Tearsheet

Montrose Environmental (MEG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.16 | Market Cap: $923.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Montrose Environmental (MEG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.16
Market Cap: $923.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 74x
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 74x
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MEG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Montrose Environmental (MEG) stock moved by -16.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Analyst Downgrades to "Hold"

Zacks Research downgraded Montrose Environmental Group from a "strong-buy" rating to a "hold" rating on October 17, 2025, and Wall Street Zen also lowered its rating from "buy" to "hold" on November 22, 2025. These shifts in analyst sentiment could have contributed to a negative stock performance. 2. Negative Net Margin Reported in Q3 2025

For the third quarter of 2025, Montrose Environmental Group reported a negative net margin of 2.52%. Despite the company exceeding revenue and earnings per share estimates, a negative net margin could signal profitability concerns to investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MEG Return-128%-37%-28%-42%35%-19%
Peers Return74%-12%28%16%58%23%341%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MEG Win Rate80%75%42%42%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%46%50%52%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MEG Max Drawdown-0%-58%-50%-51%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-33%-28%-19%-6%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, MDRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMEGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven251.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days

Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, MDRN


In The Past

Montrose Environmental's stock fell -71.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -71.5% loss requires a 251.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Montrose Environmental (MEG)

Better Bets than Montrose Environmental (MEG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MEG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Montrose Environmental

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MEGCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameMontrose.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
Mkt Price26.0695.6817.1054.501.83-26.06
Mkt Cap0.96.12.41.90.1-1.9
Rev LTM8261,7952,53171825-826
Op Inc LTM-89327948-4-48
FCF LTM727826-173-26
FCF 3Y Avg247414713-0-24
CFO LTM88343208-23-88
CFO 3Y Avg49271257250-49

Growth & Margins

MEGCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameMontrose.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
Rev Chg LTM22.8%20.5%4.4%29.9%-5.7%-20.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.8%19.6%3.1%21.9%-2.0%-14.8%
Rev Chg Q25.9%17.9%13.1%45.8%-4.6%-17.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.9%4.3%3.2%9.5%-1.4%-4.3%
Op Mgn LTM-0.9%5.2%11.0%6.7%-17.7%-5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.9%6.9%13.3%7.0%-12.7%-6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM10.6%19.1%8.2%-0.3%11.9%-10.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%18.2%10.5%4.8%0.7%-6.8%
FCF/Rev LTM8.7%4.4%1.0%-2.4%10.7%-4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.1%5.2%6.0%2.8%-0.7%-3.1%

Valuation

MEGCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameMontrose.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
Mkt Cap0.96.12.41.90.1-1.9
P/S1.23.41.12.53.8-2.5
P/EBIT73.973.15.918.6-60.7-18.6
P/E-46.5394.811.934.9-31.0-11.9
P/CFO11.117.613.6-796.831.8-13.6
Total Yield-2.2%0.3%8.4%2.9%-3.2%-0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%1.4%11.3%2.5%-2.4%-2.5%
D/E0.40.20.60.10.0-0.2
Net D/E0.40.20.50.1-0.3-0.2

Returns

MEGCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameMontrose.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
1M Rtn3.8%7.8%1.7%4.8%-30.7%-3.8%
3M Rtn-9.3%0.1%-18.7%17.4%-36.0%--9.3%
6M Rtn27.3%-18.3%-36.2%104.0%9.6%-9.6%
12M Rtn39.4%-16.0%-36.5%68.9%77.7%-39.4%
3Y Rtn-44.0%10.4%49.6%346.7%27.1%-27.1%
1M Excs Rtn3.9%7.9%1.8%4.8%-30.6%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-16.5%-5.2%-24.5%6.4%-42.0%--16.5%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%-33.0%-50.9%89.2%-5.1%--5.1%
12M Excs Rtn24.9%-29.0%-53.6%56.5%57.5%-24.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.3%-60.1%-5.6%272.5%-30.9%--30.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Assessment, Permitting and Response2211872629921
Remediation and Reuse2061851317877
Measurement and Analysis197172153152136
Corporate and Other 0  0
Total624544546328234


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,083,736
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.6%
Average Daily Volume470,794
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.43
Basic Shares Quantity35,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021