Tearsheet

Estee Lauder Companies (EL)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $108.65 | Market Cap: $39.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products

Estee Lauder Companies (EL)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $108.65
Market Cap: $39.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Personal Care Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
3   Key risks
EL key risks include [1] its substantial exposure to the struggling travel retail sector and slowing consumer demand in key Asia-Pacific markets.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
7 Key risks
EL key risks include [1] its substantial exposure to the struggling travel retail sector and slowing consumer demand in key Asia-Pacific markets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Estee Lauder Companies (EL) stock experienced significant movements between August 31, 2025, and December 23, 2025, influenced by various corporate and market factors.

1. Mixed Fiscal 2025 Results and Outlook: Estee Lauder reported its fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year results on August 20, 2025. The company surpassed analyst expectations for EPS in Q4 2025 but saw its stock fall 5.75% in pre-market trading, reflecting investor concerns over broader market conditions and future growth prospects. Fiscal 2025 organic sales declined by 8%, though gross margin expanded. For fiscal 2026, the company forecasted flat to 3% growth in organic net sales and targeted diluted EPS between $1.90 and $2.10.



2. Analyst Rating Changes and Price Target Adjustments: Throughout the period, Estee Lauder received several analyst rating updates. On December 16, 2025, Evercore ISI Group maintained an "Outperform" rating and raised its price target from $115 to $125. Conversely, on November 25, 2025, Rothschild & Co downgraded the stock from "Neutral" to "Sell" and lowered its price target from $83 to $70. Argus Research upgraded the stock from "Hold" to "Buy" on November 11, 2025, with a new price target of $105.



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1. Mixed Fiscal 2025 Results and Outlook: Estee Lauder reported its fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year results on August 20, 2025. The company surpassed analyst expectations for EPS in Q4 2025 but saw its stock fall 5.75% in pre-market trading, reflecting investor concerns over broader market conditions and future growth prospects. Fiscal 2025 organic sales declined by 8%, though gross margin expanded. For fiscal 2026, the company forecasted flat to 3% growth in organic net sales and targeted diluted EPS between $1.90 and $2.10.



2. Analyst Rating Changes and Price Target Adjustments: Throughout the period, Estee Lauder received several analyst rating updates. On December 16, 2025, Evercore ISI Group maintained an "Outperform" rating and raised its price target from $115 to $125. Conversely, on November 25, 2025, Rothschild & Co downgraded the stock from "Neutral" to "Sell" and lowered its price target from $83 to $70. Argus Research upgraded the stock from "Hold" to "Buy" on November 11, 2025, with a new price target of $105.



3. Legal Settlements and Dividend Cut: The company faced significant charges related to talcum litigation settlement agreements, amounting to $159 million in fiscal 2025. Additionally, management withdrew its initial earnings-per-share guidance for fiscal 2025 and cut the quarterly dividend from $0.66 to $0.35, the first cut since the pandemic, which is often seen as a negative sign for a stock.



4. Challenges in Key Markets and Brand Performance: Estee Lauder experienced lackluster sales in China and travel retail during fiscal Q1 2025, contributing to a 4% year-over-year decline in net revenue. The acquisition of the Tom Ford brand in 2023 also faced challenges, with fragrance net sales declining in fiscal Q1 2025. The company recorded intangible asset impairment charges totaling $375 million related to Dr.Jart+, reflecting lower-than-expected results in Korea and mainland China.



5. Strategic Shifts and Investor Sentiment: Despite challenges, Estee Lauder highlighted strategic progress under new leadership. The company aimed to restore sales growth and improve profitability, with a strategic plan targeting a double-digit operating margin in the coming years. Towards the end of 2025, Estee Lauder's stock rallied, with a 26% jump in the last month leading to an annual gain of 45%, suggesting investors became less pessimistic than expected. This rebound occurred despite falling revenue in the preceding year and a P/S ratio higher than industry peers, indicating a more bullish investor sentiment than analyst forecasts.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.0% change in EL stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 25.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)86.94108.6524.97%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14326.0014326.000.00%
P/S Multiple2.192.7424.97%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)360.70360.700.00%
Cumulative Contribution24.97%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
EL25.0% 
Market (SPY)2.7%46.5%
Sector (XLP)-0.1%14.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.9% change in EL stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 43.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)78.24108.6538.87%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14786.0014326.00-3.11%
P/S Multiple1.912.7443.49%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)360.30360.70-0.11%
Cumulative Contribution38.87%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
EL38.9% 
Market (SPY)14.4%38.8%
Sector (XLP)-3.7%17.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 48.7% change in EL stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 60.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)73.07108.6548.69%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15451.0014326.00-7.28%
P/S Multiple1.702.7460.86%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)359.60360.70-0.31%
Cumulative Contribution48.69%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
EL48.7% 
Market (SPY)16.9%54.4%
Sector (XLP)0.0%37.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -52.4% change in EL stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -42.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)228.13108.65-52.37%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17275.0014326.00-17.07%
P/S Multiple4.732.74-42.12%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)357.90360.70-0.78%
Cumulative Contribution-52.38%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
EL-21.7% 
Market (SPY)47.7%44.2%
Sector (XLP)14.6%33.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EL Return30%40%-32%-40%-48%47%-43%
Peers Return����-10%-16%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EL Win Rate58%75%33%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate���57%45%37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EL Max Drawdown-30%-11%-48%-57%-56%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown����-25%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COTY, PG, ELF, ULTA, KVUE. See EL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven255.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days1,480 days

