Excelerate Energy (EE)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $33.3 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Excelerate Energy (EE)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $33.3Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 20% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security. Themes include US LNG, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -12% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.2% Key risksEE key risks include [1] heavy reliance on a few geopolitically and economically unstable markets like Brazil and Bangladesh, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 20% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.2% |
| Key risksEE key risks include [1] heavy reliance on a few geopolitically and economically unstable markets like Brazil and Bangladesh, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Delayed Iraq LNG Terminal Project and Revised Guidance. Excelerate Energy announced the delay of its Iraq LNG import terminal startup to 2027 due to regional conflict. This led the company to revise its full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance downwards to a range of $480–$510 million. This significant project delay and subsequent guidance reduction negatively impacted investor expectations for future earnings.
2. Q1 2026 Earnings Per Share Miss. While Excelerate Energy's Q1 2026 revenue of $433.4 million exceeded Street forecasts of $343.2 million, its reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37 fell short of Wall Street's average estimate of $0.39 per share. This earnings miss contributed to a more cautious investor sentiment.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.1% change in EE stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.27 | 33.89 | -9.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,185 | 1,347 | 13.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.5% | 3.0% | -13.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.1 | 27.1 | -6.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EE | -9.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 36.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 9.8% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.5% change in EE stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.78 | 33.89 | 31.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 988 | 1,347 | 36.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.6% | 3.0% | -18.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.5 | 27.1 | 20.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 32 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EE | 31.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 24.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.3% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.9% change in EE stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.31 | 33.89 | 33.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 851 | 1,347 | 58.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.9% | 3.0% | -22.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.4 | 27.1 | 39.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 32 | -21.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EE | 33.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 17.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 42.8% | 31.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 61.3% change in EE stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 180.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.01 | 33.89 | 61.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,473 | 1,347 | -45.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.1% | 3.0% | 180.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.0 | 27.1 | 29.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 26 | 32 | -18.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 61.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EE | 61.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 44.3% | 41.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EE Return | - | -7% | -38% | 97% | -6% | 18% | 26% |
| Peers Return | 51% | 57% | 3% | 14% | -17% | 15% | 167% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EE Win Rate | - | 56% | 33% | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 55% | 57% | 50% | 47% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EE Max Drawdown | - | -29% | -43% | -12% | -23% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -8% | -15% | -26% | -33% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GLNG, NFE, LNG, FLNG, SRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -18.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 490 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Excelerate Energy's stock fell -16.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | EE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Excelerate Energy's stock fell -16.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Excelerate Energy (EE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Excelerate Energy (EE):
- Like Kinder Morgan, but specialized in global LNG import terminals and flexible floating natural gas solutions.
- Think of them as the FedEx for natural gas, but with mobile processing hubs and distribution capabilities.
- Similar to how Starlink (SpaceX) provides flexible internet access to remote areas, Excelerate Energy brings flexible natural gas access to regions without traditional pipelines.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Floating Regasification Services: Excelerate Energy provides services for converting liquefied natural gas back into natural gas using specialized Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FSRUs) and associated infrastructure.
- LNG and Natural Gas Supply & Distribution: The company offers comprehensive services for the procurement, supply, and distribution of liquefied natural gas and natural gas worldwide.
- LNG Terminal Services: Excelerate Energy manages and operates both floating and land-based LNG terminals, including leasing an LNG terminal in Bahia, Brazil.
- Natural Gas Supply to Power Projects: The company supplies natural gas specifically for projects that generate electricity.
- Smaller-Scale Gas Distribution Solutions: Excelerate Energy develops and implements solutions for distributing natural gas to smaller markets and customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Excelerate Energy (EE) primarily sells its services and solutions to other companies and governmental entities rather than directly to individuals. Based on the company's disclosures, its major customers include:
- GasNet: An affiliate of the Government of the Republic of Finland.
- Petrobras (NYSE: PBR): A Brazilian state-owned multinational corporation in the petroleum industry.
- Engie (EPA: ENGI): A French multinational utility company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. (TYO: 9107)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Steven Kobos - President & Chief Executive Officer
Steven Kobos has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Excelerate Energy since 2018. Prior to this role, he served for 11 years as a board member and corporate counsel for Excelerate Energy, with his relationship dating back to 2007 when he negotiated Kuwait's first LNG import terminal. His career spans nearly three decades, focusing on complex infrastructure deals across various international regions. He led Excelerate Energy through its initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange in 2022. Kobos' background includes expertise in international energy law, LNG shipping, floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) chartering, and engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) negotiation. Before his appointment as CEO, he formally supported the company as Managing Counsel for global projects while employed by Frederic Dorwart, Lawyers PLLC. He also worked for nearly 20 years for George B. Kaiser's larger energy group, who is Excelerate Energy's controlling stockholder.
Dana Armstrong - Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Dana Armstrong has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Excelerate Energy since 2020. She brings over 25 years of experience leading both public and private multinational companies within the energy and biotechnology industries. Armstrong holds a Master of Business Administration and a Bachelor's Degree in Accounting from the University of Houston and is a licensed Certified Public Accountant (C.P.A.).
Oliver Simpson - Executive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer
Oliver Simpson was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer effective November 16, 2023. In this role, he is responsible for contracting and chartering FSRUs, overseeing customer contracts, and managing LNG and natural gas supply and marketing. Simpson joined Excelerate Energy in 2014 and previously served as Vice President, Commercial since 2017. Prior to joining Excelerate, he was the head of LNG chartering at Fearnley Offshore LLC and worked as a gas trader at Total Gas and Power North America.
David Liner - Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
David Liner serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer for Excelerate Energy. Before joining Excelerate, Liner was the Chief Officer of Commercial & Planning at Qatar Gas Transport Company (Nakilat), where he led business development for FSRU, LNG, and LPG sectors. He also held significant leadership roles in multi-billion-dollar development projects for ExxonMobil. Liner began his career with the American Bureau of Shipping (ABS), working on new construction, repair, and conversion projects in the United States and South Korea. He earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Ocean Engineering from the Florida Institute of Technology.
Alisa Newman Hood - Executive Vice President & General Counsel
Alisa Newman Hood is the Executive Vice President and General Counsel for Excelerate Energy. She contributes 20 years of experience in worldwide legal affairs, government relations, and energy policy. Hood joined Excelerate Energy in 2019 as Senior Vice President, where her responsibilities included negotiating financing agreements, EPC contracts, and vessel charters with international entities, as well as managing the company's U.S. government relations function.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Excelerate Energy (symbol: EE) are primarily driven by the international and capital-intensive nature of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) solutions business, coupled with the evolving global energy landscape.
- Geopolitical and Regulatory Risks: Excelerate Energy's extensive international operations expose it to significant geopolitical, legal, and economic risks across various countries. Changes in governmental policies, regulatory requirements, and political instability in regions where the company operates can impede project approvals, disrupt operations, and affect the company's ability to secure or extend contracts. For example, the company has notable exposure to markets like Brazil and Bangladesh, which present geopolitical and economic uncertainties. Additionally, global events, conflicts, and changes in trade policies, such as those related to LNG export permits, can influence Excelerate Energy's operational and financial stability.
- Competitive Market and LNG Demand Risk from Decarbonization: The market for LNG regasification services is highly competitive, and profitability can be impacted by fluctuations in LNG and natural gas prices. A more profound long-term risk stems from the global energy transition and faster decarbonization policies, which could potentially weaken the long-run demand for LNG and consequently reduce asset utilization rates for Excelerate Energy. The LNG market also faces the possibility of oversupply by 2030 and increasing competition from alternative energy sources, which could undermine the company's market position and profitability.
- Integration Risks and Project Complexity: Excelerate Energy's growth strategy involves strategic acquisitions and complex infrastructure development projects. These initiatives carry inherent integration risks, particularly concerning the successful merging of operations, cultures, and systems from acquired entities. Furthermore, the technical complexity associated with developing and executing large-scale LNG infrastructure projects can lead to challenges such as delays, cost overruns, and increased development expenditures, impacting financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Excelerate Energy (NYSE: EE) operates in significant and growing addressable markets related to liquefied natural gas (LNG) solutions globally, with its core services encompassing floating regasification, LNG terminal operations, and the broader LNG and natural gas supply and distribution. The company is a global leader in floating LNG terminals and Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FSRUs), holding 25% of the global FSRU regasification capacity as of the first quarter of 2025.
