Geron (GERN)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $1.37 | Market Cap: $913.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Geron (GERN)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $1.37Market Cap: $913.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 522% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.25, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% | ||
| Key risksGERN key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on a single product, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 522% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.25, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Key risksGERN key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on a single product, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Geron (GERN) experienced a decline of approximately -2.1% around December 26, 2025. Here are some key points that could have contributed to this movement, based on available information and general factors influencing biotech stocks:
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1. Negative Technical Outlook and Bearish Momentum: Geron's technical outlook has been described as bearish, with a weak technical score and several bearish signals observed in the days leading up to December 26, 2025. This suggests a prevailing negative sentiment among traders based on technical indicators.
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2. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Inconsistent Guidance: While some analysts maintained "Strong Buy" ratings for Geron, the overall performance-weighted rating indicated a bearish outlook. This mismatch between optimistic analyst ratings and the market's cautious stance could contribute to downward pressure on the stock.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.2% change in GERN stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.29 | 1.37 | 6.20% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 164.45 | 183.40 | 11.53% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.23 | 4.98 | -4.64% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 666.17 | 667.10 | -0.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.20% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GERN | 6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 15.2% | 36.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.1% change in GERN stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -41.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.49 | 1.37 | -8.05% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 116.29 | 183.40 | 57.71% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.53 | 4.98 | -41.59% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 665.91 | 667.10 | -0.18% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.05% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GERN | -8.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 31.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.0% | 30.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -59.1% change in GERN stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -93.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.35 | 1.37 | -59.10% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 29.48 | 183.40 | 522.13% |
| P/S Multiple | 75.25 | 4.98 | -93.38% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 662.16 | 667.10 | -0.75% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -59.11% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GERN | -59.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.8% | 33.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -33.8% change in GERN stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -99.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.07 | 1.37 | -33.82% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1.53 | 183.40 | 11863.67% |
| P/S Multiple | 547.19 | 4.98 | -99.09% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 405.24 | 667.10 | -64.62% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -61.45% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GERN | -36.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 18.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.9% | 19.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GERN Return | 17% | -23% | 98% | -13% | 68% | -60% | 3% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GERN Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GERN Max Drawdown | -35% | -25% | -19% | -28% | -17% | -70% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GERN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -84.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 550.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 325.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Geron's stock fell -52.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/3/2021. A -52.9% loss requires a 112.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- An early-stage Moderna, but specializing in a single experimental drug for blood cancers.
- A focused oncology biotech, similar to Incyte in its specialized approach to blood cancers, but with its value largely tied to its lead experimental drug, imetelstat.
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- Rytelo (imetelstat): An oligonucleotide telomerase inhibitor approved for the treatment of adult patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) who have become transfusion-dependent and are refractory or ineligible for erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs).
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Geron (GERN) is a biopharmaceutical company that has recently received FDA approval for its first commercial product, RYTELO™ (imetelstat), for the treatment of adult patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS) with transfusion-dependent anemia. As such, Geron sells its product primarily to other companies within the pharmaceutical supply chain rather than directly to individuals.
The major customers for a pharmaceutical manufacturer like Geron are typically large drug wholesalers and specialty distributors. These companies purchase the drug directly from Geron and then distribute it to hospitals, clinics, and specialty pharmacies, which in turn dispense the medication to patients.
Based on standard pharmaceutical distribution models in the United States, Geron's major customers (or those with whom they will establish distribution agreements) would likely include:
- McKesson Corporation (Symbol: MCK)
- Cencora (Symbol: COR, formerly AmerisourceBergen Corporation)
- Cardinal Health, Inc. (Symbol: CAH)
These entities form the backbone of the drug distribution network, ensuring that RYTELO™ can reach the healthcare providers and patients who need it.
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Harout Semerjian, President and Chief Executive Officer, Board of Directors Member
Mr. Semerjian has been the President, Director, and Chief Executive Officer of Geron since August 2025. He brings over 30 years of commercial experience across hematology and oncology. Previously, he served as Chief Executive Officer of GlycoMimetics and Immunomedics. Prior to that, he was the Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer of Ipsen and Head of the U.S. hematology franchise of Novartis. His career includes pivotal contributions to oncology drug launches such as Gleevec and KISQALI.
