Presidio Production (FTW)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $11.01 | Market Cap: $490.7 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Presidio Production (FTW)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $11.01Market Cap: $490.7 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.0 Mil | |
| Key risksFTW key risks include [1] failure to complete a business combination, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.0 Mil |
| Key risksFTW key risks include [1] failure to complete a business combination, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Successful Business Combination and NYSE Listing.
Presidio Production Company completed its business combination with EQV Ventures Acquisition Corp. in March 2026, leading to its listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker "FTW". This transition to a publicly traded company, signaled by the ticker symbol change in November 2025, provided increased market visibility and access to capital, generating positive investor sentiment.
2. Anticipated High Dividend Yield.
The company announced plans to initiate a $1.35 per share annual common dividend, which is projected to result in an expected dividend yield of 13.5% at a $10.00 per share price. This attractive dividend offering is a significant factor in drawing income-focused investors.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.2% change in FTW stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.44 | 10.98 | 5.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | ∞% | ∞% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 67.5 | 71.0 | 5.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 45 | 45 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTW | 5.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -1.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 39.5% | 5.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTW | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -0.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 40.8% | 5.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTW | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | -0.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 42.1% | 5.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTW | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | -0.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 65.5% | 5.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FTW Return | - | - | - | - | 0% | 7% | 8% |
| Peers Return | 156% | 83% | -13% | 4% | -20% | 38% | 366% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FTW Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 67% | 35% | 48% | 42% | 87% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FTW Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -0% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -1% | -31% | -14% | -32% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMPY, DEC, EPM, REI, VTS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
FTW has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,858 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMPY, DEC, EPM, REI, VTS
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Presidio Production (FTW)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
- Business Combination Facilitation: As a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), Presidio Production's core function is to seek and execute a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination with a private operating company, primarily within the energy industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Based on the provided company description, Presidio Production (FTW) is a blank check company (a Special Purpose Acquisition Company or SPAC). Its sole purpose is to effect a business combination with one or more target businesses. The company description explicitly states:
"Our only activities since inception have been organizational activities and those necessary to prepare for this offering. We have not selected any business combination target and we have not, nor has anyone on our behalf, initiated any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any business combination target."
Therefore, as of the current stage, Presidio Production (FTW) does not have any operational business activities, nor does it have any customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Will Ulrich Co-CEO, Co-Founder, and Chairman of the Board
Will Ulrich co-founded Presidio in 2017 and has over 18 years of energy experience. He began his career as an investment banker at UBS. Ulrich also serves as an Independent Director at AxonPrime Infrastructure Acquisition Corporation since August 2021. He is focused on using technology and best practices to drive behavior change in the oil and gas industry, aiming for low operating expenses, high profitability, and a strong emissions profile. Presidio's public market debut reflects a strategy of disciplined operations, rigorous capital allocation, and technically driven optimization of high-quality, producing assets. Presidio was purpose-built to be "the last, best steward of America's oil and gas wells". Presidio Petroleum LLC, which Ulrich co-founded and leads, completed a reverse merger transaction with EQV Ventures Acquisition Corp., a blank check company sponsored by an affiliate of the EQV Group, a private equity-backed entity.
Chris Hammack Co-CEO and Co-Founder
Chris Hammack co-founded Presidio in 2017 and brings over 25 years of experience in the energy sector. He is dedicated to driving innovation in field operations, with a particular focus on training and empowering field personnel. Hammack holds a degree in Petroleum Engineering from Texas A&M. He believes that Presidio's transition to a public company will enable the scaling of its operational approach through access to growth capital and new partnerships, emphasizing systematic cost reduction, technological optimization of field operations, and disciplined capital allocation. Presidio Petroleum LLC, which Hammack co-founded and leads, completed a reverse merger transaction with EQV Ventures Acquisition Corp., a blank check company sponsored by an affiliate of the EQV Group, a private equity-backed entity.
John Brawley Executive VP & CFO
John Brawley is responsible for Presidio's capital markets and reporting functions, bringing over 20 years of experience in the energy industry. His most recent role prior to Presidio was as Executive Vice President & CFO of Maverick Natural Resources. Throughout his career, Brawley has held various capital markets and finance positions in both public and private companies, as well as private capital funds. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics and biological sciences and an MBA from the Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Management at Rice University.
Brett Barnes Executive VP & General Counsel
Brett Barnes oversees Presidio's legal, land, and regulatory functions, with over 20 years of energy industry experience. Prior to joining Presidio, he was Vice President – Land and HSE/Regulatory for Trinity River Energy. His career includes serving as in-house legal counsel and leading land, land administration, health, safety, environmental, and regulatory functions. Barnes earned a Juris Doctor from The University of Texas School of Law and a degree in Finance from Texas A&M University.