Addressable Markets for Excelerate Energy's Main Products and Services:
- Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FSRUs) Market: The global FSRU market was valued at approximately $8.63 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $17.14 billion by 2035, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of over 7.1% from 2026 to 2035. Other estimates place the global FSRU market size at $8.08 billion in 2024, with a forecast to grow to $18.28 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 7% (2025-2035). The Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest share of this market, followed by North America, with the U.S. being a major contributor.
- LNG Terminal Services Market (including FSRUs and Onshore Terminals): The global LNG terminal market, which includes both floating and onshore infrastructure, was valued at $9.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to expand to $32 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 13.6% from 2026 to 2035. Another report indicates the global LNG terminal market was valued at $7.99 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach $14.86 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 10.91% during the forecast period (2026-2031). North America holds the largest market share for LNG terminals at approximately 45%, while Asia-Pacific accounts for about 20% of the global market.
- Global LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) Market (encompassing supply, procurement, and distribution): The broader global LNG market, which underpins many of Excelerate Energy's services, was valued at $130.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $269.28 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 8.4% from 2026 to 2033. Other analyses estimate the global LNG market size at $122.60 billion in 2024, projected to reach $226.97 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.6% from 2025 to 2030. The Asia Pacific region is a dominant force in the global LNG market, holding over 81.1% of the revenue share in 2024. When combining the LNG and FSRU markets, the global size is estimated at $145.81 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach approximately $438.92 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 11.65% from 2025 to 2035.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Excelerate Energy (symbol: EE) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:
- Development of the Iraq LNG Import Terminal Project: The integrated floating LNG import terminal project in Iraq is a significant near-term growth catalyst, with commercial operations expected to commence in the third quarter of 2026. This project includes the deployment of Excelerate’s newest Floating Storage and Regasification Unit (FSRU), Hull 3407, and a five-year agreement for regasification services and LNG supply, with extension options and a minimum contracted offtake of 250 million standard cubic feet per day (MMscf/d).
- Integration and Expansion of the Jamaica Business: The acquisition of New Fortress Energy's downstream LNG and power infrastructure business in Jamaica is a key driver. This acquisition has expanded Excelerate’s footprint and diversified its customer base, establishing it as a significant provider of "last-mile" LNG infrastructure in the Atlantic basin. The company is actively working to optimize the existing business, enhance customer service, and strengthen its continuity plans, with plans to invest further in Jamaica and scale this "hub and spoke" model across the Caribbean.
- Leveraging Long-Term Contracts and Global LNG Demand: Excelerate Energy benefits from a portfolio of long-term, take-or-pay contracts, which provide predictable revenues. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for liquefied natural gas, particularly as regions seek diversified and secure energy sources.
- Expansion into New Emerging Markets: Excelerate Energy is committed to entering and expanding its presence in emerging markets worldwide. This strategy aims to unlock access to abundant LNG supply and leverage its experience in successfully establishing and growing operations in these regions. The company's operational presence in multiple countries positions it to capture new growth opportunities in the evolving global LNG landscape.
- Optimization of its Integrated Business Model: The company’s integrated business model, encompassing FSRUs, infrastructure development, and LNG and natural gas supply, procurement, and distribution services, is expected to drive profitable results. By integrating its assets and deploying capital strategically, Excelerate aims to extend the earnings profile of the business through customer growth and efficiency improvements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Excelerate Energy authorized a share repurchase program of up to $50 million in February 2024, which was fully utilized by May 2025.
- In December 2025, the Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase authorization of up to $75 million of its Class A common shares, with no expiration date.
Share Issuance
- In April 2022, Excelerate Energy completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) of 18.4 million shares of Class A common stock at $24.00 per share, including the full exercise of underwriters' options, resulting in approximately $416.2 million in net proceeds.