Compare to JNJ, PG, CL, EL, KVUE

In The Past

Estee Lauder Companies's stock fell -71.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -71.9% loss requires a 255.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Estee Lauder Companies (EL)

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers a range of skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, cleansing devices, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as lipsticks, lip glosses, mascaras, foundations, eyeshadows, nail polishes, and powders, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising eau de parfum sprays and colognes, as well as lotions, powders, creams, candles, and soaps; and hair care products that include shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair color products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under Estée Lauder, Aramis, Clinique, Lab Series, Origins, M·A·C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Aveda, Jo Malone London, Bumble and bumble, Darphin, Smashbox, Le Labo, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, GLAMGLOW, By Kilian, BECCA, Too Faced, Dr. Jart+, DECIEM, and The Ordinary brands. It also holds license arrangements for Tommy Hilfiger, Donna Karan New York, DKNY, Michael Kors, and Ermenegildo Zegna brands. The company sells its products through department stores, specialty-multi retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and salons and spas; freestanding stores; its own and authorized retailer websites; third-party online malls; stores in airports; and in-flight and duty-free shops. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Estee Lauder Companies (EL):

  • The LVMH of prestige beauty.
  • The Apple of high-end skincare and makeup.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Skincare: This category includes a wide range of products like moisturizers, serums, cleansers, and treatments designed to improve skin health and appearance.
  • Makeup: Cosmetics such as foundations, lipsticks, mascaras, and eyeshadows used to enhance or alter facial features.
  • Fragrance: Perfumes, colognes, and other scented products for personal use.
  • Haircare: Products for washing, conditioning, styling, and treating hair.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Estee Lauder Companies (EL) primarily sells its prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products to other companies, which then retail them to individual consumers. These major customers operate various retail channels globally, including department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, perfumeries, and travel retail.

Major Customer Companies:

  • Ulta Beauty (ULTA): A leading beauty retailer in the United States, offering a wide range of cosmetics, skincare, fragrance, and haircare products from Estee Lauder's portfolio.
  • LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMUY): The luxury conglomerate that owns Sephora, a global prestige beauty retailer with a significant presence in many markets, distributing numerous Estee Lauder brands.
  • Macy's (M): A major department store chain in the United States, historically a significant partner for prestige beauty brands like those under Estee Lauder, through its extensive network of physical stores and online platform.

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The following is a list of key management team members for The Estée Lauder Companies (symbol: EL), including their titles and backgrounds.

Stéphane de La Faverie President and Chief Executive Officer

Stéphane de La Faverie assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer in January 2025. He joined The Estée Lauder Companies in 2011. Prior to his current role, he served as Executive Group President, overseeing a portfolio of brands including Estée Lauder, AERIN Beauty, Jo Malone London, Le Labo, and others. Before joining Estée Lauder, Mr. de La Faverie served as General Manager for Giorgio Armani USA, a division of L'Oréal Paris, and held key positions at L'Oréal's Lancôme. He also played a significant role in the integration and expansion of The Ordinary brand following ELC's acquisition of DECIEM.

Akhil Shrivastava Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Akhil Shrivastava is set to become the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on November 1, 2024, succeeding Tracey T. Travis. He joined The Estée Lauder Companies in 2015 and has held several senior finance roles, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Controller, where he oversaw corporate accounting, financial planning and analysis, and value chain finance. He also served as Senior Vice President, Treasurer, managing treasury functions, the enterprise risk program, and retirement funds. Mr. Shrivastava played a crucial role in the company's Profit Recovery and Growth Plan. Before his tenure at Estée Lauder, he spent 18 years at Procter & Gamble, holding various finance and leadership positions across Asia, North America, and global businesses, including Finance Director for Gillette, North America.