David Smith Vice President of Operations
David Smith joined Presidio in July 2020 and is responsible for leading operations across the company, bringing over 16 years of experience in energy production and field operations. He joined Presidio through its acquisition of Templar Energy, where he previously served as Production Manager. Smith has held numerous leadership and engineering roles in the Western Anadarko and Eagle Ford basins, including key positions at Templar Energy and Chesapeake Energy. Before his career in the energy sector, he served as a U.S. Army officer in the 25th Infantry Division.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Presidio Production (FTW) primarily stem from its nature as a blank check company (SPAC) that has yet to identify or complete a business combination.
- Failure to complete an initial business combination: Presidio Production's sole purpose is to effect a business combination. If it is unable to identify and consummate a suitable merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar transaction within the timeframe typically allotted to SPACs, it will be forced to liquidate. In such a scenario, public shareholders may only receive a pro rata portion of the funds held in the trust account, and warrants would expire worthless.
- Difficulty in identifying and negotiating a suitable target: The company has not yet selected any business combination target. Its success is entirely dependent on its management team's ability to identify, evaluate, and successfully negotiate a business combination with one or more businesses, preferably within the broadly defined energy industry, primarily targeting the upstream exploration and production sector. Competition from other SPACs or private equity firms for attractive targets, unfavorable market conditions in the energy sector, or an inability to agree on terms could prevent a successful acquisition.
- Potential for significant redemptions by public shareholders: Even if Presidio Production proposes a business combination, public shareholders have the right to redeem their shares. High redemption rates could substantially reduce the amount of cash available for the business combination, potentially jeopardizing the transaction, making it less attractive to a target company, or requiring the company to seek alternative, potentially dilutive, financing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Presidio Production (NYSE: FTW) identifies several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily stemming from its strategy as a yield-focused oil and gas operator that acquires and optimizes producing wells without drilling. The company completed its business combination and began trading on the NYSE on March 5, 2026.
- Acquisition of additional producing oil and gas assets: Presidio Production's core strategy involves acquiring mature, long-life, and low-decline upstream oil and gas assets. The company has already completed its first acquisition of EQV Resources assets and has a letter of intent to acquire assets in the Arkoma Basin for $80 million, which is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026. Furthermore, Presidio has a significant "acquisition pipeline" of potential targets, indicating a sustained focus on growth through M&A.
- Operational improvements and optimization of acquired assets: The company aims to enhance revenue by optimizing its acquired assets through the application of technology, including automation, real-time data analytics, and artificial intelligence processes. These operational improvements are intended to reduce operating costs and boost production efficiency from existing wells, as demonstrated by an estimated 50% reduction in operating costs on the first day of operations for its initial acquisition.
- Increased production volume: Revenue growth will be driven by increasing the volume of oil and natural gas produced from both currently owned and newly acquired wells. The company's focus on optimizing existing production and pursuing accretive acquisitions is geared towards expanding its production base. For example, the anticipated Arkoma acquisition is expected to support an increase in the annual dividend, suggesting a positive impact on production and cash flow.
- Favorable commodity price movements: As an oil and gas producer, Presidio Production's revenue is directly influenced by the market prices of oil and natural gas. While the company utilizes hedging strategies to stabilize cash flow, a general upward trend or sustained high levels in commodity prices would directly contribute to increased revenue from its production. The company has shown responsiveness to rising oil prices by deploying additional workover rigs to target near-term oil production.
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Share Issuance
- Presidio Production Company, as the post-merger entity, had 27,652,068 Class A shares outstanding as of the closing of its business combination on March 5, 2026.
- The company completed a Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) financing of $87.5 million through the issuance of 8,750,000 shares of Presidio Class A Common Stock on August 5, 2025.
- Significant preferred share issuances included a Series A Preferred Financing of $123.75 million for 125,000 Series A Preferred Shares and warrants on August 5, 2025, and a Series B Preferred Financing of $25 million for 27,173 Series B Preferred Shares on February 23, 2026.
Inbound Investments
- The business combination on March 5, 2026, generated $350 million in preferred and common equity gross proceeds from investors.
- Key investors included JPMorgan Investment Management and Morgan Stanley Energy Partners.
- This capital raise also included management and funds managed by Morgan Stanley Energy Partners providing approximately $65 million of rollover equity.
Outbound Investments
- Presidio completed its first acquisition of EQV Resources assets in conjunction with the closing of the business combination on March 5, 2026.
- The company entered into a letter of intent on February 24, 2026, to acquire producing assets in the Arkoma Basin for $80 million, partially funded with approximately $20 million of Presidio equity.
Capital Expenditures
- Presidio Production Company's strategy focuses on acquiring and optimizing producing oil and gas wells without drilling, which implies minimal capital investment for new drilling.
- Around March 9, 2026, the company dispatched an additional workover rig to target increased production from its oil wells.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to FTW.
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| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 23.6% | 23.6% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 56.9% | 56.9% | -7.0% |
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 41.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 263 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3 |
| FCF LTM | -8 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 17 |
| CFO LTM | 49 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 118 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -14.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -3.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 9.8 |
| P/E | 17.4 |
| P/CFO | 4.7 |
| Total Yield | 8.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 31.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 1.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 21.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 38.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -57.1% |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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