FuboTV (FUBO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.87 | Market Cap: $983.0 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
FuboTV (FUBO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.87Market Cap: $983.0 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 262% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.8% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.3% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 262% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FUBO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining FuboTV's (FUBO) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Mixed Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings Report
Despite FuboTV reporting better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 results, including an adjusted profit and revenue surpassing estimates, the stock experienced a significant drop, with shares falling more than 9% in intra-day trading following the November 3, 2025, announcement. This suggests that while headline numbers beat expectations, other factors or forward-looking statements may have concerned investors.
2. Loss of NBCUniversal Programming Due to Carriage Dispute
Around November 21, 2025, NBCUniversal pulled its programming from FuboTV as a result of a carriage dispute. This loss of content could negatively impact FuboTV's subscriber retention and acquisition, raising concerns about its competitive offering in the streaming market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FUBO Return | 214% | -45% | -89% | 83% | -60% | 129% | -68% |
| Peers Return | -9% | 16% | -8% | -3% | 18% | 40% | 55% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FUBO Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 38% | 30% | 35% | 43% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FUBO Max Drawdown | -16% | -45% | -89% | -40% | -65% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -6% | -17% | -12% | -12% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAST, WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FUBO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4938.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 174 days | 120 days |
Compare to CAST, WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA
In The Past
FuboTV's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4938.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FUBO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FuboTV
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| Rev LTM | 4,090 |
| Op Inc LTM | 893 |
| FCF LTM | 779 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 908 |
| CFO LTM | 866 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,056 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 9.0 |
| P/E | 11.6 |
| P/CFO | 9.3 |
| Total Yield | 8.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 44.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 28.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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