William P. Lauder Chairman of the Board

William P. Lauder is the Chairman of the Board of The Estée Lauder Companies, a position he has held since July 2009. He is the grandson of the company's founders, Estée and Joseph Lauder, and represents the third generation of family leadership. Mr. Lauder joined the company in 1986 and has held various leadership roles, including Chief Executive Officer from July 2004 to July 2009. He was responsible for overseeing global operations and several specialty brands as Chief Operating Officer, a role he held since January 2003. He also founded Origins Natural Resources Inc. in 1990, leading its introduction and development.

Jane Hertzmark Hudis Executive Group President, Chief Brand Officer

Jane Hertzmark Hudis holds the title of Executive Group President and Chief Brand Officer, and was the first woman to be named Executive Group President at ELC in 2020. She is responsible for shaping and advancing the company's portfolio of brands, which includes Estée Lauder, La Mer, Bobbi Brown, AERIN, Origins, and Aveda, among others. Ms. Hudis has been instrumental in growing the Estée Lauder brand to become the number one skincare brand globally and La Mer as the leading luxury skincare brand. Her previous roles include Estée Lauder Global Brand President, and President of Origins and BeautyBank. She is also a passionate advocate for leadership development, inclusion, and diversity, co-founding ELC's Women's Leadership Network in 2017.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Estee Lauder Companies (symbol: EL) faces several significant risks, primarily driven by its global operations and the dynamic nature of the beauty industry.

  1. High Exposure to Asia-Pacific and Travel Retail Challenges: Estee Lauder has substantial exposure to Asian markets, particularly mainland China and the travel retail sector, which presents a significant risk to its recovery and growth. The company has experienced declines in net sales in skin care and makeup in the Asia-Pacific region, attributed to subdued consumer sentiment in China and lower conversion rates in travel retail. Geopolitical tensions, economic fluctuations, and potential health crises can disproportionately affect the travel retail segment, a key driver of Estee Lauder's past success.
  2. Intense Competition and Shifting Consumer Preferences: The beauty industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share, including both established brands and emerging, often influencer-led, brands. Estee Lauder's success hinges on its ability to continuously innovate and quickly adapt to evolving market trends and changes in consumer preferences, especially among younger generations who may favor more affordable products or different beauty trends like Korean beauty. Failure to do so could lead to a loss of market share and reduced consumer loyalty.
  3. Geopolitical Risks and Economic Uncertainty: Operating in a complex global environment, Estee Lauder is vulnerable to various geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties that can materially adversely affect its business. These include the impacts of tariffs, sanctions, and trade tensions between countries, such as unresolved U.S.-China tariffs, which can hinder Asia-Pacific sales. Additionally, inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions can increase costs and impede the company's ability to deliver products efficiently, impacting profit margins.

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Emergence and Proliferation of Digitally-Native and Influencer-Led Beauty Brands: The beauty industry is experiencing a continuous shift driven by agile, digitally-native, and influencer-led direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands. These brands leverage social media for rapid discovery, community building, and direct sales, bypassing traditional retail channels and often offering niche, specialized products. This fragmentation of the market captures younger demographics who are less loyal to traditional prestige brands and discover products through different avenues (e.g., TikTok, Instagram, YouTube). This trend directly impacts Estee Lauder's reliance on traditional distribution models and established brand-building strategies, similar to how Netflix disrupted Blockbuster's traditional brick-and-mortar distribution model. While Estee Lauder has acquired some DTC brands (e.g., The Ordinary, Deciem), the continuous emergence and agility of new players pose a sustained threat to long-term market share and traditional dominance.

Advanced AI and Biotech-Driven Hyper-Personalization: Significant technological advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), genomics, and biotechnology are enabling the emergence of truly bespoke beauty products. Companies are developing solutions that offer custom formulations based on individual genetic profiles, real-time skin analysis, microbiome data, and environmental factors. If these technologies mature and become scalable and affordable, they could fundamentally alter consumer expectations and demand for beauty products. This could challenge the traditional prestige beauty model of mass-produced, segmented product lines by offering consumers products precisely tailored to their unique biological and environmental needs, similar to how the iPhone offered a new paradigm of personalized technology that legacy phones could not match.

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The addressable markets for The Estée Lauder Companies' main products and services are substantial across several key beauty categories globally and in major regions. The company's primary product segments include skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care.