Michelle Robertson, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Ms. Robertson has served as Geron's Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer since September 2023. She has 30 years of financial and commercial operations experience. Prior to joining Geron, she was the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Editas Medicine Inc. from January 2020 to May 2023. Before that, she served as Chief Financial Officer of Momenta Pharmaceuticals from 2018 until 2020, when Momenta was acquired by Johnson & Johnson. Ms. Robertson also held multiple commercial finance roles at Baxalta Inc., Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc., and Genzyme Corporation.
Ahmed ElNawawi (“Nawawi”), Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. ElNawawi was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer, effective October 20, 2025. He previously served as Senior Vice President and U.S. Commercial Head at Stemline Therapeutics, where he was responsible for expanding the team and delivering three consecutive years of growth.
Scott A. Samuels, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
Mr. Samuels has served as Geron's Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary since 2023. His prior roles include Chief Legal Officer and Chief Compliance Officer of Prilenia Therapeutics Inc. and Senior Vice President, General Counsel of BeiGene Ltd. He also served as Assistant General Counsel and Acting General Counsel at ARIAD Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Shannon T. Odam, Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer
Ms. Odam has served as Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer of Geron since January 2024. She joined Geron in June 2019 as Vice President of Human Resources. Prior to Geron, Ms. Odam was Vice President of Human Resources at BioElectron Technology Corp. and held various human capital roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Geron (symbol: GERN) faces several key business risks, primarily centered around its reliance on a single product, intense market competition, and ongoing financial challenges.
- Single Product Dependence and Market Saturation: Geron's business is heavily reliant on the success of its flagship product, Rytelo (imetelstat), approved for lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). This singular focus presents a significant risk to the company's long-term stability and growth. Without a diverse product portfolio, Geron is vulnerable to market fluctuations, regulatory changes, or unexpected clinical outcomes related to Rytelo. There is also a risk of sales plateau or decline if the addressable patient population for Rytelo becomes saturated, especially without new pipeline products to drive future growth. The company's third-quarter 2025 report indicated a 3% quarter-over-quarter decline in Rytelo demand, highlighting this near-term risk.
- Intense Competition: The hematologic malignancies market is highly competitive, with numerous established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotechnology firms vying for market share. Geron faces the ongoing challenge of differentiating Rytelo from existing treatments and potential new entrants. Larger pharmaceutical companies with more extensive resources could develop more effective therapies, offer more competitive pricing, or leverage broader market reach, potentially making it difficult for Geron to maintain or expand its market position.
- Financial Health and Profitability Concerns: Geron has consistently reported negative earnings per share (EPS) and has been burning through cash. Despite a strong liquidity position with cash exceeding liabilities, financial health indicators such as a low Piotroski F-Score and an Altman Z-Score placing the company in the "distress zone" suggest potential underlying operational challenges and financial distress. Additionally, the company has faced lawsuits alleging false statements regarding Rytelo's potential, which led to a significant stock crash in early 2025.
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Geron's main product, imetelstat (marketed as RYTELO), targets hematological diseases, specifically lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS) and relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis (R/R MF). RYTELO is approved in the United States and the European Union for certain adult patients with LR-MDS with transfusion-dependent anemia. The company is also conducting a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial for imetelstat in relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis (R/R MF).
The estimated addressable market for imetelstat in these indications is as follows:
- Geron estimates a total addressable market value of $7 billion by 2031 for imetelstat across hematological diseases such as MDS and MF. This market size is for the U.S. and E.U. markets combined.
- Specifically, the market opportunity for LR-MDS is estimated at approximately $3.5 billion, and for myelofibrosis, also approximately $3.5 billion. These estimates refer to the U.S. and E.U. markets.
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Geron Corporation (GERN) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily centered around its flagship product, RYTELO (imetelstat).
