Fidelis Insurance (FIHL)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $18.79 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance
Fidelis Insurance (FIHL)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $18.79Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-line Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.4% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Key risksFIHL key risks include [1] potential investor confusion and a valuation discount stemming from its complex and unique MGU operating structure. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Subsea Cable Infrastructure, and Wind Turbine Manufacturing. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Subsea Cable Infrastructure, and Wind Turbine Manufacturing. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.4% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26% |
| Key risksFIHL key risks include [1] potential investor confusion and a valuation discount stemming from its complex and unique MGU operating structure. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong underwriting profitability, demonstrated by a significantly improved combined ratio in Q4 2025, bolstered investor confidence. The company reported an 80.6% combined ratio for the fourth quarter of 2025, outperforming analyst estimates of 84.5% by 390 basis points and representing a 47-point improvement compared to the fourth quarter of 2024.
2. Fidelis Insurance exceeded analyst expectations for adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in Q4 2025. The company reported adjusted EPS of $1.09, which was 1.3% higher than the consensus estimate of $1.08 per share.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.1% change in FIHL stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.73 | 18.75 | 0.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,188 | 2,094 | -4.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 100 | 4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIHL | 0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 4.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | -10.0% | 15.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.0% change in FIHL stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.05 | 18.75 | 10.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,219 | 2,094 | -5.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 109 | 100 | 8.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIHL | 10.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 14.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | -10.8% | 30.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.4% change in FIHL stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 138.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.16 | 18.75 | 32.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,988 | 2,094 | 5.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.3% | 10.8% | -53.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.5 | 8.3 | 138.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 114 | 100 | 14.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIHL | 32.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 36.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -7.1% | 47.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIHL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 31.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 40.5% | 39.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FIHL Return | - | - | -2% | 46% | 11% | -1% | 58% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 18% | 8% | 37% | 22% | 3% | 146% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FIHL Win Rate | - | - | 71% | 50% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 54% | 58% | 65% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FIHL Max Drawdown | - | - | -9% | -5% | -21% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -14% | -4% | -5% | -8% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ACGL, RNR, AXS, HG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
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About Fidelis Insurance (FIHL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Fidelis Insurance (FIHL):
Fidelis Insurance is like the 'Renaissance Technologies' of specialty insurance, known for its unique, data-driven underwriting and market-beating performance in complex risks.
Imagine an insurance company operating with the legendary underwriting insight and discipline of Warren Buffett, but focused on highly specialized risks.
It's akin to a specialized private equity firm that invests in and manages unique, complex insurance risks for superior returns.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Specialty Insurance: Insurance products designed for niche or complex risks that require specialized underwriting expertise.
- Bespoke Insurance: Highly customized insurance solutions tailored to meet the unique and specific needs of individual clients.
- Reinsurance: Insurance purchased by insurance companies to protect themselves from large losses, particularly noted in property markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Fidelis Insurance (FIHL) primarily provides its services to other companies rather than individuals.
As a leading global provider of bespoke and specialty insurance and reinsurance products, Fidelis's client base consists largely of:
- Other Insurance Companies: These companies purchase reinsurance from Fidelis to protect themselves from large losses and manage their own risk exposure.
- Businesses Requiring Specialty or Bespoke Coverage: Fidelis caters to commercial clients with unique, complex, or hard-to-place risks that standard insurance policies may not cover. These clients span various industries and require highly customized insurance solutions.
The provided background information does not list the names of specific customer companies that Fidelis serves.
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Fidelis MGU
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Daniel Burrows, Group Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director
Daniel Burrows joined Fidelis Insurance Group at its inception in 2015, initially serving as UK CEO and CUO, and later becoming Group Managing Director before his promotion to Group Chief Executive Officer in January 2023. He possesses over 35 years of experience in the insurance industry. His extensive career includes significant senior broking roles such as Head of Global Retrocession at the Benfield Group and CEO of Aon's Global Specialty division. He also served as co-CEO of Aon Benfield's Global Re Specialty (GRS) division from 2013 to 2015 and Deputy CEO of the GRS division from 2008 to 2013. Mr. Burrows began his career as a non-marine property broker at Greig Fester in the 1980s.
