Amplify Energy (AMPY)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $6.095 | Market Cap: $247.2 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Amplify Energy (AMPY)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $6.095Market Cap: $247.2 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include Domestic Oil and Gas Production. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.9% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 155% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% Key risksAMPY key risks include [1] lingering regulatory and permitting fallout from its past Southern California oil spill and [2] managing debt obligations while needing to fund acquisitions to counter its declining asset base. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include Domestic Oil and Gas Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.9% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 155% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
| Key risksAMPY key risks include [1] lingering regulatory and permitting fallout from its past Southern California oil spill and [2] managing debt obligations while needing to fund acquisitions to counter its declining asset base. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Macroeconomic Tailwinds from Surging Oil Prices.
Crude oil and petroleum product prices experienced a significant increase in the first quarter of 2026, especially after military action in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, led to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude oil prices surged from $61 per barrel at the beginning of the year to $118 per barrel by the end of the first quarter of 2026, representing a 92.56% increase from January. This substantial rise in commodity prices created a favorable operating environment for Amplify Energy.
2. Strengthened Balance Sheet through Strategic Divestitures.
Amplify Energy announced on December 31, 2025, the successful closing of an amended senior secured reserve-based revolving credit facility, extending its maturity to December 31, 2028. Following this, the company reported having no outstanding debt under the facility and approximately $61 million in cash on hand. This improved financial position was achieved after completing approximately $250 million in asset divestitures during 2025, aligning with its strategy to simplify its portfolio and strengthen its balance sheet.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.4% change in AMPY stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.57 | 6.09 | 33.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 276 | 263 | -4.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 0.9 | 40.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 41 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPY | 33.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | -5.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.4% | 56.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.1% change in AMPY stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 196.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.25 | 6.09 | 16.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 279 | 263 | -5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.6% | 16.7% | 196.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.5 | 5.6 | -58.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 41 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPY | 16.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 7.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.6% | 57.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 63.0% change in AMPY stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 280.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.74 | 6.09 | 63.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 295 | 263 | -10.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.4% | 16.7% | 280.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.5 | 5.6 | -51.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 41 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 63.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPY | 62.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 23.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 25.0% | 60.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.3% change in AMPY stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.87 | 6.09 | -11.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 458 | 263 | -42.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.6% | 16.7% | 32.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.6 | 5.6 | 23.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 38 | 41 | -5.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPY | -11.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 23.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 50.6% | 57.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMPY Return | 137% | 183% | -33% | 1% | -24% | 27% | 344% |
| Peers Return | 64% | 20% | 6% | 1% | -5% | 6% | 112% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMPY Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 25% | 58% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 53% | 53% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMPY Max Drawdown | -3% | 0% | -37% | -13% | -62% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -18% | -15% | -10% | -19% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GBR, FTW, GLND, COP, CNQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMPY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -93.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1352.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 777 days | 148 days |
Compare to GBR, FTW, GLND, COP, CNQ
In The Past
Amplify Energy's stock fell -53.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/1/2021. A -53.6% loss requires a 115.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Amplify Energy (AMPY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Amplify Energy is like ConocoPhillips for US oil and gas properties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil: Amplify Energy extracts crude oil from its various properties and sells it to market.
- Natural Gas: Amplify Energy produces natural gas from its wells and sells it to market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Amplify Energy (AMPY) primarily sells its oil and natural gas production to other companies. Its major customers include:- BP Energy Company: This company is a major purchaser, accounting for a significant portion of Amplify Energy's revenues (approximately 25% in 2023). BP Energy Company is a subsidiary of BP plc (symbol: BP).
- Other major purchasers include various refiners, crude oil and natural gas marketers, and integrated oil and gas companies. These are typically other energy sector businesses that process, transport, or trade crude oil and natural gas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Amplify Energy (AMPY) are primarily centered around its operational footprint as an oil and natural gas producer.
