamental business risk.
- Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Greenfire operates in Alberta's oil sands, an industry subject to extensive and evolving environmental regulations and public scrutiny. Key regulatory areas include greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, water usage, and the management and reclamation of tailings ponds. There is an ongoing risk of increased regulatory burdens, potential liabilities related to environmental clean-up, and the long-term uncertainty surrounding the "carbon constrained world" and the environmental impact of oil sands production. Past issues with sulphur dioxide emissions highlight the company's exposure to regulatory compliance risks.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating global energy transition, specifically the rapid adoption of renewable energy sources and electric vehicles, threatening long-term demand for crude oil and increasing the regulatory and investment pressures on high-carbon intensity oil sands production.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE: GFR) operates in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada, focusing on the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties, specifically the recovery of bitumen using steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology.
The addressable market for Greenfire Resources' primary product, bitumen/heavy oil from oil sands, is primarily within Alberta, Canada, which dominates global oil sands production.
- The Alberta oil sands production averaged 3.55 million barrels per day (MMb/d) between July and October 2025, and this output is projected to continue growing in 2026.
- In 2024, bitumen comprised 50% of Alberta's total hydrocarbon production.
- The global oil sands market size was projected at USD 120,907.21 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 138,244.09 million by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.5%. Alberta accounts for over 70% of the global oil sands production capacity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE and TSX: GFR) is strategically positioned to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of production capacity expansions, advanced drilling techniques, operational efficiencies, and improved market access for its heavy oil products.
Here are the key drivers of Greenfire Resources' future revenue growth:
- Expansion of Production Capacity: Greenfire Resources plans to significantly increase its bitumen production capacity. This includes a potential brownfield expansion of the existing central processing facility at the Expansion Asset to add 11,300 barrels per day (bbls/d) (net to Greenfire). Additionally, the company intends to relocate and commission the recently acquired McKay central processing facility (CPF) at the Expansion Asset, which is anticipated to add another 11,300 bbls/d (net to Greenfire) of production capacity. At the Demo Asset, Greenfire aims to increase capacity by 2,500 bbls/d to 10,000 bbls/d by restarting the processing train at Plant 1. Overall, these initiatives are expected to increase net production capacity by 74% to approximately 58,800 bbls/d.
- Advanced Drilling Techniques and Infill Drilling Programs: The company is implementing a modernized SAGD drilling strategy that includes drilling extended-reach and curved SAGD wells. This approach is designed to support higher production, enhance reservoir access, and improve bitumen recovery rates. Greenfire also plans to consolidate multiple well pads into a single "Super Pad" design with centralized infrastructure to increase production while reducing costs. The continuation of redevelopment infill ("Refill") drilling programs at both the Demo and Expansion Assets, including new extended-reach wells, is also expected to contribute to increased production.
- Operational Optimizations and Reservoir Management: Greenfire is focused on enhancing the productivity of its existing assets through various operational optimizations. This includes sustained non-condensable gas (NCG) co-injection activities and debottlenecking initiatives at the Expansion Asset, which have been successful in increasing reservoir pressure and well productivity. The utilization of existing steam and blend processing equipment for incremental production capacity at the Demo Asset, without requiring significant additional infrastructure capital, also contributes to efficient growth.
- Improved Market Access and Favorable Heavy Oil Pricing: The operationalization of the Trans Mountain Expansion Project (TMX) in May 2024 is a significant driver. This project provides approximately 16,600 thousand barrels per day of additional pipeline egress from Western Canada, offering new access to international markets. As Greenfire's production is 100% linked to Western Canadian Select (WCS) or Canadian heavy oil benchmarks, this improved market access is anticipated to reduce WCS differential volatility and support higher realized prices for its bitumen, leading to increased revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In December 2025, Greenfire Resources completed an oversubscribed rights offering, issuing approximately 55.1 million common shares for gross proceeds of about C$298.5 million (US$298.7 million).
- The shares were issued at a price of C$5.44 or US$3.85 per common share.
Inbound Investments
- In November 2025, Waterous Energy Fund (WEF) acquired 8,703,479 common shares for over C$57 million and an additional 1,926,055 common shares for approximately C$12.8 million through a private transaction.
- Following these November 2025 purchases, Waterous Energy Fund owned a 71.1% stake in Greenfire Resources.
- In December 2024, Waterous Energy Fund increased its interest in Greenfire to 56.5% of the issued and outstanding common shares.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for 2025 totaled $111.8 million, which was below the initial outlook of $130 million.
- Approximately $9 million of planned 2025 capital spending for the Pad 7 program at the Expansion Asset was deferred into early 2026.
- For 2026, Greenfire initially guided for $180 million in capital expenditures.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to GFR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 82.3% | 82.3% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 23.6% | 23.6% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 56.9% | 56.9% | -7.0% |
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 41.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 56.4 |
| Rev LTM | 44,685 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,370 |
| FCF LTM | 4,012 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,566 |
| CFO LTM | 7,468 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,879 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -6.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 56.4 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 11.0 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | 9.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 53.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 76.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 23.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 61.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 57.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 61.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 38.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.58 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/21/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.91 | $4.74 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.4% | 38.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 47.6% | 53.6% |
| Downside Capture | -0.67 | 0.30 |
| Upside Capture | 74.74 | 65.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 0.1% | 27.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.39 | 1.26 | 1.08 | 0.76 | 0.98 | 0.11 |
| Up Beta | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.02 | 1.69 | 0.73 | -0.18 |
| Down Beta | 3.95 | 2.02 | 1.03 | 0.94 | 1.51 | 0.05 |
| Up Capture | 117% | 186% | 210% | 72% | 73% | 20% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 58 | 122 | 285 |
| Down Capture | -12% | -14% | 28% | 8% | 91% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 29 | 64 | 122 | 304 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFR | 38.4% | 53.8% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 37.0% | 24.9% | 1.22 | 50.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 27.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 16.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 44.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 22.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 12.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFR | 1.5% | 51.2% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 25.3% | 26.1% | 0.86 | 38.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 24.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 13.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 32.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 13.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 3.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFR | 0.7% | 51.2% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 11.4% | 29.4% | 0.42 | 38.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 24.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 13.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 32.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 13.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 3.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Industry Resources
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| FinViz |
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