Allan Decleir, Group Chief Financial Officer and Executive Director
Allan Decleir assumed the role of Group Chief Financial Officer and Executive Director at Fidelis Insurance Group in January 2023. He brings nearly three decades of experience in the (re)insurance industry. Prior to joining Fidelis, he worked as an independent financial consultant to the Bermudian (re)insurance industry, including Fidelis, from June 2015 to December 2022. His previous executive positions include serving as CFO at Platinum Underwriters from June 2010 to March 2015, where he oversaw SEC, financial, and regulatory reporting, and as CFO of Stockton Reinsurance Limited from June 1996 to May 2003. Mr. Decleir is a Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) and started his career at Ernst & Young in 1988.
Jason Kittinger, Group Chief Operating Officer
Jason Kittinger joined Fidelis in 2024 as Group Chief Operating Officer. He has over 20 years of experience in the insurance industry, having held various senior roles including Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer at Arch Insurance International, which he joined in 2002. He also served on several boards for Arch in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Mr. Kittinger is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
Ian Houston, Group and UK Chief Underwriting Officer
Ian Houston became the Group and UK Chief Underwriting Officer at Fidelis in 2023. He has over 20 years of professional underwriting experience, which includes senior positions at PartnerRe. At PartnerRe, he served as Technical Director of specialty lines and Head of Group Retrocession, focusing on strategy, risk appetite framework, and portfolio shaping. Mr. Houston is an Associate of the Chartered Insurance Institute.
Jonny Strickle, Group Managing Director
Jonny Strickle currently serves as Group Managing Director. He joined Fidelis in 2020 as UK Chief Actuary and Group Head of Reserving, and was promoted to Group Chief Actuarial Officer in 2023. Before his time at Fidelis, he was Head of Reserving for a Lloyd's syndicate and worked as an actuarial consultant at EY. Mr. Strickle is a fellow of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Fidelis Insurance (FIHL) are:
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High Dependence on Fidelis MGU and the Framework Agreement: Fidelis Insurance's business model is heavily reliant on its strategic relationship with Fidelis MGU, including its "exclusive right of first access to Fidelis MGU’s underwriting business during the term of the Framework Agreement" and the MGU's underwriting capabilities and leadership. Any disruption to this long-term partnership, such as the non-renewal of the Framework Agreement, a decline in the MGU's performance, or the departure of key MGU management, could severely impact Fidelis Insurance's ability to underwrite business, maintain its competitive advantage, and generate returns.
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Failure to Maintain Differentiated Underwriting Performance: The company's value proposition is significantly based on the Fidelis MGU's "robust track record" and "strong, consistent underwriting performance" with superior loss and combined ratios compared to its peers. The provided information repeatedly cautions that "Past performance... is no guarantee of future results." A failure to consistently achieve this high level of underwriting performance could undermine the company's ability to deliver strong returns to shareholders and maintain its market position in bespoke and specialty insurance and reinsurance products.
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Regulatory and Compliance Risks: As a global insurance provider, Fidelis is subject to "varying degrees of regulation and supervision in the jurisdictions in which it operates." Its insurance operating subsidiaries are authorized by and subject to extensive insurance laws and regulations enforced by numerous governmental and non-governmental authorities internationally. Changes in these regulatory environments, increased scrutiny, or a failure to comply with applicable laws and regulations could lead to significant financial penalties, operational restrictions, and reputational damage.
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```htmlFidelis Insurance (FIHL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Strategic Partnership with Fidelis MGU: Fidelis Insurance has an exclusive right of first access to Fidelis MGU’s underwriting business, which is expected to deliver strong returns primarily driven by underwriting results. This long-term partnership provides a consistent pipeline of business and leverages the MGU's robust track record in underwriting leadership and performance.