Addressable Market Sizes:

  • Prestige Beauty Market: The global prestige beauty market was valued at USD 87.89 billion in 2021 and is projected to expand at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.56% between 2023 and 2028. In the U.S. alone, prestige beauty sales reached USD 33.9 billion in 2024. The overall global beauty industry is expected to be valued at USD 596 billion, with the luxury beauty sector specifically anticipated to grow at 10% through 2028.
  • Skincare: The global skincare products market was valued at approximately USD 166.35 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 233.73 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.82% during 2025-2033. Other estimates place the global skincare market size at USD 115.65 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 194.05 billion by 2032. The U.S. skincare market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 30.42 billion by 2032.
  • Makeup: The global makeup market size was valued at USD 43.61 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 70.80 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 6.37% during the forecast period. The makeup market in the U.S. is projected to reach USD 12.77 billion by 2032.
  • Fragrance: The global fragrance market was valued at USD 58.97 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 83.69 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% between 2025 and 2032. Another source indicates a global market size of USD 56.60 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 74.76 billion by 2030. North America holds the largest share of the global fragrance market, valued at USD 22.82 billion in 2024.
  • Hair Care: The global hair care market size was estimated at USD 93.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 128.7 billion in 2034. Other data indicates the global hair care market was valued at USD 106.91 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to USD 213.47 billion by 2032. The U.S. hair care market generated an estimated USD 22.2 billion in revenue during 2024.

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The Estee Lauder Companies (symbol: EL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives, market expansion, and product focus:

  1. "Beauty Reimagined" Strategy and Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP): Estee Lauder's overarching "Beauty Reimagined" strategy, introduced in February 2025, aims to restore sustainable sales growth and achieve a solid double-digit adjusted operating margin. This strategy is supported by the Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP), which focuses on improving operating profitability and driving long-term organic sales growth. The PRGP includes operational efficiencies, lower promotional activity, and reductions in excess and obsolescence.
  2. Expansion in High-Growth Channels and Geographies: The company is actively expanding its presence in high-growth channels, including e-commerce platforms like Amazon US, and specialty multi-retailers. Estee Lauder is also strategically focusing on emerging markets, particularly China, where it aims to increase its share in the prestige beauty market as penetration is expected to catch up with other developed Asian markets. In North America, the company has seen a return to growth, with several brands maintaining or growing market share in skincare, makeup, and hair.
  3. Strategic Innovation and Product Category Growth: Product innovation is a key driver, with the company emphasizing "transformative innovation" as part of its "Beauty Reimagined" strategy. Specific brands and categories are also poised for growth. The Ordinary brand, for instance, has shown significant organic sales growth and is expanding into new product categories and emerging markets. La Mer and the Estée Lauder brand continue to drive progress in skincare, particularly in markets like mainland China. The fragrance category has also seen strong growth, bolstered by new innovations and consumer appeal of brands like Le Labo and Jo Malone.

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Share Repurchases

  • Estee Lauder Companies completed share repurchases of approximately $2.309 billion in fiscal year 2022.
  • Share repurchases significantly decreased in subsequent years, with approximately $271 million in fiscal year 2023 and $35 million in fiscal year 2024.
  • The company's net common equity repurchased for fiscal year 2021 was $733 million, with a projected $35 million for fiscal year 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In November 2022, Estee Lauder acquired the designer fashion house Tom Ford in a deal valued at $2.8 billion.
  • The company completed its $1.7 billion acquisition of Deciem Beauty Group Inc. (known for The Ordinary brand), with a cash transaction of approximately $860 million for the remaining shares on May 31, 2024. Estee Lauder had initially invested in Deciem in 2017 and became a majority owner in 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were approximately $637 million in fiscal year 2021, increasing to $1,040 million in fiscal year 2022 and $1,003 million in fiscal year 2023.
  • For fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures were approximately $919 million.
  • For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures are expected to be approximately 5%-5.5% of projected sales, focusing on continued investments in customer-facing capital (stores and online), supply chain, and information technology.

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
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ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
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FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
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CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.4%-5.4%-5.4%

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Peer Comparisons for Estee Lauder Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ELCOTYPGELFULTAKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Coty Procter .e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Kenvue  
Mkt Price108.653.14142.6979.14612.9517.0193.90
Mkt Cap39.22.7334.24.627.432.630.0
Rev LTM14,3265,79984,9331,38611,98215,00613,154
Op Inc LTM1,14147620,5091361,5862,6411,364
FCF LTM67029914,9431421,0421,639856
FCF 3Y Avg18432415,127919611,832643
CFO LTM1,27249018,9231721,3592,1361,315
CFO 3Y Avg1,78854518,6161051,3492,3081,568

