Equifax (EFX)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $207.0 | Market Cap: $25.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
Equifax (EFX)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $207.0Market Cap: $25.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Identity Management, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Identity Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
EFX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Equifax (EFX) stock moved by -13.6% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. A new data breach in May 2025, reported in July 2025, exposed personal information of millions of consumers. This incident raised significant concerns about Equifax's data security measures and led to an immediate stock price decline of 9.38% by July 22, 2025. This event, occurring just before the specified period, had a substantial negative impact on investor confidence.
2. Multiple analyst firms issued downgrades and reduced price targets for Equifax in October 2025. Wells Fargo, Oppenheimer, and BofA Securities all lowered their price targets, with BofA Securities maintaining a "Neutral" rating with a reduced price target on October 3, 2025. These revisions by financial institutions signaled a more cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EFX Return | 39% | 53% | -33% | 28% | 4% | -18% | 54% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 1% | -3% | 23% | 21% | -5% | 54% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EFX Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 25% | 67% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 25% | 23% | 12% | 30% | 28% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EFX Max Drawdown | -25% | -16% | -48% | -16% | -12% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -9% | -16% | -5% | -2% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FICO, TRU, DGNX, EFTY, EGG. See EFX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EFX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 671 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 249 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1144 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FICO, TRU, DGNX, EFTY, EGG
In The Past
Equifax's stock fell -49.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2021. A -49.4% loss requires a 97.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EFX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -15.9% | -15.9% | -17.1% |
| 12312018 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 46.8% | 52.3% | -1.9% |
| 09302017 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.9% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -15.9% | -15.9% | -17.1% |
| 12312018 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 46.8% | 52.3% | -1.9% |
| 09302017 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.9% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Equifax
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 81.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 25.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,442 |
| Op Inc LTM | 936 |
| FCF LTM | 739 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 604 |
| CFO LTM | 922 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 789 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 25.5 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 23.2 |
| P/E | 38.7 |
| P/CFO | 17.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 35.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.0% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workforce Solutions | 4,145 | 4,156 | 3,888 | 1,601 | 1,339 |
| International | 3,909 | 3,107 | 3,272 | 3,368 | 2,977 |
| U.S Information Solutions | 3,296 | 3,291 | 3,091 | 2,177 | 1,923 |
| General Corporate Expense | 930 | ||||
| General Corporate | 993 | 790 | 2,146 | 1,395 | |
| Global Consumer Solutions | 319 | 275 | |||
| Total | 12,280 | 11,548 | 11,041 | 9,612 | 7,909 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | -0.5% | -0.9% | |
| 7/22/2025 | -8.2% | -7.2% | -3.7% |
| 4/22/2025 | 13.8% | 19.1% | 28.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | -8.4% | -5.9% | -5.6% |
| 10/16/2024 | -3.3% | -6.3% | -9.6% |
| 7/17/2024 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 13.2% |
| 4/17/2024 | -8.5% | -5.0% | 5.2% |
| 2/7/2024 | 4.2% | 3.5% | 11.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 3.3% | 9.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -5.9% | -7.7% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 19.1% | 28.7% |
| Max Negative | -8.9% | -14.3% | -19.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10212025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7222025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10212024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7222024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4222024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10232023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4202023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10202022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7212022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4212022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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