Tearsheet

Axis Capital (AXS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $99.58 | Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance

Axis Capital (AXS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $99.58
Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Life & Health Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Renewable Energy Transition, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Renewable Energy Transition, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AXS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for Axis Capital (AXS) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, showed some fluctuations, with the stock closing at $99.58 on December 3, 2025, after having fallen by -2.00% on that day. Over the past year leading up to December 2, 2025, AXS shares gained 15.4%, outperforming its industry and the Finance sector. Here are some key points regarding the stock's movement during the approximate period: 1. Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets

Analysts covering AXIS Capital Holdings generally had a "Buy" consensus rating, with an average price target of approximately $115.60 to $116.50, suggesting a potential upside from the stock's closing price in early December 2025. 2. Strong Growth Projections and Valuation

AXIS Capital had encouraging growth projections, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share indicating a year-over-year increase of 13.2% and revenues projected to improve by 5.3%. The company's shares were also considered to be trading at a discount compared to the industry, with an attractive valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AXS Return-12%12%3%6%64%16%103%
Peers Return-7%26%8%11%24%3%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AXS Win Rate50%50%50%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate42%55%45%48%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AXS Max Drawdown-43%-11%-9%-5%-2%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-2%-10%-13%-3%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OSG, MFC, AFL, MET, PRU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAXSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven186 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1453 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2269 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1471 days1480 days

Compare to OSG, MFC, AFL, MET, PRU


In The Past

Axis Capital's stock fell -22.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -22.4% loss requires a 28.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Axis Capital (AXS)

Better Bets than Axis Capital (AXS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AXS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Axis Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AXSOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAxis Cap.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
Mkt Price99.588.8435.10109.0477.51109.5788.55
Mkt Cap7.7-60.057.851.538.951.5
Rev LTM6,28625047,46217,96270,76057,92632,712
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-316-12728,6082,57314,6275,2743,924
FCF 3Y Avg770-123,4243,05713,5455,7814,419
CFO LTM-316-12728,6082,57314,6275,2743,924
CFO 3Y Avg770-123,4243,05713,5455,7814,419

Growth & Margins

AXSOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAxis Cap.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
Rev Chg LTM7.5%143.9%10.0%3.0%0.2%-21.0%5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.7%253.2%1.5%-3.5%1.3%1.9%1.7%
Rev Chg Q11.4%-4.9%21.7%57.9%-7.7%-8.2%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%-1.3%6.1%10.8%-2.0%-2.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-5.0%-51.0%60.3%14.3%20.7%9.1%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.6%309.5%54.5%16.8%19.6%9.4%18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.0%-51.0%60.3%14.3%20.7%9.1%11.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.6%309.5%54.5%16.8%19.6%9.4%18.2%

Valuation

AXSOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAxis Cap.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
Mkt Cap7.7-60.057.851.538.951.5
P/S1.2-1.23.30.80.61.2
P/EBIT6.1-6.111.29.2-7.6
P/E7.3-9.014.214.314.114.1
P/CFO-23.5-1.923.03.77.03.7
Total Yield15.6%-17.0%9.0%9.8%12.3%12.3%
Dividend Yield2.0%-5.9%2.0%2.8%5.2%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%-51.2%5.7%25.3%15.0%15.0%
D/E0.2-0.20.10.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.6--0.2-1.1-1.7-1.3-1.1

Returns

AXSOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAxis Cap.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
1M Rtn5.6%-7.2%2.5%-2.1%6.1%5.6%
3M Rtn1.8%-16.3%2.7%-3.1%3.3%2.7%
6M Rtn-3.7%-12.0%7.2%-0.2%8.3%7.2%
12M Rtn8.4%-13.9%4.4%-7.0%-9.4%4.4%
3Y Rtn87.4%-122.8%61.0%10.6%18.1%61.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.6%-7.3%2.5%-2.1%6.1%5.6%
3M Excs Rtn-4.6%-9.2%-4.4%-9.8%-3.3%-4.4%
6M Excs Rtn-18.4%--2.7%-7.5%-14.9%-6.4%-7.5%
12M Excs Rtn-4.5%-0.2%-15.8%-23.2%-24.5%-15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn17.4%-58.3%-8.7%-60.5%-52.3%-8.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity831,988
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume679,973
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.22
Basic Shares Quantity77,619,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SMITH HENRY B 8252025Sell98.673,500345,3454,666,598Form
1Draper Daniel JGrp Chief Underwriting Officer8212025Sell97.574,305420,0391,587,366Form
2Draper Daniel JGrp Chief Underwriting Officer8192025Sell96.122,200211,4642,189,037Form
3DAVIS CHARLES A 3052025Sell93.502,139,037199,999,960224,786,436Form
4DAVIS CHARLES A 2032025Sell89.502,234,636199,999,922406,613,715Form