- Increased Adoption and Utilization of RYTELO in the U.S. Market: Geron is focused on enhancing healthcare professional (HCP) awareness and improving the effectiveness of its commercial strategies in the U.S. market to boost RYTELO's adoption. This includes expanding the prescriber base and specifically targeting increased usage in first- and second-line therapies for lower-risk Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS). The company aims to drive new patient starts and extend the duration of therapy.
- Expansion of RYTELO into European Markets: Having received marketing authorization for RYTELO from the European Commission, Geron plans to expand its commercial strategies into EU markets by 2026. This strategic move represents a significant opportunity to reach a broader patient population and diversify revenue streams.
- Potential Approval and Commercialization for Myelofibrosis (MF): Geron's Phase 3 IMpactMF trial evaluating imetelstat for relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis (MF) has completed enrollment by year-end 2025, with an interim analysis expected in the second half of 2026. A successful outcome and subsequent approval for this indication would open a substantial new market, representing a significant expansion opportunity beyond lower-risk MDS.
- Sales Force Expansion and Enhanced Commercial Execution: Geron has been actively investing in and expanding its commercial sales force and medical affairs teams. These efforts are designed to increase brand awareness, provide physician education, and drive deeper market penetration for RYTELO. The company's strategy involves direct engagement with hematologists and treatment centers to support uptake.
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Share Repurchases
Geron has not reported any significant share repurchase programs or actual share repurchases over the last 3-5 years.
Share Issuance
- In January 2023, Geron completed an underwritten public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants, generating approximately $213.3 million in net cash proceeds.
- During 2023, the company received $105.9 million in cash proceeds from the exercise of outstanding warrants.
- Stockholders approved an increase of 20,000,000 shares for the 2018 Equity Incentive Plan and an additional 6,000,000 shares for the 2014 Employee Stock Purchase Plan in May 2025.
Inbound Investments
- Geron received net cash proceeds from synthetic royalty and debt financings in November 2024, contributing to a larger marketable securities portfolio.
Outbound Investments
Geron has not reported any significant outbound strategic investments in other companies over the last 3-5 years.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures amounted to approximately $0.4 million in 2020, $0.21 million in 2021, $0.43 million in 2022, $0.83 million in 2023, and $0.68 million in 2024.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
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| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -5.1% |
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Peer Comparisons for Geron
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA217779 | RYTELO | imetelstat sodium | powder | 6062024 | 10.0% | 2.3% | -58.9% | -64.8% | -64.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.37 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/31/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -61.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.23 | $1.37 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 11.0% | -0.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 57.3% | 71.1% |
| Downside Capture | 215.68 | 189.28 |
| Upside Capture | 202.14 | 71.02 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.1% | 30.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.18 | 1.93 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| Up Beta | 4.50 | 3.55 | 3.42 | 3.03 | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Down Beta | 0.81 | 1.39 | 1.28 | 0.78 | 0.86 | 1.51 |
| Up Capture | 144% | 99% | 69% | 128% | 25% | 57% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 27 | 55 | 101 | 331 |
| Down Capture | 191% | 205% | 184% | 227% | 137% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 30 | 63 | 132 | 376 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of GERN With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GERN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -60.7% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 70.7% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.01 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 32.7% | 30.1% | 0.4% | 6.5% | 25.1% | 19.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of GERN With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GERN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -4.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 81.8% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 19.3% | 24.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 22.3% | 12.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of GERN With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GERN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -11.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 78.0% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.19 | 0.49 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 23.0% | 24.4% | 2.2% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 8.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -5.2% | 8.7% | 13.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 15.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | -0.8% | -9.1% | 18.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | -32.1% | -30.0% | -28.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.5% | -9.4% | -8.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.9% | -2.6% | -6.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | -3.2% | -6.6% | -13.0% |
| 11/2/2023 | -7.8% | -4.1% | 3.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 6.6% | 13.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -7.4% | -16.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.8% | 12.5% | 43.6% |
| Max Negative | -32.1% | -30.0% | -28.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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