Excelerate Energy (EE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.51 | Market Cap: $912.4 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Excelerate Energy (EE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.51Market Cap: $912.4 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 26% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 117% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 26% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 117% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Excelerate Energy (EE) stock moved by 17.8% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: Excelerate Energy reported robust financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, on November 5, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue. The company announced a net income of $55.0 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $129.3 million. This strong performance led to an upward revision of its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance.
2. Strategic Expansion with Iraq LNG Terminal Agreement: The company secured a significant definitive commercial agreement for the development of a fully integrated Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) import terminal in Iraq. This project includes a five-year contract for regasification services and LNG supply, committing to a minimum contracted offtake of 250 million standard cubic feet per day (MMscf/d). This strategic move is anticipated to contribute to future growth and revenue streams.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EE Return | - | - | - | -38% | 97% | -7% | 13% |
| Peers Return | -20% | 38% | 27% | 13% | 50% | 9% | 159% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EE Win Rate | - | - | 50% | 33% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 73% | 65% | 60% | 72% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -43% | -12% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -56% | -0% | -1% | -8% | -3% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 387 days | 464 days |
Compare to ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI
In The Past
Excelerate Energy's stock fell -52.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -52.6% loss requires a 111.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Excelerate Energy Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Excelerate Energy (EE) Revenue Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Excelerate Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 67.8 |
| Rev LTM | 13,956 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,542 |
| FCF LTM | 3,406 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,982 |
| CFO LTM | 5,912 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,813 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 67.8 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 11.3 |
| P/E | 20.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.8 |
| Total Yield | 10.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 56.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3292023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4142022 | 424B4 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |