Tearsheet

Fair Isaac (FICO)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $1734.01 | Market Cap: $41.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Fair Isaac (FICO)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $1734.01
Market Cap: $41.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 47%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
Key risks
FICO key risks include [1] direct regulatory challenges to its pricing power and mortgage-scoring monopoly, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
 
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 47%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
6 Key risks
FICO key risks include [1] direct regulatory challenges to its pricing power and mortgage-scoring monopoly, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FICO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Fair Isaac (FICO) experienced significant upward movement in its stock price during the latter part of 2025, influenced by several key factors. The following points highlight the reasons behind such a notable increase:

<b>1. Strong Fiscal Fourth-Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat</b><br><br>

Fair Isaac reported robust financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 on November 5, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $7.74, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.34. The company's revenues also exceeded predictions, reaching $516 million against an anticipated $513.21 million. This strong financial performance, including a 14% year-over-year revenue increase, generally contributes to positive investor sentiment.

<b>2. Significant Revenue Growth in Key Segments</b><br><br>

The company demonstrated substantial growth in its core business areas. The Scores segment revenue increased by 25% year-over-year in Q4 2025, while platform revenue within the Software segment grew by 17%. These figures underscore the strong demand for FICO's foundational offerings and the success of its strategic initiatives, bolstering overall revenue performance.

<b>3. Strategic Innovation and AI Integration Initiatives</b><br><br>

FICO's strategic developments, including the introduction of a new GenAI model (Focused Foundation Model for Financial Services) and ongoing discussions about AI integration in the financial sector, positively impacted market perception. Additionally, the announcement of a new cost-saving direct license program for mortgage lending was seen as a move to enhance affordability and transparency in the lending market. These innovations and strategic moves were notably linked to a 17.31% increase in FICO's stock on October 2, 2025.

<b>4. Favorable Analyst Ratings and Price Targets</b><br><br>

Throughout late 2024 and 2025, numerous Wall Street analysts maintained "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings for FICO stock. Their average price targets suggested a significant upside potential for the company's shares, further reinforcing investor confidence in FICO's future growth prospects.

<b>5. Record Share Repurchase Program</b><br><br>

FICO actively returned capital to shareholders through its share repurchase program. The company executed record share buybacks in both the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, repurchasing 358,000 shares at an average price of $1,499, and for the entire fiscal year 2025, totaling $1.41 billion. Such substantial repurchases can signal management's confidence in the company's valuation and can contribute to boosting earnings per share, thereby supporting the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.4% change in FICO stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 10.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
926202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)1518.781753.1915.43%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1928.931990.873.21%
Net Income Margin (%)32.80%32.75%-0.15%
P/E Multiple58.3064.2910.27%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24.2823.911.56%
Cumulative Contribution15.41%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
FICO15.4% 
Market (SPY)4.3%13.2%
Sector (XLK)5.1%2.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.5% change in FICO stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -16.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
627202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)1816.261753.19-3.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1840.361990.878.18%
Net Income Margin (%)31.36%32.75%4.43%
P/E Multiple76.7664.29-16.25%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24.3923.911.98%
Cumulative Contribution-3.51%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
FICO-3.5% 
Market (SPY)12.6%16.1%
Sector (XLK)17.0%4.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.0% change in FICO stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -34.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1226202412262025Change
Stock Price ($)2062.711753.19-15.01%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1717.531990.8715.91%
Net Income Margin (%)29.86%32.75%9.68%
P/E Multiple98.4564.29-34.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24.4823.912.32%
Cumulative Contribution-15.05%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
FICO-15.0% 
Market (SPY)15.8%38.6%
Sector (XLK)22.3%32.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 185.4% change in FICO stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 55.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1227202212262025Change
Stock Price ($)614.301753.19185.40%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1377.271990.8744.55%
Net Income Margin (%)27.12%32.75%20.74%
P/E Multiple41.4664.2955.06%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)25.2123.915.18%
Cumulative Contribution184.63%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
FICO49.8% 
Market (SPY)48.0%41.9%
Sector (XLK)53.7%38.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FICO Return36%-15%38%94%71%-13%362%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FICO Win Rate67%50%42%83%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FICO Max Drawdown-43%-32%-21%-2%-5%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See FICO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFICOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven185 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven133 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven320.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Fair Isaac's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/23/2021. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Fair Isaac (FICO)

