Tearsheet

German American Bancorp (GABC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $40.23 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

German American Bancorp (GABC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $40.23
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.64
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -73%
  
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
5 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -73%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
5 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.64

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GABC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -3% movement in German American Bancorp (GABC) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Negative Analyst Forecasts and Downgrades: Despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, GABC received a consensus "Hold" rating from analysts, and toward the end of the period, some forecasts turned bearish. Notably, on December 2, 2025, the stock was downgraded to a "Sell Candidate" by StockInvest.us, and a 30-day forecast predicted a significant decrease in share value.

2. Increased Non-Performing Assets: German American Bancorp's third-quarter report, released on October 27, 2025, indicated an increase in non-performing assets, which totaled $23.7 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $9.7 million in the same period of 2024. This rise was largely attributed to the Heartland acquisition and could have raised investor concerns regarding asset quality.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GABC Return-5%20%-2%-10%28%1%30%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GABC Win Rate58%50%50%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GABC Max Drawdown-32%-1%-14%-29%-5%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGABCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven334 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-22.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

German American Bancorp's stock fell -48.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2021. A -48.8% loss requires a 95.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About German American Bancorp (GABC)

Better Bets than German American Bancorp (GABC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GABC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for German American Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GABCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGerman A.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price40.2311.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap1.50.30.2--84.20.9
Rev LTM3312696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM141-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg110-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM145-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg116-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

GABCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGerman A.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM56.7%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.9%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%13.9%
Rev Chg Q50.9%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.6%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM44.0%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.6%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM42.7%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg41.6%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

GABCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGerman A.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap1.50.30.2--84.20.9
P/S4.51.12.7--7.43.6
P/EBIT-------
P/E14.74.911.6--28.813.1
P/CFO10.1-0.67.9--16.89.0
Total Yield9.5%20.2%13.5%--3.5%11.5%
Dividend Yield2.7%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.9%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.12.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.71.8-4.5---0.4-0.6

Returns

GABCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGerman A.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn3.3%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-1.7%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn8.4%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-7.6%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%12.5%
3Y Rtn12.6%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%10.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.3%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-8.2%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-6.3%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-21.4%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-0.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.8%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-60.2%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Core Banking6,1386,1525,5964,9644,382
Wealth Management Services109644
Insurance41512109
Other1-20-6-13
Total6,1526,1565,6094,9784,398


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,370,318
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.7%
Average Daily Volume77,684
Days-to-Cover Short Interest17.64
Basic Shares Quantity37,493,028
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021