Tearsheet

New Fortress Energy (NFE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.3 | Market Cap: $356.7 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

New Fortress Energy (NFE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.3
Market Cap: $356.7 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 972%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Hydrogen Infrastructure, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -30%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -111%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 152%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Hydrogen Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 972%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -30%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -111%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 152%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NFE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Poor Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Significant Impairments.

New Fortress Energy reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $(4) million and a net loss of $557 million for the second quarter of 2025, announced on September 5, 2025. These results included significant non-cash impairments of assets and goodwill totaling $699 million, indicating substantial financial underperformance.

2. Nasdaq Non-Compliance and Delayed Quarterly Filing.

On August 22, 2025, New Fortress Energy received a notice from Nasdaq for non-compliance with Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) because the company failed to file its Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2025, on time. This raised concerns about operational and financial reporting challenges and the risk of delisting. The company had previously announced on August 12, 2025, that the Q2 2025 10-Q filing would be delayed, citing the need to negotiate credit support for its debt and stating that revenues had fallen significantly.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NFE Return244%-54%77%-2%-59%-92%-91%
Peers Return-0%111%43%5%35%1%330%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NFE Win Rate58%17%50%50%25%10% 
Peers Win Rate53%73%65%55%62%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NFE Max Drawdown-49%-58%-17%-33%-78%-93% 
Peers Max Drawdown-68%-0%-2%-16%-6%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AR, MTDR, ET, MPLX, ENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNFES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven196.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven200 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven107 days148 days

Compare to AR, MTDR, ET, MPLX, ENB


In The Past

New Fortress Energy's stock fell -66.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -66.3% loss requires a 196.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About New Fortress Energy (NFE)

Better Bets than New Fortress Energy (NFE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
NFE_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025NFENew Fortress EnergySpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-81.2%-91.7%-93.0%
NFE_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024NFENew Fortress EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-67.0%-79.0%-81.1%
NFE_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023NFENew Fortress EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.1%-69.6%-72.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
NFE_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025NFENew Fortress EnergySpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-81.2%-91.7%-93.0%
NFE_4302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302024NFENew Fortress EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-67.0%-79.0%-81.1%
NFE_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023NFENew Fortress EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.1%-69.6%-72.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for New Fortress Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NFEARMTDRETMPLXENBMedian
NameNew Fort.Antero R.Matador .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge  
Mkt Price1.3836.4044.28--47.7540.34
Mkt Cap0.411.25.5--104.18.4
Rev LTM2,0194,8803,82579,75711,42064,2348,150
Op Inc LTM2407331,3509,2404,62611,1992,988
FCF LTM-1,8881,1804145,1894,6864,0542,617
FCF 3Y Avg-1,9429813746,0954,5896,7072,785
CFO LTM401,5382,52610,8416,08812,8214,307
CFO 3Y Avg4041,1932,17110,2175,70813,1913,939

Growth & Margins

NFEARMTDRETMPLXENBMedian
NameNew Fort.Antero R.Matador .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge  
Rev Chg LTM-15.6%19.7%14.8%-4.7%6.3%32.3%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.6%-13.0%8.9%-3.0%2.5%8.6%1.5%
Rev Chg Q-29.5%15.2%6.4%-3.9%4.6%-1.6%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.9%3.2%1.5%-1.0%1.1%-0.4%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%15.0%35.3%11.6%40.5%17.4%16.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.5%12.2%41.0%10.8%40.6%19.1%23.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.6%2.4%-2.4%0.1%-0.4%0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM2.0%31.5%66.0%13.6%53.3%20.0%25.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%25.5%65.9%12.7%52.8%25.6%25.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-93.5%24.2%10.8%6.5%41.0%6.3%8.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-85.8%21.0%11.6%7.5%42.5%13.5%12.5%

Valuation

NFEARMTDRETMPLXENBMedian
NameNew Fort.Antero R.Matador .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge  
Mkt Cap0.411.25.5--104.18.4
P/S0.52.11.5--1.71.6
P/EBIT-2.413.64.1--8.46.3
P/E-0.917.67.2--18.312.4
P/CFO23.06.72.2--8.67.7
Total Yield-106.3%5.7%16.1%--12.9%9.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.1%--7.4%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-96.2%11.0%6.0%--8.3%7.2%
D/E10.30.30.6--0.90.8
Net D/E9.70.30.6--0.90.8

Returns

NFEARMTDRETMPLXENBMedian
NameNew Fort.Antero R.Matador .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge  
1M Rtn16.9%9.8%13.9%--3.9%11.9%
3M Rtn-40.0%14.5%-8.6%--0.2%-4.2%
6M Rtn-55.5%-2.4%-0.0%--5.3%-1.2%
12M Rtn-86.9%13.5%-23.3%--16.4%-4.9%
3Y Rtn-97.0%5.8%-28.9%--43.5%-11.6%
1M Excs Rtn17.0%9.9%13.9%--3.9%11.9%
3M Excs Rtn-46.6%6.7%-16.0%---4.8%-10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-70.2%-17.1%-14.7%---9.4%-15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-100.6%-2.2%-37.6%--3.1%-19.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-169.6%-71.4%-100.2%---31.4%-85.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Terminals and Infrastructure2,1412,1691,366452 
Ships294445330  
Consolidation and Other-21-245-373  
Single segment    189
Total2,4132,3681,323452189


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Terminals and Infrastructure9,6815,914 1,908 
Ships8201,791   
Consolidation and Other00   
Total10,5017,705 1,908 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity69,614,968
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.7%
Average Daily Volume24,400,116
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.85
Basic Shares Quantity274,371,636
Short % of Basic Shares25.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025905202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025630202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211103202110-Q 9/30/2021