Tearsheet

ESCO Technologies (ESE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $199.81 | Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

ESCO Technologies (ESE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $199.81
Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
Key risks
ESE key risks include [1] a substantial exposure to shifting government and defense spending and [2] a critical reliance on sole-source third-party suppliers.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Key risks
ESE key risks include [1] a substantial exposure to shifting government and defense spending and [2] a critical reliance on sole-source third-party suppliers.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ESE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that could explain the approximate -0.6% movement in ESCO Technologies (ESE) stock during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. Q4 2025 Revenue Falling Short of Expectations**

ESCO Technologies reported revenue of $286.50 million for its fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. While this represented a 28.9% increase year-over-year, it did not meet analysts' consensus expectations of $306.39 million, which could have prompted a slight negative market reaction. **2. Continued Margin Pressure from VACCO Space**

The Aerospace & Defense segment experienced softened margins due to VACCO Space-related profitability headwinds. This issue, which caused an approximate $2 million drag against prior guidance in Q3 2024, was noted in analysis as late as December 2025, suggesting it could have continued to influence investor sentiment negatively. **3. Analyst Forecasted Downside from Average Price Target**

Some Wall Street analysts, in their assessments leading up to late 2025, assigned an average twelve-month price target of $187.50 for ESE. This target implied a forecasted downside of 6.04% from a reported current price of $199.56, potentially contributing to a minor negative adjustment in market valuation. **4. Profit-Taking Following Strong Performance**

The modest decline in the stock could be attributed to investors engaging in profit-taking. ESCO Technologies' stock had seen significant increases prior to this period, including a 13% rise over a period preceding September 2025, which might naturally lead to a slight pullback as investors realize gains. **5. Unfavorable Mix in Segment Performance or Orders**

Despite an overall increase in orders for Q4 2025, which rose by 30%, a less favorable mix within specific segments or the timing of certain large orders, as had been noted in previous periods for Navy contracts, could have led to cautious investor sentiment that incrementally affected the stock's movement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ESE Return12%-13%-2%34%14%50%120%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ESE Win Rate75%42%58%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ESE Max Drawdown-28%-26%-32%-1%-17%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COMM, HLIT, ADTN, ADVEN, BENN. See ESE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventESES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven585 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven102 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,917 days1,480 days

Compare to COMM, HLIT, ADTN, ADVEN, BENN


In The Past

ESCO Technologies's stock fell -46.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -46.2% loss requires a 85.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About ESCO Technologies (ESE)

Better Bets than ESCO Technologies (ESE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ESE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
ESE_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020ESEESCO TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.1%16.7%-26.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
ESE_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020ESEESCO TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.1%16.7%-26.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ESCO Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ESECOMMHLITADTNADVENBENNMedian
NameESCO Tec.CommScopeHarmonic Adtran AdvEn Bend Nov. 
Mkt Price199.5717.7710.328.45--14.04
Mkt Cap5.23.91.20.7--2.6
Rev LTM1,1625,2996361,035--1,098
Op Inc LTM18378182-37--133
FCF LTM19026813326--162
FCF 3Y Avg10828252-7--80
CFO LTM24232014490--193
CFO 3Y Avg1493336149--105

Growth & Margins

ESECOMMHLITADTNADVENBENNMedian
NameESCO Tec.CommScopeHarmonic Adtran AdvEn Bend Nov. 
Rev Chg LTM19.2%33.8%1.9%14.3%--16.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%0.6%1.1%13.7%--6.0%
Rev Chg Q28.9%50.6%-27.3%22.7%--25.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.3%11.5%-7.7%5.3%--6.3%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%14.7%12.9%-3.6%--13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.2%9.1%8.5%-11.5%--8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%2.5%-3.1%2.6%--1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM20.8%6.0%22.7%8.7%--14.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.3%9.0%9.7%5.3%--9.4%
FCF/Rev LTM16.3%5.1%21.0%2.5%--10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%7.7%8.2%-0.1%--8.0%

Valuation

ESECOMMHLITADTNADVENBENNMedian
NameESCO Tec.CommScopeHarmonic Adtran AdvEn Bend Nov. 
Mkt Cap5.23.91.20.7--2.6
P/S4.40.61.80.7--1.3
P/EBIT28.54.313.9-22.2--9.1
P/E17.23.723.2-8.5--10.5
P/CFO21.310.78.08.3--9.5
Total Yield5.9%27.2%4.3%-11.8%--5.1%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%29.1%4.5%-0.8%--3.5%
D/E0.02.10.10.3--0.2
Net D/E0.01.90.00.2--0.1

Returns

ESECOMMHLITADTNADVENBENNMedian
NameESCO Tec.CommScopeHarmonic Adtran AdvEn Bend Nov. 
1M Rtn-7.7%7.6%11.0%15.3%--9.3%
3M Rtn-5.8%9.0%2.9%-3.6%---0.4%
6M Rtn9.6%195.7%17.4%6.4%--13.5%
12M Rtn45.1%216.8%-21.9%0.6%--22.8%
3Y Rtn132.4%139.2%-23.8%-54.2%--54.3%
1M Excs Rtn-8.5%6.9%10.2%14.5%--8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%6.1%-3.0%-13.1%---6.3%
6M Excs Rtn-2.8%183.3%5.0%-6.0%--1.1%
12M Excs Rtn31.7%198.5%-32.8%-12.1%--9.8%
3Y Excs Rtn54.0%52.6%-93.0%-126.0%---20.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Utility Solutions Group (USG)369342278203192
Aerospace & Defense (A&D)341392351315352
Test210221228198187
Corporate0    
Total919956857715730


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Corporate954906965956796
Utility Solutions Group (USG)294255220198145
Aerospace & Defense (A&D)268355295270276
Test189168175154153
Total1,7051,6831,6541,5771,370


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity354,830
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume262,160
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35
Basic Shares Quantity25,826,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/20/20252.5%-2.5% 
8/7/20251.8%-0.9%8.2%
5/7/20256.3%9.1%12.6%
2/6/202519.7%24.2%18.1%
11/14/20243.1%6.1%0.3%
8/7/20243.5%5.6%2.4%
5/9/2024-5.8%-3.0%-5.2%
2/8/2024-5.9%-0.1%-3.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171312
# Negative71112
Median Positive2.7%5.6%7.1%
Median Negative-5.8%-3.8%-7.2%
Max Positive19.7%24.2%21.7%
Max Negative-6.1%-9.3%-15.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251201202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241129202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221129202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-Q 12/31/2021