Fair Isaac Corporation develops analytic, software, and data management products and services that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Scores and Software. The Software segment offers pre-configured decision management solution designed for various business problems or processes, such as marketing, account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, collection, and marketing, as well as associated professional services. This segment also provides FICO Platform, a modular software offering designed to support advanced analytic and decision use cases, as well as stand-alone analytic and decisioning software that can be configured by customers to address a wide range of business use cases. The Scores segment provides business-to-business scoring solutions and services for consumers that give clients access to analytics to be integrated into their transaction streams and decision-making processes, as well as business-to-consumer scoring solutions comprising myFICO.com subscription offerings. Fair Isaac Corporation markets its products and services primarily through its direct sales organization and indirect channels, as well as online. The company was formerly known as Fair Isaac & Company, Inc. and changed its name to Fair Isaac Corporation in July 1992. Fair Isaac Corporation was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Bozeman, Montana.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Fair Isaac (FICO):

  • Intel for credit decisions.
  • Microsoft Windows for credit scoring.
  • The GPS for lending decisions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • FICO Score: A three-digit number widely used by lenders to assess an individual's credit risk and creditworthiness.
  • Decision Management Suite: A comprehensive software platform that enables organizations to automate and optimize business decisions across various operational functions.
  • Fraud & Compliance Solutions: Software and services designed to detect and prevent financial crime and ensure regulatory compliance for businesses.
  • Customer Management Solutions: Integrated software solutions that help businesses manage the entire customer lifecycle, from credit origination to account management and collections.
  • Analytic Consulting: Expert professional services that assist clients in developing and implementing advanced analytics and decision management strategies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Fair Isaac (FICO) Major Customers

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) primarily operates as a business-to-business (B2B) company, selling its predictive analytics, data management, and decision management solutions to other companies rather than directly to individuals. Its core products, including the well-known FICO® Score, are licensed to various institutions globally.

Major Customer Categories and Representative Public Companies:

1. Financial Institutions (Banks, Credit Card Issuers, Lenders)

This is FICO's largest and most prominent customer segment. Financial institutions utilize FICO's credit scoring models, decision management software, fraud detection tools, and other analytics to assess credit risk, manage portfolios, and optimize customer interactions throughout the customer lifecycle. While FICO works with thousands of institutions globally, the following are representative examples of major public companies in this category that are widely known to use FICO scores and related services:

  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
  • Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
  • Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
  • Citigroup Inc. (C)
  • American Express Company (AXP)
  • Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

2. Credit Bureaus (Credit Reporting Agencies)

FICO licenses its scoring models to the three major credit bureaus, which in turn provide these scores to lenders and consumers. These bureaus are critical partners in the distribution and accessibility of FICO scores:

  • Equifax Inc. (EFX)
  • TransUnion (TRU)
  • Experian plc (EXPGY - U.S. ADR; Primary listing EXPN.L)

3. Other Industries

FICO's analytics and decision management platforms are also used in various other industries for purposes like fraud detection, customer acquisition, and collections. This includes sectors such as telecommunications, insurance, retail, utilities, and government agencies, although specific major public company names in these categories are not typically disclosed as primary customers by FICO due to the broad nature of its licensing.

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  • Experian (Symbol: EXPGY)
  • Equifax (Symbol: EFX)
  • TransUnion (Symbol: TRU)
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (Symbol: AMZN)
  • Microsoft Corporation (Symbol: MSFT)

AI Analysis | Feedback

William J. Lansing Chief Executive Officer William J. Lansing joined FICO as a board member in February 2006 and became CEO in January 2012. Prior to FICO, he held CEO and president positions at InfoSpace and ValueVision Media. He also served as CEO of NBC Internet and Fingerhut. Lansing was a partner at General Atlantic Partners, a global private equity investment firm. He also held leadership positions at General Electric, Prodigy, and McKinsey & Company. Steven P. Weber Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Steven P. Weber was appointed Chief Financial Officer in May 2023, after serving as interim CFO since January 2023. He joined FICO in 2003, and his prior roles at the company include Vice President – Treasurer, Tax and Investor Relations, and head of FP&A. Before joining FICO, he was a Sr. Financial Analyst at Metris Companies. Nikhil Behl President, Software Nikhil Behl serves as the President of Software at FICO. Richard S. Deal Executive Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer Richard S. Deal holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at FICO. Mark R. Scadina Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary Mark R. Scadina is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for FICO.

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Key Business Risks for Fair Isaac (FICO)

Fair Isaac (FICO) faces several significant risks that could impact its business operations and financial performance. These include heightened regulatory scrutiny, increasing competitive pressures from alternative scoring models, and risks associated with its high valuation multiples.

1. Regulatory Scrutiny and Changes

FICO's business is heavily influenced by the regulatory environment, and increased scrutiny from agencies like the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) poses a significant risk. Recent comments from the FHFA Director have raised concerns about FICO's pricing strategies, leading to increased regulatory attention and stock price volatility. In 2025, the FHFA's decision to mandate VantageScore 4.0 for government-backed mortgages was a pivotal moment, challenging FICO's near-monopoly in mortgage scoring and acting as a regulatory rebuke against FICO's aggressive pricing. This increased regulatory oversight could limit FICO's ability to implement aggressive pricing strategies and encourage lenders to diversify their risk assessment tools, potentially reducing reliance on FICO scores and eroding its market share and bargaining power. Furthermore, new regulations like the EU's AI Act, effective by 2026, demand credit scoring models to comply with strict transparency and bias-mitigation rules, which could favor AI platforms over FICO's proprietary algorithms.

2. Competitive Pressures

FICO faces growing competition from alternative credit scoring models, most notably VantageScore. VantageScore has been gaining market share by integrating tri-bureau data and including alternative metrics such as rent payments, which allows it to score millions more consumers, including marginalized groups, than FICO. The mandated adoption of VantageScore by the FHFA for government-backed mortgages is expected to intensify competitive pressure and potentially erode FICO's market dominance, particularly in the lucrative mortgage scoring segment. Additionally, the emergence of new entrants and AI-native credit models in the fintech sector presents long-term threats to FICO's established position in the credit scoring industry.

3. High Valuation and Earnings Disappointments

FICO's stock currently trades at high valuation multiples, which reflects investor expectations for continued strong growth and market dominance. However, these elevated multiples present a risk, as the company is susceptible to significant stock price corrections if it fails to meet these high growth expectations, even with minor earnings disappointments. Shifts in market sentiment, especially during periods of economic change or volatility, could also lead investors to be less willing to pay premium multiples for growth stocks, potentially resulting in valuation compression for FICO.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing adoption and regulatory acceptance of alternative credit scoring models, particularly VantageScore, as government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac move to incorporate these models into their mortgage underwriting processes. This development, expected to be fully implemented by Q1 2025, directly challenges FICO's long-standing dominance in the critical mortgage lending sector and provides a clear competitive alternative for lenders.

AI Analysis | Feedback

FICO's Main Products and Addressable Markets:

  • Credit Scoring and Analytics: The global credit analytics and scoring market was valued at approximately USD 6.94 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 17.58 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 9.77% from 2024 to 2033.
  • Fraud Detection and Prevention: The global fraud detection and prevention market size was valued at USD 33.74 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 195.91 billion by 2032, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.60% during the forecast period from 2024 to 2032.
  • Decision Management Software/Enterprise Decision Management: The global decision management software market size was estimated at USD 10.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 32.7 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 13.0% from 2024 to 2032. This market includes solutions for credit risk management and other analytical applications. The credit risk management software market specifically was valued at USD 7.2 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to USD 20.3 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 11.2% during the forecast period.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Fair Isaac (FICO) Over the Next 2-3 Years

  • Cloud Transformation and Increased Subscription Revenue: A significant driver of future revenue growth for FICO is the ongoing migration of its customers to cloud-based solutions and the associated increase in recurring subscription revenue. This involves transitioning existing clients to the FICO Cloud and attracting new clients with the benefits of its scalable and integrated cloud offerings. As more clients adopt FICO's cloud-native platforms, the company benefits from more predictable, recurring revenue streams and potentially higher customer lifetime value.
  • Expansion of FICO Platform Adoption: FICO's integrated decisioning platform is a key focus for growth. Increased adoption of the FICO Platform by both existing and new customers is expected to drive revenue. This includes clients expanding their use of various modules and services within the platform, thereby deepening their engagement and increasing the value derived from FICO's comprehensive analytical and decisioning capabilities.
  • Growth in FICO Scores and Industry-Specific Solutions Volume: Continued strong demand for FICO Scores in credit originations and portfolio management across various industries, coupled with the expansion of other specialized solutions (e.g., fraud detection, compliance, marketing analytics), will contribute to revenue growth. As businesses increasingly rely on data-driven decisions, the volume of FICO Scores utilized and the uptake of its tailored solutions are expected to rise globally.
  • Strategic Market Expansion: FICO is anticipated to drive revenue growth through strategic expansion into new geographic markets and by broadening its customer base within existing markets. This includes targeting underserved regions or industries where there is a growing need for advanced analytics, risk management, and customer decisioning solutions. Expanding market penetration allows FICO to capture new revenue opportunities.
  • Leveraging Data and Analytics for Enhanced Product Offerings: FICO's extensive data assets and analytical expertise will continue to fuel the development and enhancement of new products and services. By continuously innovating and introducing solutions that address evolving client needs in areas like fraud prevention, regulatory compliance, and customer engagement, FICO can generate new revenue streams and strengthen its competitive position.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Fair Isaac (FICO) has made the following capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Share Repurchases

