Gray Media (GTN-A)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.18 | Market Cap: $793.5 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
Gray Media (GTN-A)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.18Market Cap: $793.5 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 584% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 47% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 584% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GTN-A Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I cannot provide key points explaining a -21.5% stock movement for Gray Media (GTN-A) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today. This is because the specified timeframe is in the future, making it impossible to retrieve historical data or past events that would explain such a stock movement. The provided information from the search results relates to future earnings reports, analyst forecasts, and company initiatives in 2025, but does not provide historical reasons for a stock drop within the requested future period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTN-A Return | -16% | 12% | -40% | -18% | -11% | 26% | -48% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 13% | -8% | -13% | 24% | 54% | 57% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTN-A Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 45% | 30% | 40% | 53% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTN-A Max Drawdown | -55% | -2% | -50% | -37% | -40% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -9% | -17% | -24% | -14% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA, SBGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTN-A | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 246.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 455 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2180.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,815 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA, SBGI
In The Past
Gray Media's stock fell -71.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2022. A -71.1% loss requires a 246.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Gray Media Earnings Notes | |||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Gray Media Stock Moved: GTN-A Stock Has Lost 45% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| Gray Media (GTN-A) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Market Movers | Winners: PGEN, RUN, UP | Losers: NUTX, GTN-A, AMAT | August 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GTN-A. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gray Media
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.93 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| Rev LTM | 4,248 |
| Op Inc LTM | 837 |
| FCF LTM | 712 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 713 |
| CFO LTM | 828 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 830 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -14.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 5.5 |
| P/E | 10.8 |
| P/CFO | 6.2 |
| Total Yield | 10.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| D/E | 1.1 |
| Net D/E | 1.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 18.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -52.1% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | -2.1% | -3.3% | 0.7% |
| 8/8/2025 | 0.0% | 11.1% | -1.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | 15.7% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| 2/27/2025 | 0.5% | 3.8% | 24.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | 0.0% | -9.2% | -16.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.0% | -7.4% | -2.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | -2.0% | -5.0% | -3.8% |
| 1/30/2024 | 0.0% | -4.8% | -31.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 7 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 0.0% | 4.2% | 14.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -4.3% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 18.4% | 22.4% | 29.8% |
| Max Negative | -25.1% | -17.5% | -31.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | BOGER RICHARD LEE | 9112025 | Sell | 5.82 | 20,000 | 116,460 | 357,200 | Form | |
| 1 | Gignac Jeffrey R | Executive Vice President, CFO | 6092025 | Buy | 3.68 | 12,500 | 46,000 | 2,372,124 | Form |
| 2 | BOGER RICHARD LEE | 3042025 | Sell | 3.85 | 16,000 | 61,552 | 212,920 | Form | |
| 3 | McTear Paul | 12172024 | Sell | 3.77 | 17,780 | 67,020 | 359,450 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |