New Fortress Energy (NFE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.3 | Market Cap: $356.7 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
New Fortress Energy (NFE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.3Market Cap: $356.7 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 972% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Hydrogen Infrastructure, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -30% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -111% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 152% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Hydrogen Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 972% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -30% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -111% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 152% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NFE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Poor Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Significant Impairments.
New Fortress Energy reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $(4) million and a net loss of $557 million for the second quarter of 2025, announced on September 5, 2025. These results included significant non-cash impairments of assets and goodwill totaling $699 million, indicating substantial financial underperformance.
2. Nasdaq Non-Compliance and Delayed Quarterly Filing.
On August 22, 2025, New Fortress Energy received a notice from Nasdaq for non-compliance with Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) because the company failed to file its Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2025, on time. This raised concerns about operational and financial reporting challenges and the risk of delisting. The company had previously announced on August 12, 2025, that the Q2 2025 10-Q filing would be delayed, citing the need to negotiate credit support for its debt and stating that revenues had fallen significantly.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NFE Return | 244% | -54% | 77% | -2% | -59% | -92% | -91% |
| Peers Return | -0% | 111% | 43% | 5% | 35% | 1% | 330% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NFE Win Rate | 58% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 10% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 73% | 65% | 55% | 62% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NFE Max Drawdown | -49% | -58% | -17% | -33% | -78% | -93% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -68% | -0% | -2% | -16% | -6% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AR, MTDR, ET, MPLX, ENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NFE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -66.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 196.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 200 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 148 days |
Compare to AR, MTDR, ET, MPLX, ENB
In The Past
New Fortress Energy's stock fell -66.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -66.3% loss requires a 196.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 01312025 | NFE | New Fortress Energy | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -81.2% | -91.7% | -93.0% |
| 04302024 | NFE | New Fortress Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -67.0% | -79.0% | -81.1% |
| 09302023 | NFE | New Fortress Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.1% | -69.6% | -72.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 01312025 | NFE | New Fortress Energy | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -81.2% | -91.7% | -93.0% |
| 04302024 | NFE | New Fortress Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -67.0% | -79.0% | -81.1% |
| 09302023 | NFE | New Fortress Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.1% | -69.6% | -72.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for New Fortress Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 8,150 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,988 |
| FCF LTM | 2,617 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,785 |
| CFO LTM | 4,307 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,939 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 6.3 |
| P/E | 12.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | 9.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terminals and Infrastructure | 2,141 | 2,169 | 1,366 | 452 | |
| Ships | 294 | 445 | 330 | ||
| Consolidation and Other | -21 | -245 | -373 | ||
| Single segment | 189 | ||||
| Total | 2,413 | 2,368 | 1,323 | 452 | 189 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terminals and Infrastructure | 9,681 | 5,914 | 1,908 | ||
| Ships | 820 | 1,791 | |||
| Consolidation and Other | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 10,501 | 7,705 | 1,908 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11032021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |