Tearsheet

Greenfire Resources (GFR)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.58 | Market Cap: $348.1 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Greenfire Resources (GFR)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.58
Market Cap: $348.1 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Key risks
GFR key risks include [1] significant production declines from operational failures, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include North American Energy Resources. Themes include Oil Sands Production, and Heavy Oil Extraction.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include North American Energy Resources. Themes include Oil Sands Production, and Heavy Oil Extraction.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36%
7 Key risks
GFR key risks include [1] significant production declines from operational failures, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Greenfire Resources (GFR) stock has gained about 45% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Elimination of Debt and Strengthened Balance Sheet.

Greenfire Resources successfully executed a major refinancing in December 2025, raising approximately C$298.7 million through an oversubscribed rights offering. These proceeds were utilized to fully redeem all outstanding 12.00% senior secured notes due 2028. As a result, the company became debt-free by year-end 2025, reporting a net surplus of C$49.7 million and C$324.7 million in available funding, including an undrawn C$275 million senior credit facility. This significant reduction in financial risk and interest burden was a key positive driver.

2. Exceeding 2025 Production Guidance.

The company demonstrated strong operational performance by achieving full-year 2025 bitumen production of 16,169 barrels per day (bbls/d), which surpassed its initial guidance range of 15,000–16,000 bbls/d. Fourth-quarter 2025 production also remained robust, averaging 15,699 bbls/d.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 44.0% change in GFR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 173.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253292026Change
Stock Price ($)4.576.5844.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)678603-11.0%
Net Income Margin (%)19.9%7.9%-60.4%
P/E Multiple2.77.3173.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)795349.5%
Cumulative Contribution44.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFR44.0% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%1.2%
Sector (XLE)39.5%42.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 43.5% change in GFR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 309.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253292026Change
Stock Price ($)4.586.5843.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)731603-17.4%
Net Income Margin (%)27.7%7.9%-71.6%
P/E Multiple1.87.3309.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)795349.2%
Cumulative Contribution43.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFR43.5% 
Market (SPY)0.6%6.5%
Sector (XLE)40.8%39.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.5% change in GFR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 59.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820253292026Change
Stock Price ($)5.296.5824.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)776603-22.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.9%7.9%59.9%
P/E Multiple10.87.3-32.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)785347.5%
Cumulative Contribution24.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFR24.5% 
Market (SPY)9.8%30.9%
Sector (XLE)42.1%50.5%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFR  
Market (SPY)69.4%24.3%
Sector (XLE)65.5%38.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GFR Return---29%45%-24%35%5%
Peers Return93%27%2%-5%28%37%319%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFR Win Rate--25%67%50%100% 
Peers Win Rate67%57%53%52%67%87% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFR Max Drawdown---30%-1%-44%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-12%-20%-15%-20%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SU, CNQ, CVE, IMO, MEG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

GFR has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,858 days1,480 days

Compare to SU, CNQ, CVE, IMO, MEG

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Greenfire Resources (GFR)

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. The company operates the Tier-1 oil sands assets located in Western Canada. It utilizes steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology, a thermal oil recovery process to recover bitumen. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Greenfire Resources (GFR):

  • Like a specialized Suncor Energy focused on SAGD bitumen extraction.
  • Think of them as a focused Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) for underground oil sands recovery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Bitumen: A heavy, viscous form of petroleum extracted from the Athabasca oil sands using steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) technology.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Greenfire Resources (GFR) operates in the upstream oil and gas sector, extracting bitumen from the Athabasca oil sands. As such, its product is a raw commodity that requires further processing. Therefore, the company primarily sells to other businesses rather than directly to individuals.

Major customers for companies like Greenfire Resources are typically large energy companies, refineries, and commodity trading firms. While specific customer names are generally not disclosed for commodity producers, the categories of companies that would purchase bitumen from Greenfire Resources include:

  • Refining companies that operate facilities capable of processing heavy oil and bitumen into various petroleum products.
  • Integrated oil and gas companies with refining capabilities that purchase crude oil and bitumen from producers to supply their own downstream operations.
  • Energy trading firms that buy and sell crude oil and bitumen on the global market, often acting as intermediaries to refiners.

Given the commodity nature of bitumen, Greenfire Resources sells into a market where buyers are typically other large industrial players in the energy sector.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Colin Germaniuk

President

Colin Germaniuk was appointed President of Greenfire Resources in February 2025. He brings extensive experience in thermal oil operations, having previously spent eight years at Serafina Energy Ltd., a private thermal oil company. At Serafina, he was an early employee and a member of the executive management team, playing a critical role in growing thermal oil production from zero to approximately 40,000 barrels per day. His roles at Serafina included Vice President of Engineering and Health, Safety, and Environment (HSE), and before that, Vice President, Subsurface. Mr. Germaniuk's background also includes management positions at Connacher Oil and Gas Limited and Canadian Natural Resources Limited, both focused on thermal oil operations.

Travis Belak

Vice President, Finance

Travis Belak was appointed Vice President, Finance for Greenfire Resources in August 2025, succeeding Tony Kraljic as Chief Financial Officer. He has approximately 15 years of experience in upstream oil and gas financial reporting, corporate planning, tax, and treasury. Prior to joining Greenfire, Mr. Belak served as the Corporate Controller at HWN Energy.

Adam Waterous

Executive Chairman

Adam Waterous was appointed Executive Chairman of Greenfire Resources in February 2025. In this role, he provides strategic oversight and guidance at the highest level, leading the board of directors and advising on key decisions. Mr. Waterous possesses extensive industry experience and a deep understanding of the energy sector.

Jonathan Kanderka

Chief Operating Officer

Jonathan Kanderka continues in his role as Chief Operating Officer at Greenfire Resources. With a background in engineering, Mr. Kanderka is responsible for the day-to-day management of the company's operational activities, ensuring efficiency, safety, and productivity. He is instrumental in implementing operational strategies, managing resources, and driving continuous improvement across all operational functions.

Charles Kraus

Corporate Secretary

Charles Kraus serves as the Corporate Secretary of Greenfire Resources. He is a Canadian and United States corporate lawyer with 25 years of experience in governance, capital markets, and commercial matters. Mr. Kraus has previously served as a senior executive, general counsel, and corporate secretary for three different dual-listed public companies operating in the energy and construction industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Greenfire Resources:

  1. Operational Challenges and Production Issues: Greenfire Resources faces direct operational risks, as evidenced by its recent decision to lower 2026 production guidance. This revision was primarily due to unplanned well downtime at its Expansion Asset during the first quarter of 2026 and steeper-than-anticipated base production decline rates. The company has also experienced past technical issues, including an unexpected boiler outage and sulphur dioxide emissions in excess of regulatory allowances. Operating with Steam-Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) technology in remote, cold weather conditions, such as those in Alberta, presents inherent challenges, including the risk of equipment failure due to high temperatures and pressures, and the significant impact of downtime.
  2. Volatility in Commodity Prices: As an oil and gas producer, Greenfire Resources is highly susceptible to fluctuations in global oil prices. This is a significant sector-specific risk that directly impacts the company's revenue and profitability. SAGD projects, in particular, involve high initial investment, making their economic viability sensitive to product prices. While Greenfire employs risk management strategies to mitigate the impact of commodity price volatility on its cash flows, this remains a fundamental business risk.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Greenfire operates in Alberta's oil sands, an industry subject to extensive and evolving environmental regulations and public scrutiny. Key regulatory areas include greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, water usage, and the management and reclamation of tailings ponds. There is an ongoing risk of increased regulatory burdens, potential liabilities related to environmental clean-up, and the long-term uncertainty surrounding the "carbon constrained world" and the environmental impact of oil sands production. Past issues with sulphur dioxide emissions highlight the company's exposure to regulatory compliance risks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating global energy transition, specifically the rapid adoption of renewable energy sources and electric vehicles, threatening long-term demand for crude oil and increasing the regulatory and investment pressures on high-carbon intensity oil sands production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE: GFR) operates in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada, focusing on the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties, specifically the recovery of bitumen using steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology.

The addressable market for Greenfire Resources' primary product, bitumen/heavy oil from oil sands, is primarily within Alberta, Canada, which dominates global oil sands production.

  • The Alberta oil sands production averaged 3.55 million barrels per day (MMb/d) between July and October 2025, and this output is projected to continue growing in 2026.
  • In 2024, bitumen comprised 50% of Alberta's total hydrocarbon production.
  • The global oil sands market size was projected at USD 120,907.21 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 138,244.09 million by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.5%. Alberta accounts for over 70% of the global oil sands production capacity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE and TSX: GFR) is strategically positioned to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of production capacity expansions, advanced drilling techniques, operational efficiencies, and improved market access for its heavy oil products.

Here are the key drivers of Greenfire Resources' future revenue growth:

  1. Expansion of Production Capacity: Greenfire Resources plans to significantly increase its bitumen production capacity. This includes a potential brownfield expansion of the existing central processing facility at the Expansion Asset to add 11,300 barrels per day (bbls/d) (net to Greenfire). Additionally, the company intends to relocate and commission the recently acquired McKay central processing facility (CPF) at the Expansion Asset, which is anticipated to add another 11,300 bbls/d (net to Greenfire) of production capacity. At the Demo Asset, Greenfire aims to increase capacity by 2,500 bbls/d to 10,000 bbls/d by restarting the processing train at Plant 1. Overall, these initiatives are expected to increase net production capacity by 74% to approximately 58,800 bbls/d.
  2. Advanced Drilling Techniques and Infill Drilling Programs: The company is implementing a modernized SAGD drilling strategy that includes drilling extended-reach and curved SAGD wells. This approach is designed to support higher production, enhance reservoir access, and improve bitumen recovery rates. Greenfire also plans to consolidate multiple well pads into a single "Super Pad" design with centralized infrastructure to increase production while reducing costs. The continuation of redevelopment infill ("Refill") drilling programs at both the Demo and Expansion Assets, including new extended-reach wells, is also expected to contribute to increased production.
  3. Operational Optimizations and Reservoir Management: Greenfire is focused on enhancing the productivity of its existing assets through various operational optimizations. This includes sustained non-condensable gas (NCG) co-injection activities and debottlenecking initiatives at the Expansion Asset, which have been successful in increasing reservoir pressure and well productivity. The utilization of existing steam and blend processing equipment for incremental production capacity at the Demo Asset, without requiring significant additional infrastructure capital, also contributes to efficient growth.
  4. Improved Market Access and Favorable Heavy Oil Pricing: The operationalization of the Trans Mountain Expansion Project (TMX) in May 2024 is a significant driver. This project provides approximately 16,600 thousand barrels per day of additional pipeline egress from Western Canada, offering new access to international markets. As Greenfire's production is 100% linked to Western Canadian Select (WCS) or Canadian heavy oil benchmarks, this improved market access is anticipated to reduce WCS differential volatility and support higher realized prices for its bitumen, leading to increased revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In December 2025, Greenfire Resources completed an oversubscribed rights offering, issuing approximately 55.1 million common shares for gross proceeds of about C$298.5 million (US$298.7 million).
  • The shares were issued at a price of C$5.44 or US$3.85 per common share.

Inbound Investments

  • In November 2025, Waterous Energy Fund (WEF) acquired 8,703,479 common shares for over C$57 million and an additional 1,926,055 common shares for approximately C$12.8 million through a private transaction.
  • Following these November 2025 purchases, Waterous Energy Fund owned a 71.1% stake in Greenfire Resources.
  • In December 2024, Waterous Energy Fund increased its interest in Greenfire to 56.5% of the issued and outstanding common shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for 2025 totaled $111.8 million, which was below the initial outlook of $130 million.
  • Approximately $9 million of planned 2025 capital spending for the Pad 7 program at the Expansion Asset was deferred into early 2026.
  • For 2026, Greenfire initially guided for $180 million in capital expenditures.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to GFR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TPL_12262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12262025TPLTexas Pacific LandDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
82.3%82.3%-2.1%
NOV_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025NOVNOVInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
23.6%23.6%-6.5%
RIG_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025RIGTransoceanInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
56.9%56.9%-7.0%
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
31.6%31.6%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
41.7%41.7%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFRSUCNQCVEIMOMEGMedian
NameGreenfir.Suncor E.Canadian.Cenovus .Imperial.Montrose. 
Mkt Price6.5866.6650.0926.82130.7621.1238.45
Mkt Cap0.380.1104.348.864.00.756.4
Rev LTM60352,37744,16754,27845,20383144,685
Op Inc LTM597,9958,2264,6274,114134,370
FCF LTM236,9258,3793,3214,703904,012
FCF 3Y Avg427,6037,9763,5443,589373,566
CFO LTM13612,78115,1068,2286,7081077,468
CFO 3Y Avg12313,69513,6158,2845,474626,879