-
Operational and Environmental Liabilities from Oil Spills
Amplify Energy faces significant operational and environmental liabilities, most notably highlighted by the October 2021 oil spill off the coast of Southern California. The company's San Pedro Bay Pipeline ruptured, discharging crude oil into the Pacific Ocean. This incident led to multiple class-action lawsuits from beachfront property owners, businesses, and fishers, resulting in substantial settlements, including a combined $95 million settlement with affected home and business owners and shipping companies, and a $5.25 million settlement with Huntington Beach. Furthermore, Amplify pleaded guilty to violating the federal Clean Water Act and paid a $7.1 million criminal fine. The Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) also levied a $3.4 million fine, citing issues like ignored leak detection alarms and inadequate employee training. The ongoing regulatory scrutiny and the necessity for specific permits for pipeline repairs and operations, particularly given the age of some infrastructure, underscore a persistent risk of future operational incidents and associated financial and legal repercussions.
-
Commodity Price Volatility
As an oil and natural gas exploration and production company, Amplify Energy's financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) prices. Sustained periods of low commodity prices can materially reduce the company's cash flows, profitability, and overall market value. While Amplify Energy employs hedging strategies to mitigate some of this exposure, there is always a risk that these strategies may be ineffective or could reduce potential income during periods of rising prices.
-
Evolving Regulatory and Environmental Scrutiny
Amplify Energy operates within a complex and dynamic regulatory landscape, facing evolving federal, state, and local regulations, including those related to climate change. The 2021 oil spill has intensified environmental scrutiny, particularly concerning offshore drilling operations in California, leading to calls for stricter regulations and potential pressure to decommission older infrastructure. Compliance with these regulations can result in increased operational costs, restrictions on activities, or policy changes that negatively impact the company's profitability and operational flexibility.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating global transition to alternative energy sources, including the rapid adoption of electric vehicles threatening future oil demand and the widespread deployment of renewable energy technologies (e.g., solar, wind) threatening future natural gas demand for power generation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Amplify Energy Corp. operates in the upstream segment of the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. Its main products are crude oil and natural gas.
The addressable market for Amplify Energy's main products and services, focused on the upstream segment in the United States, can be derived from the overall U.S. oil and gas market.
The U.S. oil and gas market was valued at approximately USD 474.5 billion in 2025. The upstream segment of this market, which includes exploration, extraction, and production of oil and natural gas, held a 71.85% share in 2025.
Therefore, the estimated addressable market for Amplify Energy's upstream activities in the United States in 2025 is approximately USD 340.9 billion (71.85% of USD 474.5 billion).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Amplify Energy (AMPY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market factors:
- Beta Field Development and Drilling: Amplify Energy is actively focused on its Beta development program, which includes drilling and completing new wells and converting proved undeveloped (PUD) reserves to proved developed (PDP) reserves. This program is anticipated to significantly increase production, particularly oil volumes, from its offshore Southern California asset.
- Shift to a More Oil-Weighted Production Mix: As a direct result of the development efforts at the Beta field, Amplify Energy projects an increase in the proportion of oil production relative to its total hydrocarbon output. Since oil generally commands higher market prices than natural gas, this shift towards a more oil-weighted production mix is expected to enhance overall revenue.
- Strategic Portfolio Streamlining: The company has undertaken a strategic initiative to simplify its asset portfolio through divestitures of non-core properties, including assets in East Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Magnify. This streamlining allows Amplify Energy to concentrate capital and operational resources on its highest-potential assets, specifically the highly economic drilling opportunities at Beta and cost reduction efforts at Bairoil, thereby optimizing its asset base for improved returns and revenue generation.
- Realization of Favorable Commodity Prices: As an oil and natural gas producer, Amplify Energy's revenue is directly influenced by the market prices of crude oil and natural gas. The company's financial guidance and hedging strategies incorporate assumptions about future commodity prices (such as WTI and Henry Hub), which are fundamental external drivers impacting its top-line revenue performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In February 2026, Amplify Energy's CEO and SVP were granted Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) and Performance Stock Units (PSUs), with some shares acquired upon the settlement of previously awarded time-based restricted stock units.
- The number of outstanding common shares increased from 37,565,610 as of February 28, 2020, to 41,265,055 as of February 28, 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- Amplify Energy projects total capital investment for 2026 to be between $45 million and $65 million. Over 95% of this capital is allocated to the Beta field, primarily for development drilling and facility upgrades, with an additional $2 million to $3 million for Bairoil facility upgrades.
- In 2025, total capital spending was $82.3 million. During the fourth quarter of 2025, approximately $16.2 million was invested, mainly focused on development drilling, recompletions, and subsea flowline upgrades at Beta.