- In March 2025, Excelerate Energy priced an underwritten public offering of approximately 6.957 million shares of Class A common stock at $26.50 per share, increasing the offering size to $184.35 million. The underwriters fully exercised their option for an additional 1.04 million shares in May 2025, generating estimated additional net proceeds of $26.4 million.
- As part of the funding for the Jamaica acquisition, Excelerate completed an equity offering of eight million shares of Class A common stock in the second quarter of 2025, raising $212 million in gross proceeds.
Outbound Investments
- Excelerate Energy entered into a definitive agreement in March 2025 to acquire New Fortress Energy Inc.'s business in Jamaica for $1.055 billion in cash, which included two LNG terminals and a combined heat and power plant. The acquisition was closed in May 2025.
- In October 2025, Excelerate Energy received an award letter and subsequently entered into a definitive agreement for the development of an integrated floating LNG import terminal project in Iraq.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2025, maintenance capital expenditures were approximately $57 million, and committed growth capital was $106 million.
- For 2026, the company expects Maintenance Capital Expenditures to range between $100 million and $110 million, primarily due to scheduled dry docks for the Express and Exquisite FSRUs.
- Committed Growth Capital for 2026 is projected to be between $370 million and $400 million, largely allocated to the final payment for a newbuild FSRU (Hull 3407) and costs associated with the integrated terminal project in Iraq, which has an estimated total capital cost ranging from $520 million to $550 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Excelerate Energy Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Excelerate Energy Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Net Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Operating Income Comparison | 02/14/2025 | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to EE.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04172026 | VAL | Valaris | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 15.2% | 15.2% | -0.9% |
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 16.3% | 16.3% | -0.7% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 10.8% | 10.8% | -10.8% |
| 03312026 | SRE | Sempra | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -2.1% | -2.1% | -4.9% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 54.5% | -2.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,425 |
| Op Inc LTM | 245 |
| FCF LTM | -121 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -57 |
| CFO LTM | 419 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 312 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -11.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -16.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -10.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 10.5 |
| P/EBIT | 10.6 |
| P/E | 28.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.0% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 51.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 14.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -26.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $33.89 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/13/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -20.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $34.61 | $29.92 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -2.1% | 13.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 43.2% | 35.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.92 | 0.11 |
| Upside Capture | 103.93 | 36.37 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.5% | 16.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.68 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.77 |
| Up Beta | 0.55 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 0.58 | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| Down Beta | 2.86 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Up Capture | 45% | 70% | 93% | 95% | 29% | 41% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 35 | 72 | 132 | 384 |
| Down Capture | 417% | 208% | 137% | 35% | 21% | 87% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 28 | 52 | 118 | 362 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EE | 37.6% | 37.4% | 0.92 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 42.9% | 20.1% | 1.67 | 31.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 17.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 14.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | 10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 15.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 13.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EE | 5.3% | 44.7% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 21.5% | 26.1% | 0.74 | 47.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 13.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 27.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 29.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 18.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EE | 2.6% | 44.7% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 9.5% | 29.5% | 0.36 | 47.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 13.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 27.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 29.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 18.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -3.7% | ||
| 2/25/2026 | -7.9% | -10.3% | -22.5% |
| 11/5/2025 | 7.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% |
| 8/11/2025 | -2.1% | -1.6% | -5.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 10.3% | 17.7% | 27.1% |
| 2/26/2025 | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | -7.5% | 1.3% | 18.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | 4.5% | 6.7% | -1.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| # Negative | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -5.9% | -5.0% |
| Max Positive | 13.0% | 22.7% | 27.1% |
| Max Negative | -7.9% | -12.6% | -22.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 480.00 Mil | 495.00 Mil | 510.00 Mil | -6.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 530.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Committed growth capital | 2.7E10% | 2.85E10% | 3.0E10% | -26.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.85E10% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Maintenance capex | 100.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 105.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 515.00 Mil | 530.00 Mil | 545.00 Mil | 19.8% | Raised | Guidance: 442.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Maintenance Capex | 100.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 50.0% | Raised | Guidance: 70.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Committed Growth Capital | 3.7E10% | 3.85E10% | 4.0E10% | 285.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.0E10% for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simpson, Oliver | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 3242026 | 34.15 | 6,000 | 204,900 | 1,766,204 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.