Growth & Margins

GFRSUCNQCVEIMOMEGMedian
NameGreenfir.Suncor E.Canadian.Cenovus .Imperial.Montrose. 
Rev Chg LTM-26.7%-4.6%6.4%-8.5%-7.4%19.3%-6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--5.5%-3.2%-8.3%-7.3%15.2%-5.5%
Rev Chg Q-35.9%-6.8%-3.2%-14.3%-8.7%2.2%-7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-11.0%-1.7%-0.8%-4.1%-2.3%0.5%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%15.3%18.6%8.5%9.1%1.5%9.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.3%16.3%22.6%9.0%11.5%-2.7%10.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%0.3%-1.6%0.9%-1.8%2.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM22.6%24.4%34.2%15.2%14.8%12.9%18.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.7%25.7%32.2%14.6%11.6%8.4%16.1%
FCF/Rev LTM3.8%13.2%19.0%6.1%10.4%10.9%10.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%14.3%18.9%6.2%7.6%4.8%6.9%

Valuation

GFRSUCNQCVEIMOMEGMedian
NameGreenfir.Suncor E.Canadian.Cenovus .Imperial.Montrose. 
Mkt Cap0.380.1104.348.864.00.756.4
P/S0.61.52.40.91.40.91.2
P/EBIT3.69.27.49.515.024.39.4
P/E7.313.59.612.419.6-888.711.0
P/CFO2.66.36.95.99.57.06.6
Total Yield13.6%10.9%15.0%8.7%7.3%-0.1%9.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.5%4.7%0.7%2.2%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.7%16.5%11.6%12.0%10.1%4.1%11.2%
D/E0.00.20.20.30.10.50.2
Net D/E-0.10.10.20.20.00.50.1

Returns

GFRSUCNQCVEIMOMEGMedian
NameGreenfir.Suncor E.Canadian.Cenovus .Imperial.Montrose. 
1M Rtn10.8%17.9%15.5%21.2%11.5%-27.7%13.5%
3M Rtn41.8%55.8%54.1%61.9%53.6%-18.9%53.9%
6M Rtn52.1%59.2%56.6%53.5%41.7%-23.8%52.8%
12M Rtn34.2%80.8%72.0%101.7%89.0%46.6%76.4%
3Y Rtn7.7%145.9%110.2%70.5%181.7%-39.4%90.4%
1M Excs Rtn21.5%27.9%25.1%30.4%19.8%-18.4%23.3%
3M Excs Rtn47.5%63.5%61.4%69.8%61.3%-11.5%61.3%
6M Excs Rtn56.6%62.4%61.3%57.6%45.1%-20.7%57.1%
12M Excs Rtn26.7%66.9%56.5%83.6%71.6%27.8%61.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.1%92.4%60.8%16.7%137.6%-98.5%38.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment652  
Oil sales 999271
Royalties -50-10
Total652949261


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.58 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date09/21/2023 
Distance from 52W High-4.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$5.91$4.74
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA11.4%38.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.6%53.6%
Downside Capture-0.670.30
Upside Capture74.7465.49
Correlation (SPY)0.1%27.6%
GFR Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.391.261.080.760.980.11
Up Beta1.711.431.021.690.73-0.18
Down Beta3.952.021.030.941.510.05
Up Capture117%186%210%72%73%20%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days11213258122285
Down Capture-12%-14%28%8%91%84%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days10202964122304

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GFR
GFR38.4%53.8%0.79-
Sector ETF (XLE)37.0%24.9%1.2250.1%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5927.3%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.4616.0%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.8544.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.1522.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%44.2%-0.4912.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GFR
GFR1.5%51.2%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLE)25.3%26.1%0.8638.6%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5424.3%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.9613.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.5032.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.0713.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%56.6%0.293.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GFR
GFR0.7%51.2%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLE)11.4%29.4%0.4238.6%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6724.3%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.7013.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3932.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1913.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.4%66.8%1.063.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-54.6%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity52.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/04/20256-K
06/30/202508/07/20256-K
03/31/202505/07/20256-K
12/31/202403/20/202540-F
09/30/202411/15/20246-K
06/30/202408/15/20246-K
03/31/202405/16/20246-K
12/31/202303/27/202420-F
09/30/202311/15/20236-K
12/31/202208/14/2023424B3