  • Fair Isaac repurchased approximately $1.7 billion of its common stock over the three fiscal years ending Q3 FY24.
  • The company's Board of Directors authorized an additional $500 million share repurchase program in November 2023.
  • Prior to that, a $500 million share repurchase program was authorized in February 2022, and another $500 million program was authorized in November 2021.

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2022, Fair Isaac acquired Deed Research for approximately $55 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Fair Isaac's capital expenditures were $52.7 million for fiscal year 2023 and $56.6 million for fiscal year 2022.
  • The company anticipates capital expenditures to be in the range of $50-60 million for fiscal year 2024.

Better Bets than Fair Isaac (FICO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to FICO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.0%12.0%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.0%17.0%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.9%11.9%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.1%4.1%0.0%
FICO_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025FICOFair IsaacMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
20.5%20.5%-8.7%
FICO_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022FICOFair IsaacMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
44.2%92.3%-8.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fair Isaac

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FICOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameFair Isa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price1,753.1923.2624.49305.0978.16273.40175.78
Mkt Cap41.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4163.4
Rev LTM1,99155,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM9363,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM7392,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg6042,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM7793,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg6273,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

FICOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameFair Isa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM15.9%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.1%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q13.6%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.2%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM47.0%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%20.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg44.0%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%20.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM39.1%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.7%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%23.8%
FCF/Rev LTM37.1%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%20.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg34.4%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%21.6%

Valuation

FICOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameFair Isa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap41.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4163.4
P/S21.10.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT44.86.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E64.38.6572.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO53.85.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield1.6%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.8%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

FICOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameFair Isa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-2.5%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn15.4%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.5%
6M Rtn-3.5%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-15.0%-27.3%14.2%39.2%33.7%6.0%10.1%
3Y Rtn185.4%-3.8%67.7%139.0%79.5%113.4%96.5%
1M Excs Rtn-5.6%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn11.1%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn-15.7%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-31.7%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn115.2%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Scores774707654529
Software740671662766
Unallocated Corporate Expenses00  
Total1,5141,3771,3171,295


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Scores681619561454
Software241183105130
Unallocated gains on product line asset sale2 100 
Unallocated amortization expense-1-2-3-5
Unallocated share-based compensation expense-124-115-112-94
Unallocated Corporate Expenses-156-143-137-145
Unallocated restructuring charges  -8-45
Total643542505296


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1,753.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)41.9 
First Trading Date02/25/1992 
Distance from 52W High-20.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1,721.55$1,707.94
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA1.8%2.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility52.0%47.4%
Downside Capture64.26122.30
Upside Capture120.2688.28
Correlation (SPY)12.7%38.5%
FICO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.840.540.560.700.961.01
Up Beta-0.75-1.31-0.590.260.800.86
Down Beta1.231.090.800.541.040.98
Up Capture237%147%111%73%76%194%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days11223264126423
Down Capture54%26%43%104%115%101%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8193060121326

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of FICO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 FICOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-16.2%25.0%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.3%
Annualized Volatility47.2%27.5%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.230.790.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 32.9%38.6%0.4%8.4%38.4%11.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of FICO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 FICOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return27.2%18.8%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility38.4%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.730.690.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 50.7%51.9%8.4%6.5%43.6%19.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of FICO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 FICOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return34.2%22.5%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility36.9%24.2%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.910.850.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 60.9%62.0%6.2%17.1%51.7%17.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,046,017
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020251.2%
Average Daily Volume181,341
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.77
Basic Shares Quantity23,906,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20252.8%9.1%8.1%
7/30/2025-6.0%-8.8%-1.4%
4/29/20251.4%5.1%-14.1%
2/4/20252.1%-0.7%0.4%
11/6/20244.1%12.3%13.5%
7/31/2024-1.3%4.3%7.1%
4/25/2024-6.9%-2.4%16.0%
1/25/2024-6.8%-3.2%0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131516
# Negative1198
Median Positive2.7%6.5%9.0%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.2%-4.7%
Max Positive31.1%39.2%38.7%
Max Negative-8.4%-10.5%-14.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023125202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022126202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021127202210-Q 12/31/2021