- In both 2024 and 2025, the company implemented a development and delineation program at its Beta field, which included the drilling and completion of six wells.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Amplify Energy Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Amplify Energy Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to AMPY.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 65.2% | 65.2% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 60.5% | 60.5% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.68 |
| Mkt Cap | 48.4 |
| Rev LTM | 263 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | 0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,997 |
| CFO LTM | 49 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,848 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 48.4 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 5.0 |
| P/E | 7.3 |
| P/CFO | 7.0 |
| Total Yield | 12.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -10.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -74.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas | 308 | ||||
| Natural gas | 148 | 82 | 43 | 59 | |
| Natural gas liquids (NGLs) | 47 | 41 | 20 | 22 | |
| Oil | 213 | 212 | 138 | 193 | |
| Other revenues | 51 | 7 | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 308 | 458 | 343 | 202 | 276 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas | 393 | ||||
| Total | 393 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.09 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/09/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.79 | $4.79 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 5.2% | 27.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.3% | 70.0% |
| Downside Capture | -0.74 | -0.51 |
| Upside Capture | -4.57 | 44.14 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -6.0% | 4.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -2.29 | -0.44 | -0.23 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Up Beta | -5.21 | 1.58 | 1.11 | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | -2.11 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 1.45 | 2.16 | 1.84 |
| Up Capture | -151% | -13% | -5% | -1% | 31% | 13% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 36 | 68 | 135 | 370 |
| Down Capture | -239% | -207% | -224% | -67% | -26% | 71% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 57 | 106 | 358 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPY | 140.4% | 71.8% | 1.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 53.0% | 22.2% | 1.83 | 57.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 15.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 51.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 8.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 16.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPY | 17.5% | 67.6% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.6% | 26.1% | 0.78 | 61.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 27.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 8.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 46.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 18.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 11.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPY | 2.9% | 92.6% | 0.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.8% | 29.5% | 0.40 | 59.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 32.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 43.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 28.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/9/2026 | -13.4% | 6.4% | -0.3% |
| 11/5/2025 | 7.2% | 26.5% | 14.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | -8.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| 3/5/2025 | -14.2% | -11.9% | -26.6% |
| 11/6/2024 | -4.3% | -7.8% | -12.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 15.5% | 9.2% | -2.8% |
| 3/6/2024 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 12.5% |
| 11/6/2023 | -6.1% | -4.3% | -12.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 6.4% | 16.1% |
| Median Negative | -9.8% | -11.6% | -12.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 36.4% | 113.8% |
| Max Negative | -20.1% | -28.3% | -36.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/09/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Average Daily Production (Oil) | 6,700 | 7,300 | 7,900 | ||||
| 2026 Oil Differential | -6 | -7.5 | -9 | ||||
| 2026 Gathering, Processing and Transportation Costs (Crude Oil) | 2.00 Mil | 2.50 Mil | 3.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Lease Operating Expenses | 80.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 100.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Taxes (% of Revenue) | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | ||||
| 2026 Recurring Cash General and Administrative | 17.00 Mil | 19.50 Mil | 22.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 20.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 45.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Cash Interest Expense | 3.00 Mil | 3.50 Mil | 4.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Capital Investment | 45.00 Mil | 55.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Beta Sinking Fund | 9.00 Mil | ||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Capital Expenditures | 8.00 Mil | 10.00 Mil | 12.00 Mil | -86.2% | Lower New | Guidance: 72.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coghill, Clint D | By: Stoney Lonesome HF LP | Buy | 8142025 | 3.69 | 117,420 | 433,620 | 12,082,308 | Form | |
| 2 | Coghill, Clint D | By: Stoney Lonesome HF LP | Buy | 8142025 | 3.88 | 167,086 | 647,675 | 13,330,026 | Form | |
| 3 | Coghill, Clint D | By: Stoney Lonesome HF LP | Buy | 8142025 | 3.89 | 65,494 | 254,693 | 13,627,705 | Form | |
| 4 | Frew, James | SEE REMARKS | Direct | Buy | 8132025 | 3.50 | 50,000 | 175,000 | 364,777 | Form |
| 5 | Frew, James | SEE REMARKS | Direct | Buy | 8132025 | 3.70 | 25,000 | 92,500 | 478,121 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.