- Nimble Underwriting and Capitalization on Market Trends: The company plans to continue focusing on nimble underwriting designed to capitalize on current market trends and dislocations, as well as emerging risk solutions. This approach, supported by daily Underwriting and Marketing Conference Calls (UMCC) and robust processes, enables Fidelis to quickly assess opportunities and maintain strong underwriting results, contributing to growth in gross written premiums.
- Realization of Embedded Earnings from Unearned Premiums: Fidelis anticipates significant embedded earnings potential from previously written business, as revenue from written premiums is recognized over the life of a policy. The substantial gross Unearned Premium Reserve (UPR) balance, which stood at $3.3 billion as of March 31, 2023, represents future revenue to be earned.
- Expansion of Product Range and Cross-Selling: Through its close coordination and comprehensive underwriting processes, Fidelis aims to identify emerging opportunities and achieve cross-selling across its product range. This strategy allows the company to offer as many products as possible to clients, thereby expanding its revenue base.
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Share Repurchases
- Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited expanded its common share repurchase authorization to $400 million on February 20, 2026.
- In the year ended December 31, 2025, Fidelis returned $313.7 million to shareholders, which included the repurchase of 15,184,976 common shares for $261.4 million.
- As of March 2, 2026, the company agreed to repurchase all remaining common shares held by CVC Falcon for $163.35 million, involving 8,597,170 common shares at $19.00 per share.
Share Issuance
- Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited completed its initial public offering (IPO) on July 3, 2023, offering 15,000,000 common shares at a price of $14.00 per share.
- The company offered 7,142,857 common shares in the IPO, generating estimated net proceeds of approximately $89.4 million.
- The net proceeds from the IPO were intended to make capital contributions to its insurance operating subsidiaries to support writing more business and capitalize on favorable market conditions.
Inbound Investments
- The company's initial public offering (IPO) in July 2023 resulted in approximately $89.4 million in net proceeds to the company, representing a significant inbound investment from public markets.
Outbound Investments
- Fidelis has driven gross premium growth through new underwriting partnerships, including Euclid Mortgage, Bambu Insurance, and Oak Global, accounting for four percentage points of the 7.1% full-year gross premium growth in 2025.
- The company strategically deployed assets into a diversified hedge fund portfolio at the end of 2024, resulting in $6 million of net unrealized gains on other investments for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Fidelis Insurance Holdings reported capital expenditures of -$1.2 million for the fiscal year 2025, -$4.6 million for 2024, and -$6.4 million for 2023.
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 93.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.5 |
| Rev LTM | 6,426 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 2,268 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,138 |
| CFO LTM | 2,268 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,138 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 27.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.5 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 5.8 |
| P/E | 7.4 |
| P/CFO | 3.4 |
| Total Yield | 15.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 54.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 13.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/29/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $19.01 | $17.73 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -1.4% | 5.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.3% | 25.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| Upside Capture | 33.43 | 52.28 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 12.2% | 36.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.09 | -0.17 | -0.28 | 0.14 | 0.50 | -0.08 |
| Up Beta | -0.25 | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.18 |
| Down Beta | 0.65 | -0.16 | -0.21 | 0.06 | 0.56 | -0.01 |
| Up Capture | -14% | -30% | -33% | 21% | 41% | 26% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 24 | 35 | 72 | 141 | 345 |
| Down Capture | -40% | -9% | -48% | -4% | 40% | 76% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 16 | 25 | 47 | 102 | 303 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FIHL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIHL | 20.6% | 25.7% | 0.69 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | -4.0% | 19.2% | -0.33 | 47.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 35.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 40.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 13.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FIHL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIHL | 9.1% | 31.3% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.1% | 18.7% | 0.37 | 39.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 31.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 7.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 32.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 14.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FIHL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIHL | 4.4% | 31.3% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.0% | 22.1% | 0.50 | 39.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 31.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 7.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 32.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 14.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/20/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/30/2023 | 424B4 |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2023 | DRS/A |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-line Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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