Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 8.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -55%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 8.3%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -55%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
6 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FULT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -3.7% movement in Fulton Financial (FULT) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss Despite EPS Beat**

While Fulton Financial reported strong Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.55, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.48, its quarterly revenue of $264.20 million fell short of the consensus estimate of $332.51 million according to one report. Although other sources indicated revenue of $411 million, exceeding expectations by $78.9 million and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.53%, the market may have reacted to the lower revenue figure or other aspects of the earnings call, contributing to a negative sentiment. **2. All-Stock Merger Announcement with Blue Foundry Bancorp**

On November 24, 2025, Fulton Financial Corporation announced an all-stock merger with Blue Foundry Bancorp. While strategic, all-stock mergers can sometimes lead to short-term downward pressure on the acquiring company's stock due to potential dilution concerns for existing shareholders or market perceptions of integration risks and the combined entity's valuation. **3. Decline in Purchase Accounting Accretion**

Concerns raised by analysts, labeled as "bear" points, included a decline in purchase accounting accretion, which fell from $13.1 million in the prior quarter to $11.4 million, missing the expected $12 million. This decline could indicate a less favorable impact from past acquisitions than anticipated, potentially affecting future earnings outlook. **4. Decrease in Average Loans**

Another "bear" point highlighted by analysts was a 2% quarter-over-quarter decrease in average loans. A reduction in average loans can signal weaker loan demand or a tightening lending environment, which could impact the bank's net interest income and overall growth prospects, thereby negatively influencing investor sentiment. **5. Broader Regional Banking Sector Concerns**

Despite some positive outlooks for regional banks in 2025, there were also broader concerns within the sector. Reports from October 2025 mentioned "liquidity problems" and potential "balance sheet issues with some of the small and regional banks." Additionally, delinquency rates for Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans and consumer loans, although declining somewhat, remained above the average and median levels observed over the previous decade in the first half of 2025, indicating lingering credit quality worries in the banking industry. These sector-wide anxieties could have contributed to a cautious investment environment for FULT.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FULT Return-23%39%3%3%22%-2%34%
Peers Return25%29%-18%21%6%4%77%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FULT Win Rate42%67%50%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%47%38%40%47%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FULT Max Drawdown-47%-0%-17%-42%-11%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-7%-24%-23%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CADE, COLB, FBP, LOB, AVBC. See FULT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFULTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven432 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven170 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2032 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven253.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2670 days1480 days

Compare to CADE, COLB, FBP, LOB, AVBC


In The Past

Fulton Financial's stock fell -48.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -48.6% loss requires a 94.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fulton Financial (FULT)

Better Bets than Fulton Financial (FULT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FULT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fulton Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FULTCADECOLBFBPLOBAVBCMedian
NameFulton F.Cadence .Columbia.First Ba.Live Oak.Avidia B. 
Mkt Price18.7541.8628.1720.2533.2816.4724.21
Mkt Cap3.47.86.73.21.5-3.4
Rev LTM1,2991,8312,072945517901,122
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM281-675430661-8430
FCF 3Y Avg321-623390467-428
CFO LTM336-721438675-4438
CFO 3Y Avg355-651405505-455

Growth & Margins

FULTCADECOLBFBPLOBAVBCMedian
NameFulton F.Cadence .Columbia.First Ba.Live Oak.Avidia B. 
Rev Chg LTM15.2%42.6%5.6%6.2%10.5%-10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%18.2%19.8%3.0%9.0%-9.5%
Rev Chg Q2.8%8.8%17.3%4.7%15.1%-8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%2.2%4.3%1.1%3.7%-2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM25.9%-34.8%46.4%130.5%-4.2%34.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.7%-33.5%44.3%107.4%-38.9%
FCF/Rev LTM21.6%-32.6%45.5%127.8%-8.3%32.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.8%-32.1%42.6%98.9%-37.4%

Valuation

FULTCADECOLBFBPLOBAVBCMedian
NameFulton F.Cadence .Columbia.First Ba.Live Oak.Avidia B. 
Mkt Cap3.47.86.73.21.5-3.4
P/S2.63.23.03.72.6-3.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E9.411.012.810.524.3-11.0
P/CFO10.1-8.58.02.0-8.3
Total Yield10.7%11.4%12.7%12.7%4.5%-11.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%4.9%3.2%0.4%-2.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.8%-12.3%12.8%34.1%-12.8%
D/E0.40.50.50.10.1-0.4
Net D/E-0.5-0.6-1.7-1.3-0.9--0.9

Returns

FULTCADECOLBFBPLOBAVBCMedian
NameFulton F.Cadence .Columbia.First Ba.Live Oak.Avidia B. 
1M Rtn6.9%11.4%6.0%3.8%5.4%7.2%6.5%
3M Rtn-2.7%12.7%7.3%-7.3%-11.3%9.1%2.3%
6M Rtn11.8%40.7%25.4%2.8%21.2%-21.2%
12M Rtn-7.5%15.2%-2.5%2.1%-27.3%--2.5%
3Y Rtn14.3%60.2%-0.4%50.5%-1.7%-14.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.9%11.4%6.1%3.9%5.5%7.2%6.5%
3M Excs Rtn-9.3%5.8%1.3%-13.8%-19.2%1.3%-4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-2.9%26.0%10.7%-11.9%6.5%-6.5%
12M Excs Rtn-23.2%-0.3%-17.5%-12.1%-43.0%--17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.5%-7.3%-71.6%-23.7%-65.2%--56.5%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,0821,009937859865
Total1,0821,009937859865


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment274    
Total274    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,347,755
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.1%
Average Daily Volume1,239,900
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.12
Basic Shares Quantity181,658,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023301202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Wenger E Philip 9122025Sell19.285,00096,3881,744,170Form
1Wenger E Philip7282025Sell18.411,14921,1471,757,254Form
2Malhotra AtulChief Risk Officer4292025Buy18.601,10020,46220,672Form
3Snyder Angela MPresident1272025Sell20.6913,322275,6351,317,597Form