Growth & Margins

ELCOTYPGELFULTAKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Coty Procter .e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Kenvue  
Rev Chg LTM-8.2%-5.7%1.2%13.8%5.5%-2.9%-0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.8%3.1%1.8%47.9%7.3%0.2%2.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.9%-5.6%3.0%14.2%12.9%-3.5%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.1%-1.6%0.8%3.2%2.8%-0.9%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.0%8.2%24.1%9.8%13.2%17.6%11.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%9.4%23.6%12.5%14.0%16.8%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-0.8%-0.1%-1.8%-0.4%0.2%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%8.5%22.3%12.4%11.3%14.2%11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%9.2%22.2%9.8%11.8%15.0%11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.7%5.2%17.6%10.2%8.7%10.9%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.4%5.5%18.0%8.7%8.4%11.9%8.6%

Valuation

ELCOTYPGELFULTAKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Coty Procter .e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Kenvue  
Mkt Cap39.22.7334.24.627.432.630.0
P/S2.70.53.93.32.32.22.5
P/EBIT-57.4-18.015.233.417.313.914.6
P/E-34.6-7.219.956.423.022.821.4
P/CFO30.85.617.726.820.215.318.9
Total Yield-2.9%-14.0%5.0%1.8%4.3%9.2%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.8%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%5.3%4.1%1.3%4.7%4.9%4.4%
D/E0.21.60.10.20.10.30.2
Net D/E0.21.50.10.20.10.20.2

Returns

ELCOTYPGELFULTAKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Coty Procter .e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Kenvue  
1M Rtn21.3%-0.6%-5.5%13.0%18.9%2.2%7.6%
3M Rtn25.0%-22.1%-6.1%-42.4%18.3%1.5%-2.3%
6M Rtn38.9%-34.9%-10.2%-35.7%30.0%-18.6%-14.4%
12M Rtn48.7%-55.4%-12.9%-38.5%42.5%-18.6%-15.7%
3Y Rtn-52.4%-62.3%0.8%45.3%34.3%-0.8%
1M Excs Rtn20.7%-4.6%-8.9%10.5%18.3%0.1%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn21.0%-24.8%-9.1%-45.2%13.5%-3.4%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn29.2%-46.2%-22.7%-48.0%19.1%-30.8%-26.8%
12M Excs Rtn30.4%-72.2%-30.5%-54.9%30.0%-34.8%-32.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.9%-136.9%-74.7%-34.0%-41.9%--74.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Skin Care7,9088,2499,8869,4847,382
Makeup4,4704,5324,6674,2034,794
Fragrance2,4872,4512,5081,9261,563
Hair Care629652631571515
Other11553494540
Returns associated with restructuring and other activities-1-27-4-14 
Total15,60815,91017,73716,21514,294


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Skin Care7351,2772,7533,0362,125
Fragrance26537045621517
Makeup93-21133-384-1,438
Other5340-24
Hair Care-52-36-28-19-19
Charges associated with restructuring and other activities-124-85-144-228-83
Total9701,5093,1702,618606


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$108.65 
Market Cap ($ Bil)39.2 
First Trading Date11/17/1995 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$96.75$81.14
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA12.3%33.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility40.2%48.6%
Downside Capture102.50111.31
Upside Capture198.16133.40
Correlation (SPY)46.2%54.2%
EL Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.051.441.301.661.341.24
Up Beta2.692.642.232.211.231.12
Down Beta-0.311.591.291.681.681.51
Up Capture43%123%95%189%146%72%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days8222964124354
Down Capture105%96%112%123%108%108%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11193361124395

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of EL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 ELSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return41.4%-1.8%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility48.4%13.9%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio0.87-0.370.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 37.7%54.7%9.3%28.9%46.6%30.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of EL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 ELSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-14.0%5.8%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility41.0%13.0%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio-0.240.240.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 41.4%53.3%11.6%15.6%44.2%23.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of EL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 ELSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return3.7%7.4%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility34.9%14.7%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.210.380.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 47.2%56.6%5.9%21.6%45.9%16.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,007,272
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.3%
Average Daily Volume2,941,539
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.06
Basic Shares Quantity360,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20250.3%-6.4%-2.4%
8/20/2025-3.7%-0.1%-1.7%
5/1/2025-1.8%-1.2%12.2%
2/4/2025-16.1%-17.0%-12.7%
10/31/2024-20.9%-27.4%-16.9%
8/19/2024-2.2%-1.3%-6.6%
5/1/2024-13.2%-11.7%-17.3%
2/5/202412.0%6.9%10.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive899
# Negative161515
Median Positive3.4%6.7%10.9%
Median Negative-6.2%-7.0%-6.6%
Max Positive12.0%14.5%13.6%
Max Negative-20.9%-27.4%-25.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025820202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023818202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022824202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021